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The decline of FG?

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  • Registered Users Posts: 146 ✭✭redoctober


    Exactly. It's comical that someone would get the blame for forming a govt from people they broadly agree with at the expense of those they strongly disagree with. That's politics. Imagine the converse: Sinn Fein forming a govt using parties from the left "to keep FFG" out of govt? How dare they! No, that's just the way it works.

    What I don't really agree with is what happened in France this week where people stepped aside in constituencies to allow more votes for the left/centrist candidate to keep out the far-right. To me that's not really in the spirit of democracy though in this case we might agree with the ends.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,609 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    FG is not 'my' party.

    And yes, polls go up and down, BUT look at the trend, that is the key. The goverment parties are on the way up or at the very least holding steady.

    SF by contrast are falling like a stone.

    This is the trend line for the parties.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,213 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Voting pacts are around a long time, but usually between parties/ candidates that are broadly in agreement with each other. This pact in France was between parties highly critical of each other and simply joined temporarily to keep another out. But what do they do next??

    As regards FG I wouldn't say they are in decline but like the Tories have been in government too many terms now and will be removed next election.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 15,483 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    have been in government too many terms now and will be removed next election.

    And replaced by whom?

    ANY hope of forming a Government in Ireland will require the involvement of either FF or FG , that's just a reality.

    SF will need one of them to form a Government should they deliver a similar (or even a bit better) performance to the last GE.

    However it seems that SF have thus far failed to convince the Electorate or indeed any potential coalition partners of their ability to be in Government.

    SF won't be big enough to form a government without the involvement of FF or FG and both parties are unwilling to entertain a partnership with them as they (probably correctly) believe that a very substantial chunk of their support base would never ever vote for them again if they did so.

    SF's failure to find a set of policies and positions/opinions that assuage the concerns of voters and potential coalition partners is the reason they will not be part of Government any time soon.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,901 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The only option for removing FG from government would be a FF/SF/others government. FF won't do rotating Taoiseach with MLMD, so FF have to be the bigger party. Difficult to see FF getting to 25% with SF on 18%, that would require another 7% from somewhere????



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  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Seems to me FG have done whatever it takes to stay in power.
    They wouldn't at one time put FF in charge of Finance, but they did, because they had to. to stay in government.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,364 ✭✭✭pureza


    Isn't the opposition doing whatever it can to get into power

    Same difference



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The main opposition have not said they would never go into coalition with 'x' or said that they wouldn't put 'x' in charge of finance.




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,364 ✭✭✭pureza


    Yeah and isn't that doing everything they can to get into government?

    FF and FG are working on the principle that they can reject SF and going on current polling,isn't that possible?

    SF don't have that luxury do they ?

    As far as I am aware the finance role switching was agreed in 2020 as part of the programme for government and those programmes are part and parcel of negotiated coalitions,whats wrong with that?



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Yes, and if FG had been truthful (they weren't) they wouldn't have been in that negotiation.
    I.E. we can extrapolate that anyone claiming FG won't do something is talking through the proverbial.
    If SF or any other party is willing to do what it takes, they don't be claiming FG won't also do what it takes to hold onto power,
    They evidentially will.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,364 ✭✭✭pureza


    Thats a ridiculous statement

    Since when did statements prior to an election have to be adhered to after the results of an election serve up a plate of un preferred options?

    Since when was a manifesto for one party all in a programme for government ?

    Lie how are ya

    Fact of the matter is,Fine Gael wanted to go into opposition but in the interest of the country when no other option was going to work dealt with FF in order to give the country a stable government and like it or lump it,it has lasted its full term which is the definition of stable



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,901 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    You are indeed correct.

    February 2020, and Fine Gael lost the election and wanted to go into opposition. Sinn Fein "won" the election, but were conpletely unable to get anyone to talk to them because they were unpalatable.

    March 2020, Covid happens, Fine Gael are in government because another government hasn't been formed. They see what is facing the country, and in the interests of the country, turn around and go into government. They shouldn't be criticised for that, they should be praised for that.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Since when did statements prior to an election have to be adhered to after the results of an election serve up a plate of un preferred options?

    So tell the electorate anything and then do the opposite?

    Spare me the 'interests of the country' stuff will you?
    FG did what they did in their own interests first.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,920 ✭✭✭Augme


    Just accept they are in decline. They lost 9% in the European elections to their previous result in the Europeans and lost 3% in the locals compared to previous locals. That's a decline, no matter how badly you want to pretend otherwise.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,920 ✭✭✭Augme


    If you don't like the thread don't post in it. It's not rocket science. FG declining 9% from their previous European results is massive decline.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 15,483 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    No ,

    It's "Tell the electorate what you would do if they give you a majority" however if (when) you fail to get a majority then you negotiate with others and try to get as much of your plan as possible but understanding that you won't get it all and you may even have to agree to some things that you initially said you wouldn't do.

