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Ian Bailey RIP - threadbans in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 30,620 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    And yet other people are saying it was suspicious he was at the scene. Have you challenged them?

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,620 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Worth mentioning that at the time the dogs were reported barking and making a disturbance, Bailey was in the pub.

    So who would have heard or seen the car? The Lyons didn't hear a violent murder.

    People probably wouldn't have commented on some random car passing, if they were even aware of it. Unlike the racket from nearby dogs barking.

    It is possible the attacker(s) walked, but I don't think the above is strong enough to rule out use of a car.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,304 ✭✭✭tomhammer..


    The walk is a red herring it seems to me

    Long walks are not unusual for many rural dwellers



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,228 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    So what ruled him out I wonder?

    The single fact he wasn't Ian Bailey?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,077 ✭✭✭tibruit


    Why do you keep introducing a false narrative that people don`t believe that turkeys were killed and a tree cut down?

    Anyway what I do know is that after he cut down the tree and killed the turkeys, Bailey bought and drank whiskey and pints of Guinness and played the bodhran in the pub. Multiple witnesses were interviewed. None of them saw a scratch or cut on his forehead, none of them saw scratches on his hands or arms bar possibly one individual who vaguely referred to a mark on one of his hands and I`m not even sure if that can be corroborated or if it`s just an urban myth that was introduced by a Bailey minion who frequented one of the other threads. So nothing at all similar to what was evident in the days after the murder.

    Investigators sent a man up a similar tree to cut the top off it and he came down without scratches.

    Jules saw a "raw" and "a bit bloodied" scratch on his forehead the morning after the murder that she hadn`t seen previously, according to her statement that she signed in the presence of her legal rep in 1997. She also said here that Bailey said it was caused by a "stick".

    This part of her statement was read back to her in court in 2015. Her reply was..."This is an invention"

    Then in 2017 she goes on RTE.

    Philip Boucher Hayes: "The scratch from the turkey....why do you think that if he got it before the murder you didn`t notice it?"

    Jules : "Because his hair covered it."

    PBH : "But then you did notice it?"

    Jules : "Yes well maybe he brushed his hair back and I saw it. It was like the teeniest little nick, like a twig or a turkey claw just flicking it."

    So the scratch/cut that she immediately noticed on seeing him the following morning, she nor anybody else for that matter, had noticed it the previous evening or night. An after listening to Bailey blaming turkeys for 20 years she still mentioned a twig.

    It is blindingly obvious from that 2017 interview that her original statement wasn`t doctored.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 99 ✭✭Chocolatier


    Reports said that Sophie was in bed. Why would she get out of bed to answer the door at that hour? Seems more likely that whoever killed her was already in the house.



  • Registered Users Posts: 412 ✭✭csirl


    The only theory which fits perfectly without flights of fancy or other improbable events e.g drunks walking miles, randy garda, international hitmen etc is the aggravated burgalry one. Unfortunatly these were common enough during that era and people did sometimes get killed ir seriously injured in violent encounters with intruders.

    STDP sees a couple of people coming in the gate. Goes out to see whats going on. Meets her demise. One of the burgalers checks the house to see if anyone else was present who might have seen the violent encounter.

    The curveball is the Garda corruption. Why? The recent revelatiions re the kerry babies (i.e. mudered baby is from a garda family) makes you think again as to why they tried to pin it in someone.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,304 ✭✭✭tomhammer..


    "STDP sees a couple of people coming in the gate. Goes out to see whats going on. Meets her demise. One of the burgalers checks the house to see if anyone else was present who might have seen the violent encounter."


    You think that's plausible?

    Goes out to confront burglars at the gate and they batter her to death with a concrete block ?

    And then they went up to house but didn't bother to ransack it ?



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,620 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    It's not a false narrative. There is a tone \ undercurrent in the way the turkeys and trees were discussed implying it was a madeup story. Talk of, who would only put up their tree just before Christmas, as if the whole story was suspicious.

    The DPP covered all the scratches, including the "sending a man up a tree" charade. That one person went up and did not get scratched is not evidence it cannot occur.

