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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    ah he is gone so I won’t get an answer to this

    The point i wanted to illustrate was that even Putin drones measure in a strong currency like dollar or euro and don’t measure or want to be paid themselves in roubles

    And this is why Ukraine will win, Russians themselves deep down under all the denials and repressions know they are in deep 💩



  • Registered Users Posts: 92 ✭✭Poon Tang


    It's far more the case, that Russia were deliberately frozen out of the plans for post cold war Europe. They were seen as a defeated outcast, rather than embraced as a new partner with the potential to enrich the western project. Unfortunately, the Americans have never wanted to be partners of any kind with Russia. They're only partners with Europe, because we bow down to them and let them walk all over us. For the Americans, everything is a d!ck measuring contest, and Russia has always been seen as a threat to them. Vast amounts of land, resources and 1,000's of nukes… this gives Russia a type of independence that America hates.

    It's the same with China. The best thing for peace and security globally, would be for China and America to have strong positive relations. But America can never be friends or strong partners with any nation that they perceive as a threat to their dominance. So we will always have a lack of peace/security, while nations see each other as rivals rather than partners.

    Talking about the political or societal failings of particular nations, as a reason for bad relations, is just a deliberate part of this strategy to perpetuate rivalry and division among nations. You have to find a way to co-operate with all nations globally, even if you have diametrically opposing views on certain issues. In fact, it's even more important to find these diplomatic solutions to avoid the sort of deep divisions mankind has always historically engendered.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,369 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Absolute nonsense. Russia weren't frozen out of plans for post cold war Europe. Russia and NATO signed the NATO-Russia Founding Act.

    We have seen how difficult it was for Europe to wean itself off Russia products at the start of this illegal war of aggression and plunder by Russia. How could that be the case if Russia was frozen out?

    So it is just a dump of Russian propaganda and lies.

    Russia froze themselves out by their continued hostility to what they see as their territory but rightly its inhabitants seen as their sovereign countries, as they continue to try to bully Poland, the Baltics, Georgia, Moldova etc etc

    It is Russia who has perpetuated rivalry and division in Europe, not the West, not the US, not the EU.

    The reason why Russia is seen as a threat to them is because it is, proven by its historic treatment of them and it current actions in Ukraine which gives a foretaste of what would be in store for such countries under Russia domination.

    Russia has never seen those countries as a partner of any kind, don't pretend otherwise, it would be a transparent Russian lie. Those countries, when given the free choice to do so, either have or want to take their place in Western alliances such as NATO or the EU. Proof positive your claims here are false, without merit and without foundation.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,355 ✭✭✭Hoop66


    Ah, another "USA bad, therefore…" poster.

    So, explain how the US forced Russia to invade their neighbour?



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,447 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    They've plenty of prior art:

    Add Ukraine 2022 to that. There are plenty of countries where RuZZia is actively involved in their wars, like Syria, Central African Republic, Mali…



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,145 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    The Americans certainly did ignore Russia and saw it as Soviets gone, job done, war won, ha ha ha(stupidly). Europe by comparison didn't to nearly the same degree. As I pointed out Europe was buying their oil and gas since the early 80s. Much to the chagrin of some in America too. After the Soviet Union fell and after Russia had settled down somewhat post oligarchs robbing their own blind Europe was investing and investing heavily in Russia. A huge chunk of the infrastructure that moves their oil and gas around came from Europe. Never mind European companies building plants in Russia.

    And Russia had always been a threat to The West© since WW2. A direct threat too, especially to Europe on her doorstep. While the other European empires were crumbling post war, Russia had consolidated and extended her empire across a carved up post war central and Eastern Europe(not far off what pre war Stalin had agreed with Hitler either) needing barbed wire and walls to keep people in, with occasional tanks on the streets to make sure. The Yanks didn't invent all that. Never mind all the proxy wars of the Cold War between them and the US that killed countless numbers. The minute Moscow lost control of those countries all save for Belarus and Ukraine looked "West" and joined Europe and NATO. They had bloody good reasons for that. Compare and contrast East and West Germany. A decade after Nazism fell West Germany held free elections. Hell, even a few old Nazi's tried their luck. That's the thing with actually free elections. They also had a free press reflecting all sorts of opinions. When did East Germany get free elections? When did East Germany get a free press? The social and economic differences between the two systems couldn't be more stark too. Which system would you want to deal with? More, which system would you want to trust?