    You seem to genuinely struggle with what the outcomes of negotiations actually look like.

    Some may see a kind of perceived "purity" in total refusal to compromise on anything but ultimately it achieves nothing in the real world.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,699 ✭✭✭standardg60


    SF called for, and still do, a Government without either FF or FG, and then complained when neither party engaged with them in discussions for a coalition.

    You still waffle on about MM shutting the door on SF after the last election yet SF reneging on their own election promise isn't an issue?



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    SF called for, and still do, a Government without either FF or FG,

    …as an ideal outcome, but if that was not possible they would talk to anyone.

    Link to MLMD saying it, note the date;

    The Dublin Central TD said her first preference was to form a government “without Fianna Fáil or Fine Gael”.

    “The best possible outcome from this election is a government without Fianna Fáil or Fine Gael. The worst outcome for us is a government of Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael working together.”

    She asked people to “vote for change and transfer for change”.

    When asked if it is possible to form a governing coalition of the left, she said: “I think we need to be steady on these matters and not get ahead of ourselves.” However, she said Sinn Féin would talk to all comers - including People Before Profit, the Greens, Labour, the Social Democrats, Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil and others - on a future government.

    Say what you want, but she did not tell porkies like FG and FF did.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    In the TV debate where he said it, Varadkar was talking about coalescing with FF if there was no Government. Not if they were given a majority.
    No party talked about getting majorities as it was clear there wouldn't be one.



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,074 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    A lot of flailing guff from you the last few days.

    Can't wait for the GE now.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Can't stand high moral grounders getting up on high horses.

    Particularly the butter wouldn't melt FG variety tbh. They are as slippery as they come when it comes to it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,364 ✭✭✭pureza


    Your contributions tonight ignoring the real politik of parties pre results digging in and then ignoring your own parties get them out campaigning then we'll share with them flip flopping what is one to make of that only that you want cheap shots

    Problem is you're doing that in plain sight and get mad when called out on it

    You and your 3 or 4 fans here who follow you around bigging up the government are at this all the time

    Right crack (I don't think)

    I would suggest checking your health insurers for the therapy clearly some people here need,it's not normal

    I'll leave ye at it,its not debate

    Ergo I've lost interest

    ,



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,213 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    It's the most likely outcome, a FF/SF government and FF will be there to keep the Shinners in check with their wild ideas that might wreck the country both economically and politically. Marylou if she's still in the seat, will be a rotated Taoiseach.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You seem to be saying the real politick is that FG can lie to the electorate and still take the high moral ground.
    When you wipe away all the noise and Pat Rabbitte style excusing that’s where we are at.

    Who is ‘mad’ by the way? It’s not the first time I have read FG protection posts dressed up as impartial thoughts Pureza.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,345 ✭✭✭landofthetree


    SF want to end the tax break on health insurance. Insanity. No wonder FG on doing well. Health insurance is reallt cheap because of the tax break.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,901 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    That kind of struggle with the norms of democratic politics is something a lot of SF supporters have.

    Remember Twitter after the last election when Leo getting elected on the fifth count meant he wasn't a real TD, but nothing said about the struggles in the local and Europeans for SF to do similar.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    How Ireland works;

    Remember what was said on Twitter but let's forget what political leaders said to the electorate.

    P.S. SF thread(s) that way »»»



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 15,483 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    I'm struggling to understand what exactly it is you'd like to see here?

    "We will never ever compromise and will refuse to do absolutely anything that isn't 100% aligned with what we say right now?"

    Regardless of any changes in circumstances or conditions?

    Parties say to the Electorate before the vote - "Here's the list of things we will/will not do if given a mandate sufficient to do so".

    That doesn't necessarily mean an overall majority , but clearly the closer you get to said Majority the easier it is to hold firm on your list of items.

    Following the last Election you had two parties with almost equal seats therefore there neither side really held a trump card , so it required a lot of compromise to find common ground and that's what happened.

    FF and FG were able to refuse to negotiate with SF because alternative options existed.

    If no one was willing to compromise or change their viewpoint based on updated conditions we would never have a government and nothing would ever get done.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I am holding him accountable for what he told the electorate, nothing more.

    Sure you make compromises but did he really? He sat back vowing to go into opposition probably knowing what would happen.
    Both FF and FG knew what would probably happen in another election and were not prepared to risk it, dressed it up as 'for the good of the country' and coalesced.

    A cynical view, yeh it is, because I am cynical about them. They are two of a kind, peas in a pod etc.

    It's going to be fascinating how they approach the next election, will we hear claims like these, how will they distinguish themselves or will they try and sell themselves as a package?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,609 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    But its party and supporters are forever going on about FF, FG and the power swap.

    So which is it?

    Vote for SF for 'change'?

    Or vote for SF so they can do a deal with FF or FF, or both..?



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