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General Irish politics discussion thread

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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,209 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    There's no way that Sunak is going to take any IP applicants back from Ireland. The politics of looking "tough" on this issue is just too good for him. Plus he's pointing out that France won't take them back from them so that they don't lose the moral high ground.

    So where does that leave us? I've seen Harris talk about some agreement made a few years ago but that's not worth anything if the UK are saying they won't honour it.

    Short of putting up border checks, between the south and the 6 counties, I don't see any outcome from this except us continuing to accumulate IP applicants from the UK.

    This is going to be a massive issue in the upcoming elections.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,700 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    The only solution is to have high speed determination of IP applicants.

    If the 80% figure of those attriving from the UK is approximately correct, then the decision is that they have come from a safe country (the UK) and should be returned to the UK or their country of origin. A simple question - 'Where did you stay for the last seven nights?' would tell a lot.

    All IP applicants should have a final decision within 90 days. Why does it take so long?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,363 ✭✭✭pureza


    Thing is though

    If they are increasingly processed as failed asylum seekers,they are getting no state protection,money or accomadation and cannot legally work

    Once that realisation beds in at home,why would they still be coming ? They'd want to be right eejits



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,473 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    the decision is that they have come from a safe country (the UK) and should be returned to the UK 

    What if the Brits refuse to take them?



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,886 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    He is not, though I think it is important politically for Harris to nonetheless highlight that there is an agreement that they are reneging on.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,363 ✭✭✭pureza


    They get to rely on charity and sleep in make shift wet cold tents somewhere,not the treasure island story,they had been used to uploading to home on their social media,should have an impact going forward on numbers ?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,814 ✭✭✭mrslancaster


    Agree with a shorter processing time. It must be difficult enough to wait months and not know what might happen. More staff needed for the IPO obviously.

    I've asked a few people how the AS process actually works as I don't know, but nobody I asked knew the answer. So do people make an application at the airport/port first and are then moved to various places around the country eg hotels etc to wait for a decision? Or does every AS have to present themselves at the Ipo in mount str first (hence all the tents) and once the application is made, then they are placed in hotels and b&b's.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,700 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    The Gov are trying to solve the wrong problem with IP applicants.

    They are trying to find accommodation where there isn't any. Any attempt to turn any likely venue is seized on by locals and not so locals to start a protest, and possible arson.

    If instead they put in place a defined timetable, with say a maximum time of 90 days, with intermediate decision points where the process can end with acceptance or refusal. For example, if the applicant could apply for a work visa as having required skills then the IP application would be dropped. Alternatively, if the IP application is based on fake information, then it fails.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,886 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Putting in a defined timetable would involved recruiting hordes of qualified staff and a huge increase in budget. It is not remotely that simple or quick.

    If the application is based on fake information it already fails. The problem is that vetting and proving that is time and labour intensive.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,209 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    What do you do with any applicants who entered via the UK and are originally from countries deemed unsafe to return to (e.g. Afghanistan, Sudan or Syria)?



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,700 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Well, if they are valid IP applicants, then their application should be accepted.

    If they have applied fir IP status in other countries, that should have caused their removal to those countries should have been acted on first, but it is not the intention to wantonly refuse valid applicants. Obviously, there needs to be a political agreement with the UK, but probably unlikely during the present pre-election time frame.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,901 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Don't bring common sense into this debate. The Minister is wrong, they will argue, even if she is explaining that the world is round rather than flat.

    The problem of airline passengers destroying documentation is being sorted, but those who come by boat or across the border from Northern Ireland are not being sorted. That means you are correct, that 80% of the immigration is occurring through Britain.

    At the end of the day, the only way to meet the objective of being against open borders (now Sinn Fein policy) is to close the border with the North in an assertive partitionist fashion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,395 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    90 days? Fast-track?

    I would call 90 mins fast-track.

    Albanian, Georgian = straight away refusal, back on aircraft tomorrow.



  • Registered Users Posts: 459 ✭✭Rugbyf565


    Ireland has a GDP of $106k. We also have a GNI of $81,070 (putting us 6th in the world). Why is only 32.7% of our GDP paid out as salaries? Where is all the money gone?

    The more you examine the numbers the more you realise the sheer depth of irreversible economic inequality that exists today in Ireland. Fine Gael have both mismanaged and created this clusterfuck with their long periods of deregulation and strategic alliances with developers, bankers, consultants, tech tax havens and finance, insurance and real estate. As the ERSI have previously revealed, Ireland is a great place to live if you’re a top 10% earner but not if you’re anyone else outside of that earnings bracket.

    The answer is that Ireland is not a real economy anymore, fake money just floats through it—we may as well be Bermuda ffs. Our taxes don’t give us land rights or fair wages, our infrastructure is crumbling-(we can barely get a metro project over the line in the next 30 years), we don’t pay our public sector workers adequately, instead it’s used to funnel equity, fund the private sectors and bail out insolvent banks. Ireland is committing economic suicide and driving out more of its youth work force day by day.