    And nations always see rivals, interests or clashes of same. China is just as much prey to this as the US. Never mind that China's economic growth was driven a lot by Western investment and Western products. But again trust comes into it. Intellectual property seems to be hard to translate into Mandarin, Beijing's books are notoriously cooked and try getting investment out of China. They don't have an open system, so again trust is an issue, no matter who they're dealing with.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,633 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    I don't get this logic?

    A) they're not in a war - completely different to Iraq/ Afghanistan where you had US soldiers on the ground and US lives being lost. Here, its the Ukrainians handing Putin's ass to him for the US and all they're asking for is the military support from - not just the US - the West.

    B) this war is likely to be massively beneficial to the US economy - military and weapons manufacture - JERBS! - and sales, guaranteed finger in the pie when the country is being rebuilt.

    C) this is the chance to kick Russia in the balls that generations of red blooded Yanks dreamed of… yet the good ol boys in the Republican party are siding with the Reds?

    Stoopid is as stoopid does I guess…



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,633 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    They are NOT in a war. A 'proxy war' is some lose, undefinable term that could be used to declare half the globe in a 'war' with Russia.

    The US is NOT in a war with Russia and more than China is in a war with Ukraine.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,633 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    Why would you publicise this (seems to be happening a lot in this war)… essentially giving forewarning of new developments, technologies and strategies? Unless of course it's a complete white elephant that the Ukrainians know will never see action and they just want to put the wind up Putin?



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,877 ✭✭✭✭josip


    I don't think the 1942-44 countries should be included in that list.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 557 ✭✭✭scottser


    Russia also would not still be in this fight if it wasn't for Chinese, Iranian and North Korean 'help'. And you are incorrect about Ukraine needing to win - Putin started the war so the pressure is on him to win. For Ukraine, even if this war ends up in some form of occupation by Russia, they will switch to guerilla and cyber attacks. Russia won't hold Ukraine for long.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,579 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Europe didn’t bow down to the US . It was devastated and on its knees in front of them. All the old empires were shattered . The vast majority of its land had been imprisoned for 4 years by a murderous regime that were industrially gassing and burning people in ovens by their millions. Europe was finished an absolute failure the lunatics had taken over the old order was gone and utterly discredited. America stepped into the breach reluctantly And thank god they did. The tragedy was that the Soviets took the Eastern portion and their nightmare continued for another 44 years.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    they can’t even make enough gasoline now

    Aside: how does one say “gas lighting” in Russian because that’s how reading last couple of pages above feels like



  • Registered Users Posts: 92 ✭✭Poon Tang


    My bet is Russia will hold these new territories permanently, just like Crimea.

    And Ukraine/the west have stated what a win should look like for them - they want everything back including Crimea. That's not going to happen. I doubt Russia will care about a guerrilla war. They won't deal with such a war, the same way the Brits did with us… they'll take the gloves off and the Ukrainians know this. Look at how they dealt with Chechnya. Ask yourself, why has there been very little of that in Crimea since they annexed it? The Ukrainians know better than to attempt such a style of fighting against Russia.

    Ireland had some political support within the corridors of power in London, otherwise they could easily have wiped us off the map with our tiny little guerrilla campaigns. Ukraine will have no such support in the Kremlin post war, and nobody calling for anything like the sort of soft tactics / policies we witnessed from the Brits.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,704 ✭✭✭✭briany


    The usual story goes something like Ukraine was a red line for Russia. Nobody else better look at Ukraine because Ukraine is Russia's bítch. But, goddammit, didn't the U.S. roll by anyway in its lowrider, giving Ukraine the bedroom eyes. Russia saw this, and when Ukraine went out to meet the US in the street, Russia was forced to drag her back by the hair and give her the pimp hand in order to remind her who daddy really was.

    Something interesting you might notice in any, if not pro-Russia, then certainly anti-USA/west case which is made is that they all suggest no agency on the part of Ukraine. They all assume it is impossible that the Ukrainian people would in a majority sense prefer to pivot their political, social and economic values toward the West. Instead the assumption is that this drift toward the West arises from pernicious espionage. Something Robert Mearscheimer refers to quite vaguely as 'western social engineering' in his paper on why the Ukraine crisis is the West's fault.

