Wed, Thu, Fri - Potential Snow event

The 00z suite of guidance is basically a continuation of the ideas discussed here and the 05z obs are nowhere colder than 0 C and probably -1 or -2 dews at best. Looks like the best chance for snow would be overnight Thurs-Fri as slightly milder air will push northwest on Friday. I would guess best place to see a decent accumulation of snow could be Connemara, around Knock and parts some upland parts of Ulster, as well as highest slopes in southeast. But we'll keep an eye on all developments as details could change, I suppose.

Possibly same set-up in absence of AGW and warmer oceans could have been productive, it's probably 2 C too warm in most aspects to generate wintry falls but not bad synoptics, just usual problem of needing a more robust push of cold air as we saw 27-28 Feb 2018.

3rd March 2019 - heavy rain to snow event that struggled to settle on wet ground. Did settle on the grass to some extent. Baldonnel managed a cm covering.

8th January 2021 - a cm covering over Killiney to Greystones area as a localised streamer occurred with a favourable wind direction.

24th January 2021 - a streamer set up over the northeast Dublin coast with Balbriggan to Clontarf all covered.

8th/9th December 2022 - widespread covering of snow over south and west Dublin. Too mild and poor fetch for the north side.

10th March 2023 - there was a widespread light covering over the county in the early hours as the low cleared eastward. Deep snow over the mountains.

There were a few dustings on 10th February 2020, 31st December 2020, 7th January 2021, 7th January 2022 and 24th February 2022. Late January/early February 2019 was also big for the mountains.

In Dublin 5, 24th January 2021 is the only notable one since the BFTE. That was also the only day I've had at least a cm since then and I've not had lying snow since in D13.

Fortunate? What about unfortunate? Christ let's have our winters die a complete death altogether.

1992 to 1999 was practically snowless in the East and south,was that climate change too ?

Tomorrow's event has occurred many times in the last 30 years and described as rain preceded by snow

None of this yellow warning nonsense or hoo ha about it

well, as i was saying, growing up in the 90s it seemed like we'd get lying snow at least once every winter that we could play with and make snowmen, i don't have stats to back that up though. given january 2024 is looking like the warmest on record globally, maybe the lack of snow and cold is down to climate change in ireland though.

That seems to be at odds with M.T. Cranium's thoughts. This could have been an epic event. What a shame it will be a snow to rain event with any lying snow washed away quickly.

Additionally, while we haven't had snow, in my area (within 5km of the south coast and very much in Cork surburbia) I've had about 8-10 frosts so far this winter. I've often had no frosts all winter. We haven't had any snow (bar some wet flakes mixed with rain overnight in the second week of January) but its been cold at times, markedly so for the third week in January.

I remember getting a frost in early November 2008 and thinking it was the first frost we'd seen in a few years. And as Pureza says, there wasn't a flake for several years at a time at various times in the nineties and noughties (Xmas 2004 to Jan 2010 in this neck of the woods). So I'm not sure this particular winter (that has delivered for the NW already, and may deliver for them in the coming days) is necessarily a poster boy for climate change.

Yes, it's true we had snowless winters before, but what's different now is the stronger influence of the Iberian High, which has acted as a spoiler for much of this winter. The warmer sea temperatures too. With the same synoptic set up in the past I think this winter would have delivered snow more widely

One of the hills here seems to have good dumping of snow on it overnight.

Stop being so selfish Senor Pangea. Share the snow!

Donegal really has a different climate during winter.

Wev got snow in the NW almost every year of the 21st century. Usually a total of 1 to 3 days for the whole Winter. That last spell there was snow on the ground in our estate for 2 to 3 days. If we get anything tomorrow maybe 2 more days. However I still feel the heavy stuff will land in Mayo and South Sligo with lighter amounts here and it could be sleety too.

I'd say inland Mayo 8cm will be the sweet spot. Maybe Swinford Charlestown, Tubbercurry might get some too and Ballymote. Sligo town on marginal edge perhaps 2cm best case scenario.

Feeling cold in Galway now. Fingers and toes crossed for the white stuff.

Met Office, good girl Clare, warning about widespread Yellow Snow on the latest YT release. Which, in fairness to them, is very decent and above and well beyond their remit as people will be people.

So if you're up near that border, caveat emptor lads and lassies.

I missed the forecast, I was very sure Gerry wasn't programmed to say the word "Snow", it has always been "Schleet"...

It's interesting, there's a prob30 attached to the light snow and not to the moderate snow, making me think its with the heavier percip that snow is more likely.

Out for a walk in west Galway. It just doesn't feel cold enough for snow. 2-3 degrees too mild I feel.

A lovely winter's day all the same. The roads are bone dry.

This should have read YR.NO

Reasonably accurate

I haven't checked charts for a day or so. Am surprised how things have moved North. I would think lying snow will be reserved for Northern Ireland only. Very close to a non event for ROI. Gerry can ramp all he likes. When there's a big freeze coming he goes mild. I think he's on a wind up lol

What ever about snowfall tomorrow is looking like a cold wet and breezy day for most in a moderate easterly wind.