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European Parliament Elections 2024 - Friday, June 7th

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    4th according to the Tallies, but she would have been expected to be near the top of the poll. A bad showing by SF.



  • Registered Users Posts: 340 ✭✭Grassy Knoll


    Andrew’s and Doherty obviously, presume Lynn Boylan too, eventually. For the fourth seat Cuffe has a cushion over ORiordain which should see him thru. Niall Boylan will probably do well from the various national front types but dunno if he will be sufficiently transfer friendly after that. Cannot see a path for Clare ‘Vlad’ Daly to make it. After her antics over the past few years my faith in the cop-on of the electorate has been restored.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,018 ✭✭✭bren2001


    A couple of days is generally regarded as 2 days

    Who decided that?

    We couldn’t announce the first count until other countries polls closed. What’s there to streamline?

    It won’t take long to rattle through it from here



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,712 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    In Ireland, "a couple" is a low number, but more than two.

    As in, a couple of drinks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,446 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    You are comparing things that aren't comparable. The length of time of counting votes being a few days, which is usual for us and not an issue is not comparable to the mess that is the children's hospital.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,470 ✭✭✭WishUWereHere


    Morning all.
    Another day full of speculation to look forward to.
    Seems like Rabbitte’s assertion that one lies to get into power fell on deaf ears ( going by the increase in labour LE results).

    Also how MM swore blind he would never go into power with FG and did yet FF’s numbers holding up well.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,107 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    Well well well.

    It wasn't just be who seemed to have voted FF and somehow Sinn Fein have managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of Victory over the last 6 months.

    I have to say Mary Lou's interview yesterday cemented my thoughts that she needs to go. Arrogance and Ignorance to think that she thought the people somehow punished them for assuming they were in Government. Idiot.

    I'm sure it's been touched on, in the vast amount of threads but government need to call an election straight away and they'd be all but gaurenteed to return to power. (I don't want FG anywhere near the next Government FWIW)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,348 ✭✭✭twinytwo


    How little do you understand local elections in Ireland? Currently or histrionically?

    A massive swing to the right was never going to happen.

    We are 10- 15 years behind the rest of Europe - benefits of being the last link in the chain.

    Maybe now the government/left will stop gas-lighting everyone who questions them as "far right"



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,368 ✭✭✭crusd


    Multiple seat PR-STV constituencies with dozens of candidates dont lend themselves to fast counting. In a FPTP system you can just pile up the X's for each candidate and send them through a counting machine. But with 3 foot long ballot papers and preference voting even a first count is going to take time with 100's of thousands of votes cast. And when you get to transfers, even matters like how transfers are selected adds time. If you think of a candidate who exceeded the quota by 10,000 you cant just take 10,000 off the top as they might be all from one area. They do in effect take them off the top of the piles but the piles themselves need to be representative.

    E-voting trialled in the 2002 GE in a few constituencies actually automated all of this and would probably produce a more accurate result. They worked and worked well, problem being though that security could not be guaranteed, which no system could in truth. What should have happened is that the E-voting machine produce a paper record to the voter, so the voter may verify their intention has been accurately reflected and audit completed comparing a sample of these paper records to actual result to ensure nothing untoward happened.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,679 ✭✭✭Field east


    find out what has shut MLMD. Up over the last few weeks and apply same to MM!!!!!!



  • Registered Users Posts: 715 ✭✭✭gral6


    Daly & Wallace, they are like weasels. They will get back in.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,107 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    Neither look likely to win a seat. Certainly not Daly anyway



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    By definition, it means 2.

    We are on day 3 of the count now…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    My point is a general one, in regards to the culture we have in regards to efficiency and speed of getting things done.

    There are dozens of examples I can use. We like to take our time as a nation. From counting votes, to building homes, roads or reforming anything really.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    1st count in MNW is expected later on this evening…



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,107 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    Last seat will be hard to call. I siuspect SF may miss out all together. Maybe Nina going on trends



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Counting only began on Sunday

    Saturday was only sorting of ballots into locals and euros. Tallies began then, but not counting



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Good post.

    Even if we didnt go 100% into e-voting, surely there are methods to make this easier for people to count and cast a ballot?

