European Parliament Elections 2024 - Friday, June 7th

Reflecting more on this poll today, there's definitely something off about it, and, interestingly, there's been a bit of questioning around it today online. /

I cannot see O'Riordain on 10%, where would that swing come from, no one seriously gives Labour a chance?

Regina Doherty who as I've said several times is a dreadful candidate is on 12% which is about 50% of what her party are on in Dublin - this in a week when they've had a boost - so 23% said they'd vote for FG in the GE but 12% in the EE?

I know FF are/were worried about Andrews yet he comes along topping the poll.

Blighe on 4% - I just don't see that.

I hadn't realised the sample size is just 500 which in constituencies that size is very small sample size. So the M of E and the undecided means there's still alot to play for.

Labour have been on 10% in Dublin in other recent polls. National polling figures don't map local when you've always had localised votes.

🤣 You clearly were watching a different debate to everyone else. Andrews struggled from the off and never recovered.

How are you related to him ?

Everyone remember he voted for mercosur agreement against the best interest of this country .Anyone with a brain in their head would not vote for him

Yeah I know Labour are not exactly popular atm, but he is well known and the party is not dead in Dublin at all.

I have said before that Regina and Lynn should be fine, but then he has a chance if people turn away from Cuffe.

What makes Dublin so difficult to call, is we simply have no idea whether Clare and Boylan can get their respective bases out.

That X account newstart_2024 your are quoting looks like a wild ride!

I can't wait till the EU actually puts on those "Big Brother" boots you worry about for real and stomps on the rat's nest that social media has become. I think there must be a lot of people like me out there (quiet, not particularly politically involved or campaigning types) who want to see it and are just hoping someone will finally step up and do it!

Unfortunately, collective size and might + influence of X/TikTok/Twitter/Meta/Google etc. means it is beyond our own govt's. power (even if they were of a mind to try). Probably only many European countries working together across borders (therefore most likely at EU level, through tools that have been created with DSA) or else the US govt. can do this.

Didn't know he voted for Mercusor. Remember he's from Dublin. I doubt if the 18% that support him in the Dublin poll are related to him. Mercusor may be a negative but he has a lot of positives going for him; these positives outweigh Mercusor imo. He may also be flexible on the Mercusor deal.

Arguably he is the single most impressive of all the Irish candidates in the election imo.

My call is, in no particular order:

Dublin.

Andrews (FF)

Doherty (FG)

Boylan Lynn (SF)

Boylan Niall (Independent Ireland)

The last seat is going to be hard to call, but I think Niall Boylan will get it.

South.

Kelly (FG)

Kelleher (FF)

Funchion (SF)

McNamara (Independant)

O'Sullivan (Greens)

The last 2 are harder to call but I think McNamara is a good shout and but the last one could be anyone.

I don't see an extra seat for FF, FG or SF.

I don't see the SD's or Labour getting one either. Maybe the Greens get this, or somehow Wallace gets it (I hope not)

Perhaps another independent gets it but who?

Midlands NW.

Ming Flanagan (Independent)

Walsh (FG)

Cowen (FF)

Gildernew (SF)

Mullooly (Independent Ireland)

The battle here is who from the main parties get the seat. FF running 3 candidates appears to be an error. SF polling poorly as well, but they are sure to get 1 seat, but they might get the other.

Ming is a shoe in, and Mullooly appears to be doing very well.

The last seat in each constituency will be a proper battle.

I think O'Sullivan could do better than expected on transfers in the South.

Funchion, Wallace & Ní Mhurchú are the only other significant candidates are based in the South-East, and O'Sullivan is the only one in Waterford.

Transfers in European elections can be a bit more county/region-centric than party centric, so I think she'll be one of the better transfer-winners

Where's the best place to get information on the candidates? Going to each candidate's sites are giving very rosy views of each individual, Whereas I'd like to get something like, here's a list of 10 current topics and their thoughts on them?

Trying to be at least semi responsible when voting after having spent the last few years just head down in house hunt rather than anything else

If they are incumbent MEPs, perhaps google what is on Europa.eu portal about them + what they have been doing and saying while elected? Europa has a "home" page for each of the MEPs, aggregating basic information.

From a few I have viewed it will show EU parliament group they are in, work they have done, what they have said on the record, some explanations for a selection of their votes, their declarations of interests etc. This is not really what you want but may help you get a bit closer with extra work reading the webpages on your part.

Of course if someone is a "newbie" who is not already elected to the parliament (or pehaps has never even been elected to anything before, lots of them this time I think) this will not help.

Boylan is a real dark horse. He will get votes from all types.

I see the left vote being split between many here.

But it will be hard to call.

That RTE "debate" was a mess, moderator just lost control.

Ming probably won by been solid, not sure anyone else enhanced themselves that much, their is clearly a sizable portion of voters worried about immigration but Casey in 2024 is not the man to represent it, just a mess compared to when he ran for president.

You voted for Lynn Boylan last time? She didn't win, so why would you have heard from her in Europe?

Anyone apart from FF, FG, Labour and Greens……doesn't leave a lot of choice for the voters really.