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Ireland - now considered one of most vulnerable countries in the EU (defense wise)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,904 ✭✭✭Russman


    While I don't think a direct attack by anyone is remotely likely, I do think we should have a properly resourced defence force that can at least put up some resistance in the event of a big crisis. No, we're never going to be able to defend against a much bigger enemy, but my view is that if we expect someone else to come rushing to our defence, we should at least do our part and be somewhat capable of giving an adversary a bloody nose.

    If take the fantasy a little further though, in the event of the EU, UK or USA needing to come to our aid, what would the price or quid pro quo be ? We'd probably b1tch and moan about that being too high as well.

    I mean, I get that this is all a bit of discussion and banter, but in fantasy land lets say the Russian Northern Fleet was spotted sailing down the north Atlantic towards our western seaboard, and they parked up a few miles off our coast, does anyone think NATO would preemptively launch an unprovoked attack on them when we're not a member ? Personally I doubt it very much.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,616 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    yes, they don’t mind immigrants here but the Russians, bit of a different story there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 248 ✭✭Randycove


    or maybe they would just fly through open airspace (which they do fairly regularly) and land a few transport planes full of soldiers and equipment in Shannon and Dublin.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,434 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I agree Ireland itself is likely a decade or more away from any threat. But there are two counter issues.

    Firstly, as much of the world has noticed recently, you can't just divert cash at the last minute and ramp up a miltary capability. (Though in fairness, the Poles are doing a damned good crack at trying). Especially from the standing start that is Ireland today where skills have atrophied let alone equipment, it'll take a decade or more to build up a capability.

    Secondly, if the primary job of the Irish government is to see to the security and prosperity of Irish people, then the reality is that unlike 80 years ago when the whole neutrality thing first came up, events the other side of Europe or even the world have a direct impact on that security and prosperity of Ireland. I suspect that in 1940, Russia invading Lithuania or Finland had about zero effect on life in Ireland. Would such a thing have an effect on Irish citizens today? I would think, yes.

    The government has acknowledged this to an extent. Resource scarcity like food, water or other issues caused by climate change are destabilizing influences which the Irish government has contributed to trying to mitigate with foreign aid and the likes. Yet despite that should conflict occur in Eastern Europe, it is absolutely in Ireland's interest that the conflict be as short as possible, with as little damage as possible, so that the European economy upon which the Irish economy depends can quickly recover, Ireland currently contributes nothing to that end.

    Ireland would not need provide armed assistance to aid in that respect. Though an Irish Expeditionary Force may make some folks happy, the reality is that there is little chance of such a thing ever occurring. Norway's defense policy has somewhat changed in response to the entry into Nato of Sweden and Finland. Previously, the primary focus was to hold on as best they could until reinforcements from the UK and North America could arrive. Now they view their primary role in Europe's defense as being a staging area for forces coming from across the water and then proceeding east. (A similar function to that provided by Northern Ireland in WW2). Ireland's geographic location both provides such a utility, and also the line of communications control which Iceland provides. These are tangible benefits to maintain European security and prosperity to include for Ireland which do not require Swiss levels of military investment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    You think the second world war didn't have an effect on Ireland

    Of course it did

    The Ukraine shows you can ramp up quickly

    Ireland's in an unreal defesive position as an island in the atlantic

    People go on about us relying on other countries for our defense while saying to join NATO

    When NATO is the biggest cuckold ever

    The whole of Europe, 500 million plus relying on the usa for its security against a shithole country of 120 million

    Spending money on tech they are too afraid to use



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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,434 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    The second world war did, indeed. But the Winter War and the Soviet occupation of the Baltic States did… what, exactly to the Irish economy? Irish trade with Finland or Latvia in the 1930s was, I suspect, a somewhat smaller fraction of the Irish economic machine than trade with those countries provides in the 2020s.

    I have no idea how you are saying that Ukraine shows it is possible to ramp up quickly. It has shown the opposite. In case you've missed the various industry articles on the subject, two years in and no nation is as yet producing previously used hardware in the numbers required, let alone implementing suitable training and doctrine and equipping for new capabilities, and this notably includes the one nation that's got every motivation in the world to achieve these (Ukraine)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,850 ✭✭✭aidanodr




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    The mental gymnastics needed to excuse one of the richest states in the world completely abandoning one of the key responsibilities of any state (defence that is) is staggering

    Especially in a world that’s going to 💩



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    do you remember the second world war? did you see the ramp up possible when someone actually wants to ramp up

    the Ukraine has massively ramped up, I think you are misled, if we are invaded by a country with 80s years of cold war reserves, 10 times our size with 4 times the population we are screwed, unless the lost city of atlantis rises from the atlantic, this aint happening

    The Ukraine have managed to hold off Russia. A Russia that was going to waltz across europe in 3 weeks

    there is no credible threat, for at least 10 years, probably 100

    theres no argument for doing anything right now

    There was feck all influence on Russia Invading georgia, chechnyia to etc to the irish Economy, they main reason there is now is because the EU put sanctions in place. Its not an issue because we did a lot of trade with the Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    A world going to ****. This is staggering short sighted

    When was this heaven on earth?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    I dunno but the most popular and active thread on this subforum is about Ireland being invaded, go figure



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    there are threads about twitter and fugees with 20 times the number of posts

    some are for closet racists

    some are for elon cucks

    this is for fantasists



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    The second most popular thread is about the largest war in Europe being waged against a neutral country that willingly gave up its nuclear weapons in name of peace

    The third most popular thread is about yet another Middle Eastern flare up

    Starting to see a pattern, or are the thousands of people posting in these threads are “cranks”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 248 ✭✭Randycove


    Ukraine have ramped up from a completely different place to the one Ireland is in.

