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Biden v Trump (and one or two others) The US Presidential election 2024. Read OP before posting

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,310 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    Politicians lying omg that never happened before ...



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,957 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    It's a different beast altogether.

    I didn't like e.g. Bush, but he had some form of principles, limits.

    Trump has none whatsoever, lies effortlessly, and is (now) totally surrounded by other sycophantic populists who will sell their mothers to swear fealty and get a piece of the pie.



  • Registered Users Posts: 82,691 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    What untruths? Those were literal Trump policies (and existing campaign promises in 2024):

    https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-ukraine-russia-war-threatens-cut-aid-election-2024/

    https://amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/12/trump-russia-ukraine-book-comments

    https://www.politico.com/news/2022/02/23/trump-putin-ukraine-invasion-00010923

    https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2017/02/15/politics/trump-crimea-russia-twitter-obama

    The untruth is you claiming it was "annexed" in 2014, it was invaded, and Trump recognized it in 2017, Trump turned it into an 'annexation,' by policy of non contest.

    Trump will do the same **** again, clearly, given his own promises in 2024, recognize the invasion of Ukraine as annexation, and half witted rubes will call it an annexation, and claim it was annexed in 2021 when they have been successfully fighting off the Russians with western help for years now.

    I don't need your alternative "facts," your screed is utter russian crap.



  • Registered Users Posts: 82,691 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    The moderator did not ask him about the comparison to Hitler, a cynical asshole, or cultural heroin. And JD Vance replied with 'born again christian TM'



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,536 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    JD wins the prize as top boot licker then.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 389 ✭✭bewareofthedog


    You know the political environment is toxic when people will throw away dignity and change their entire belief system on a whim to get ahead. Total yes man who'll bend over backwards for Trump, say what you want about Pence he had integrity by the bucketload compared to this guy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,251 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    The president of the biggest union in the US just spoke at the RNC there, praising members of the Republican party. This seems unprecedented



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,372 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    How many US politicians have been attacked in politically motivated attacks the last five years? As opposed to the Slovak prime minister getting shot (but survived) earlier this year (which I presume was politically motivated), the former Japanese PM getting shot and killed a year ago at a campaign rally, a British MP getting stabbed to death by a Jihadist five years after a second MP was stabbed to death by a white supremacist, there was that German regional administrator shot in the face on the matter of immigration…

    As far as his match-up against Harris in a debate… I don't know too much about Vance, it must be said, but the man has two undergraduate degrees and a law degree from Yale, so he's presumably smart. He was a Marine, and is from the more rural part of the world before becoming an apparently successful businessman, so arguably a little more in touch with a lot of the "common folk" than Harris. Is apparently pro-union. The only part of him which somewhat concerns me is that he's against continued aid for Ukraine. Things like his position on abortion are pretty irrelevant given that the Presidential side can't actually do very much on that subject. If he gets in the oval office, somehow, though, foreign policy is absolutely in the wheelhouse.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,053 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    He really is a gift for the Democrats. If they had to pick a running mate for Trump it would have been him.

    Massive own goal who will just turn off the Independent voters Trump needs.

    Also what sort of lad runs on a ticket with a guy he labelled "Americas Hitler".

    What an absolute snake.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,584 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    Have to hand it to Trump, he really knows how to work a crowd and play to the cameras - the Americans are lapping this up and loving it - some are saying it was divine intervention that kept DJT save on Saturday !!



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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,053 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    The president of the biggest union in the US just spoke at the RNC there, praising members of the Republican party. This seems unprecedented

    Not really, he will also speak at the Democratic Convention next month. He is hedging his bets and using what leverage he has.

    If he endorses Trump, it will be very little to do with what is best for members and he won't last very long in that position.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,584 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    Boys oh Boys

    Biden has some mountain to climb ahead of him if he wants to beat Trump now.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,957 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Okay, but VP pick ultimately doesn't mean much to independents. They'll swing to Trump because "Biden has dementia" or because Trump "looked cool" after the assassination attempt or whatever base reason it's really not much more cerebral than that.

    It reminds me of 2016, when warning signs were flashing and commentators were discussing the finer details of Clinton's policies and political record - when in reality a large blob of swing voters just saw "A woman can't be president, she has weird expressions and something something email".



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,053 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Why do you think Biden picked a female and "woman of color"?

    Trump needs independent thinking educated women, they ain't voting for the likes of Vance who will deny their daughters the same level of health care they grew up with.

    Remember the vast majority of the battleground states overwhelming support women's rights to reproductive health.

    While nothing seems to harm Trump, they will go after Vance which they did 5 minutes after he was announced.

    It's a horrendous pick for VP and gives the democrats a target they can harm publically.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,584 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    RTE had an analyst on saying Vance was a good pick for a number of reasons - one of which was that JD Vance will lock in the “rust belt” states



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,729 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    JD Vance's very public anti-abortion stance will hurt them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,957 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    That's the kicker, Trump doesn't need a "woman of color" as VP. Any other candidate in his situation? Sure. But Trump bucks all that.

