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General British politics discussion thread

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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    I don't think so. Protest votes aren't really a thing in the UK outside referenda, the EU elections of yore, and by-elections.

    I think they want reform because they like the turn the Conservatives have taken but they're not stupid enough to buy the Conservatives' anti-establishment shtick after their being in power for almost a decade and a half.

    FPTP means they'll just split the rightist vote and probably get fewer than five MPs, if any.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 91,566 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    https://www.itv.com/news/utv/2024-03-16/tuv-forms-electoral-partnership-with-reform-uk

    They will run agreed candidates in Northern Ireland.

    Both will be looking for older voters.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,743 ✭✭✭PommieBast




  • Registered Users Posts: 25,549 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr




  • Registered Users Posts: 25,549 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    Lee Anderson's councillor wife suspended from the conservatives after she's seen campaigning for the Reform Party



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  • Registered Users Posts: 10,994 ✭✭✭✭Tom Mann Centuria


    A diverse and sprightly bunch.

    Oh well, give me an easy life and a peaceful death.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    That's an insane strategy. They quite obviously have a near zero chance of picking up 20 seats that they don't currently hold, and they are unquestionably going to lose the great bulk of the 80 most marginal seats that they currently hold. This strategy means they are spending the bulk of their resources on campaigns they will not win, with the inevitable result that there will be potentially winnable campaigns that they will lose for lack of resources.

    A rational strategy would be to write off, say, the 50 or 100 most marginal seats, and devoke the bulk of their resources to the next 100 seats, in the hope of retaining as many as possible of them. That offers the best chance of minimising the scale of their loss.

    But it means acknowledging up front, even if only to themselves, that they cannot win this election. And this is a party that for years now has preferred the shamelss but comforting lie to the honest truth. So they'll go on with this madness.



  • Registered Users Posts: 575 ✭✭✭maik3n


    Is there something I'm missing here or what's behind the current smoking ban plan from Rishi?

    https://time.com/6967337/uk-generational-smoking-ban/

    It seems similar to the proposal in New Zealand that was smacked down pretty hard as soon as the new right wing government came into power.

    Seems very strange for Rishi and the Conservatives to be spearheading something like this. Screams Nanny State/Big government which they would normally be 100% against.

    With all of that said, I do actually agree with the proposal and was sorry to see the NZ plan kiboshed.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,977 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,552 ✭✭✭swampgas


    Being very cynical, perhaps it's an attempt to prompt some significant donations from one or more of the big tobacco companies? I can't remember where I read it, but I seem to remember that the Tories are not exactly flush with cash at the moment.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 15,617 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    As far as I can gather, this smoking ban seems to be a pet project of Rishi himself. I don't recall much about it before he was PM.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Sunak himself is a happily married teetotaller which makes an interesting comparison with Johnson's licentious lifestyle. He's not really going to care about the accusations of the "nanny state" or anything like that. I'm find it hard to discern a motive beyond trying to make the NHS more viable in the long term with an ageing population.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,977 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Another reason to be for this ban is all the usual cranks and conspiracy nuts in the Tories are against it. Truss, Badenoch and Braverman voted no and you are usually on the right side of history if you are on the opposite side to them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,193 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    This. Sunak's not a complete moron. He knows he's finished so he's thinking about his legacy.

    In 40 years time people aren't going to remember his tenure but if this law survives future Braverman-esque Tory PMs then his name will always be associated with that.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,095 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    its a pointless policy, you look at the decline in the popularity of smoking and its an example of what can happen without resorting to prohibition as I dunno about 70% of smokers don't even like smoking. They are gifting the industry to the black market, they may even make smoking "cool" again for some and I am speaking as someone who dislikes the tories and smoking immensely.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,779 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    To prove this - see how frequently Micheal Martin referenced the smoking ban here in the 2011/16/20 debates.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,886 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I'd be amazed if it survived a Labour government who had to try and implement it. It's completely unworkable and a giant waste of everyone's time.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,977 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    How is it unworkable ?

