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Is everybody broke?

135678

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,242 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    All of my data in this thread is from the CSO.

    The Census does not collect any income or expenditure data.

    I have posted above the sources of the earnings and income data.

    Household expenditure data is contained in the HBS:

    https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/ep/p-hbs/hbs20152016/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,344 ✭✭✭Gusser09




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,535 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    When your kids reach a certain age, they'll have the same problem.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 162 ✭✭Alexus25


    Shein is laughing all the way to the bank among other online stores, it becomes more and more the norm as time goes by



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 162 ✭✭Alexus25


    For those that don't know,it's the median that's the average wage, mean is overall average when you add everyone's salary together



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 162 ✭✭Alexus25


    Being a single person trying to get a mortgage or go on a hotel break, you are basically penalised, everything is more affordable when it's a duo rather than solo



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,194 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Yeah, great wonderful. It's also an enormous privilege to have the ability to work hard and pay it off. I know a few people that have had to hand their houses back to the bank over the years. A couple of times it was their own fault in over extending what they borrowed, but there was one that had to quit work because of sickness and another who lost everything after their family broke up.

    So yeah, there is a privilege in working hard and being able to pay off a mortgage. Same as there is a privilege in having the ability to get a mortgage in the first place, especially these days.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,242 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Mean = average

    Median is the middle observation, so it is not affected by outliers

    I think what you are trying to say is that the median is a better measure of typical earnings, as it is not affected by high outliers?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 617 ✭✭✭StormForce13


    Surely, given that those unfortunate IALPA pilots are desperately struggling to make ends meet notwithstanding their annual salaries being over €200,000 then it's fair to say that everyone is struggling?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,719 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    What a ridiculous comment.
    Work hard, pay off your debts.
    That’s not privilege that’s hard work.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,194 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    You don't think you're privileged if you don't have a chronic health condition, for example?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 162 ✭✭Alexus25


    This is what im trying to say -

    The mean (informally, the “average“) is found by adding all of the numbers together and dividing by the number of items in the set: 10 + 10 + 20 + 40 + 70 / 5 = 30. The median is found by ordering the set from lowest to highest and finding the exact middle.

    So median is a more accurate indicator than the mean



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,719 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    I would say that’s being in the healthy majority no?
    Why do you have to bring in a minority case to try and prove the point you’re trying to make?

    If you have a mortgage chances are you have life insurance which pays off the mortgage if you have terminal illness or serious illness in some cases.
    If you have chronic illness there would be state supports.
    Again this wouldn’t apply to the majority of people who would be healthy.
    If the majority of people had chronic illness the country would be fcuked.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,535 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    Single people are not being penalised, you're just not spreading the cost.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,226 ✭✭✭flatty


    I find that hard to believe. 160k of disposable income per year??



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,194 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Not everyone can or will ever be able to buy a house, ergo, homeownership is a privilege. It's literally that simple.

    It's ok to recognise privilege. I hate that there's some weird thing about recognising our own privilege.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,627 ✭✭✭✭elperello


    You are obviously working off a different definition of privilege which I believe is at odds with the actual meaning of the term.

    I'll leave it to others to make their own mind up about it.

    Is it a privilege to set a portion of your income aside for 25 to 30 years to provide a home for yourself and your family or is just the result of hard work ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,194 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    I mean, I'm literally using the dictionary definition of privilege:

    an advantage that only one person or group of people has, usually because of their position or because they are rich.

    Not everyone can or will be a home owner. That is an unfortunate, undeniable, simple fact. Some people will never be healthy enough, or wealthy enough, no matter what.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 754 ✭✭✭Kurooi


    So is your stance that everybody is privileged? If I eat tonight, I'm privileged because there are some people that don't?

    If I take a breath on my own , I'm privileged over somebody who can't and needs a machine?

    Is that right? Can you think of anybody, one person any at all, that in your mind is not privileged?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,194 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Correct. We're all privileged in some shape or form. Whats wrong with saying that?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,627 ✭✭✭✭elperello


    Like I said you're out on your own.

    Most will recognise the effort involved in getting and paying off a mortgage and realise it's hard work not privilege.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,516 ✭✭✭Quitelife


    I worked in a job 30 years ago and got 200 punts a week and my rent was 30 punts a week , 15% of my disposable income
    The person doing that exact same job today who I met lately gets 600 Euro but their rent is 300 Euro a week - 50% of their disposable income .

    Their wages are 3 times my wages but their rent is 10 times what my rent was !!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 754 ✭✭✭Kurooi


    Nothing, it makes sense I suppose. But it also means 'privilege' is nothing.

    It's like saying we're all rich. And we're all poor. We're all beautiful. We're all ugly.

