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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,600 ✭✭✭Villa05


    What you describe is a process of life improvements, technology and business advancements for the benefit of everyone.

    What's happening in housing making it unaffordable for the majority of new entrants is the complete reverse of that.

    Past generations had the tailwind of falling interest rates, that looks like being a headwind for new entrants.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,995 ✭✭✭downtheroad


    That all comes with a cost. And there is an opportunity cost in the increase in property prices.

    Your grandparents didn't live in an A rated home that was designed for mobility/accessibility. The house building regulations have changed dramatically, which only increases cost.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,202 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    This is a house that 1.3 million should buy you.


    Not the ordinary house in Dun Laoghaire, which no matter how some may dress it up, it is ordinary.

    People who have 1.3 mill parked in their bank account or 5 million, they still want to see worth in the money they spent. Even though they are not short of money.

    Living the life



  • Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭chalky_ie


    That house needs about half a million quid put into it. It's also 30km from the city centre, not 10.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,488 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    Totally irrelevant comparing to your grandfather for the following reason which you seem to not take into account:

    1). A single wage today is totally different to a single wage back then…Your talking about a time where a married man was paid nearly double what a unmarried man was paid for doing the same job. Assuming your grandfather was married at the time then it’s not the same as a single wage today but closer to a couples wage

    2) Average civil servants job are not the same back then versus today….Back then you were made for life if you landed a civil servants job as you had a pension, good benefits and a job for life regardless of performance. These were the top jobs in there day at a time when people had to emigrate for work. Comparing a civil servant’s job in 60’s to a civil servant’s job today is like comparing the respect a Bishop had in the 60’s verses today…Yes technically the same job but no comparison. A civil servant had no trouble getting a mortgage back then as zero risk to the bank v a private sector worker at the time who could loose his job and be forced to emigrate.

    3). Location location location….The population of Dublin Doubled during the period in question and despite having Irelands first shopping centre on its door it was the equivalent of a commuter town in Kildare today. Let’s not forget that population of Dublin has doubled during the period in question….its like a old yard on edge of a city that you could buy for 1m now being worth 10m because the city expanded and it was now considered the CBD.

    in addition The area in question was not impacted to the same extent as other parts of Dublin that saw large social housing when tenements were knocked and people relocated on mass and as a result became more desirable so much so that people were willing to pay a premium to live there…A premium that keeps increasing as the city expands but the areas that people would pay a premium expand at a fraction of the pace.



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,920 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Good to see that somebody tasked with trying to solve the problem actually recognises the problem:

    The head of the government agency charged with solving the country’s chronic housing crisis has told homeowners the value of their properties has to fall before the situation can improve.

    This does seem at odds with government policy though given Varadkar and O'Brien's recent comments in response to MLMcD saying prices needed to fall:

    The government criticised her comments and claimed Sinn Féin’s housing policies would devalue homeowners’ properties.

    Darragh O’Brien, the housing minister, said Sinn Féin’s policy would be “disastrous for home building and buying”.

    Is it too much to hope for that the penny has finally dropped in government?




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,675 ✭✭✭CorkRed93



    the madness continues. any chance they could purpose build some accom of their own it'd be better value for everyone?



  • Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭chalky_ie




  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,920 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Yes indeed, the cause and effect of misguided government policy.

    If finally somebody in or close to government has realised that government policy should be looking for an alternative effect - i.e falling house prices - then that can only be good thing.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,438 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    He is talking about reducing home prices through an increase in building and also older retired folks downsizing to free up larger stock for families, as well as people not objecting to new housing developments.

    The last 2 are not controllable by the govt, since it is a persons choice whether they choose to downsize or object to a housing scheme.

    In other words, the article is mostly rhetoric but with no teeth.

    The govt are building more houses and although more are needed, we are moving in the right direction.

    Take a drive around Dublin. There are apartments going up everywhere.

    Let house prices drop slightly, as demand meets supply. We are a still a way out from that inflection point though, bar an economic disaster which leads to depopulation, and thats the last thing we want.

    The govt need to be more ambitious on housing completions and infrastructure, but there is a finite work force and economic headwinds to manage. There are only so many homes that can realistically be built each year.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭chalky_ie


    I don't see the point of talking about lowering house prices as a party in government. Discuss and solve the causes and the effect will occur, talking about lowering the prices of homes is just pandering to one half of the population, and annoying a lot of the other.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,920 ✭✭✭hometruths


    The only reason you might annoy a lot of the other is somehow the government have come to believe it is their job to worry about individuals negative equity as evidenced by Varadkars comments:

    “That would have significant consequences,” Mr Varadkar told political correspondents at a briefing in Government Buildings on Wednesday afternoon.