    So, exactly as I suggested, the plausible reason for not noticing the 'teeniest little nick', is that it was easily covered by fringe.

    And I see another false narrative, who mentioned a 'twig'??? This in a repeat of similar canard from yesterday where you tried to misrepresent the word 'stick' as if it was some sort of gotcha. This is the thin gruel you attempt to make a murder case out of. Look up the dictionary definition of 'stick', before you further try to claim this as a gotcha.

    Excepts from the DPP statement report :

    Richard Tisdall in his statement 190B recalls seeing scratch marks on one of Bailey’s hands on Sunday night 22 December 1996 (prior to the murder but after the cutting of the tree and the killing of the turkeys).

    Ronan Collins and Dylan Fairbairn on 24 December 1996 were in Bailey’s house and neither noted the scratches on Bailey. (After the murder).

    Con O’Sullivan a butcher who alleges he met Bailey on 23 December 1996 does not refer to seeing any scratches on him.

    From the evidence available it seems clear that the scratches caused to Bailey by cutting the tree and killing the turkeys were not of a very grave nature and it is not therefore surprising that certain patrons in a pub on the night of 22 December 1996 did not observe them.

    Virginia Oliver (Thomas) in her statement of 2 January 1997 states that “in relation to the scratches on Ian’s hand last week I can verify that Ian killed and plucked three turkeys on the Sunday before Christmas. Ian also climbed to the top of a tree to cut the top off to use as a Christmas tree. I did see his hands scratched when he came down the tree.

    Saffron Thomas was interviewed on 10 February 1997 and she stated that “I can verify as I was a witness to him receiving cuts and scratches to his hands, arms and legs from more specifically the cutting down of the tree.” “We had to kill three turkeys and in doing so Ian was cut by the turkey wings flapping when their heads were cut off.”

    Conclusion:

    Bailey’s explanation for the scratches is plausible, consistent and is supported by other direct and credible evidence.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 158 ✭✭easy peasy


    I’m just not sure where I stand on the long walk.

    Personally speaking, I know when at home (a rural town) driving late at night or getting a taxi home from a night out, it always looks suspicious when you see someone out walking in the early hours, especially if they aren’t wearing Hi-vis clothing or appropriate clothing. I just don’t think it’s remotely normal to head out for a walk at that hour, even in a rural setting. I know Bailey was an odd ball but to go for a stroll of that distance seems bonkers to me.

    The more this thread goes on the more disheartening it all gets. You realise that there is little or nothing to pin this on Bailey, and there’s even less to pin it on anyone else.

    I feel like it will either end with no answer or will end like that assassinated Swedish Prime Minister, Olaf Palme, where a report was issued naming the likely killer but strong doubts remain.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,141 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    Burglars don’t generally kill people- and especially not in the gruesome way in this case.

    Given the brutal nature of the killing, with the extensive body of research on killings through the years in the land of academia and at the disposal of police forces across the globe,, I’ve no doubt that the nature of the death, the destruction of the head and face in particular , may point towards some type of killer profile and potentially some type of condition or reason for the killing.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,304 ✭✭✭tomhammer..


    Doesn't make a murder case but the whole saga around the scratches is highly suspicious and coincidental

    Same as the alibi and his behaviour

    Put it all together and you've got a prime suspect.

    No more than that.



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,620 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    And yet incidents do happen where people confront burglars, and violence ensues.

    I would imagine if you've just killed someone your focus would be on getting out of there, instead of spending longer at the scene and being possibly spotted on the off chance there might be something worth finding in the house. There were neighbouring properties, it wasn't a completely isolated location where burglars would know they would not be disturbed.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,304 ✭✭✭tomhammer..


    Nah

    Why kill her and then get out of there

    Why not just get out of there

    Fantasy theories imo



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,620 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    And yet we have many incidents of burglaries leading to violence. Why didn't they just get out of there?

    You could say the same for the Bailey scenario, if he turned up and was rebuffed, why not get out of there? Why kill? That's a fantasy theory too then.