    Finance capitalism has left us to ruin, our governments have been carved up. What we’re left with is a dismantling of democracy in favouring of a financial oligarchy, ruled by appointing technocrats.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,747 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    Most of the blame for this situation really should go to Fianna Fail. This all started long before Enda Kenny took office.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 39,742 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    ...but our courts have ruled the designation of the UK being a safe country is unlawful



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,700 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    That is a HC decision by a single judge, referencing a UK policy that is yet to come into force. It could be appealed to a higher court.

    I think the UK is not a safe place for anyone, but that is a personal opinion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,209 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    GDP should never be used as a metric of comparison between Ireland and other countries. It just results in meaningless nonsense stats like in that image.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,886 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Not an expert, but I believe the High Court was moreso ruling on the process by which it was done. There are already move in effect to correct this and complete the designation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,395 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    GDP is massively inflated by MNC activities.

    GDP pp = 99,267

    GNP pp = 71,149

    GNI = 71,288

    GNI* is an attempt to adjust for the MNC activities:

    GNI* = 53,554



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  • Registered Users Posts: 34,884 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Yeah, there's a reason every lobby group in Ireland says "we only spend x% of our GDP on our pet project, which is below the EU average, blah blah" - well of course it is.

    The Dublin Airport cap is damaging the economy of Ireland as a whole, and must be scrapped forthwith.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,700 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    There are three major problems facing the Gov.

    1. The A&E depts in the major hospitals. Patients keep on just turning up and overwhelming the service.
    2. The IP applicants. These people keep on just turning up and overwhelming the system.
    3. Housing. Every one without a home keeps trying to rent or buy a home and are just overwhelming the supply.

    No Gov can magic solutions to these three problems in the short term - no matter what they do. When any situation gets overwhelmed, there is no easy solution



  • Registered Users Posts: 459 ✭✭Rugbyf565


    Irish GNI per capita is the sixth highest in the world so your point doesn’t mean anything. The question still stands, where does all this money go?
    1)Bermuda: $125210
    2)Liechtenstein: $116600
    3)Norway: $95520
    4)Switzerland: $95492
    5)Luxembourg: $89200
    6)Ireland: $79730



  • Registered Users Posts: 459 ✭✭Rugbyf565


    ok I used GNI and we’re still 6th in the world, so your point doesn’t stand.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,632 ✭✭✭✭28064212


    GNI does not account for the tax haven methods either. GNI* (GNI Star or Modified GNI) is a specifically Irish figure which does attempt to account for "leprechaun economics" (and is somewhat successful in doing so). Using GNI* would move us quite a few rungs down the ladder

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,395 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    What exactly do you mean by where does all this income go?



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    It works like this:

    A country's GDP is a measure of total economic activity in the country. Ireland's GDP is distorted because it includes the activity of companies that are tax-resident here but whose economic activities are conducted largely or wholly outside Ireland, and whose shareholders also reside largely or wholly outside Ireland. The connection of these companies with Ireland is essentially a bookkeeping exercise.

    (This is true to some extent for virtually every developed economy, but it's true to a huge extent for Ireland. This doesn't mean that Ireland'd GDP figure is meaningless, but it does mean that simple comparisons between Irish GDP and the GDP of other countries can mislead.)

    So, then you have GNI (gross national income). This differs from GDP by excluding income that is received from abroad, and also income that is sent abroad.

    But that still doesn't solve the problem. GNI, as the name suggests, looks at income but not at changes in the value of assets. Certain assets with very high depreciation are held in Ireland in large amounts by foreign companies — principally intellectual property (patents) and leased aircraft. These assets are not employed in production in Ireland or, if they are, the resultant income is sent abroad. Because GNI doesn't account for changes in the value of assets, Irish GNI is inflated by the location of these assets in Ireland.

    So we have GNI*, or modified GNI. It's GNI, but adjusted by depreciating the value of those intellectual property and aircraft assets.

    It's a bit more than that; there are a couple of other technical adjustments to exclude factors that are represented in GNI but that, in the Irish context, don't actually correspond to any real activity in the domestic economy Ireland.

    In essence, GNI* is an attempt to measure real economic activity in Ireland. It essentially represents (a) all the compensation received by Irish workers, plus (b) the profits of Irish-owned enterprises, plus (c) taxes on products. It's not an exact equivalent to the GDP of other countries, but it's much closer to it than Irish GDP is.

    Post edited by Peregrinus on


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,209 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    Ivana Bacik trending on Irish Twitter. Turns out that wasn't too happy that some asylum applicants tented in D4 last night and decided to tweet about her concerns.

    The responses write themselves really



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,792 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    You're not going to find her having said anything different when they were on Mount Street though

    McGuirk, Professor Nepobaby and so on won't have made a noise about it back then



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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,107 ✭✭✭SuperBowserWorld


    Ballsbridge is perfect. Herbert park has loads of camping space, could put high rise apartments there too and it's very close to public transport facilities. Whisk you right into town in a jiffy for that coffee at 11 and a stroll in Stephen's green. Grafton Street's a wonderland, diamonds in the lady's eyes and gold dust in her hair etc etc 😁😁



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