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?????? v Trump (and one or two others) The US Presidential election 2024. Read OP before posting

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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,330 ✭✭✭✭DrPhilG


    Selection is August, but if they drop Biden now it will be patently obvious that the powers that be were deliberately lying to the nation by insisting that he was perfectly fine.

    He didn't just become that bad overnight. The opposition have been highlighting his condition for years, and more so this last few months as it seemed to nosedive. But the Whitehouse, the press secretary, the media and top Democrats have been pushing back. Insisting that not only is he competent but he's ultra intense, sharper than a man half his age etc etc.

    This for example, admitting reduced energy but insisting that he's sharp and commanding with no issues over mental acuity whatsoever.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4709707-chris-coons-biden-diminished-energy-sharp-commanding/

    They were clearly lying and removing Biden now is an admission that they got caught out. They're actually in a really tough spot. Force Biden out and they're admitting that they tried to conceal his decline, plus face either having Kamela Harris take his spot or have a backlash for overlooking a woman of colour. Or keep Biden and see him trounced.



  • Registered Users Posts: 186 ✭✭engineerws




  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,886 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    They can't "drop" him, he would need to withdraw.



  • Registered Users Posts: 819 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    For a country that talks so much about foreign influence, they seem perfectly happy to influenced by a foreign nation.

    As Joe said, if Israel didn't exist, they'd have to invent one to protect their interests in the region. But how that manifested itself in Israel having such a strong influence over the US, I don't know.



  • Registered Users Posts: 186 ✭✭engineerws




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  • Registered Users Posts: 819 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    Invade during Obama, help Trump, invade during Biden? The logic isn't really working.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26 BLFOTR


    There was a moment a few weeks back when Biden was at the D-Day event and he went to sit down on a chair that didn't exist and Dr. Jill (who increasingly looks like his carer) saved him the embarrassment of falling over. Then at the debate she had to physically help him down a couple of small steps off the stage as it looks like his body had frozen from the 90 minutes of standing.

    Anyone old enough should remember the Bob Dole tumble at a rally in the 90's that effectively ended his campaign right there and then. It didn't matter that he jumped back up and delivered a great speech all American voters seen was the fall and the fall alone. Perceptions matter and even more so when you are that old as every single voter will be thinking what the heck will Biden be like in 2 years time.

    It's over for Joe but how do they remove him without losing face and admitting that yes all along Trump supporters have been right over the last couple of years pointing out the obvious.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,814 ✭✭✭Backstreet Moyes


    I'm not sure what that has got to do with my post.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,276 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    Well I'm not a trump supporter and I've seen the obvious over the past year or so. That's the problem with US politics now, it's so polarized its ridiculous. If you point out an issue with one then you must be a rabid supporter of the the other, which isn't the case for the most part. I don't know a single person who thinks Biden is fit for office, or even likes him as a president, but they put up with it because to say anything means you must be for the other guy and therefore a "bad person". Absolute joke.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,460 ✭✭✭✭kowloon


    Even if Biden was just bad on the night and shows up talking cogently for the rest of the campaign, the damage is largely done. Was it really just conditions on the night or has Biden been hiding decline the entire time? Nobody likes the guy who hides his zombie bite and endangers the group. Masking cognitive decline and not fielding a different candidate is a bad look.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,393 ✭✭✭BrianD3


    They could save face (to some extent) by encouraging him to pull out for some other medical reason that is not dementia or anything neurological e.g. it would be plausible to say that he is in pain due to arthritis and now doesn't feel up to another 4 years. But there's nothing wrong with his brain, oh no, not at all.

    He then retires from public life and in a few years if he's still alive, there can be an announcement that he is suffering with dementia. By the time the debates start about whether he had dementia in office or not (see similar debates re: Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan) everyone will have moved on..



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,883 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    So what?

    Trump clearly lies every time he opens his mouth. That doesn't damage his campaign. I'd say most Dems and independents would be only delighted to not have a choice between a **** sandwich and a broken glass sandwich.

    As for Kamala, she can easily resign as well. The numbers aren't there for her to win. The country can't afford the Dems to have a civil war about this either.

    Get Gavin Newsome in, with Gretchen Whittmer as VP. The guy exudes energy. He would be that breath of fresh air. He also has the confidence/swagger to take Trump on. (I'm not his biggest fan btw, but I think he has the best shot Vs Trump)

    Biden needs to withdraw within the next month though for them to have a shot. This is an election for democracy itself. Project 2025 is very real and very terrifying.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,805 ✭✭✭✭briany


    He seemed more vigorous at the subsequent rally, and sounded markedly better. The problem is that even if you say he was just having a really bad night at the debate and was kind of out of it due to a terrible head cold, a US president has to be the kind of person who has the stuff to do their duties even on their worst day because a crisis isn't going to wait to happen only on the times the US president is in good form.

    The perception that he's senile is now out there more than ever and I don't know how exactly he's going to undo that damage and anything he does to that end will be seen as stage-managed damage control. I can imagine a lot of people just rolling their eyes at a sitdown interview with Oprah or some such.

    Few would have predicted in November 2020 that Trump would run for president again, never mind that the election would look like it was Trump's to lose, four months out.



  • Registered Users Posts: 582 ✭✭✭batman75


    The debate was pitiful to where you had two alpha males debating who's better at golf. Lord above. America the self styled greatest democracy in the world is reduced to these two for President. One is an incumbent the other a former. Truly sad and pathetic.