    The words, their meaning, all rendered meaningless.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,194 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Maybe on this thread I'm on my own, and that's fine. I know I have people on my side when it comes to knowing what privilege is. In my opinion, it's always good to be aware of what you have and be thankful for it.

    Do you think I think people pay off a mortgage undeservedly or something? Or that people who manage to pay off a mortgage are lucky or something? Not at all. Hard work should be rewarded, and a house and pension should be the pinnacle of a life well lived.

    It doesn't mean that we shouldn't recognise the privilege we have had to do that, as it's something that many won't be able to achieve.

    For example, every birthday, I recognise the privilege of having a birthday and what has been involved in me taking another trip around the sun. Many haven't reached my age. Out of my year in school, nearly 30 people (out of 130 or so) have passed away over the years, from car accidents, suicides, drug overdoses, and accidents.

    Anyway, have a good night, I'm bowing out of this thread. I often find on boards that these "discussions" generally turn into circle jerks, and I don't fancy that tonight.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,194 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Someone who hasn't a penny compared to someone like Musk, isn't privileged, financially.

    That same person, if they have 2 legs, are privileged, compared to a wheelchair bound user.

    Just because you have privilege in one area, doesn't mean, you lead a privileged life as a whole.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,719 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭drury..




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,627 ✭✭✭✭elperello


    No, this isn't some circle jerk.

    You just started out calling having paid off a mortgage an "extreme privilege" and didn't back down.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,719 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    I think your bowing out because you’ve had the privilege of realising you don’t actually understand the meaning of privilege 🤣🤣



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,172 ✭✭✭tabby aspreme


    "An advantage to a person or group" not the norm in everyday socity so



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,719 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Indeed but it takes a lot of work.
    Even more work to pay it off early.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭drury..


    Doesn't always take hard work

    It does for the working class



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,253 ✭✭✭Steven81


    I think there are 2 categories, the first are the people probably 40 and over, the majority would have houses from the Celtic tiger years when the banks were giving out money no issue. Although they have a mortgage it would be low enough in most cases with the majority of money now spent on childcare, food expenses, socialising.

    The under 40s due to the lack of housing and I suppose different times and culture are more likely to be still at home, compared to leaving college, getting a job and leaving home they are more stay at home with mammy and daddy. For some I know they just can’t get a house, keep getting outbid, others are just happy to have the income without much expense due to mammy snd daddy still paying for everything



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,719 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Well yeah I suppose so.
    Some people are just privileged 🤣



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 162 ✭✭Alexus25


    Hard when all your friends are married off, having children and not available to spread the cost 🤷‍♀️ actually looking to go on a solo trip there and you're paying for a room for 2 despite it only being for yourself, price for 1 is the same as price for 2. I looked up deals on Groupon for a few nights away abroad and deal is only for 2 people so I'd have to pay double the cost, can't win



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,242 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    In 2022, the average disposable income of the households in the top decile was 3,053 per week.

    Are you clear on how disposable income is defined?

    Please see the table below.

    Top decile per week, on average, all at household level

    Wages = 3,133

    Total gross market income = 5,048

    plus social transfers = 156 per week

    less direct taxes = 2,151 per week, God Bless these people, they are keeping the country going

    That leaves disposable income of 3,053 per week, which is then either spent or saved.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,395 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Grand, so the figures quoted are the results of survey taken from a sample of people. I've heard of it alright. But it's not gospel either.

    I know for a fact that I've never been asked to sum our expenditure of some notion of essential outgoings that would lead to some deduction of what our disposable income is. Have you, has anyone on this thread?

    So while the results are interesting, I wouldn't regard them as proof of anything much other than the results of a survey.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,226 ✭✭✭flatty


    I would understand disposable income to be income after bills are paid. Money to dispose of as you will.

    Ireland is staggeringly wealthy and relatively expensive.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,242 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    As a teenager in the 1950s, my mother studied by candlelight. There was no toilet indoors in her house, at that time.

    She couldn't afford a particular textbook, and the neighbours would not lend it to her, so she often walked about 2km each way to a classmate to borrow the book.

    She saved while working, aged 18-30.

    At about age 30-35, when married, she bought a fairly typical semi-D, with her savings and a local authority mortgage.

    If anybody suggests to me that she is privileged, they are bonkers.



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 10,718 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    Your comments do not really match your title! There will eventually be another recession but nothing on the horizon as of yet and give that 9 out 10 businesses fail even in good times, so it is not really surprising for shops to pop up and close down on a regular basis….

    Broke has a very different meaning for many people, how would you define it?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 162 ✭✭Alexus25


    I get what you mean, many people (not all) that have been fortunate to escape chronic illness are luckily and respectfully ignorant



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,783 ✭✭✭JVince


    We're near the top for net take home pay and social welfare payments.

    If you pay people more, it has to come from somewhere.

    Exclude alcohol and cigarettes and I think we are about 6th or 7th.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,242 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Yes, this can be confusing.

