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Sinn Fein and how do they form a government dilemma

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,457 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    Unfortunately the Shinners pursued the'anything you put forward', we will say 'you should have done more' policy.

    The sensible end of the electorate, that is, those who understand economics as opposed to the 'money tree' saw through that stuff and voted accordingly.

    Thats kinda how it worked out ,in my opinion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,197 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Increased the Shinner vote? Gave them an extra MEP, maybe 2, decimated the Greens and gave FF/FG another decrease in their vote share? All on what was a bad day for Shinners?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,457 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    From a very low base…. "I shot a round of 120 down at the club last week, this week I shot a score of 100"

    I increased my score expeditiously …..still bad golf though, buddy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,513 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,513 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Imagine what a good day would be for them haha!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,197 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Swinging and missing?

    A lot of it going on. Keep trying.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,457 ✭✭✭✭Brendan Bendar


    Heh heh…. home run there, dude.

    Bases filled😀



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 11,028 Mod ✭✭✭✭squonk


    Low turnout election this time around for sure but I don’t buy the SF line of the younger voters not coming out. If you know your support base hinges on a younger demographic then you target them to get them out. If it’s doing earnest TikTok’s to urge people to vote or just sending buses around to colleges or wherever and getting people to the polling station, so be it. If they couldn’t be arsed voting now, who says they’ll be bothered either in a GE!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,103 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Record numbers of first-time buyers, yet the schemes aren't working? You sound like a SF frontbencher.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,328 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    We already run a huge budget surplus. Just because there is extra money does not mean there will automatically be extra houses.

    What you describe is not a costed plan. Thats my point. SF do not have a validated & costed plan to uplift new home construction above its current level.

    33k homes were built last year and 36k are predicted this year, with 41k next year.

    I am not saying the numbers are perfect but I am saying they are improving year on year (they are not remaining static and without achieving "better results", as you claimed above. New home output is growing by 10%-15% each year).

    There is simply no logical or empirical evidence that SF would be overseeing the construction of >41k homes by 2025; especially considering they will drive the primary investment streams out of residential construction!

    Therefore, I would confidently expect FFG to oversee the construction of more homes than SF over the next 5 to 10 year period.

    Happy to accept evidence to the contrary; but yet to see any.

    Post edited by BlueSkyDreams on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 595 ✭✭✭rdwight




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,197 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    2 seats in Europe and 75,000 FP votes in MNW. Talk of demise is of course exaggeration. More apt chat for the Greens.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 595 ✭✭✭rdwight


    As gbs is reputed to have said "i quite agree with you, but what can we two do against a whole houseful of the opposite opinion?"

    And in particular if the opposite opinion holds among sinn fein leadership as per their public statements and no doubt in the back rooms of fenlan bars in West Belfast and among candidates who got screwed by party managers (eg Natalie Treacy and Larry O'Toole)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,197 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    SF know they had a bad day.
    But demise talk is pub talk of the deluded punch drunk on the fact their side didn’t get a wallop.
    The GE is a different ballgame as the RTE exit poll found. 46% said they will likely vote for a candidate from a different party than they did in the LEs.
    It probably won’t temper the gloating but it should.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,513 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Lol. Nah politics isn't really for me but thanks for the compliment

    Record numbers of first time buyers and record numbers of homeless, a sure sign that the problem is getting worse, not better



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,513 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    We already run a huge budget surplus. Just because there is extra money does not mean there will automatically be extra houses.

    We are a wealthy nation, we shouldn't have the amount of homeless that we do

    What you describe is not a costed plan. Thats my point. SF do not have a validated & costed plan to uplift new home construction above its current level.

    The plan might not be coated (it was at the time of the 2020 GE) but at least they have a plan. The current govt pat themselves on the back for reaching 2018 targets so their plan clearly isn't working, if they indeed have one

    33k homes were built last year and 36k are predicted this year, with 41k next year.

    According to the Taoiseach there's 50k homes planned for next year, which is great and much needed because of their policies on housing in the past

    I am not saying the numbers are perfect but I am saying they are improving year on year (they are not remaining static and without achieving "better results", as you claimed above. New home output is growing by 10%-15% each year).

    Improving from a near -zero base, am I meant to be impressed?

    There is simply no logical or empirical evidence that SF would be overseeing the construction of >41k homes by 2025; especially considering they will drive the primary investment streams out of residential construction!

    Yeah and there's logically no way FFG will solve the housing crisis

    Therefore, I would confidently expect FFG to oversee the construction of more home than SF over the next 5 to 10 year period.