    It's simply incredible to me, watching the news, where an army of 200 people in a count centre shuffule about the place, sorting votes into boxes with ballot papers as long as your arm. We are on the dawn of an AI revolution over the next 10 years, yet here are sorting through a literal forest of paper for a week and a bit to see who has won 5 seats in Europe.

    I was watching RTE last night and some professors mentioned that these long ballot papers do affect how people vote, as with the length of them people will scan the top and bottom of the ballot and many candidates get lost in the middle. Studies have shown that this does affect how people vote. She said, that something needs to be done here as it does affect the outcome.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    That would be simply incredible if that happened.

    MLMD should go, if that transpires.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    OK, fair enough, but tallying is still part of the count process.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,107 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Tallies are unofficial and not accepted as part of the count process. If no tallies were done it would not change a thing. It has as much relevance to the actual count process as an exit poll



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,213 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    For the European Elections , no we are not.

    We voted Friday , but because other parts of Europe voted Saturday/Sunday we could not start the count immediately

    Counting was not allowed until yesterday and the 1st count results could not be revealed until after 10pm.

    So in reality we are about 24hrs into the process at this point.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    So why are tallies done at all so?

    Tallies do take time, so why did they not start counting off the bat with no tally?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,651 ✭✭✭rock22


    markodaly quote "We are on day 3 of the count now…"

    No we are not. Sorting of the Euro ballot papers only began yesterday and counting began only late yesterday. We haven't had a full day counting yet.

    However you are on day three, at least, of complaining about our electoral system. it is the nature of our system that counts will take some time. That is the price we willingly pay for the best electoral system in Europe. The EU Parliament reconvenes in late July, five weeks time I think, so plenty of time to get the count done.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    We voted Friday , but because other parts of Europe voted Saturday/Sunday we could not start the count immediately

    I get that we could not announce any official count results before 10 pm Sunday, but we could have started a count earlier and not announced any official results until after the polls closed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Because tallies give the earliest indication of how things might go

    Tallies are not done by election officials - they are done by outside observers, usually political parties.

    The count process is it's own standalone process. It does not rely on tallies. Tallies involve people watching votes being separated in count centres and tallying first prefs. It is not an exact science which is why it is not used in count, as ballots can be missed by tallymen as they are only observing not sorting ballots themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,712 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    You could restrict the number of candidates in order to make voting simpler but, obviously, that would be democratically questionable, to put it no higher. You could randomise the order of candidates on the ballot paper, so that any benefit or detriment resulting from placement of a name was equalised among the candidates.

    The advantage accruing from a prominent placement on the ballot paper is well-established, and it doesn't only arise in elections that have very long ballot papers — even if there's only six or seven names on the ballot paper, there's still a measurable advantage to a high placement.

    (And it seems to me that this is not an issue that would necessarily be addressed by e-voting. Even with an e-vote, the voter is presumably faced with a screen listing the candidates, and the list must be in some order. Arguably the problem would be worse; unless the screen was the size of a bath towel only part of the list could be visible at any time, and a huge advantage would accrue to those candidates whose names appeared on the screen initially, over those candidates whose names could only be seen by scrolling down.)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 498 ✭✭subpar


    Looks like Labour are emerging from a decade and a half of decline and being in the doldrums. Their performance in the Locals and in Dublin has defied all the pundits. Definite signs of green shoots and another cause of concern to Sinn Fein.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,018 ✭✭✭bren2001




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Sorting of the Euro ballot papers only began yesterday 

    Eh, this started Saturday..

    We haven't had a full day counting yet.

    No, we had a full day yesterday, and if you include tallying and sorting the ballots from the local election ballots, 2 days.

    People getting hung up on semantics.

    My wife asked me, why we vote on Fridays, while Europe votes on Sundays. My answer was, a day off for teachers.

    But in hindsight, it's because we take so long to sort, tally and count the votes, we need a head start, but we will still be last to finish. ;)

    However you are on day three, at least, of complaining about our electoral system.

    Nope, never said anything about PR-STV.

    My complaint was about the streamlining of the voting process, giving people more options to vote (postal votes, early voting and the like)* and especially the counting afterwards.