    Biden imploded at the debate. He looked old, confused and frail. He is clearly not competent to run. His wife is doing him a monstrous disservice by not being honest with him. The footage of her praising him after the debate was truly pathetic. She's either power hungry or doesn't truly care about him. Scary times.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,219 ✭✭✭combat14


    it is obvious now that there is a cabal behind the scenes possibly obama and clinton pulling the puppet strings for biden they surely are secretly running the country because biden isn't functioning anymore - and there's nothing democratic about that - in fact the opposite its borderlie abusive



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,805 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If there's a cabal behind Biden, secretly controlling him, they're only going to enjoy that power for another four months if they persist with his candidacy. Seem like (supposing it's true) the thing to do would have been to get another manchurian candidate ready after Biden won the presidency in 2020.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,566 ✭✭✭extra-ordinary_


    It's over for Joe but how do they remove him without losing face and admitting that yes all along Trump supporters have been right over the last couple of years pointing out the obvious.

    Not sure how much of an issue that is. How much face do you need to save in front of people who actually support a complete mess of a human being that is Donald J. Trump?



  • Registered Users Posts: 45,475 ✭✭✭✭Bobeagleburger


    Don't be too certain.

    Biden is a mess but so is Trump. He's 78 and fairly incoherent sometimes. Biden makes him look fine as he's in worse nick!

    The election is decided by a small number of states. Who knows what will happen in the next few months. There could be a big scandal, war, or one of them dies.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,829 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    For most voters now, after that debate, there is only one show in town whether they like it or not - Donald J. Trump. I really cant see the dems pulling an alt rabbit out of the hat to replace biden, its too late. Looking very like at least 4 more years of Trump with his Project 2025 scenario and all his 10s of 1000s acolites already lined up and "trained" in the background ready to replace the whole US civil service etc. The rest of the world best be making plans for a trump presidency .. without US involved

    BTW - the latest MAGA line is America is NOT a democracy ITS a REPUBLIC



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,805 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Any of those things you list could happen, for sure, but they're certainly not things you'd want to be banking on. Given what Trump plans to do with a second presidency, it's all a little too important to be leaving things to chance. If the Democrats don't move now, history will judge them harshly and a lot of their voters will become disillusioned when it becomes apparent that the party leaders are willing to deny something so patently obvious to everyone.

    Jill Biden isn't a kingmaker. She could tell her husband that he's fit as a fiddle, but it shouldn't stop those at the convention from removing him from the ticket by soft force, if necessary.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,011 ✭✭✭bilbot79


    Wonder what odds you would get on this ending as a Haley vs Newsome election



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,829 ✭✭✭aidanodr




  • Registered Users Posts: 13,805 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It's not too late in terms of the time left until the election, especially as the party has someone like Gavin Newsom who could jump in. I look at Newsom and see a classic corporate centrist, but at least he's not doddery 80+. Biden would probably have to endorse him, though.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,829 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    The reason I mention too late is for the silent majority / voting electorate to warm to a new candidate. I would say most at this stage just may not vote if this is the case. I imagine a low turnout would suit Trump better?



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭chicorytip


    Biden still won the debate, despite his dithering. He scored by making a few wholly substantiated claims about his achievements in office to date whilst Trump spewed out a list of over thirty complete falsehoods, albeit in an untypicically articulate fashion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26 BLFOTR


    Watch for subtle changes in the tone of language used to describe Joe by leading democrats in the next few days and weeks especially the Sunday morning political talk shows. It will start off small like "great servant to the nation" etc… and end up more obvious like "the clock runs out for everyone" but that subtle change will signal it's all over.

    I think the lack of support from leading dems the last 24hrs is very telling in itself and suspect the replacement is already lined up.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,826 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Biden doesn't know either way what is happening, the debate is already forgotten by him.

    All they have to do is get him to read a statement on stepping down for health reasons in a few weeks and he'll read it.

    Then keep him out of sight, a few waves at the convention in August and back to the home.

    His wife is trying to do right by him, same as we all do in that situation. It's hard call to make to pull the car licence, to go from independent living, to calling in twice a day, to a nursing home..

    Biden is not far off being unavailable to live an independent life but he is still considered by many as capable of running for the top job in the world, cause the other guy etc etc.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,826 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    No. The Trump supporters are going to still vote Trump, many Democrats will vote Biden to back the party but the difference between is where this damages Biden.

    Americans like to have a confident leader, a dynamic leader, a person with a vision or ability to at least sell that package .

    Joe Biden not knowing where he is or what is happening is as far from that as any candidate has ever been and repeatedly saying but Trump is a dead end and pointless.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,566 ✭✭✭extra-ordinary_


    Biden still won the debate

    eh no, he didn't, and it wasn't because of what he said.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 28,861 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    Um.. No.. Just no.

    Biden was confused, rambling and mumbling and displaying once again how physically and mentally unfit he is right now, never mind the decline over another 4 years.

    CNN's analysis pulled him up on plenty of "mistakes" too as someone posted earlier on. The footage of him struggling down a single step after the debate isn't exactly inspiring either.

    Neither of them are fit for the job, but Trump will walk it if they persist with pushing out a man who should be in a nursing home, not on a podium.



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