    If FFG are returned to power at the next GE, yes that's most likely what will happen as 1 new home will definitely be built in the 5 years following the GE. If SF lead a leftist govt it's highly possible

    Happy to accept evidence to the contrary; but yet to see any.

    See above



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,328 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Still no costed plan for SF. You keep saying there is one. Can you link it, or similar?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,513 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    It was in their 2020 GE election manifesto, I'd imagine there won't be a new one until the next GE manifesto. But good luck finding the FFG equivalent at that time.

    Bonkers really, we see how bad FFG are on housing, SF give an alternative and unless every penny is accounted for you want to stick with the parties of failures

    Barry Cowen got elected to the European parliament last night, the drink-driver brother of Brian Cowen. The mind truly boggles



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74,197 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    This 100%
    How many 'costed' plans have been presented and implemented and withered on the vine and the crisis gets worse?
    Fool me once ….etc etc etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,328 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    It wasnt costed in the manifesto. It was vague. It still is vague. Thats my point.

    I understand your frustration with the house building and of course, we would all like to see more homes being built.

    But i just dont see a scenario in which SF oversee the delivery of more new homes vs the current govt, thats all I am really saying.

    The "failure" to deliver as you call it, is still likley to hit over 40k new homes next year and is likey to keep rising.

    We are still building Galway City every 12 months across the country and are expanding that output further.

    April saw over 18k commencents, thats the highest ever number recorded.

    In summary, more needs to be done, I agree. But we are moving in the right direction and we have a formula that delivers and is expanding year on year.

    A SF govt would destabilise the process and very quickly lead to a fall off in those numbers; notably via the triggering of an exodus of funding capital; not to mention the employment reduction and job losses that would follow that exodus of capital.

    And we havent even talked about where SF would magic up the necessary public sector construction workers; in a country of full employment.

    SF's headlines comes across as very pie in the sky.

    Just like the 300k projection for house prices in Dublin. Never going to happen and just not thought out. Nobody working in the indusrty would realistically give that projection merit.

    In opposition, SF have turned to populist headline grabbing soundbytes; but with no depth of thought or realism attached to their statements.

    That's not the govt I think would best serve the country.

    But of course, we are all entitled to our own opinions and I respect yours, even if I may not agree with it.

    The good news is that we both want the same thing. More homes for people. We just differ in how to go about it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    There is no way that Funchion will be going to Europe will she? I'd have thought that SF will want to keep as many as possible back for the GE who'd be seen as safe bets. Also maybe Boylan



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,513 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    What exactly are you expecting, 25 page costings of every nut, bolt and ml of concrete to be poured?

    i simply don't see a scenario in which FFG oversee the delivery of more new homes vs a SF led one. They have proven this time and time again

    Yes 40k homes would be fantastic, if we were living in 2019. Two things they could do to make quick differences is hire more people in An Bord Pleanala and stop this policy of council planners giving permission willy-nilly so people don't feel a need to go to ABP.

    FFG's headlines also come across as very pie-in-the-sky. Didn't Harris say 50k homes to be built next year after 30k last year, only for it to be rubbished by his own housing minister? He'd be doing well is all I'd say



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,513 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    They can always run in the GE next year and give up their European seats



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    Ye, that's what i mean.

    Funchion surely would be potential cabinet material?



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,945 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    i simply don't see a scenario in which FFG oversee the delivery of more new homes vs a SF led one. They have proven this time and time again

    They have proven that they miss their targets for sure. They have proven nothing about how they would perform vs SF. We can only go on what SF promises and use their actions to judge the veracity of those promises. I don't believe their plans make the slightest bit of sense or are achievable, and even if they succeeded they would manage nothing other than adding vast suburban sprawl when density is what is badly needed instead.

    Of course, people are welcome to believe differently about their plan, but the idea that something "couldn't possibly be worse" is oftentimes simply not true.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,502 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Please stop looking at SF and please concentrate on the Greens. This is just a temporary voter readjustment for SF…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,502 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Where SF have been able to promote house building (Dublin City Council) or allow building to go ahead (planning permissions) they failed at them.

    There's no reason to believe they would succeed in government given their track record.

    The fact they haven't properly costed or got buy-in for their main policy is damning.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,513 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Well given that what you mention above are government policies and SF have never been in govt you would be wrong on that one



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,502 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    SF controlled Dublin City Council failing to build was a government policy? SF objecting to all and sundry planning permissions was a government policy?

    Quick, look at the Greens again!



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,945 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Council housing and planning are functions of the Local Authorities.



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