What does the future hold for Donald Trump? - threadbans in OP

Agree with you on the "I'll believe it when I see it" aspect of Trump actually feeling the consequences of his actions.

However , if those consequences do come to bear , the impacts will be rapid and very significant.

Trump entire business empire is a house of cards held together by layer after layer of loans and promissory notes and some very specific cash flow requirements.

He claimed a few months ago to have ~$400M in cash/liquid assets and the general consensus was that that figure was probably about right.

However the problem is that those assets largely cannot be touched as they are part of the terms & conditions for several of his loan agreements - Because he is deeply untrustworthy and has a long long history of stiffing lenders, his recent loans have come with stipulations that he hold X amount of liquid assets as collateral for the loans.

If the bond fails to get sorted on Monday and the NY AG is given the go ahead to seize assets , she'll empty the bank accounts first as those are the cleanest and easiest to do.

But - If he doesn't have that cash on hand , then he automatically defaults on multiple loans and be also has no money from which to pay the other loans which then starts the cascading effect of foreclosures and asset seizures.

TL:DR - It actually won't take much to utterly destroy him , removing a single brick from his jenga stack business and the whole lot collapses around him.

Right there with you - until we see bailiffs changing the locks etc. I won't believe it either.

He does seem to have an incredible ability to wriggle off the hook over and over for sure.

But , a big big part of why he is fighting every little thing tooth and nail is that he knows how tenuous it all is , he knows that a single decent sized financial defeat and he is f*cked completely.

Even the E Jean Carroll ruling - If he has to hand over that cash , the knock-on effects to his overall business are potentially catastrophic.

If he loses that and the NY Fraud case his entire business "empire" is toast - He will lose everything* and there will be nothing left with the Trump name over the door.

*Rich persons version of "losing everything".. He'll still be rich and lead a charmed life compared to you and me , but on a relative scale he'll have nothing.

We can take interim solace from the ongoing collapse of his nonsense "social media empire".

Share price down another 9% today

I doubt it, the SEC will be all over that stock.

Also, he owns like 70% of the stock, if he was shifting any you'd see it in the volume.

Part of the reason the stock price is all over the shop is that there are so few shares being traded and in such low volumes because it's all Mom & Pop MAGAs buying it and not the big trading desks

It was a disaster even without the Arizona ruling but that has just metastasized it beyond measure.

Trumps basic line was "something something States rights , please stop talking about this so we can lie and bullsh!t our way past the Election in November and then you can do what you want"

Absolutely no-one bought that though and with Arizona it has just ensured that it will be the Top issue in November.

The perfect blend of Arrogance , Hubris and Stupidity.

Considers everything in terms of how it makes him feel/look in that moment , does not consider the implications or potential consequences of any of his actions - He needs the instant dopamine hit of feeling "awesome" so he takes it.

The only information/actions that he is capable of retaining and planning for long term is revenge

Once they got the SCOTUS Majority , their ability to string the evangelicals along was severely weakened.

They couldn't keep pretending that it was just out of reach any longer - They are the dog that finally caught the car - Chasing the car was fun , catching it not so much.

On top of that you had State level nutters proposing utterly crazy extreme legislation in recent years that the rest of the GOP went along with safe in the knowledge that it wouldn't matter as the Federal courts would block it so they could keep the evangelicals in line.

Then all of a sudden this stuff becomes law and they are scrambling as they have no idea what to do - They can't vote with Democrats to remove them because the hard right of the GOP would Primary them but they equally know they can't vocally support it either.

They are screwed.