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USA 2024 presidential election

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,489 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    Any video or audio that emerged that was in anyway damaging to Trump (e.g. the Access Hollywood tape) would just be fobbed off as an AI-generated fake by him.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,642 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    He was right when he said he could literally murder someone without losing a single vote.

    The only thing I think he could do to lose cultists is to dial back on his rhetoric as he did with vaccines for which he got booed. He won't make that mistake again. Of course, he hasn't visited or looked in on the family of the man who was killed at his rally and nobody's batting an eyelid.

    I wouldn't call what they have a democracy at this point. You have a council of unelected people in black who can arbitrarily strip the whole population of rights at will, a document nobody can question, much less alter, and an electoral game rigged in favour of one side. Here in the UK, people are beginning to question our dysfunctional voting system but even that will take a long time to grow. The US looks like a one party state with the burden of a second party.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    I wouldn't call what they have a democracy at this point. You have a council of unelected people in black who can arbitrarily strip the whole population of rights at will, a document nobody can question, much less alter, and an electoral game rigged in favour of one side. Here in the UK, people are beginning to question our dysfunctional voting system but even that will take a long time to grow. The US looks like a one party state with the burden of a second party.

    I don't disagree with that and TBH were it some isolate tinpot country I'd dust my hands and let the country rip itself apart as the geopolitical equivalent of slowing down to look at the car crash; however socially, culturally & politically the US exists as the 500lb gorilla on the world stage; Trump 2.0, emboldened by the Supreme Court, Project 2025 and the plainly obvious brain rot, will have an extremely deleterious effect on geopolitics and our social stability. It has flaws but still contains a degree of checks and boundaries on its politicians own impulses and without those, you're looking at something more like Russia.

    Not like many countries don't have adequate, valid hostile opinions towards America's approach to geopolitics (case in point: the entirety of Central America), but you can look across its history and see … well, if not always moral men in charge then at least broadly sober, adult ones. The patina of civility was thin but it was still an affectation all the same. I'm intentionally trying to hobble a leaning towards hyperbole, but it's hard not to see any outcome here that wouldn't be extremely problematic for the rest of us.

    I don't mind admitting, I haven't had political events cause this much anxiety and stress for the future, in a long time. I hope I'm way off base and wrong but there's a sick feeling in my stomach we're on the precipice of something dark.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,642 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    I hate to catastrophise but it almost doesn't matter what happens in November. The best result is that Biden wins but then Project 2025 becomes Project 2029. If Trump is at liberty and still alive, he'll be back in 2028 against some rookie Democrat who'll need his party to be riding a tailwind to have any kind of chance.

    Biden, or anyone else, is not able to make the kind of structural, political changes that are necessary to fix America's social ills. The Heritage Foundation has been planning this for some time and at some point, the Democrats will forfeit the White House.

    The whole liberal democratic model around the world is creaking. When existence becomes a slog for too many people, hucksters like Trump thrive. The requisite conditions are all there: easy accessibility to firearms, hordes of disaffected young men, religious fanaticism, mass communication, etc…

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users Posts: 198 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    I fully agree about the Dems being stupid and Bidens a poor candidate. That doesn't make Trump difficult or impossible to beat. He's far more difficult to beat considering who he is and what he's said and done, but Biden was a poor candidate in 2020 also. The embodiment of the dem status quo, old , low energy. He only won cause It was a vote against Trump. I think this time he's even too poor a candidate to make up for it , with his mental failings, Genocide, inflation and geopolitics in crisis. That's why I'm saying someone decently popular with the public who can recapture most of Bidens 2020 vote is enough.

    Medium to long term though America and the dems need to sort their **** out. Their neo Liberal policies have bought America to this much like most of Europe as well. Until they fix Americas many social and economic issues the republicans and far right are gonna remain a major major threat with a lot of support. And to be honest it may already be too late.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,132 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    I'll admit to being a fairweather watcher of US politics. Close friend of mine(From the states) sent me this a few days ago with regards Media and their leaning which i found to be quite interesting



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,489 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    One can look at that and say "Oh look there is a left-wing bias in the main stream media (the ones ate the top)"

    An alternative take would be that the Republican Party has gone so extreme in the past 10 years that they have actually shifted the entire landscape so that centrist outlets now appear to be partisan just because they try and fact check trump's lies.

    It's very interesting the big gap between the moderately conservative outlets such as the WSJ and the likes of Fox News where there is nothing at all. I don't know why that is but I'm sure there is a good reason for it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,642 ✭✭✭spacecoyote


    Pretty sure also that CNN will have shifted over to the right side of the chart now after the new owners came in



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I don't know how good or bad a president she would be. I'd imagine she'd be a standard dem centrist like her husband and Biden etc

    Nobody knows or has any way of knowing. Nobody even knows her politics in the slightest - for all we know she is a borderline Republican who was just supporting her husband. She has shown nothing to suggest she has any capability for the job whatsoever.

    It would be the height of insanity and more celebrity candidates are the last thing needed.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,489 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    I've said it before but Michelle Obama is basically a proxy for her husband in many people's eyes. Ideally they'd love to have him back in but since that's impossible then she's the next best thing for them.

