Cold Case Review of Sophie Tuscan du Plantier murder to proceed. **Threadbans in OP**

When I think of it. It might have been more correct to say "either 0% or 100%" rather than "between 0% and 100%" as statistics apply to a population, not an individual.

Any individual either was the killer or was not the killer, there is no in-between. Distinguishing which should be based in solid evidence, not unfounded belief and how much effort it takes to hammer a square peg into a round hole.

This is what I've been writing for a long time.

There is absolutely no evidence to ever convict any suspect beyond reasonable doubt.

The likelihood of Bailey being the killer is as strong or as weak as all the other suspects.

In absence of any decent evidence only possible motivations and behaviours can be considered. However one or the other is neither more nor less likely as there is no evidence pointing more into this or that direction.

Even worse, DNA won't help either in this case. The murder weapon, being a cavity block, was in plain sight, and could have been handled or touched by anybody prior to the murder as it was accessible to anybody.

The case is also complicated as there are too many lose ends.

Competency was also not one of the traits those had who tried to solve it.

As written, any qualified physician should have been able to give at least an approximate time of death at least to the point of whether it was around midnight, or in the morning, regardless if the body was out in the cold or not.

Suppose the vagrant Martin Graham lied about having received drugs from the police, suppose Marie Farrell lied about being coerced by the police, we still have the Bandon Garda tapes as well as lost evidence. So competence was also not something the Gards had in this case as well.

Sure, the person would have to be there in order to touch or otherwise handle that cavity block.

But yet, it could have been anybody as well, the cavity block wasn't locked away, wasn't accessible only to an exclusive group of people.

It's not that the cavity block is a registered firearm, which is kept under lock and key by the registered owner.

There was talk of it being re-examined with more modern techniques to look for forensics, but that's gone quiet.

Yes quite probable we will never get any clear outcome.

The next one from Jim Sheridan will be a docu-drama with reconstructions and a cast has been put together to play the main participants... not sure how I feel about that tbh.

https://m.imdb.com/news/ni64080798/

What can he really do? Make money. Speak about the stories and theories we also have. Raise a couple of unanswered questions? (Let's remember, he also has no evidence as well….)

Understood, but there won't be anything new.

Just the usual, maybe this is true, maybe it's not…… kind of thing.

The night of the murder, exclusive story, what "really" happened, etc….

One thing is for sure, Sheridan is going to make money out of it and try and spin every angle possible, the truth is irrelevant.

12 Angry Men

Coincidentally I believe it was the film Alfie and Shirley watched on TV the evening before Sophie was murdered.

Where did you hear that?

Was it on video, or was on the irish Tv Stations or the British ones

Possibly retrieving drugs from the nearby shed (the one Sophie originally though was hers). To me this seems like most likely scenario. And given Leo Bolger and Alfie Lyons were involved in the drug scene (with Bolger busted for a large growing operation some years later) I was always more suspicious of them than Bailey.

I don’t believe Jim Sheridan’s motivation in this is money at all, I think he genuinely wants to pursue the truth. Ireland doesn’t have a good history with coverups, maybe there is another one here.

It's great to see good old Irish begrudgery still alive and thriving, isn't it?

Couldn't just hide the drugs in anywhere in West Cork? Has to be a shed that someone would eventually find...