FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2023/2024 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

The only thing I would say to that is in recent times the GFS OP has had very little support against its members but actually turned out to be right. Of course it's far more likely that it is off on one here.

So you have moved on from the storm and are looking for the next chase. You love the thrill of the chase, WolfeEire. The GFS is at least getting to work on the pv on some recent runs during early Februrary.

A persistent high pressure system to our south scuppers any chance of sustained cold up to and including the opening week of February. The GEFS and the ECMWF show a few colder members in the latter stages. Overall, a relatively benign zonal outlook with slightly above average temps and close to average rainfall. The jigsaw puzzle 🧩 is no closer to being solved.

Very little change to the pressure mean on the 06z GEFS. Atlantic zonal all the way through to the end of the first week of February. Normal service has resumed.

If we are going to get anymore cold this meteorological winter I can't see anything before 2nd half of Feb.

I'd say let's open a dedicated thread just in case!

Might have a go at this Sherry meself!

It didn't work out that way when Joe Pesci said to Danny Glover, well look at it this way things can't get any worse:)

Have you seen that Movie? Ah no I take your point though. I will take snow at any time, but nothing beats a cold spell in the heart of winter

Could be worse. We could be in the Sahara in January. Oh wait.....

Even they're colder than us

Mild wet or mild dry? I’d take mild dry but for my location I’m guessing it’ll come with an extra helping of fog and drizzle which isn’t so exciting.

It just seems the same thing every winter hoping a late winter cold spell will save us. As each winter goes by I am growing more and more disillusioned with our winters especially in recent yrs. There just isn't much to look forward to anymore with them. Not that we were ever a country that got lots of snow every winter but our winters these days really are the pits.

Donegal snow, or any snow in the western region whatsoever doesn't matter Gonzo? This approach of "In my backyard or it didn't happen" is bizarre.

I'll agree the last spell was disappointing but the pessimism is bizarre.

It seems if there is any chance of a cold spell it will be mid February onwards. It's very annoying that when it comes to cold things can never speed up, but with milder weather they often do. I enjoyed the last cold spell, but it was a bit disappointing because we had no ice days. I would have to agree with John Icy about the December 2022 cold spell being somewhat overlooked. We had three ice days with that. I appreciate for Harps and the likes of Senor Pangea the last cold spell delivered big time. Its just a shame about the Iberian high this winter, as it has scuppered us getting a northerly that could have delivered more widely. Its a shame because the cold was there in the Arctic ,unlike in more recent times. Maybe mid February onwards will finally deliver an unstable Northerly that brings snows to a lot of the country, rather than just the usual spots.

Ah look, March snow is pants, Emma excluded. Even second hand if Feb isn’t great. Got some ninja snow here in Clare on March 09 2023 which was grand when I woke up but it just turned to south way too quickly and by event we had hard driving wet dnow turning rapidly to sleet. Ray just a 12 hour event really. Nice to see but I’d live without it if cold and dry was on offer instead or spring sunshine