Summer 2024 - General Discussion

Lovely cloud formations today.

Oh I know .Not their fault the weather has been atrocious .

Just bad timing imo for releasing that news

He didn't mention shleet is on the way then.

😜

Lovely morning in Galway.

Could be at the weekend as temperature only 5c at night but I doubt it.

Of course the 3rd week of July is the forecast warmest as it was in 2011 since this is the copycat. Could be mid twenties in parts that week a couple of days. And hot drizzle in the NW also as it was in 2011.

Lovely morning in Cork City but the heavy rain has just arrived.

I have tried to look in to the source of their forecasting models for Ireland, Europe. For the US, they use the Weather Company (IBM Model i think)

I really cannot find what data source they use. So i can only assume it also comes from same data source as US based forecasts.

FWIW, I find it to be relatively accurate in real time both home and abroad

Was watching the UK Met office web forecast for tonight and the weekend and they seem to think tonights rain is mostly a southern affair with not a whole lot over Dublin yet we are under a yellow warning here since yesterday. Have to say on the the satellite and radar it doesn't look like much more than bog standard frontal rain.

Loud thunder over Castlebar now

Yep, my website webcam looks NE so it doesn't get blown out by the sun, looking SW is similar here.

I didnt water the pots out the back of the house this evening - really hoping for some rain, my garden grass was last cut two weeks ago which is really rare for this time of year and its mostly daisies poking their heads up rather than the grass, the ground must be dry as a bone.

Theres a few drops here near Arklow,this is looking south at my weather station tower towards Tara hill(in the distance to the right of the tower) and Gorey (looks wet down there about 10kms away)

Looking north towards wicklow mtns

This evenings Stansted- Knock flight was in the hold for a while due to bad weather with heavy rain and poor visibility. They reported just seeing the runway lights at minimums to which the tower replied its deteriorated quite quickly. Nasty showers about

Exceptionally dry outlook from the latest gfs, particularly in western areas, hardly a drop of rain from this monday untill the end of the run, soil here is rock hard, very dry and dusty, just crumbles in your hand. Hopefully this will help temperatures rise quickly if we ever do get a warm spell.

MONTHLY FORECAST, ISSUED FRIDAY 05 JULY 2024

Week 1 (Monday 08 July to Sunday 14 July)

Current indications suggest low pressure will move in from the southwest at times bringing rain or shows at times. Temperatures are signalled to be close to average in many areas but slightly below average in parts of the east and south. Rainfall totals are predicted to be above average for much of Leinster and parts of the south, but with below average rainfall totals expected for much of the north, west and southwest, with close to normal amounts in some midland areas.

Week 2 (Monday 15 July to Sunday 21 July)

Week 2 has a signal for high pressure to influence or weather. As a result, lower than average precipitation is indicated countrywide. Temperatures are signalled to be around average for the time of year.

Week 3 (Monday 22 July to Sunday 28 July)

As we head into week 3 confidence in the forecast reduces, however the current signal is for high pressure to remain in charge of our weather. As a result temperatures are signalled to be above average for the time of year in conjunction  with lower than average rainfall across the country.

Week 4 (Monday 29 July to Sunday 04 August)

Confidence in the forecast as we head into week 4 is low. However, there is a signal for high pressure to be positioned to the northwest. Temperatures are signalled to be around average or slightly above. Rainfall totals are signalled to continue below average for the time of year.

Cold, rain, thunder, North Wicklow

Out in Greystones now, lovely evening somehow despite dark grey clouds all around us. No wind, sun coming out and I don’t have a jacket on. Apparently rain is due but Greystones has a very micro climate and rarely gets rain in my experience.

11 degrees and raining, comically poor. Cork.

12 degrees and pouring in Cork City :-(

Lashing down in Dublin 8 right now....hope there are no outdoor events in Dublin tonight