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The wondrous adventures of Sinn Fein (part 3) Mod Notes and Threadbanned List in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,938 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Oh they flipped real quick, as I pointed out on another thread this is the record over the last 3 locals

    SF are still a mile off 2014 election result, according to all the noise for the last few years SF was going to walk all the elections and the government parties would be dead

    How many thread started on here about no FF supporters left, or FG are dead now etc etc

    It's a terrible result for SF, no other way to paint it

    2014

    FF - 267

    FG – 235

    SF – 159

    GP – 12

    2019

    FF - 279

    FG – 255

    SF –  81

    GP – 49

    2024

    FF - 244

    FG – 242

    SF – 100

    GP – 23



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    You are not responding to what I posted, but what you believe I meant.

    You are wrong. I never said they lost. I said FF/FG and Greens lost seats, which they did. The nonsense here is selling FF/FG/Green losing seats as a win. Although they did better than expected I think.

    Every other party gained seats.

    You are wrong. I never said they didn't do badly. They did very poorly, but did gain more seats. The writing was on the wall the last several weeks. I wasn't expecting them to crush it. I was hoping FF/FG would lose more seats than they did.

    The celebration is FF/FG not doing as bad as expected and SF not doing as well as they might have hoped, which rings a little hollow.

    Yes, SF need to work on their brand if they want to be the party to hoover up all the votes leaving FF/FG and the Greens.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,870 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    Connolly House will be not pleased with these results.

    That’s where the seat of ‘power’ is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,014 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    But all the votes aren't leaving FF, FG and the Greens, they are still getting around 50% of the votes, enough for an overall majority next time out.

    Furthermore, the big take out from this election is that FF and FG voters are transferring to each other for the first time in 100 years. That only increases the chances of the government returning. MLMD should start looking to 2030, and in the meantime shut up talking about a united Ireland and other far-fetched dreams like the 300k houses.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,938 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    We have had 4 years of listening to SF celebrating a election when they got from the opposition to the opposition. painting that as some sort of achievement

    We know have another election when SF failed and SF trying to tell us it is an achievement

    Notice a pattern starting here?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,002 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    I wonder which votes SF lost the most of -

    Was it the "New SF vote" from the last GE who decided there was no "change"?

    OR

    Was the "Traditional SF vote" from the last GE who decided there was too much "change"?

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    Yes, FF/FG combined would likely have more seats than SF. If things remain steady. FF/FG don't lose too much, SF don't gain too many.

    They are also in a coalition for the first time in 100 years. This will not happen in a general election to any great extent, especially when both parties will be scrambling to look as different as possible. Regina Doherty put the boot in to the greens, but I suppose they don't expect the greens to be around after the next GE.

    I don't believe a United Ireland played any role in SF not gaining as much as they may have. With the conservative right, led by Gript, all but wiped out, I'm not sure what the field of play will look like.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    Mea cupla on your part.

    They didn't lose votes, they gained votes. It was only the government parties who lost votes.

    They dropped sharply in the polls. The support they seemed to have in the polls certainly didn't move to the anti-immigrant patriots nua,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,938 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    MLMD is good for a clanger, who is advising her is the interesting part

    She will be all guns blazing now to come out with a couple of whoppers ot get back onto the internet with some videos etc

    We can expect a couple of her "Dear Deirdre" letters in leaders questions etc

    All noise, irrelevant noise that everyone is sick of listening to, of course backed up by faux outrage Pearse and shout from behind MLMD Eoin



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,002 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    I realise that prima facie but on the overall scheme of things the 1st preference votes and overall national trends so and so forth are well down as stated by SF themselves. Why is there soul searching in SF and statements such as we "we need clearer policies" and "we will listen to the electorate" etc etc if it is such a success.

    The only SF rep I heard put a brave face on things was Lynn Boylan who used your spin. That SF are up but did not do as well as hoped. But the reality is that is simplistic narrative as you no doubt are well aware.

    SF basically have to back a horse now instead of trying to sit between two stools. It is fascinating to watch. But how do SF become a top of the class on the left, while also getting votes from the middle classes but at the same time not alienating traditional SF, and the SF cohort in NI? It is almost an impossible balancing act.

    SF's only other alternative is to jettison NI SF and make a clean break from that NI jingoistic Republican mindset and usual tried phrases etc. But that is not going to happen as long as that cohort are still breathing.

    But SF do have some advantages they can get away with a lot of stuff that would sink most other democratic parties. I think it is coming to the stage where the disadvantages are outweighing the advantages.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    Who said it was a success? You asked were the votes went? I pointed out they gained votes.

    They dropped in the polls in the lead up. I get why FF/FG are citing polls and not seats won/lost, but lets not confuse the two.

    My spin? I heard her. She was bullshitting. That's what politicians do. Of course it was a major kick in the teeth for them.

    They see the island as one. They would lose all credibility if they cut ties with NI. Even FF flirt with NI.

    Like what? I can't think of any scandals that would eclipse FG's own selection.

    Whatever the disadvantages, they gained seats. FF/FG/Green, lost seats.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,002 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    But that is the key point -

    "They see the island as one. They would lose all credibility if they cut ties with NI."

