Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Potential Easterly 10th March -->?

  • 03-03-2024 5:47am
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,022 ✭✭✭✭


    There is one last possibility at this time of year for cold and snow.

    That is that extremely cold air is evicted from the north in to the continent and then the west toward us.

    There are solid indications that this could happen but it depends on a lot of variables going right.

    I think there is enough to open a thread for discussion.



    Let's see what happens.

    Post edited by Kermit.de.frog on


Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭koutoubia


    Was watching on the YT channel 'Weather Watcher' and they think that an unusual high in central Russia moving westwards could push banks of cold air down towrads us.

    Dare we even mention the Beast word.......



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,546 ✭✭✭typhoony


    Certainly a possibility but it could be we just miss out and the cold air stays just to the east of us, also I think this week will be a little milder than the forecasters are predicting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,621 ✭✭✭✭Leg End Reject


    Here's hoping for a red alert and time off work. 🤞 🙏 😀



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭sparrowcar


    If anyone else opened this thread at 7 days with the winter of disappointment we've had in Dublin then I'd ignore.

    Kermit calling it as "strong indications" is making me kiddy.... Kermit you absolute tramp.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,216 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Looked at CFS in January and March looked a lot colder than February then but haven't looked at it since. Seems likely an Easterly will be in place in a week but whether its mild or cold is open to question still.

    Checked GFS though and it was that low going more North now so the milder air wins on the current run. Tweaks likely before March 10th though.



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,136 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Very much in FI I would have thought........a long way off, mixed bag of conditions , no great cold showing by any model , ECM showing a hint of possible Easterlies right out at the end of the run moving into Europe but not even reaching Ireland, GFS switching more to milder weather from the 10th...... a slow burner probably best thought of in in FI for now.



  • Registered Users Posts: 427 ✭✭Robwindstorm


    I would have thought a harsh easterly in March is typically expected. It helps dry the land (apart from last year) and is sometimes mixed with wintery showers. Hopefully this year March is 'in like a lion and out like a lamb'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,415 ✭✭✭JVince


    I won't believe it until the daily mail runs a headline 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣😀😀😀



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,025 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Good ecm tonight, and the mean follows suit. All to play for but chances are a little less this evening



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,877 ✭✭✭sparrowcar


    BBC's 10 day forecast not buying it. They have a low pushing warm air up from the south east keeping temps up.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,025 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    The latest Icon has much stronger heights over Scandinavia. Certainly keeps the interest going




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,907 ✭✭✭pureza




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,907 ✭✭✭pureza


    This overnight GEM would certainly blast the east coast with snow shower trains were it to verify

    That is one Shivering direct unimpeded source of air

    This is T+7 days- next Monday




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,100 ✭✭✭SouthWesterly


    From the 14th of march to Easter will be warm and dry....I'm off for the few weeks and Ive work to do in the veg garden. 😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,099 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Is that a long range forecast or wishful thinking?



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,980 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    At the moment the models are not very exciting, the coming 2 to 3 weeks looks very average and unsettled most of the time. Temperatures around average or a little below at times. No real sign of any proper cold weather or mild/warm weather either. No real sign in the models of the weather becoming dryer either, just a continuation of mostly Atlantic domination.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,100 ✭✭✭SouthWesterly


    Once it's reality over my little bit of land 😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,105 ✭✭✭mcburns07




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,025 ✭✭✭cute geoge


    you wont get much done unless there is a dramatic change away from the rain



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,100 ✭✭✭SouthWesterly




  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,121 ✭✭✭compsys


    It's pretty standard March weather though, isn't it?

    At this time of the year it's usually too late for proper snow and too early for proper warmth. Especially for the East.

    I'd prefer for some boring weather in March (and on the other end November) if it means more seasonal weather in a few weeks' time.

    Hopefully things pick up as we head a bit further into spring.



  • Registered Users Posts: 690 ✭✭✭US3


    What is the point of this thread?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,241 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    I think we may be clutching at straws now alright. ICON was the only model really calling for anything.

    Uppers just aren't there now and they don't really improve after the 120hr frame.





  • Registered Users Posts: 1,546 ✭✭✭typhoony


    Unfortunately there's now very little support for an easterly, if the thread had been called potential south westerly 10th onwards it would have been nailed on to materialise



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,980 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    This was never much support for this in the first place, just a few rogue outliers on the Icon and GFS, the sort of charts we post on the FI +384 hours thread the ones that rarely verify. At this stage we are probably done chasing winter charts until next December unless something exceptional happens out of nowhere in the models over the next few days at short notice.

    As for me I've already switched on the Spring and Summer hat in search of prolonged high pressure and warmer weather.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,090 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    There could be a late sting in the tail with the impacts from the reversal of the Zonal Winds atop.

    It wouldn't surprise me if we see a cold second half of March, but it would have to be top drawer stuff to deliver at that stage. It's more likely we will just have nuisance cold- cold rain from it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,187 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    no sign of an easterly when it looked likely a few days ago, it was also looking like a very wet March in Spain (-NAO) but that too is unlikely. Drought conditions there are going to get even more serious if they don’t get a wet spring.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,980 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    There's no sign of cold anywhere in Europe over the next 2 weeks, it's locked right up over the artic and looks like it's going to stay there. We have an easterly right now with no cold to tap into and then the Atlantic comes back later next week.

    All the predictions of a very cold and blocked January then February and now March have been a monumental bust and we came within a hairs breath of warmest February for almost 400 years since the CET records began. I think parts of central Europe had their warmest February on record which also beat their warmest March on record so something went very wrong with the modeling over the winter.

    The cold snap middle of January and the chilly final few days of February with the leap year thrown in is probably saved the winter as a whole from being the warmest on record.

    As for Spain they usually get stormy weather end of March and April, sometimes start of May can be very unsettled for them too.

    Heading into next winter it's going to be interesting to see how the winter forecasts are put together because most of the drivers that gets talked about in the run up to every winter completely failed to deliver and the weather gods had different ideas. It will be a very safe bet to bet on another mild and Atlantic driven winter next year. We will eventually get another cold winter but the gaps are getting longer every time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,579 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    Warmest Feb on record globally following on from record Jan globally. In parts of Europe Feb came in up to 7 or 8c above normal. Waiting on the first 50c recorded in Europe this coming summer........new regime.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 514 ✭✭✭gerrybhoy


    Don't be saying that about Spain,I'm off to Marbella for the Easter break 🤦‍♂️😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,339 ✭✭✭highdef


    I'm off to the canaries tomorrow, the only part of Europe with any sort of warmth. Fairly cloudy and relatively cool for the weekend but plenty of sun sheet that with temperatures nearing the mid twenties so hopefully I'll be able to swap jeans for shorts by then.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,383 ✭✭✭crusd




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,339 ✭✭✭highdef


    No ****, Sherlock. Just like Northern Ireland is the UK, even if it's geographically Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,383 ✭✭✭crusd


    Accuracy is important. Canaries are in Spain but are not in Europe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,339 ✭✭✭highdef


    My apologies then but I thought that as the Canary Islands are part of the European Union, then that would automatically make them part of Europe too but perhaps they is not the case.

    But to keep on topic, it was a reasonably day here today. Got cloudy for a while and it's been a breezy afternoon, the breeze been rather chilly. Thankfully it's due to be a bit warmer tomorrow.



  • Advertisement
Advertisement