    Ukraine actually had a force and pilots that can fly jets, along with mechanics that can maintain them.

    we have no military aircraft at all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    they are current affairs, its hardly that suprising

    the largest and most popular threads are about twitter and immigants

    its kinda hard to see a point

    you couldn't answer my original question either



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    Ukraine also were able to repel a landing at Hostomel airport near Kiev because they had

    1. Radar that seen the paratroopers planes coming in
    2. Missiles to shoot some of these planes down
    3. Military personnel who rushed in and used artillery to reduce the attacking Russians into mulch

    None of that exists in Ireland



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    they still ramped up massively

    this is a country thats entire military is a result of mother russia and is then attacked by russia

    had 10 years from a previous invasion by russia to prepare for this

    we have no military for a reason



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,945 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Not sure, would it be better to go for "new" if you can for aircraft? They are buying one cargo plane anyway.

    https://www.thejournal.ie/heavy-lift-aircraft-air-corps-5962345-Jan2023/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 545 ✭✭✭dirk_dangler


    No nation is going to attack Ireland, and anyone believing this will happen is delusional, terrorist attack on the other hand is a growing risk as our idiots in Government continue to allow all and sundry flood into the country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 248 ✭✭Randycove


    and what reason is that? Because we can hide behind other people while pretending to be neutral?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    So let’s take a large scale terrorist attack or natural disaster like flooding

    I guess when it happens the same people saying we don’t need a military be bashing the government asking where is the help from them.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,082 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    How have they "ramped up massively?"

    They are chronically short of ammunition constantly because they are reliant on Western powers whose manufacturing capability for the armanments is woefully under resourced and two years later is still nowhere near where it needs to be to partake in a modern regional (never mind global) conflict.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    You ramp up from you previous levels

    If you imagine a ramp to like bring you from one level in a car park to the next level in the car park

    Do you think that if Ireland was invaded it would ever be in position where it could produce it's own artillery shells etc to sustain a 2 year and ongoing war or be able to stockpile for that

    Against a former super power

    It now turns out no country can sustain even a regional war in one country



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    Ukraine had the second largest military in Europe after Russia in 2022

    As per radio show discussed higher up our members of defence forces don’t think we last more than a couple of hours without warning, and we don’t have primary radar to warn us



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    But there would be warning

    They thought the Ukraine would last mere days

    Those military planners don't know their arse from their elbow

    It depends what you mean by military, because they might have a large army in numbers

    But that means little without equipment

    They would have been maybe 10th in terms of military power

    And they have ramped up from those 2022, so not sure what your point is yet again,

    They have double the number of military personnel

    And in 2022 they were 10 years in from being invaded

    If you have one



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,161 ✭✭✭zerosquared


    you keep just furthering my point, Irish military does not even have 1/100th of the capability and equipment of Ukrainian military in 2022

    And there are bright sparks here making the arguments that we don’t need a military at all as a state



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    You haven't made a point

    What is it

    Are you afraid the Ukraine might invade

    We need a very small military

    Which we have



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,714 ✭✭✭firemansam4


    First off Ireland is not flush with money as some people claim, we are still a country heavily in dept, we have a health service in woeful state, one of the worst in Europe, and a housing crisis that shows no sign of ending any time soon.

    People in Ireland right now will not be happy to see vast amounts of the budget being diverted to defence spending when we have all these issues at present.

    And what would it be for? Because a few people are embarrassed that we need to rely on the UK or US to bail us out if we were attacked? Which is exactly what would happen if let's say Russia would try anything like that. But away from fantasy land their is exactly zero chance of that really happening anyway.

    However I do agree with more investment in things like proper radar detection, and investing more into cyber security which is probably the bigger threat we may face into the future, and something that could cost us heavily economically if we don't take proper precautions into the future.



  • Registered Users Posts: 868 ✭✭✭purifol0


    Ireland is a vassal state of the US and the Financial system. We are not a independent country anymore. If Ireland wanted to change its currency to the punt and issue it directly with zero debt as opposed to BUYING it from private central bank, we would suddenly realize why we need a Defence Force.

    For more info, please google why Gaddafi, Saddam and Hitler were ousted.

    Post edited by purifol0 on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 248 ✭✭Randycove


    and Hitler?


    I would have thought trying to take over the whole of Europe and the odd bit of genocide was reason enough, or was it because he wouldn’t tug his forelock at the lizard people?



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