    So it is as much of a fantasy as the Garda scenario outlined for Bailey, which as a scenario is highly implausible and doesn't seem to have many precedents.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,141 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    If the burglar was known to her or she recognised him, say a local lad, and he was a known burglar, you would think he would have been questioned very early on .

    we have to assume he would have had some visible injuries- scratch marks for example- oh wait….😀

    But seriously, even if she recognised him, commoner garden burglars don’t really go around killing people - getting caught or recognised is just an occupational hazard as they used to say on Porridge.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,304 ✭✭✭tomhammer..


    There was no burglary

    You're basically saying he/they decided to batter her to death and then fukked off

    It's not like he/they would have been overpowered



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭combat14


    the violence at the scene points to someone who knew her well and either loved/hated her



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,620 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06



    All of which you could say about Bailey. Did he 'decide' that?

    It's not like he would have been overpowered. if Bailey can get into a rage, why not a criminal on a burglary? Perhaps a drug addicted one.

    So yeah, of course they would get out of there fast after a murder, in that scenario.

    It is no more fantastical than the one outlined for Bailey, and if anything a good deal more common.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,141 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    We do these days - some terrible incidences of violence in burglaries - not at that time though - it’s totally “possible” in the way most theories stated here are not “impossible”- just how probable would it be?

    In terms of Bailey, if the motive was sexual, would there not have been some signs of a sexually motivated attack? Maybe there are and we’re not privy to them ?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 30,620 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    They don't. But things can happen they had not planned for, things get out of their control, people get enraged. Once violence has started.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,077 ✭✭✭tibruit


    I think Tisdall was the barman. So he is the only witness outside of the family unit who saw a mark on Bailey(drinking his pints and playing his bodhran) and it was on one hand only. Yet the scratches were so noticeable after the murder we have multiple witnesses who saw them and DPP could only come up with three people who met Bailey and noticed nothing. Go figure.

    It is beyond extraordinary that nobody at all noticed the cut on his forehead before the murder and yet Jules saw it immediately the following morning. An extraordinary circumstance that was ignored by the DPP.



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,620 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    I didn't say it was probable. I suspect whatever the real explanation, it will seem improbable.

    I was making the point it is at least as plausible\likely as the scenario outlined for Bailey by AGS, if not more so.

    There were zero signs of a sexually motivated attack, and given how much has leaked out from DPP report, Garda File, etc I think we can assume that to be the facts of it.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 39,865 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    In terms of Bailey, if the motive was sexual, would there not have been some signs of a sexually motivated attack? Maybe there are and we’re not privy to them ?

    Plus AGS mustn't have included it in their submission to the two DPPs given no mention of it by the DPP.



  • Registered Users Posts: 412 ✭✭csirl


    I dissagree. Google some of the horrific cases that have happened in Ireland over the past 30 years.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,304 ✭✭✭tomhammer..


    No necessarily

    An infatuation or an interest and anger rejection rage imo



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,620 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    We have multiple witnesses who were close to him and noticed it after the incident, people in the family unit likely paying more attention after such an event as cutting down a tree.

    Scratches become more noticeable as they heal and scar \ scab over. And the scratches were gone in only a few days when Bailey was witnessed by a dermatologist. So exactly as the DPP outlines, consistent with Bailey's explanation of them being light scratches from the tree and not deeper ones from briar thorns.

    It's not "beyond extraordinary". It could simply be explained by hair fringe being styled when out, and next morning, perhaps after a shower, hair slicked back after a shower. And the 'teeniest little nick' could have been scratched and re-opened by Bailey when sleeping or styling the hair back.

    The explanation could be as simple as that.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 412 ✭✭csirl


    Yes, there have been many instances of householders being killed or injured in rural areas after meeting burglers.

    SDTP wouldnt necessarily have known a car pulling up at the gare was burglars.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,304 ✭✭✭tomhammer..


    There have indeed but the scenario above isn't plausible imo

    There's lots of different burglary scenarios



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  • Registered Users Posts: 248 ✭✭deeperlearning




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