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The decline of SF?

1679111215

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,522 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    The government are the biggest leasers of private sector homes in the country built by the private sector. Any idiot can tell you that having a new housing development funded by a pension fund etc where 50 percent of it is being payed for with inflated rent prices by the local county council is having a massive effect on rent inflation. The market is being driven by the government and investment funds at present if you believe otherwise you are extremely naive or just a Fg/ff lackie. It's another Ponzi scheme. We will see who is right .....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,035 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    The local councils have to pay the going rate for rent, just like everyone else does, in order to avail of the property.

    Again, the rental price for property is dictated by the market, not by the govenrnment or any other state/private body.

    Where the government certianly could do more to manage rent prices is by scaling up their own building programme and leaving the private sector market well alone.

    Difficult to do in terms of hiring staff required to enable this, but local councils have largely absolved the task of building social homes to the private sector & that policy in itself has caused a slow down in construction.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,473 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The problems in Dublin have been compounded by the complete failure of Dublin City Council during the period from 2014 to 2019 when they failed to develop any social housing despite copious amounts of finance being available from the government. Dublin has been playing catch-up ever since.



  • Site Banned Posts: 2,799 ✭✭✭Bobtheman


    I am aghast at people predicting vote rises or declines with certainty.

    Lots of commentators said FF were slipping only to see them rise about 6%higher than opinion polls.

    The likelihood is SF will do better than 12% at the locals but they will hardly reach the 25%they got in 2020. They'd be very lucky to reach 18%

    Martin ferris can stare at the results all he likes. SF can twist and turn all they like but doing what they did in 2020 is unlikely.

    They made a terrible mistake in not seeing the immigration issue coming down the tracks. It showed real disdain for their working class supporters who were sick of refugees being housed in their areas. It was clear since Ireland went over board with taking in refugees from Ukraine that the worm would turn in a short period of time.

    I could have saved the gun runner weeks of work. Your core support is somewhere around 15-18%. A lot support over that is very soft and made up of people who really had not thought it through.

    I'm not anti SF I'd like to see them in government with FG or FF but on their own I wouldn't trust them. They inately hate the middle classes.



  • Site Banned Posts: 2,799 ✭✭✭Bobtheman


    Mary lou still not getting it on immigration. She should either go for a zero refugee policy or just forget it.

    Concentrate on other issues



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,808 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    New policy will be out in 10 days. That may stabilise the losses and turn the ship, but that will take time as the change flagged will lack credibility.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,148 ✭✭✭Augme


    There's little to no real support for anti immigration parties in Ireland. SF chasing that percentage of vote seems like a very poor tactic.

    Post edited by Augme on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,882 ✭✭✭pureza


    I see people before profit are looking for a formal electoral pact ahead of the election

    Yeah if I was a median income FF leaning voter with ambition to grow my career and salary,that would really push me to SF,I'd be really happy and confident that I'd be keeping more of my salary…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,808 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    I see MLMCD has done some contrition, not listening to the grassroots and not fully engaged enough, she's told:

    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/sinn-fein-chiefs-disappointed-with-my-grassroots-engagement-admits-mcdonald/ar-BB1pWVC5



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,059 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    MLMD turning more right-wing on migration it seems.

    @FrancieBrady told us he would abandon them if they did this. Will he be true to his word?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,228 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    When you have a penchant for misquoting people you can make me say anything.

    You are leaving out a crucial word 'far'.

    I said I wouldn't vote for any party that is far right.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,559 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    No chance

    The poster also claimed he wouldn't vote for a party that would be a mud guard for the other parties. When it was pointed out that exactly what they will be they jumped around on that one :-)

    Don't you know they used to vote for FG 🤣



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,228 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Jumped where exactly?

    You decided they'd be a mudguard, which isn't a fact no matter how much you revere your own opinion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,428 ✭✭✭dublin49


    hard to see how this can be said with any confidence given no major party has offered an anti immigration offer,I believe SF are losing support because their supporters have a much harder attitude to immigration than SF are currently offering.Mary Lou has tried to lead her supporters into the pro immigration camp and they have not followed,she may need to pivot to representing her supporters rather than her current position.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,148 ✭✭✭Augme


    The results from the locals and Europeans do give an indication of where the votes went. They seemed to go independent Ireland, Renua and then the lunatic far right parties. The first right lunatics hate all foreigners. If they chase after that vote, they'll actually be giving up on their true core left wing support and they will also isolate themselves form every other left wing party in Ireland. SF have always traditionally been pro asylum seekers and immigration. As I said, any lurch to the right and they really need to think what the consequences of that will be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,059 ✭✭✭✭markodaly




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,473 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    So you would be happy to vote for a party to the right of FG and FF on immigration, but that they wouldn't be far right?