    In economics, in the CSO, and in this thread, disposable income is before you spend a penny.

    It is after the State intervene by paying out social transfers and charging direct taxes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,242 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    The earnings data is not based on a survey of people. It is based on a survey of firms (mean earnings) and on admin data (mean and median earnings)

    The income data is based on a survey of households, see below:

    Methodology

    Rotational Sample Design

    In 2022 the SILC sample moved from a 5-year to a 6-year rotational sample, with both a cross-sectional and a longitudinal element. Households interviewed for the first time are Wave 1 households.  Households who are interviewed in subsequent years are Wave 2 households (2nd year in the sample), Wave 3 households (3rd year in the sample), Wave 4 (4th year in the sample), Wave 5 (5th year in the sample), or Wave 6 (6th and final year in the sample). The initial sample design attempts to seed the sample with 20% for each new wave. However, due to non-response and sample attrition the waves are not evenly balanced in the sample with Wave 1 households usually tending to dominate.

    Response Rates

    The overall response rate for the SILC survey in 2023 was 36.9%.  The response rate is heavily influenced by the Wave 1 response rate which was 23.9% in 2023.  The response rates tend to be a lot higher for Wave 2-6 households and in 2023 the response rate for Wave 2-6 households was 59.2%.

    Sample design

    In 2022 a new sampling methodology (which was further refined in 2023) was introduced to ensure SILC will be able to meet the precision requirements specified in the IESS regulation. Waves 1 and 2 of the SILC 2023 sample were selected using this methodology. In SILC 2023 Wave 3, 4, 5 and 6 comes from the 2018 sampling frame.

    The following is a brief overview of the revised SILC sample methodology, from which Wave 1 of SILC 2023 was selected:

    • The SILC sample is a Stratified Simple Random Sample (SSRS).
    • The sample is stratified by county and 10 equivalised income bands.
    • Households were selected using probability proportional to size (PPS) of each strata.
    • The sampling frame is the 2016 Census, excluding households previously sampled for other social surveys.
    • Including longitudinal cases (waves -2-6), 12,000 households were selected for interview.

    The Wave 1 sample methodology for SILC in 2022 was the same as the method used in 2023 with the following exception. In 2023, households were selected using probability proportional to size (PPS) of each strata. In 2022 households were selected using Neyman allocation. This involved allocating the sample across the strata according to the variability of income, where strata with large variance were allocated more of the sample.

    The following is a brief overview of the 2014 SILC sample methodology, from which Waves 3-6 of SILC 2023 were selected:

    • The SILC sample is a multi-stage cluster sample resulting in all households in Ireland having an equal probability of selection.
    • The sample is stratified by NUTS4 and quintiles derived from the Pobal HP (Haase and Pratschke) Deprivation Index.
    • In the 2018 sample the clusters are based on Census Enumeration Areas, rather than the Household Survey Collection Unit Small Areas used in the 2014 sample.
    • A sample of 1,200 blocks (i.e. Census Enumeration Areas, Census 2016) from the total population of blocks is selected.
    • Blocks are selected using probability proportional to size (PPS), where the size of the block is determined by the number of occupied households on Census night 2016. 100 households from each block are selected at random to be retained for selection within each block.
    • All occupied households on Census night 2016 within each block are eligible for selection in the SILC sample.
    • Households within blocks are selected using simple random sampling without replacement (SRS) for inclusion in the survey sample.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,950 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    I found it hard to believe at first but then you think of the entire suburbs of multi million homes and then it seems more plausible.

    The statistics don't lie.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,625 ✭✭✭con___manx1


    I'm not sure about another recession but there has been a good few people laid off recently that I know from different industries. For example my girlfriend was made redundant last week by an American company based in dublin. The company I work for is going to be letting people go in the near future. Looking like september.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 260 ✭✭hello2020


    THIS.. Wages gone up 3 times but rent up 10 times.. we are basically working for banks to pay interest on loans..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,516 ✭✭✭Quitelife


    we are working for property owners be that yourself or worse again a landlord and to keep those property prices high



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,344 ✭✭✭Gusser09


    And a really well paid job usually. Also other personal circumstances come into it too. Like having fewer or no kids. Leaving frugally for a very long time etc. It is a sign of huge discipline for sure and I'm not sure whether most would put the more enjoyable parts of their lives on hold for a such a long period. And I don't blame them either.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,344 ✭✭✭Gusser09


    Lads this debate really is all about the state of property ownership in the country. When you think that the banks or central bank won't take into account the fact the people are paying colossal rents when it comes to mortgage applications it's disgusting. All they are doing is propping up the sector by keeping as many in it as possible. It's disgraceful that someone can pay 2k per month rent but the bank won't give them a mortgage for 1100 or 1200. That's just completely wrong.



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