European Parliament Elections 2024 - Friday, June 7th

Polls from all 3 constituencies...

With 4 seats here you need about 20% to hit quota. You have to assume Doherty and Andrews are safe. The question then is how transfer friendly the next candidates are. Sinn Féin are not the most transfer friendly of parties and who will Niall Boylan get transfers from?

Between Labour, Soc Dems and Greens there's 19.4% combined, so you could see 1 of those 3 getting through as they have similar voters and should transfer well.

Target here is around 16-17% which means Kelly looks to be elected on first count, and Kelleher easily in too. You babe to assume that McNamara and Funchion get in too. Last seat is a toss-up then.

The fact that the 2nd blueshirt is behind Derek Blighe is both worrying in general but also embarrassing for Fine Gael.

Tighter here all round. Fianna Fail look like they'll actually get a seat here, and Maria Walsh is holding her own. Incumbency counts for a lot in Europe... Sinn fein could struggle here where they should be absolutely getting at least 1 seat.

Have the wheels fallen off the Ciaran Mullooly train or was he always this low?

that MNW Poll versus PaddyPower odds

Ireland should not be a member of the EU. It gets all the benefits of being in Europe without contributing to its security. Not one bullet has gone from this country to Ukraine, thus aiding Russian terrorism. Instead, Ireland decided to recognise the acts of terror committed by an imaginary country, in the middle east, whose only goal is to erase Jewry from the planet.

Not that Ireland has any bullets to give to Ukraine. Instead, it parasitically uses the security of other nations for its own ends, so that it doesn't have to pay for an air force (a small transport corps in its place), no army (a glorified Gendarmerie in its place) and no navy (merely a coast guard).

No wonder illegal immigrants can just walk into a country surrounded by water. The last time I took a ferry there was an additional African on the foot passenger bus who was not there when we boarded in Wales. No documentation. The border guard let him through.

Everything our grand and great grand parents did for this country has been erased. Out of the British Empire and into the Franco-German Empire. The wealth of Ireland used to flow to London, now it flows to Brussels. In return, Ireland gets the detritus that nobody else in Europe wants. From protestant hegemony to eventual islamic hegemony - there is a price for sucking up to islamists and waving their flag. The price of being a leech.

How is it depressing that the Government is finally, grudgingly taking limited action to address the ludicrous situation where anyone can simply book a flight to Ireland and be guaranteed "own door accommodation" (Roderic O'Gorman's words, broadcast to the destitute of the world in a variety of languages on social media), free healthcare, endless social welfare etc. on arrival?

What's truly depressing is the fact that no one in Government, for the last ten years at least, clearly gave as much as five minute's thought to the inevitable consequences of such a policy.

And one mistake can change everything. I put 1000 Euro on Michael D at 5/2 about a minute after the infamous Gallagher FF bagman tweet question from Pat Kenny. MDH was evens the next day and romped home.

I think the bookies have been ultra cautious and probably think those lads will be transfer friendly. There aren't many good bargains out there. Eddie Punch in South at 13/5 could be a dark horse.

Nope. Blighe will come nowhere near. And rightly so.

Really? Not my constituency, but who does he get the transfers off? I see no other similar candidates on that poll above, others (even Wallace) all have some people on similar estimated levels of support in the poll they are likely to get a few off.

cannot fathom just how Walsh tops the polls here. Think PP is more on the ball.