    Are you having a laugh?

    Sinn Fein are going to pivot to the right, to an immigration policy that Farage would love. You will swallow it and continue to walk the party line, despite everything you have said on the subject.



  • Site Banned Posts: 2,799 ✭✭✭Bobtheman


    I'm not so sure. Independent Ireland had a very good election. They are clearly anti immigration. Look at their Web site. I could see them getting a surge of votes. I could also other anti immigrant parties getting a few seats. Remember SF in 2020 elected people to the Dail who could not win a local election.

    Thus the electorate is volatile and while the trend of FF/FG getting early 20s is probably right and SF will do better than the locals by at least 5%there's potential for anti immigrant Tds



  • Site Banned Posts: 2,799 ✭✭✭Bobtheman


    The vast majority of the electorate don't want refugees . No mainstream party has agreed with this position.

    Parties like the national party don't have a huge media presence. At the best times it's hard for a new party to break through. Plus a lot of voters might think them a bit nuts.

    IND Ireland came out various independents. It's debatable if it could be called a normal party but then again the same could be said about SF. While SF are a dictatorship in terms of how the party is run-Ind ire has no whip system and is thin on policy.

    However they are clearly anti refugee and respectable enough to attract voters.

    I get the impression that SF are distrusted by the rest of the left and vice a versa. They could easily tack right on immigration but unlikely to be taken seriously if they did



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,808 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    So, you don't see SF forming an election pact with PBP?



  • Site Banned Posts: 2,799 ✭✭✭Bobtheman


    No. A left pact would require agreeing to never enter government with FF or FG. I'm not sure SDP or Lab would even agree that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 64 ✭✭MrRigsby


    75% of people think Ireland is a soft touch on immigration. The anti immigration vote is huge , they just need a big party to vote for instead of loads of independents and small groups



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,612 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    The number of people who consider it a core issue when selecting who to vote for is tiny.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,473 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    I don't think that there is any chance of that anymore.

    The forthcoming reinvention of Sinn Fein as a right-wing anti-immigrant nationalist party will have more in common with Le Pen and Farage than with the likes of RBB and Paul Murphy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,035 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    A left wing socialist party is never going to take an anti immigration stance.

    It seems everyone has known this from day 1, apart from SF voters.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,308 ✭✭✭downtheroad


    SF finance maestro Pearse Doherty out today saying they will increase inheritance tax, opposing FG/FF plans to increase the tax free thresholds.

    They really do not want to be elected do they?

    https://www.thejournal.ie/pearse-doherty-sinn-fein-inheritance-tax-6439292-Jul2024/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,882 ✭✭✭pureza


    It will not solidify the vote amongst the 7 out of 10 householders who own their own home anyhow will it

    Its probably only there to shore up budgetry figures for spending plans they have somewhere anyhow which wouldn't be needed in a coalition, never mind death duties increases finding their way into a programme for govrrnment anyway,basically political waffle best describes that ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,148 ✭✭✭Augme


    Not every home owner is some right winger who hates paying tax.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,228 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Sinn Fein are populist

    Also: Sinn Fein are not populist.

    Confused? Stay tuned for more.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,388 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Nobody is confused about SF at all.

    Thats their problem.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,882 ✭✭✭pureza


    Ah here

    Nobody wants to pay more tax and cerrainly not death duties

    The policies purpose would be a short lived hole plugger in the costing of a manifesto,never to see the statute books but would it alienate a lot of people,yes

    I see Mary lou has upped the anti against her anti imigrant vote eating parasites by highlighting death threats from some of their followers as if she was the only one getting them

    She made a point of saying they were trying to alienate SF's core vote and in doing so it has helped to be sticking the Ireland for the Irish crowd with the looney assasin label

    This should win back a lot of supporters



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,473 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    What a silly little boy Pearse is when it comes to public policy. If he was submitting a Junior Cert essay on his policies he would fail.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,473 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The problem with being populist is that sooner or later you get found out. You can only swing so many times before you catch something fatal.

    That is where SF are now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,228 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I see Mary lou has upped the anti against her anti imigrant vote eating parasites by highlighting death threats from some of their followers as if she was the only one getting them

    That is just a pathetic way to have something negative to say about her.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,559 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,228 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    They all are from time to time Clo, that is what the factual records show. Government party incompetence has plunged us into crisis across society. From debilitating crashes to crisis in housing and health etc.