    Let's extrapolate on this and assume for the sake of argument that the above is true. Let's pick up this line of reasoning and start to follow it. Well, firstly, we know that Ukraine hasn't exactly been well treated during its time within the Russian sphere of influence and the shadow of Holodomor still looms over the country. We should know from our own history how devastating a famine can be and how it can sour relations with the authority blamed for causing it. We can also see that Ukraine's neighbours, such as Poland, joined the EU and gained considerable economic growth from it and aren't in any great hurry to leave it. So, this is just two broad demonstrations of why a country can become distant from one old ally and also be drawn to a new one. See the line begin to fray a little bit?

    Let's walk along that line.

    You see, Ukraine has not been Russia's only no-go area. In 2007, I think it was, at the Munich security conference, Putin painted the front row of dignitaries with flecks of spittle as he ranted about the injustice of NATO expansion. As Putin saw it, this was never supposed to happen. This was the breaking of a verbal promise made in 1990 that NATO would not place military infrastructure in East Germany and NATO did not place military infrastructure in the former East Germany. However, NATO did eventually come to Poland and several other Eastern Bloc countries. More accurately, they applied to join and this was accepted.

    Why is this pertinent?

    It's pertinent because the mentality that Ukraine is a red line is the same mentality which would have said that those former Eastern Bloc countries was a red line. It was just a red line which Russia was too weak to do anything about at the time, but Putin would still rant about it years later and become determined never to let it happen again. However, nobody really talks about the 'Western social engineering' that went on in Poland or Romania or Bulgaria. Largely, we accept that it is those countries democratic wish to be west-facing. Why do some people not afford that same assumption to Ukraine? Why is it that when somebody like Zelensky gets elected, that's supposed to be Western interference, but when Yanukovych backed out of a trade deal with the EU, leading to the Euromaidan protests, that's apparently above board? Don't hear the usual heads mention that bit in the same breath…

    It's clear from Putin's own writings that he regards Russia as something of a victim of history, especially when he talks about how Ukraine was formed in the first place. It's also clear from how he runs his country with his circle of oligarchs and tight grip on power that he has no particular interest in creating an egalitarian country that develops itself and makes it an attractive and prosperous place to live, such that Ukraine would naturally want to stay in its orbit. He wants control and brutal suppression of discontent.

    But please, trolls, tell us more about why Ukraine wouldn't want to leave such a shambolic setup.

    Post edited by briany on


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,447 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Great post



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,633 ✭✭✭Paddigol


    At least we've progressed to accepting that the US is not in a war. Baby steps.

    Next lesson ' "Why China is not currently a more healthy/ stable nation than the US".



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,576 ✭✭✭Field east


    and another point- it was the USSR ITSELF, ITSELF, ITSELF that decided to break some of its ‘ in house republics’ away from the USSR. Nobody influenced it to do so. And now Putin. Wants to wind back the clock because he sees it as a MAJOR mistake. And when that is achieved - including East Germany - think Alaska for starters. And why is Putin currently doing everything to disrupt everything and anything that ‘he can get his hands on’ Eg interfering in elections, poisonings , spreading false information, funding overseas private armies, hacking into overseas commercial companies/ government institutions and some posters here recommending that we go down the partner route with Russia. Germany was trying it and we see where that has lead us/ the world



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,576 ✭✭✭Field east


    Re expanding NATO’s membership in an eastern direction . NATO was set up to protect countries that felt that they might be invaded anytime in the future - so a purely defensive stance- and that they would come to each others aid. So Putin gave Sweden and Finland a 1000% reason to join NATO. When they saw Putin Attacking Ukr for no logical/meaningful reason - apart from his on logic- Sweden and Finland saw the writing on the wall and both would have been VERY. Isolated if outside Of NATO .
    So MR PUTIN that train has left the station - thanks 1000% to you.
    what’s of interest is that ‘ all the talk’ was about NATO not expanding beyond West Germany but there has NEVER any talk about Russia/ USSR expanding up to the borders of NATO countries