    *the turnout is well down from 2019, surely we have to look at ways to increase this? Or are you happy with it all the way it is.

     That is the price we willingly pay for the best electoral system in Europe

    Best?

    Irish exceptionalism at its finest. Can you elaborate on this unprovable claim?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,018 ✭✭✭bren2001


    People getting hung up on semantics.

    coming from the man whipping out dictionary.com who doesn’t understand that the colloquial use of the word “couple” doesn’t mean 2 in Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    A couple means 2, some want to redefine it as many more than 2



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,873 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    There were a lot of spoiled votes in Dublin.

    12 candidates got less than the spoiled votes - that is more than 50% of the candidates.

    Surely this needs attention for future elections.

    If say, on a challenge, 1,000 of those spoiled votes were accepted as valid, that would add 200 votes to the quota, and could well change the result. With such a high percentage of spoilt votes, they should be examined closely.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,368 ✭✭✭crusd


    Definately impacted my vote. I would have had my preferred few, 1-4 about, but in the event of those being eliminated / surplus to be distributed, I wanted to ensure that if my vote was to be distributed it might advantage someone who I would see as ok over a few candidates who I wanted nowhere near a seat so I scanned I added a 5-8 on preferences to help make sure my vote might help prevent certain candidates getting in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,446 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    Tallies also give local results, as you can see what votes came out of which box, which the count doesn't allow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,592 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    They will have been examined, in front of candidates agents, already.

    Most spoiled are blank or all options crossed out



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,018 ✭✭✭bren2001


    Nobody is redefining it. If you go for a couple of drinks, it’s more than 2. If you take a couple of sweets, it’s more than 2. If a builder takes a couple of days, it’s more than 2.

    If someone wanted to say 2, they’d just say 2.

    It’s ironic you complain others argue over semantics. Yet, you want to be technically correct the count is in day 3 when any normal person would understand it’s not.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,570 ✭✭✭MFPM


    Leaving aside your rotten language, amazes me the tolerance for abuse here - Daly could do it but highly, highly unlikely - if she was nearer 30K then yes but Brid Smith has put paid to it, I'd say Wallace could do it, the fact O'Sullivan effectively conceded her seat yesterday is perhaps significant..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,269 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    Electing Ivanna Bacik as party leader when she's well recognised for being a misandrist and has a proven track record of mis-representing her constituents makes them hard to vote for. I held my nose and gave high preferences to Labour candidates in both ballots but it certainly impacted how high those preferences were.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,018 ✭✭✭bren2001


    they should be examined closely

    They will be.

    200 votes to the quota isn’t a big increase and it unlikely to swing the output. If it comes down to 200 votes, a candidate may well request a full recount.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    I think many people don't know how the voting system works and this does affect areas in lower socio-economic areas.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Daly is gone IMHO.

    She is too far behind both Cuffe and O'Riordan

    Wallace is gone too from what I have seen.

    Good riddance in kicking out Putin's mouthpeace. A good election result.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Reports coming out that while a first count in Ireland South is near, we could be waiting till…. tomorrow for a second count.

    This is because Kelly will be over the line in the first count and his surplus has to be redistributed. That will take most if not the entire day.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,651 ✭✭✭rock22


    What makes you think that the "..many people (who) don't know how the voting system works .." are in the " lower socioeconomic areas" ( wherever they are )



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,009 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    This isnt news.

    If you look at spoiled votes in places like Tallagh compared to Pembroke, you will see a far higher % number of spoiled votes.

    Studies have shown similar.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    A candidate exceeding quota on first count is the longest scenario for count 2.

    You have to look at all number 2s for that candidate, not just the surplus. It's the entire vote, then % from all #2s then % multiplied by the number of surplus votes.

    In elections of this scale (Euros) with quotas of 70k odd? It's a massive undertaking.

    But so what? It takes another day or two, there's no rusj



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,394 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    That's what Mary Loo said yesterday and who are we to argue with the pre-eminent political genius of our times?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,125 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Low income areas are more likely to have higher numbers of protest votes also, and spoiled ballots are a type of protest vote



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