Ian Bailey RIP - threadbans in OP

It's not that outlandish.

"Cui bono" is the common question after a murder. Or "follow the money". Daniel TDP benefitted the most.

People assume hitmen are professionals, in Ireland they're normally just drug addicts with a debt.

Maybe the hitman was just someone Daniel TDP had some sort of power or control over.

Maybe his initial plan was to strangle her but it didn't work so he used the other weapons at hand.

Slightly more likely than a failed alien abduction.

Very easy push for an investigation when you and those around you have blanket immunity.

Also Daniel wasn't the only person who pushed for the case to be reopened was he?

I believe that chink in your argument has already been pointed out to you several times.

Then why did he refuse to meet with Garda detectives if he had nothing to hide, and wanted to move the investigation along?

I'm not making any specific allegation against Daniel but given the number of spouses involves in the murder of their wives, as a matter of routine, it is reasonable to expect the police investigating a murder to want to speak to the husband, or even recent ex or separated husband. Even if only purely for elimination purposes, or if the husband had heard of anything that might be useful.

Hitmen make mistakes, they slip up. Otherwise there wouldn't be so many failed, botched hits, or they wouldn't end up in jail afterwards. They are not all cool headed trained experienced types that don't make a mistake. Something that looked like an assassination would immediately point back to the husband. That's not to say it was a hitman necessarily but merely that things can get out of control. Similarly, could be some other criminal sorts who perhaps only went there to threaten Sophie and things escalated.

The assumption is Sophie rang Daniel around midnight.

Maybe it wasn't Sophie.

I assume phone records were checked to show there was an actual call made.

I also assume no investigation was done on the younger Eastern European Cuckoo who took the nest?

I don't think Sophies son liked her very much.

Whoever killed SDP was an animal. They were likely high on something, not thinking straight with some long standing mental issues including an inability to take rejection, were sociopathic, hot-headed and prone to violence.

Bailey fitted perfectly into these categories, and there was no question he should at least have been considered a suspect. Guilt or otherwise is another matter, and that would have been determined in court.

If they were that much out of control, they were very lucky not to leave any forensics at the scene.

If Bailey is that hot headed, where's the reports of him getting into violent scenes in public with alcohol involved i.e. bars etc while in west cork?

No reports of any incidents from women of him getting violent for rejecting a pass either.

Blanket immunity? Another wind up merchant.

More powerful people than him have gone to jail in France, unlike in Ireland where the powerful never go to jail.

As for influence, why couldn't he influence the DPP to prosecute Bailey, or get Bailey extradited before Daniel died, or several other things.

There is no evidence to suggest he and Sophie had anything but a very good relationship, divorce or not. Both remained friends and were making plans for the future.

Given he demanded a new investigation, new leads, and better forensic testing post the DPP closing the case, its daft to suggest he'd try uncover something that would put the spotlight on him.

I never suggested any of that.

The reality is Daniel never seemed to be too fussed over it, did he?

Probably didn't have the time with his younger mistress and couple of small children.

But the fact remains people in France certainly had a motive, and this is where I would have some sympathy with the Irish Guards, they were precluded from opening an investigation into any of them.

Imagine that? A wife is brutally murdered and her Husband and Mistress (very soon after, wife and new mother) are immune from questioning?

I have never heard of another situation like it.

Have you?

Last week

“Some people get convinced of all sorts of rubbish and I’m not really interested in anything that doesn’t affect me. One thing I know is that he was innocent of it.”

She said this wasn’t a belief but rather something she knew. “I knew he couldn’t have done it,” she said.

Yes, I've heard that scenario mentioned on Boards - not sure if it was yourself. It is possible. It would be a way to set it up.

Having said that I'm not inclined to really suspect Daniel even though some of his conduct was remark worthy. Unlike some of the messy divorce \ mistress murder cases in the States which have millions and reputations at stake, this one doesn't seem to have that angle.

In any crime having one rigid story and sticking to it is a lot dodgier than misremembering things. I’d say even more so when you have a very chaotic lifestyle.