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2 out of 3 young adults living at home

1567911

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,374 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    HAP is propping up the rental sector. Plenty of HAP recipients are renting underoccupied houses with multiple unused bedrooms.



  • Registered Users Posts: 55 ✭✭shimadzu


    You can use whatever figures you like, but when you use figures without verifying their accuracy its important that its highlighted so other boards users can view your future posts with the heavy skepticism they deserve.

    That's how the majority of business works you invest some of your money, borrow some from banks or investors. You buy assets with the money and use the assets and your labor to generate further income. The long term goal is that anybody who invested ends up better off than they were at the start. Our whole economy is based on this system just look at energy production, food production and private health care all of which are essential and all are industries that make significant profits.

    The issue now is that there is limited supply and as we know that drives up prices, its not in the interest of those with skin in the game to do anything that would harm current rents and the state are no longer capable of delivering housing so I feel high rents will be the status quo until there is a major recession and job losses. What happens then is that banks limit lending and those who are cash rich or have assets to borrow against snap up cheap properties and the whole cycle starts over again.

    I truly find it baffling how somebody with such a rudimentary understanding of mathematics feels so confident in telling landlords how they should be running the rental industry.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    And I thought I clearly explained that if those LLs are leaving the rental sector an selling/going to short lets, and you don’t want new ones, that decreases available properties for tenants.

    This is simple stuff.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11 Fyjammalamma


    The entire housing system, as in status quo, is going to collapse.

    Not necessarily a simple reduction in value, it could manifest itself in 20 different ways and combinations, none of which are likely to be good. In fact, disaster would sum it up better.

    Looking at a wreck of a car spluttering and jerking with oil leaking and smoke billowing going down the road, nobody needs to be a mechanic to make an accurate prognosis.

    The fundamentals are just utterly wrong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 631 ✭✭✭Gary_dunne


    I'm advocating for more Buy to Rent properties to be built as we need far more stock. I just don't agree that John and Mary renting out their 2nd home, who only want passive income with inadequate maintenance are the right people to solve the rental crisis.

    It needs to be a properly regulated industry, not "Ah ye we'll get around to fixing that" and a month goes by and your kitchen has been flooded 15 times and still nothing because they were on their holidays and all tenants get is another 2 week wait.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    That’s quite a statement, what do you mean by collapse and disaster as it relates to property?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Using hyperbole doesn’t make your point more valid.

    It sounds like you want more institutional investors building/buying up whole developments for rental income, competing with owner occupiers for available supply. One thing you can absolutely gaurantee with professional investors in BTL’s, they will maximise rental yield by ensuring rents are raised as new, first time rentals come on stream.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 631 ✭✭✭Gary_dunne


    It isn't hyperbole, it is a scenario that directly happened to me and no doubt something similar to many other tenants (which I'm assuming you haven't been anytime recently)

    I'd prefer a state ran BTL but as they seem incompetent in running most areas of Government we would need professionals to do it. We need purpose built BTL properties that are regulated and run properly, it's very simple. Our current model isn't working by any stretch of the imagination and the LL's renting out one property are in no way a viable long term solution.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    94% of all rental properties in Ireland are owned by the people you want out of the sector, private, non institutional investors.

    That statistic should drive home the incongruousness of your viewpoint. Again, whether you mean to or not, whether you can understand it or not, you appear to be advocating for a ramping up of institutional investors to build for rental profit. Why then is there such an outcry when REITs/MNCs/Ryanair etc buy up whole developments? You want the profits flowing out of the State on low tax rates/tax free?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 631 ✭✭✭Gary_dunne


    I know that they are and the rental market is an absolute sham of a system that isn't working which is why we need professionals to take it away from these crappy Landlords and provide the professional service that tenants require and more importantly deserve.

    Will it be quick, of course it won't but it certainly needs to happen.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 11 Fyjammalamma


    I wouldn't want to speculate too much on outcomes.

    That said, the increasing number of people left in the wind with housing shortage, the ever increasing prices, the ever increasing number of people arriving into the country, the government actions thus far never failing to both increase scarcity and cost, the utterly predictable rise of anger and the beginnings of violence, all of course pertinent to the descriptor of crisis.