    “It would put a lot of people into negative equity, particularly the vast majority of people who bought their first home in the last couple of years.

    If government are discussing and solving the causes they'd do well to look at the effect caused by pumping billions of subsidies into the market.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 5,920 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Irrespective of how he thinks it might occur it, the comment "‘Homeowners must accept property values will drop’" is encouraging.

    I am unaware of anybody else that close to government policy acknowledging this.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,600 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Be careful of words and concentrate on actions

    Killian Woods states that development land market was "beginning to tank" untill the Land Development agency and councils were given money to buy up land and effectively put a floor in prices. He was referring the Clongriffin site purchase in December 2023 about 30 mins into this podcast.

    Now if an agency with plenty of land were focused on reducing price, they'd build on their land and wait for a correction on existing private held sites

    Maybe LDA and government want householders to pay the price not developers.

    Remember who represents developers, investment funds and land owners, you guessed it, ex FFG politicians. Follow the money!



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,600 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The rebel shareholder at IRES-REIT

    An interesting interview from a shareholder that wants the reits assets sold off.




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,675 ✭✭✭CorkRed93



    is there a reason something like this hasnt been trialled for homeless or say single people on social housing lists? would they even get planning for social? what is the life span on these?



  • Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭chalky_ie


    Housing as a purchase isn't really like anything else, it's not a completely optional thing that you've don't have to do(when compared to most other purchases in life). Thus, it's not really surprising that people wouldn't want to hear that they may end up in huge negative equity due to a house purchase that they essentially needed to make at a given time(I'm not really interested in getting into a discussion around the necessity of buying a home vs. renting here).

    Not that there is any way of avoiding this situation(negative equity for some with house prices coming down), some people just get unlucky with timing. But I think dealing with the causes in a positive manner sounds far better than this whole 'we must devalue the market' populist stuff, designed for certain sections of the voting public to lap up.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,438 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I woukd say it is irrelevant.

    Whether home owners accept their property prices falling has no bearing on whether or not they actually fall.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,675 ✭✭✭CorkRed93


    sick to death of everything in this country being based around the feelings of those who, in some hypothetical situation, might have to sell their homes thus ending up in "negative equity". why is everything done to keep these people happy



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,995 ✭✭✭downtheroad


    I got a flyer in the door from a Labour councillor recently, informing residents of a planning application for a purpose built apartment for the elderly in the area. Only available to those over 60 years of age. Hopefully this will allow some elderly local residents to stay in the locality and live in a purpose built accommodation, if they so wish. Thus freeing up cash for them, and family homes at the same time.

    More of this is needed in every suburb around the country.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 68,600 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Many/most of these specialist schemes are social and free up larger social houses for refit and reassignment.

    Dire need for private equivalents. Would prevent the older bigger houses getting neglected and needing expensive mobility modifications that just get ripped out



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,438 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Yes, those schemes are certainly good ideas abd must help free up space somewhere, even if not in the immediate locale.



  • Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭chalky_ie


    Those people make up the majority of the country. People aren't really going to fancy voting for whatever party you want to get into power so you might be able to buy a house if they don't shut up about negatively impacting a large chunk of home owners. The way some of you go on in this thread is like people that own a home in Ireland are some sort of elite ruling class 😂



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,675 ✭✭✭CorkRed93


    it wont negatively impact a large chunk of people though. its only effects them if they need to sell



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,995 ✭✭✭downtheroad


    I just checked the document and you're right, it is an AHB called Fold which manages social housing in behalf of DCC.

    The first house I viewed in this area had a wet room built in the dining room, and the bed moved from downstairs. Immediately the purchaser is ripping that out. Such waste. A real shame there are no local retirement villages available for those who may wish to avail of them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,600 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    I took out grabrails all over on my house, kept (and indeed reinstated when getting new stairs) the second bannister though as it's useful for going down stairs.

    Both external doors, bathroom, beside the bed etc had grabrails in - I suspect if the previous owner hadn't gone to a care home relatively early there'd have been a wet room and stair lift too



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,438 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Because they are 3 out of 4 of the adult population and for the majority of them, it is their largest asset, the value of which helps their kids prosper in later life.

    Therefore, they are the electorate.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,995 ✭✭✭downtheroad


    My brother in law had worse. The previous occupant put a wet room off the kitchen, but moved into a care home before even using it. Brother in law got it ripped back out. 2 builders delighted, everybody else frustrated.



  • Registered Users Posts: 317 ✭✭chalky_ie


    It has the potential to impact loads of people, which is what would drive opinion.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,438 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    It does impact because it is still an asset.

    Its a pointless aim anyway as it is unachievable.

    You cant press a button and reduce house prices to 300k or whatever arbitary figure SF come up with.

    The market dictates the prices. Nothing else.



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