    You just keep upping the age limit.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    The same way the ban on cannabis is unworkable. You just hand the market to criminals.

    Back in 1996, 30 per cent of 15-year-olds regularly smoked. That figure fell to 5 per cent in 2018 and had hit just 3 per cent in 2021.This is not the pattern we see in other forms of drug use, where a ban is in place. Britain’s Misuse of Drugs Act has now been in place for over half a century. In 1971, when it was passed, fewer than 10,000 people in the UK took heroin. Now 250,000 do. Under half a million took cannabis, whereas now 2.5 million do. Around 1 per cent of adults had tried drugs in the 1960s, compared to a third today.

    https://archive.ph/Qeqi7#selection-1139.0-1143.402

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,977 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    The difference between cigarettes and what we tend to call "drugs" is the level of "high" involved.

    Of all the drugs including alcohol, cigarettes really are the most useless in terms of doing anything other than feeding the addiction you got from wanting to look cool or because advertising told you to.

    The drugs listed were never available before and are much more available now. Lots of people in the 70s never even heard of them, pubs and clubs that revolve around those drugs didn't exist yet and cultures where cannabis are part of social life were much less prevalent in the UK so that study doesn't really work here.

    In years to come nobody will miss cigarettes in the way they would miss the experience from dropping a few pills in a club or smoking weed with friends.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,416 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    I'm as anti-smoking as the next person.

    But I really can't picture a future time where a 34-year-old is refused cigarettes in a shop, and has to get their 35-year-old friend to buy them after they have shown their age id to the staff. Just can't see it happening.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,779 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    I'd see it being reduced to sales in specialist stores by then, rather than normal shops. With the move to vaping, the low margins and the containment requirements making most places have a large machine for it; I'm surprised there's even as many places still selling them as it is.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,977 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Ya but playing the long game it will eventually get to the point where it is defacto illegal. It could take 80 years but it would happen when the age limit gets that high.

    But in reality it would happen long before then in a way mentioned in the post above.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,886 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I'd be surprised if it survived the numerous lawsuits it will bring but that aside as above the idea that 39 year olds can't buy them but 40 year olds can will be ridiculous. Black markets will be utterly rampant - it'll be even worse than current narcotics given sale will be legal for so many people.

    It's just stupid - the vast majority of people who start smoking already start when it's illegal. Current efforts to reduce it are already working.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,364 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    It won't last.

    I've noticed the same people who support legalising cannabis are the same people who support banning tobacco cigarettes.

    I'm trying to figure that one out.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    It just feels pointless to me. It's on the way out anyway. It just stinks of Sunak pathetically grasping for a better legacy than repeatedly failing at everything else.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,277 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    As someone who absolutely despises smoking and would love to see it completely eliminated from society, I still find this a bizarre piece of legislation to try and push through and I'm unsure what the endgame will be here. I can only imagine that banning smoking will drive it underground, and there's already millions being turned over in the sale of illegal cigarettes at present. Surely something that will rise if teens can't get their hands on their vape crap and turn to the black market for them.

    Perhaps the bill should have dealt with cigarettes only and left the vape things alone? Vaping seems to be all the rage at the moment is seen as "kewl" amongst younger fools, who have no idea that they are willingly addicting themselves to a substance that's harder to kick than heroin. But at least they aren't inhaling the other 2000 dangerous chemicals that go into a cigarette, including arsenic, lead and polonium 210 (yes, the chemical that killed Alexander Litvinenko).

    But a blanket ban will, probably, only make it more desirable to some people and, at the end of the day, will probably prove unworkable in the end.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,364 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    I despise take away junk and fizzy drinks but I don't agree with banning them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,743 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    I do wonder if the people who come up with such schemes would privately be delighted with an outright ban, but for whatever reason don't want to admit it.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 25,549 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr




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