    The simple market economics of supply and demand were abandoned long ago. Or, to put it in a sentence, the profits are derived from crisis, not housing itself. It is fundamentally unsound long term or even medium term. That the cracks are only showing now is a miracle in itself.

    Something drastic is incoming, a new government that could press down on the likes of nationalisation, they could pull an "iceland" and renege on contracts, who knows? Barring drastic government action, you'll see drastic action on the street, so to speak. To me, its one or the other.

    Similar to investing in a weapons company because there's a war. The investment isnt so much the weapons, its the war thats invested. Great. But the very nature of its volatility, that you are investing in an event rather than an asset, that there will inevitably be rising pressure to end that war, brings its end. The demand for an end is limitless and ever more powerful.

    Who knows what shape it will take. I think we can all agree one way or another, the pressure is exponential.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So, even though you don’t need to be a “mechanic” to see what is coming in the housing market, you don’t want to speculate on how the housing market will collapse?

    The housing market collapsed in the last recession because we, amongst other things, built too much, too fast, offered and accepted easy credit and speculated in BTLs. Now we have increased population, limits on credit and not enough rentals.

    It’s ok for you to speculate, let’s have it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11 Fyjammalamma


    The above is my speculation.

    It would be entirely foolish to try to predict what will happen in detail.

    Just like I could easily predict with accuracy that the beater car will break down soon, I'd be a fool to pin it on any number of possible failing parts.

    Similar to that semi infamous polling of economists that revealed 51% of them could predict anything in particular. Nobody sees the exact event coming, but whatever the event will be, its more than likely to come out of left field with extreme suddenness.

    All I'm saying is that this increasing crisis will end. Good, bad or indifferent, its going to end. Again, I'll say that many who have jumped in during the middle of it are simply invested in the crisis itself, whether they like it or not. There's nothing normal about it whatsoever.

    The pressure is building and building on this crisis to end. Unlike the infrastructure of this country.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    That’s just waffle. How in your view, is the housing market going to collapse into disaster?



  • Registered Users Posts: 55 ✭✭shimadzu


    The ratio of professional landlords to one off landlords has increased significantly over the last number of years, have you noticed any improvements in the rental market during that time? The current view is that professional landlords are driving the increase in rents as they are the ones bringing the majority of new rental units to the rental market.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 631 ✭✭✭Gary_dunne


    For the first time on this thread we agree, nothing but pure waffle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,374 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    Pure waffle is right.

    The CA forum is full of threads from people saying the end is nigh. You can find forums going back at least 7 years saying that housing prices are on the brink of collapse.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11 Fyjammalamma


    It will break down because its a crisis. Not a stable crisis, if somehow that could exist, but a deepening crisis.

    That's my bold prediction!

    But how about you? Do you contend that this is a forever situation, that prices increase and increase, and housing scarcity increases and increases, that homelessness increase and increases and so forth? Until when, until what number?

    Even were a phone manufacturer to bring out a new product, they can say its limited to the population of earth. Its something, its a number. Some rationality.

    If you can't put any semblance of rationality or ceiling behind an asset, you're actually invested in an event. And all events end.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,465 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    The "current view" is wrong. The lack of supply is driving the increase in rents.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    The problem with the current dominance of non-professional landlords is that you can't have a stable secure long-term rental market with them. You will never know when they will kick out their tenants because they have a brother or someone else wanting to use the property. Or they themselves might want to move in. This might be genuine or might just be a pretext for eviction but either way there's very little security for tenants.

    Another problem is that, because they are large in number, they form a voting block and can effectively stop legislation that might reform the sector.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The problems you mention for tenants must be balanced with owners rights to recover their properties when they/their families need it, or when they want to sell. You can’t have it all in favour of the tenant. At present, there are significant reasons not to rent, not least is the difficulty in ending tenancies and regaining vacant possession. If the process was made easier, you probably would have more owners who want to rent properties remaining in/entering the rental sector.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    First of all, though, you need to make the case that large numbers of accidental and amateur landlords are what is needed.