    But I would argue in theory only. The reality is there are TWO defacto SF parties for two jurisdictions with two different leaders tailored to the two different mindsets.

    In theory SF can say "WE" are the only party who covers the whole island. However, in a practical sense they are two very different SF's with different rhetoric's as they have to deal with two very different poltical landscapes and mindsets. Yeah, they can join together at Republican funerals or the their Ardfheis or whatever.

    But SF in both jurisdictions are on different paths to one another, as in order to get elected in the ROI it cannot be the the same as NI. SF will get "elected" in NI no matter what they say. And NI politics is not real practical politics it is fundamentally symbolism above all else. Pure symbolism does not cut in ROI politics. The electorate are more discerning.

    Post edited by gormdubhgorm on

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,014 ✭✭✭✭blanch152




  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran




  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    It reads like you are trying to show there are in fact two SF's. We must remember that as they are two different jurisdictions, they of course need to be different animals in practice.

    There's no theory, they are an all Ireland party. MLMD is the president. She's MON party leader.

    I agree on the state of NI politics. Any southern led party with representation in NI, would need to adapt. For your theory to hold weight we would need dismiss the SDLP, DUP, Alliance and so on. That's denying the NI statelet it's democracy, whatever form it takes. Also we have more than our fair share of people who will vote for a party no matter what they get up to, based on family allegiances. It's these allegiances that keep FF/FG on life support.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,870 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    The usual waffle..Family allegiances yada yada.

    Shinners took a good tonking ..time to own up and stop the auld flapping around being outraged.

    Good opposition doesn't owe its success by stuff like " We think they should have given more" We think it is a missed opportunity" "it showed lack of ambition" and other types of crud.

    The taxpayer has to fund these projects, there is a limited sum to the taxpayers contribution, people are not stupid enough to believe that Shinners in Govt will suddenly, as they try to portray , solve everything at the drop of a hat.

    Any family knows that you have to cut your cloth to suit your means otherwise its trouble.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 290 ✭✭Dan Steely


    Heard Pearse giving out in the Dail about an issue I'm personally involved in.

    Thought I'd drop him a line with my thoughts so went on the oireachtas website.

    Clicked on the link to his personal website. 404.

    Sent an email to his listed Gmail address. Bounced.

    Sent an email to his listed oireachtas address. No reply 10 weeks later.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,870 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    There you go…..exactly as I described…. full flapper mode… no substance.

    Pure facade.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,002 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    You seem to be talking in circles on the one hand you agree that SF are "two different animals" in the two jurisdictions. That is a fact in my view. But At least we agree on that much.

    In my mind that is one party in theory, but two parties in practice.

    You mention the SDLP Alliance etc. It's my view that only when those parties are favoured by the electorate basically the "middle ground" NI cannot move forward. The DUP and SF are just two sides of the same coin. They just drag each other down together. Trying to get constant oneupmanship.

    From a ROI point of view what is SF's next move? Start getting back in touch with the working class roots and accept the the "New SF" vote will not materialise enough to get them in government? I heard mention by one of the left parties saying all of the left parties should make a pact to work together to keep FG/FF out of government.

    But let's be honest that is not really likely they are too mixed. And out for their own parties interests.

    I think SF would honestly be better off in opposition for the next 15 years or so, until they find their feet from a strategic point of view. And the more shady aspects of SF have literally died off. Talk of governance is way too soon for them.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,938 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    The online SF accounts on boards are going back into full force at the moment, it's back to the good old days of McMurphy tactics to shut down SF threads across boards.

    Seems to be the same across all social media, it looks like SF didn't take the results of the local election as well as some people are claiming, so they think the best option is to start attacking everyone online that doesn't agree with them.

    Slow to learn SF, they haven't figured that online abuse for the last 4 years is not really getting the rewards they thought, so instead of stopping it they go full force



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  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    No. They are the same party operating in two different jurisdictions. Of course they have to adapt, due to the different rules and regulations.

    That's fine, but MLMD is the leader in fact.

    No idea. I would like to see them push on housing and health. Like all the other ongoing crises, immigration will likely drop from the headlines in the coming days. When they were at 30+ in the polls they were no different than what they are now. I don't see a need for any rebrand, just less jumping on band wagons. The hate speech bill will be the next disaster for anyone who openly supports it.

    I'm more interested in the good of the country. Sitting in opposition, by choice, for strategy isn't very honourable IMO. We need FF/FG out yesterday. As expected, the Greens are all but shutting the door behind themselves.

    Too soon? When you look at Harris and McEntee, all the time in the world won't make them competent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,959 ✭✭✭Bobson Dugnutt


    Was McMurphy the lad with 50 accounts? Unhinged.

    Cost SF votes. People dont like zealots.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,938 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    That's the one, but it seems the model is back. Personal attacks on posters, snide comments, spamming threads with nonsense to stop discussing the topic

    Pulling posts from one thread and copying them onto another was the carry on today

    Absolute nonsense and that's just on boards. It's like the wild west on other platforms

    the results of the election really haven't gone down well.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Even if the online stuff had nothing to do with the actual SF political party who knows, the fact SF attract an almost deranged level of online support is an issue in its self.