    People need to throw any all the manuals at this stage, especially the Dems, they are sleeping walking into a loss.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,053 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    The manual remains the same, Trump can't win the election with just his base, neither can Biden.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,053 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    That and the fact he parrots Kremlin talking points.

    If someone had told me growing up we would have Russian Sympathisers running for POTUS I would have suggested one needs help.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,957 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    I disagree. The manual stipulates don't change your incumbent, the Dem's have to change. The manual says X and Y for VP - nope doesn't matter to Trump. He could run a KKK member.

    A good analogy is Trump (truth social) stock, by all financial definitions it should be almost worthless now, however it isn't. Why? Because it doesn't follow normal rules of logic.

    If the election were held tomorrow, Trump has it. People can get into all this analysis of swing voters and independents - doesn't mean anything, enough would go for him at this juncture and we all know it.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,053 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    A good analogy is Trump (truth social) stock, by all financial definitions it should be almost worthless now, however it isn't. Why? Because it doesn't follow normal rules of logic.

    It's an inflated fake price.

    It has about 2 millions users.

    I watch lads on YouTube doing basic DIY that have more subscribers.

    The reality is their is less conservatives then there was in 2016 and a high portion of those are never Trumpers. We just had one who tried to kill him.

    I read a stat the other day that pointed out 20 million voters in 2016 have since died and replaced with 32 million younger voters. Trumps base has shrunk.

    If the election was tomorrow and you gave me a grand to bet, I'd hedge it on both.

    Polls will narrow if the Democrats manage to get the key issues out there and Biden of course doesn't have a stroke mid sentence.

    The reality is the candidates are not being changed now barring something spectacular happening.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,771 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Americans were largely led to hate or distrust Communism/Socialism, and this still holds in most cases because 'Marxist' is still being used by a political slur among the American right. Time was that these words were synonymous with the Russians, but this is no longer true, of course. Now, Russia is an openly authoritarian oligarchy with an ascendant ethnic group (Russian) where the other groups know their place, all under a 'strongman' with supreme control over the various instruments of state. Far from the state atheism of the past, the government is now hand in glove with the Orthodox church as well. It's a really appealing model to the MAGA types, hence the much warmer feelings toward Russia these days.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,069 ✭✭✭JVince


    It looks like the democrats are almost accepting that they can't win after the attempted assassination of Trump. My guess is he Trump also has a new "PR" team who are managing him better and winning over the fence sitters.

    Therefore, rather than be seen as the person who lost to Trump, Harris, Newsom & Whitmer are all looking to 2028 at this point when Trump will be out of the picture.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,053 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    It's a really appealing model to the MAGA types

    But they are not traditional conservative Republicans, the majority who would still more align with Biden on Russia particularly when it comes to Ukraine and not the new VP pick of "Americas Hitler".



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,771 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It doesn't really matter that they're not traditional Republicans. They are now the Republican party. I don't know where these traditional Republicans have gone - died out, become MAGA, become apolitical or started voting Democrat - maybe a bit of each, but they're not a factor.

    If it had been explained to your younger self that the Russians would drop Communism and become a quasi-dictatorial crony capitalist oligarchy with supremacy of one religion and ethnic group over the others, maybe you might have said that the American Republicans warming up to them a bit made some sense.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,053 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    maybe a bit of each, but they're not a factor.

    They most certainly are.

    For instance almost 50% of Haley voters stated they would never vote for Trump.

    In a pool that has shrank that is a factor.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,771 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I don't think Trump is losing sleep over 50 percent of the 20-30 percent she got in some of those primaries not voting for him. I seem to recall he said something to that effect, but I'd have to find the quote. He seems confident that he has got the numbers.

    Anyway, if all these disgruntled traditional Republicans are out there, then by all means they should make their voices heard. They have not done so in the Republican primaries where Trump walked it and it doesn't look like they're going to show up against Trump in November either in those states where the outcome is still unsure.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,053 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Trump walked it and it doesn't look like they're going to show up against Trump in November either in those states where the outcome is still unsure.

    That is the issue, Trump cannot afford for what was traditionally the Republican base not to show up in a national election or worse vote for someone else.

    It's basic maths.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,840 ✭✭✭hoodie6029


    MAGA’s messiah dodged a bullet. Kiss goodbye to any environmental protection, workers rights, regulation of any kind.
    Project 2025 to create a theocratic state.
    I don’t think anything can stop him now, unfortunately.
    I don’t understand how ordinary people can’t see that he and his party are just out to enrich themselves but screwing and stealing from them.

    The road to Hell is paved with good intentions.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,729 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Lets not forget, he was confident he had the numbers for 2020 (and still is).

    The one thing I will agree with is, Trump is confident of winning. Even when he loses, he still thinks he won.



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