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General Irish politics discussion thread

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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,602 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    It leaves the door open for extremists because they do not need to build any consensus with other parties via a coalition. 

    Hold on. Take a few steps back.


    Extremist parties first have to win many seats to get a say. As we have seen, that isn't easy in an FPTP system, so how does an extremist party like the BNP win these seats in the first place?

    And if they can't form a coalition, so what? They won't be in power.

    Again, explain exactly, how does FPTP 'open the door' to extremists..

    They just need to get into power even as a minority which very often happens in FPTP. 

    How? They would need to outpoll the Labour party and the Tories, to take a UK example. Do you think that is easy?

    The last time those 2 parties weren't the top 2, was back in the 1920s when Labour supplanted the Liberal Party as the centre-left broadchurch party of the UK.

    PR is much more democratic and its need for negotiation and consensus building makes it very difficult for extremists to gain control of the government

    More democratic is debatable, but yes you are half right as PR lends itself to multi-party governments, but as we have just seen in Holland, the PPV, the far-right party of that state are now in government. They are not the only example.

    Not so with FPTP which requires little of no consensus.

    Again, half right, as FPTP usually lends itself to one broad church centre-left/right party gaining most of the seats even on a minority of the vote. Parties don't need to compromise if they have an overall majority.

    But this is not the same thing as letting the 'door open to extremists', in fact as I am trying to argue it is often a bulwark against it as extreme manifestos are usually rejected, e.g. Corbyn and centrist ones are accepted .e.g. Blair/Starmer

    If the Tories for some mad reason installed Farage as leader, they will never win the next GE, as he is too extreme for most of the country.

    Post edited by markodaly on


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,949 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    France isn't really pr though. It's still single seat constituencies just with 2 rounds to weed out small vote getters



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,792 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    FG selection conventions have to be done by September 22nd; and everyones about to go on holiday so I'd expect we'll see any final retirements imminently - and Simon Coveney has confirmed his now.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    How many, who stood in 2020, are not standing again is it now, 11?



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,792 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    This makes it 12 sitting FG/elected as FG (McHugh's FG status is questionable now) TDs.

    I am still expecting Durkan to go also and there's rumours about some more.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 34,884 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Was Thatcher a centrist? I would say she was anything but.

    After all, 52% of the people voted for it, did they not?

    52% of the portion of the electorate (which itself is a portion of the people) who turned out on the day.

    Many of whom cast a protest vote and did not want to leave the EU.

    Many more of whom did not understand the consequences of their vote (hardly a surprise as the Leavers broke electoral law on funding and lied with impunity) and since regret it.

    It's notable that the people most affected by the vote - long-term EU residents in the UK - did not get a vote at all.

    But yeah, it's democracy, for some debased devalution of the word democracy - just like FPTP. "Democracy in name only" if you prefer.

    Post edited by Hotblack Desiato on

    The Dublin Airport cap is damaging the economy of Ireland as a whole, and must be scrapped forthwith.



  • Registered Users Posts: 990 ✭✭✭gym_imposter




  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Farage? Are you serious?

    His party is a magnet for racists, bigot and islamophobes, to a degree that has embarrassed even the party itself. You may not have noticed his extremism but they certainly have.

    He's a noted Putin fanboy. He has stated that he admires him as a political operator. Putin's political operations, of course, include assassinations, torture, the subversion of democracy, autocratic rule, media supression, widespread crony corruption and the invasion of neighbouring states; Nigel likes that kind of thing because he reckons it gets results.

    He obsesses about illegal immigration to a degree out of all proportion to the actual signficance of the issue.

    He wants to impose a punitive levy on businesses that (entirely legitimately) employ “foreign workers”.

    He leans heavily into culture wars at the expense of freedom of thought and opinion. He want schools to "ban transgender ideology” and to enforce a “patriotic” model of education which means, among other things, that “any teaching about a period or example of British or European imperialism or slavery must be paired with the teaching of a non-European occurrence of the same to ensure balance.”

    He wants to end "woke policing", whatever that is.

    He wants to "reclaim Britain", which according to his manifesto involves indulging post-COVID-19 paranoia about the World Health Organization, the World Economic Forum, and the declining use of cash currency.

    His entire politics is based on stoking fear, anger and division.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,602 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Yea, France is a bit of a mad system.

    Round 2 is for those with buyers remorse and I guess it makes people think harder on their choices.

    In Round 1, unless someone gets 50% of the vote, they go to Round 2.

    It's like FPTP but with some guardrails and a higher threshold to be elected.

    Again though it favours more centrist parties in the long run. Extreme parties who do well in round 1 can be ganged up on, and outvoted in round 2.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,602 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Will be interesting who they put up for the nomination.