    All political parties have online support but SF online support seems to be different.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,016 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    It's that the support is so unwilling to actually talk about SF policies, it's all deflection and empty statements.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,467 ✭✭✭mikethecop


    Not really worth the while stating clear policies when you change them to catch every passing headline, jump on any bandwagon



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 88,355 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,201 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Judging by the local election results and SFs heavy drop in support, it would appear most people do not want FFG out at all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 290 ✭✭Dan Steely




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,938 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    I doubt you will, Pearse is good at the faux outrage in Dail to get a few clicks, apart from that he seems to struggle with doing his actual job



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,959 ✭✭✭Bobson Dugnutt


    Doherty is not a clever man.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    While it was a massive drop from what had been expected some weeks prior, the fact is SF gained seats in the LE. FF/FG/Green all lost seats.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    To be fair, if you look over at the FF/FG/Green thread, virtually every response to a new scandal is met with a SF anecdote.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,201 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    true but both parties still had more than double the number of seats that SF got. An October election seems likley, so that FFG can capitalise on the results and continue in govt for the next 5 yrs.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    Just pointing out they gained, FF/FG/Green lost.

    You are likely right. It will cement FF/FG as the same party. This will damage them as the grass roots will likely begin to drift off.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,201 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    I think FFGs main focus now is just to stay in govt and avoid SF taking power. They then have 5 years to grow their imdividual party identities.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,938 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Why would it damage grass roots?

    It either party joined SF it would send them beyond repair.

    No it's not.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    I can't see another coalition term helping that. The main thing is staying in power though.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    This is funny.

    I said being in coalition would damage their grass roots. You replied that a coalition with SF would be worse.

    Then you replied to a post saying people don't use SF in responses about FF/FG/Green.

    We were discussing the FF/FG coalition verses SF. There are genuine lifelong/family deep FF party members who aren't comfortable with FG and vice versa. They colluded in the first place because they were both losing support.

    SF are losing support too, but the days of a FF majority are in the history books and FG never got there and are less likely.

    We will likely see a series of rainbow coalitions in the coming decade.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,938 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    It is a Sinn fein thread

    You seem to complain on every thread if Sinn fein is mentioned. Getting a little tiresome now.

    On the thread in politics forum, the topic of a coalition with SF has been discussed in great detail and the concensus is joining SF by either FF or FG would kill the parties. Most people agree it won't happen and the only people pushing this angle is SF supporters

    The coalition between FF and FG happened after the last election because of covid, the country was in turmoil and the politicians stood up with the Green party to form a government and try to do right by the people of Ireland

    During this phase SF who claimed to "win the election" went into hiding and nobody could find them, not even the left parties who sent letters to the press asking them to surface. Some people might forget that, others won't



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,014 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The Schrodinger Sinn Fein supporters push a hilarious line about the last election.

    They want a coalition without FF or FG while simultaneously complaining that neither FF nor FG will go into coalition with SF and it's not fair. Maybe more like a toddler's tantrum than a Schrodinger dilemma.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    It is. However, an answer to how a FF/FG coalition will fare against SF isn't 'well a coalition with SF would be worse' now is it?

    It's literally doing what you claimed isn't done.



  • Registered Users Posts: 301 ✭✭Oxo Moran


    I don't want FF/FG in any government. I'm also quite happy to have any form of government without FG. I'd even hold my nose to FF/Lab/indies.

    The person claimed nobody uses SF to avoid discussing points about FF/FG, then did it, and in the same post no less.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 88,355 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    Can any a party just come out and say we are taking in too many, we need to cap and look after only genuine ones

    https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/politics/arid-41442280.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,002 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    Shrewd political move by Mary Lou McDonald saying that migrants should be accepted and placed in "better off" areas.

    Knowing full well they will be even less likely to be accepted there. Which will please the SF vote that they are worried about losing the hardcore "working class" vote.

    Very clever move politically.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,752 ✭✭✭✭Galwayguy35


    Heard Doherty and MacDonald on about this earlier, they must be getting nervous about losing votes in working class areas especially in Dublin.

    Too little too late I think and in all honesty this so called new immigration policy is practically the same as what the Government has.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,959 ✭✭✭Bobson Dugnutt


    Hearing from a fairly reliable source who works in politics that SF are in utter turmoil behind the scenes.

    Mary Lou has lost the support of some of the TDs.

    Lot of mistrust and anger. Military discipline broken down.

    TDs and councillors getting it in the neck on the doorsteps.

    The hardmen from Belfast, Tyrone, South Armagh and Louth are sensing that the 26 county party has lost its way and needs some discipline implemented. That means ditching a lot of the tokenistic left-wing stuff. Focus on the goal - United Ireland



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,870 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    Would concur there Bobby, seems to be a meltdown in southern SF.

    Connolly House not at all pleased, its reported.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,014 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    It would have been shrewd had she been able to avoid the hard questions in her car crash interview.



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