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    Great point!
    Kazakhstan rang and left a message

    as the last remaining member of USSR they want their UN Security Council seat and nukes back



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,438 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Nope, not going to happen like that. Europe will not tolerate Russia on its borders and will support Ukraine to make sure that it will not happen. First, Ukraine will join the EU, (already in progress) and later on they will join NATO. Russia tried their best for 10 years to control Afghanistan and failed. They are not going to win a guerrilla war in Ukraine either, even if it comes to that. Putin's Russian Federation is slowly but surely disintegrating mainly due to the fact that the war is absorbing too much money from the economy. Its currently struggling, all these dams breaking etc. is only the tip of the iceberg.



  • Registered Users Posts: 797 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    The EU/Russia already share a border - how will it not tolerate Russia on its border?

    Ukraine joining the EU depends on Ukraine winning the war which looks less and less likely. The next week will be key - what will Johnson's deal look like.

    Russia wouldn't fight a Guerilla war - they would just wipe out the locals if they didn't play ball. Stop applying western standards to Russia. They don't play by the same rules.

    Timelines are important. Will Russia 'disintegrate' this year, next year or in 10 years?



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,879 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    I kind of agree with your points about resistance & guerilla warfare in Ukraine's lost territories, but it is interesting to see a pro-Russia poster boast that the Russian govt.'s sheer brutality and their willingness to utilise terror tactics (on full display during this war) is a big asset for a "successful" occupation! A mask off moment.



  • Registered Users Posts: 92 ✭✭Poon Tang


    Ukraine have little or no control within these annexed territories, so any guerrilla war will be taking place within Russia and Ukraine will fail miserably just like they're failing miserably to get their land back - despite eyewatering levels of western aid. Which will not continue for very much longer.

    Remember, it's the US who are carrying insane levels of national debt. It was already ridiculous 10 years ago, it has doubled since then. Russia's economy is actually doing remarkably well all things considered, and they are in a defensive posture now so Ukraine/the west are expending more manpower and resources.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    Timelines are important

    Will Russia “win” this year, next year, or in 10 years

    And what does a “victory” looks like if Russia remains most sanctioned country in world, sanctions mount, trade with “western” world dwindles to a trickle and hundreds of billions in their frozen assets are confiscated



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,741 Mod ✭✭✭✭riffmongous


    There's quite a few dubious inclusions, but yet Chechnya doesn't even get a direct mention



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,579 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Russia mercilessly and genocidally wiping out local resistance in places like Kiev , kharkiv , Lviv etc will not be accepted and will utterly discredit any remaining legitimacy they have as a country. Look what happened the Serbs when they tried that tactic.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,036 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Who said such a guerrilla war would be conducted only in Ukraine. It'd be brought to the streets of Moscow and other cities. Very difficult to wipe out Muscovites and keep citizens on board.



  • Registered Users Posts: 92 ✭✭Poon Tang


    I'm not pro or anti Russia. I just don't swallow the nonsense we've been fed for 2 years about this war, or it's origins either.

    All of these large power players are brutal in their own ways. The Russians are no more barbaric than the yanks in how they try to eliminate a threat, but they just do it in a different way. The Americans try to pretend they're very civilized, but it's just a façade. Russia will ruthlessly squash any terrorism or guerrilla style war, they won't tolerate it or make any attempt to appease anybody.

    Anyone who thinks the Russians are more ruthless in nature, you clearly haven't been looking at the evidence of what certain nations have been doing around the world for the last half a century or more. There is a top dog in the league of brutality, and it ain't the Russians or the Chinese leading that table right now!



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,704 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I think you'd see as much guerilla warfare as we're currently seeing in what of Ukraine Russia currently occupies, which doesn't appear to be a whole lot or enough to destabilise the administrations which the Russians have set up in those areas.

    Guerilla warfare somewhat relies on restraint by the occupier not to shoot civilians who the guerillas can disappear among after an attack. The Russians don't really have those kinds of scruples. If the Russians deemed a guerilla campaign to be bad enough, they'd just shoot everybody or deport them to gulags and forcibly adopt out the infant children. I don't think there's any length of depravity to which Putin wouldn't go if he held Ukraine and wanted to maintain the grip, including full ethnic cleansing.



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