The accelerating fall in Sinn Féin support

Can't thank twice so repost,, nail on the head Kermit,, vote no.1 the frog

It is interesting to see Sinn Fein getting Pat Cullen to stand for them in Fermanagh-South Tyrone. She is an ex nurse and a.f.a.i.k. to date has refused to condemn the murder of innocents.

If she wins in Fermanagh and South Tyrone, she will – as is the policy for S.F. – not take her seat in Westminster. Nor will it bring change: SF has held that seat by the slimmest of margins ( 57 votes or something) for most of the past few decades. And see how health care in N.I. has slipped in the past few decades, nearly as bad as here now. Although many thousands of people from as far away as Cork / Kerry have gone north for medical treatment, unable to get it in this state.

https://www.echolive.ie/corknews/arid-41086942.html

The former Royal College of Nursing chief, Pat Cullen, coming out as a Republican and now suddenly standing as a SF candidate in Westminster elections will further erode public trust in supposedly non-political bodies.

Especially as the main town in Co. Fermanagh is Enniskillen, which became famous ( infamous?) worldwide due to the bombing by SF/IRA. Condemned by everyone worldwide at the time from the President of USA to President of Russia. Cullen was a nurse in the eighties:does she believe there were "any alternative" to murder of a student nurse by the armed wing of the political party she now represents?

Will be interesting to see how or if it affects S.F. support or not, especially in the Westminster elections.

The vote yes for on the referendums has finished them off-no longer a relevant option imo.

I remember something like this happened in a couple UK Vote a few years back.
There was weeks and weeks of media polls saying that Britain looks set to remain in the EU (I think it was like 150 polls done and only 55 wanted to leave)

And then in the 2015 there was set to be a hung parliament based on the election polls, But the conservatives got nearly 40% of the vote.

Polls can be wrong, especially when the result of the election can mean a huge change to the status quo (which is what a Sinn Fein led government could mean - I get this is a local election, but it's an indicator). And there are many rich and powerful people out there that might not want that.

we'll know next week for sure

What's the Margin?
10%?

About 18 years or so ago the Mrs and daughter were invited to a James Connolly memorial event, can't remember what it was but was in Moore St and invitational Connolly family or something. Daughter was scheduled to sing the "Daughter of Connolly" song so they were at the front of the audience.

MLD barged through to the front row between them - no invitation or connection but just wanted to be noticed.

Says it all really!

in 2011 there were 230000 homes in negative equity, the last of those were expected to be clear in 2020.

that's what reducing the house price looks like.

Perhaps if you read the original Times article, you would see that she clearly stated average house prices in Dublin, not affordable housing.

For some reason the link function has stopped working, the interview was published in the Times on December 20th.

Surely we all want lower house prices?

We are all agreed that house prices are too high, aren't we?

not if:

• you own your own house outright
• you are a landlord
• you are part of the Government receiving revenue from property tax and stamp duty

that really depends on what you paid.

are the banks going to reduce your mortgage to match ? Will they let you move house with negative equity (they didn't before)

If a poll reports a margin of error of 3 % -does this mean that a party with 26% could be on 23, 26 or 29% while a Party with 23% could be on 20,23 or 26%. The parties could be level or either could be 3% ahead. This would mean that the poll is effectively useless.

That's 3 percentage points. I would have assumed the margin of error was percentage based, not percentage points. So 26% +/-3% would be between (26*0.97)% and (26*1.03)%

It means 23-29. Polling is not that exact a science.

Oh… Well that's kind of.. meh then. Essentially, other than trending, it's meaningless with a 3 percentage point margin of error.