    As I suggested in another post, a landlord by buying up a property is preventing that same property being being bought by a family. He is also preventing the property being bought by a professional fund-based investor where these issues of the landlord wanting to move in a relative or himself do not arise.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    If you want rental properties for tenants, then the case for buying to rent it out instead of owner occupancy is easily made. I don’t think I need to provide an explanation/case for that, it should be self explanatory.
    It would be naive to think in a country where 94% of the rental sector is provided by as you call them, amateur LLs, that the fund-based investor would come anywhere remotely close to replacing/providing that coverage. Besides, a small landlord is not going to be able to compete with/prevent a fund based investor from buying any property, they can most likely outbid amateurs on any property they set their sights on and in a lot of cases, before the property even reaches the market for sale.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    We need more rental properties, but these must provide a sufficiently high standard of service that they outweigh the benefit to the country of having those units available for sale to families.

    To illustrate, let us imagine that there were no tenant rights in law in Ireland. In this scenario, you would have many landlords and also many tenants. But these tenants would have no security and no chance of starting a family or living a normal life. At a moment's notice, their rent could be jacked up by an arbitrary amount, or they could be evicted. In this scenario, every landlord selling up and getting out would benefit society, since potentially that property could then be purchased by a family who could live a normal life with secure accommodation.

    The point of this is that there has to be some standards. Lowering them further to placate small landlords is not the way to go.

    In summary: more rentals, yes, but only if tenant rights are assured.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Another potential scenario, LLs lose almost all of their rights including the right to vacant possession the day a tenant moves in, then there are decreasing numbers of LLs for the tenants to rent from. As I said earlier, if you want rental properties, then you must have some balance.

    A point oft made, but rarely acknowledged by those with only one perspective, when a LL who had 4 tenants exits the rental sector, the number of people now looking for a new property is often greater than the number of people buying the house.

    You must also consider that not all LLs exiting the market are selling, they may be going to SLs/family occupancy/leaving the property empty.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Therefore a move towards fund-based investment, possibly with tax incentives for Irish people to invest in them is possibly the way to go.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,659 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    The state needs to get involved in the rental sector in a big way again. State builds homes, people rent them from the state.

    We need to get rid of the Tom, Dick and Harry non-professional Landlord who's only interested in making a quick buck off of desperate people while the LL's sit on their arses.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I’m not sure what percentage of second hand properties or properties in need of refurbishment, institutional investors buy, but I would suspect it is mostly new builds.
    Is there some reason why you think fund based investors are not buying out all small LLs who are selling up? There is currently nothing to prevent them buying one off properties, yet 94% of LLs are as you call them amateurs. Should they decide to sell up and fund based investors do not wish to buy in Kells, Trim, Mullingar, Castlebar etc, or buy properties in need of renovation, what then for tenants?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    What could possibly go wrong? Do you see the State currently evicting LA tenants who don’t pay their rents?
    I suspect people with your viewpoint want the State to hand them a home, charge them low rent, knowing that the last thing the State will want is to evict people.

    At least be honest about it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    If it is new builds as you suggest, that is a good thing IMO. They are funding brand new supply rather than cannibalising existing stock.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You don’t see the issue with institutional funds buying up new developments for rental income on which they don’t pay tax in this State? Do you think they are more likely to offer lower rents?

    I also find that statement at odds with your desire for owner occupiers to be able to buy, surely the financial might of institutional investors would outbid owner occupiers, and they benefit from keeping more people looking to rent rather than being able to buy.

    I really don’t think the thread is now benefitting from this back and forth, so maybe it’s time others chimed in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    That is why I think Irish people should be encouraged to invest in these funds and be supported in doing so. Irish people would have to pay tax on returns from these funds but there could be tax breaks to encourage build-to-rent properties.

    On your second point, I don't think my statement is at odds with my statement that it is good for owner-occupiers to be able to buy. Both are a good thing. An institutional landlord funding a new rental development frees up properties elsewhere for families to buy.