    Will it be Buttimer again, or will Shane O'Callgahan get a chance? He is much younger than Buttimer who isn't all that popular.

    Will also be the first time in 43 years a Coveny was not up for election in that constituency.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    I think it's somewhere in between FPTP and STV.

    In round 2, if it's apparent that your favoured candidate has no hope of being elected (or if your favoured candidate has withdrawn) you can think about who you would like instead, and vote for them — effectively you get to express a second preference.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,602 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    I am not re-debating Brexit, it's been done to death.

    But the idea was put forward that Brexit was the result of FPTP, which ignored the actual large groundswell of opinion that was in favour of it, and in a PR system, that support would have coalesced to a party more aligned to its values and would have had a large number of seats in Westminister.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,602 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Yea, that is a good way of looking at it.
    While its technically an FPTP system, the 2 rounds offer a 2nd preference for those who want to change their mind or see their candidate dumped out of it in the 1st round.

    Channel 4 did a piece on PR vs FPTP recently.

    As always its a trade off.



  • Registered Users Posts: 21,429 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Will John Mullins be the replacement for Simon Coveney?



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,068 ✭✭✭✭BonnieSituation


    I much prefer PR-STV obviously but for the likes of the UK, it wouldn't be the worst first step for Westminster elections to adopt the two-round system.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,901 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    It creates a great opportunity for Harris to reinvent his party with a new image, new leader, new candidates.

    It is a pity that O'Gorman is not doing the same.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,602 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    I thought he was going to run in Cork East, but I may be mistaken.



  • Registered Users Posts: 990 ✭✭✭gym_imposter


    Any politician opposed to teaching kids about " transgenderism" , can't be all bad



  • Registered Users Posts: 34,884 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    We're now at the "but he got the trains to run on time" stage 🙄

    The Dublin Airport cap is damaging the economy of Ireland as a whole, and must be scrapped forthwith.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,207 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    Buttimer will almost certainly be going for it. He got unlucky in the past when his home patch in Bishopstown got split between CNC and CSC. After the recent boundary review it's all back in CSC again. There's an extra seat in the constituency as well so they very well could run two candidates and since O'Callaghan is from a different part of the constituency it could very well be him as the running mate. Des Cahill might throw his hat in the ring as well though.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 10,949 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    Surely they want to win the seat? He was a very poor MEP candidate, can't see how he'd fare better in a dail election...



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,068 ✭✭✭✭BonnieSituation


    Dear Christ.

    Why are you right-wingers so obsessed with other people's genitalia?



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,068 ✭✭✭✭BonnieSituation




  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 15,483 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Indeed - Might be a first step in the right direction for them,

    Go to ranked choice ,where it's still single seat but you give your ranked choice and then if no one gets to 50.1% you exclude all but the top two and allocate the secondary choices of the excluded votes.

    They use that in the US in a few States - Maine and Alaska for sure and perhaps a few others.

    It's what gave the Alaska House seat to the Democrats over Palin a while back.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,491 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    It's also a pretty instructive use of language too, isn't it? I guess it's easier to disassociate the concept of helping the well-being and safety of humans, looking for paths to their own happiness, if you can use a term that makes it sound like a movement or a cult. It's patently and intentionally dehumanising language.

    Anyway, off topic I know.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,207 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    I'm confused. What's the RCV suggestion in response to?



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,949 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    Single seats is rubbish, regardless of how you pick the winner.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 15,483 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Don't disagree in the slightest , but as an intermediate step on the journey from FPTP to fully functional PR it might be useful.

    A move to full PR would require blowing up all of their constituencies and changing how they vote all at the same time which a lot of UK voters might see as too great a change in a single step.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,949 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    The Scottish and the Welsh already use the additional member system for their devolved governments. They use the GOAT that is PR-STV in the north. They used use the alternative vote for mayoral elections until the tories did away with that.

    The British can handle a new system. The big thing would be to ensure it's independently devised and controlled, avoiding the perception of gerrymandering or collusion.

    It'll never happen though.



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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 91,627 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    In FPTP about one third of the seats are safe, a donkey with the right colour rosette would win. (Here multiple seats means local voters can override parachute candidates.)

    In most others it's a two horse race, there is literally no point in voting for a third candidate.

    In seats with three or more contenders the transferable vote means you don't have to second guess who others will likely vote for.

    *I say that as a Green supporter

    The UK Green party got 4 seats from 1,841,888 votes in 2024 in Westminster.

    In 2015 the DUP got 184,260 votes and 8 seats. Twice as many seats on a tenth of the vote.



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