    Of course you only recognise and rant about it in one party as part of your pro government parties crusade.

    An unreliable analysis therefore.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,559 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    something something "insert another party name" something something

    broken record comes to mind



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,148 ✭✭✭Augme


    Ridiculous. Plenty of people agree with qealth taxes. Its a foundation of any party who claims to be left wing. The idea that a left wing party that has left wing policies isn't as shocking as you think it is.

    Look if you want to make fun of politicians receiving death threats then fair enough. I'll skip that one myself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,228 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Your own point was a 'comparison' Clo.

    You might like to think it wasn't but to call them incompetent while blithely ignoring actual incompetence by parties actually implementing policy, rubbishes the integrity and credibility of anything you have to say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,882 ✭✭✭pureza


    Theres many and theres not that many

    The latter would be Ireland going on the strength of party's to date that have advocated it,could you get a better idea of support than that

    Some peoples idealism,is most peoples 'nah don't agree with that',so what would wealth taxes chances be of getting into a programme of government here,nil

    Its there for accounting purposes in a manifesto and do you know going no further



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,338 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    It is not surprising Mary Lou McD on her social media posts yesterday spoke at length about the threat against her : only this morning did I hear on another news channel that she was not the only one threatened : Drew Harris was as well for example. Policemen on this island are well used to having a threat made against them by an individual, unfortunately. All threats now or in the past should be condemned.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,228 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    What's not surprising is the inability of some to call out this threat without qualifying it with a negative against her.
    She is not one of the selective victims so beloved by some.
    Sad really.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,338 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    All threats against all individuals were and are wrong. There was an alternative.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,228 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    MLMD has threatened nobody.

    Every single public representative on these islands commemorates or even celebrates and certainly justifies threats and violence against others if there was reason in their eyes. That is just a factual reality of who we are on these islands and even in the world.

    You don't agree with some peoples reasons and you are entitled to that view.

    You cannot call out this threat without the implication that she deserves it because of the actions of people who came before her, which is pretty appalling and nasty.

    For instance, imagine if you qualified a threat against a FFer by saying they stand over and celebrate the violence around the foundation of this state, so they shouldn't be surprised?

    You'd rightly be criticised for having that view.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,473 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Nonsense.

    MLMD supports a terrorist campaign that issued numerous death threats against politicians and carried them out. The targets ranged from a FG protestant politician to the UK's Mountbatten where they actually achieved their threat and to others such as various Taoisigh and Prime Ministers where they didn't.

    MLMD's deputy leader believes that these death threats were necessary and MLMD hasn't demurred. I am sure that the person making the death threats against MLMD also believes his death threats are necessary as do his supporters.

    We can therefore divide this discussion into two camps, those who believe death threats against politicians are wrong, full stop and those who nauseatingly and hypocritically consider some death threats against politicians to be ok. I stand with the former, it appears that yourself and MLMD stand with the latter.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,338 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Nobody claimed MLMD threatened anybody. The threat was against MLMD and Drew Harris, head of the Gardai. The foundation of the state was over a century ago so no living politician can be blamed for being associated with anyone alive then. All threats against all individuals were and are wrong. 



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,228 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Sickening really.
    As I said, every politician on these islands stands behind the violence, threats and bloodshed they thought was necessary to achieve certain outcomes or aims.

    You as usual want it everyway.

    MLMD has not harmed or threatened anyone, and is fully signed up to democratic means. Same as the leaders of parties that commemorate and celebrate violence and bloodshed and 'terrorism' in this state, not to mention our neighbours.

    MLMD is not one of your selective victims, this we know. Your hypocrisy is on show again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,882 ✭✭✭pureza


    Leo told RTÉ yesterday that he asked security not to tell him about all his death threats anymore as you'd never go out



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,473 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Only certain politicians stand behind death threats to other politicians. MLMD has no problem with the death threats to Margaret Thatcher, she has no problem with the death sentence carried out on Billy Fox following his death threat. Along with the rest of her party, that puts her in a different category to normal politicians.

    I am leaving it there, it is plain to see.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,228 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    They all stand behind death threats and death if it is in their interests. Unless Michael Collins picture hanging in the Taoiseach's office is for throwing darts at, that is.

    We all accept that Collins et was operating in a war/conflict situation which led us to a better place as do those who now overwhelmingly support SF. The conflict/war they were involved in is over for a quarter of a century now and SF are a legitimate, democratic political party.

    Your unbridled hate has led you to this juncture. Just as well you are stepping away.



This discussion has been closed.
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