    I am sorry if you don't like this back and forth. I am trying to make my point as simply as I can but I understand if you want to get out and let others have a go.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,465 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Why are they not paying tax?

    I think they are likely to offer the same market rents as anyone else, but at least with a professional service behind it. We will also always need rental stock.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Tax is paid by shareholders of REITs on their dividend, which may be outside the State, they are exempt from CT.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,465 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    REITs are obliged to pay out at least 85% of their revenue in dividends and there is a withholding tax applied to non-resident shareholders (which, admittedly, can be offset by various taxation agreements with other countries). The whole point is to encourage investment in property. There are clearly issues with the setup in that the tax take can be offset into other countries, though it is not a case of them "not paying tax".

    I'm not sure why you are obsessed with the idea that I think they will offer lower rents. I don't - I think both individual landlords and institutional landlords will charge whatever rents they can. I think institutional landlords will, in general, provide a far better service and that enforcement of the rules of what individual landlords have to provide is woeful.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    That and relying on the private market as a fix.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,465 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I don't know how many times I have to say this, but whatever about the faults of the private market, they are desperate to build far more than they are being allowed to. It is the state intervention in the planning system that is the problem.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    While you have a point, we know the construction industry won't police itself.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,465 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    We do, and regulation and control are important. However, what we have today are projects that conform to regulations and policy that are being rejected and neutered for no particularly good reason and utterly nonsense objections to "scale" and "transient populations".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,659 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    A lot less than has gone wrong with the current model.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    The house we recently bought has just the two of us living in it now. It was rented to 3 couples and when one half of one of them moved out the other decided not to pay the rent. Then the rest of the people in the house decide to join them in not paying the rent. Three and a half years the former owner was telling me it took to evict them.

    He came up to take away an old shed a week after we bought it that he didnt get around to before we closed and we had a good chat. He definitely didnt enjoy being a landlord.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    There is another salient point in your account, where once there were 6 tenants, there are now 2 occupants. So I’m always bemused by the argument some make that the loss of a rental is offset by an owner occupier purchasing it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Certainly from a tenant's point of view, other things being equal, the professional institutional landlord is preferable since some loopholes that amateur landlords can use to evict don't apply.

    The way I think the rental market needs to go (over time) is to have the bulk of rentals being either institutional funds, housing associations, or local authorities, with amateur landlords making up a small minority. I would see these groups trading units with tenants in situ and rental agreements preserved.



  • Registered Users Posts: 868 ✭✭✭purifol0


    Seriously? Is there a landlords union I can join or something? Prices went up and small time landlords increased in number because the govt have decided to (obediently) open the borders and also allow the building of build-to-rent properties by foreign investment companies.

    Its true homeowners are a voting block, and they only want prices to rise as now their gaff is worth multiples of what they paid for it, but mostly they are NIMBY's, not anti landlord-regulations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    You think increasing supply causes prices to go up?



  • Registered Users Posts: 868 ✭✭✭purifol0


    If the increase in supply is cartel controlled/monopolized this can happen. Hence the problem with foreign investment companies multi-decade long rent-only contracts with local councils.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 222 ✭✭Murt2024


    Probably need to get a better job and upskill, fairly sad living in your parents house once you finish college or your trade. Its embarrassing really.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Where in Ireland does an institutional landlord have a monopoly? The vast majority of rental properties in the country are owned by small landlords.



  • Registered Users Posts: 868 ✭✭✭purifol0


    You asked a question and I answered it. Now you are moving the goalposts.

    Secondly I never said we had an oversupply, as immigration policy makes sure we can't. Merely that much our building industry is indeed banging out the properties, problem is many of them are built to rent and not for private sale.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 926 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    You didn't answer it, I'm afraid.

    I don't want to labour the point but you said that the increased supply by instututional landlords was part of the cause of increased prices. I asked how could increased supply cause increased prices and you said that there was a monopoly or cartel of them. I'm simply asking for evidence of this.

    Also, where did I imply you said there was an oversupply?

    Finally, what is wrong with increasing rental supply if there's a chronic rental shortage? True it may not be what buyers want but if it adds to the overall number of units in the country then that is surely a good thing?



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