    • Never mind that she has absolutely no legislative or governing experience.
    • Never mind that she has repeatedly indicated that she has no interest in running.
    • Never mind that her husband has stated that she doesn't even like talking about politics

    She can give a good speech and she has the right surname. That's close enough for them.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Obviously it doesn't count here for those name-checking Michelle, but in terms of Americans doing same, it does kinda reinforce my theory that they love dynasties and the idea of "ruling" families. Clinton, Bush, Kennedy, Trump, Obama: their obsession with the British Royal Family by proxy … I've never shaken the sense that a large clutch of Americans prefer something more regal or inherited in their power structures. Hence what I've seen to be a fairly short jump towards the myth of Strongman Trump to rule over everyone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,642 ✭✭✭spacecoyote


    In a move unsurprising to anyone, Trump has essentially threatened Jay Powell, the chair of the Fed.

    Hes warned him not to cut rates before the election, and that he might let him serve out his term "if he thought he was doing the right thing"



  • Registered Users Posts: 198 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    ...and 4 months out from the election who is that now? Who is well known to a mostly politically illiterate public and popular and likely to win? Any names within the party ? Kamala is surely worse than Biden or at best no better. Likely to fail.

    If this was 2 years ago I'd agree with you but it's too late in the game now. There's no other candidates



  • Registered Users Posts: 198 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    Who would you run? Or would you stick with Biden?

    Granted I take your point in her not wanting to be in politics. There's always a chance she'd bite the bullet though if it means stopping Trump but yes it's unlikely.

    As for no legislative experience. It didn't stop Trump. At this stage in the election its about finding a candidate who can beat him last minute. It's too late now to find a gem somewhere in the party and build a campaign for him when most of America won't know them. As I said earlier Biden doesn't even know what day it is and he's in the job. You're surrounded by advisors, a team, the democratic leadership, lobby's and corporations make all the decisions there. As a standard Dem centrist you're a product, a marketing item come election time. Not a serious politician. Whether you're Clinton, Obama, Biden etc all the policies are essentially the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,593 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    You're surrounded by advisors, a team, the democratic leadership, lobby's and corporations make all the decisions there. As a standard Dem centrist you're a product, a marketing item come election time. Not a serious politician. Whether you're Clinton, Obama, Biden etc all the policies are essentially the same.

    Do you think it's different for Republicans?



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    No one. He isn't going to be replaced. If he was replaced it would overwhelmingly likely be by Harris.

    Michelle Obama is not a reasonable option for multiple reasons.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    As for no legislative experience. It didn't stop Trump

    And that is a bad thing, and they aren't going to be looking to encourage even more of it. Celebrity candidates make for bad politics.



  • Registered Users Posts: 198 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    No not at all. Though the republicans are even more off the rails than the Dem. Pretty much extremist. I don't see how it's relevant to my point though either



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,593 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    You singled out Democrats in your post, that's why I asked if you thought the republicans were up to it as well. Last time I checked this was a site based on written posting which quite often relies on back and forth messaging to confirm points?



  • Registered Users Posts: 198 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    I singled out the democrats because I'm talking about their presidential nomination...but yeah it's common knowledge american policy is dictated by lobbies, the military and corporations on both sides or the aisle. Difference with republicans is they're even more beholden to corporations so much so they'll deny climate change etc. And Trump as a candidate is a solo mad dog who'll run with the GOPs demented Conservative agenda but also do and say what he feels like crossing his warped mind on any particular day or moment. And what will also benefit him no matter what.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,810 ✭✭✭amandstu


    If Obama wanted to run ,then she should make her case.I don't think she would be a "celebrity".She seems intelligent ,knowledgeable of the office ,good with words and likeable.

    Parachuting herself in could be bad but if she has a good case to be the candidate then she should not be ruled out just because she is Obama's wife.

    What do you think Trump has in mind for 2028 if he gets in this time?

    I keep saying partially resolving Gaza could be the key but noone takes me up on it.

    Those witholding their votes from the Dems on its account will probably (hopefully) feel very ashamed after if that lets in Trump and his lackeys.



  • Registered Users Posts: 198 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    I think unfortunately the only "resolving" of Gaza he'll do is speed up the process of Genocide there and hand Israel the keys to it to turn it into Israels new coastal resort.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,489 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    I would definitely not run Biden. I think he has no path to victory and if he stands will actually lose quite badly.

    Personally I'd prefer a semi-open contest so that all of the high profile Senators and Governors who are interested could throw their hat in the ring and have a kind of turbo-charged primary campaign. Failing that I'd take Harris over Biden at this stage.

    Yes Trump had no experience either but regarding my other two points he actually wanted the job and talked about his desire for it for decades as well as constantly tweeting about politics for years before he ran.



  • Registered Users Posts: 198 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    I agree with you about Biden having no chance but I don't think Kamala would fare much better either. And the limited polls we have now, whilst they might change actually have her worse than Biden.

    The problem with America is so many People there are politically illiterate and ignorant on candidates,.most won't know even the high profile Senators and Goveners off the Dems. None are particularly strong and 4 months is too short a time to build up their name and popularity.

    The sad truth is its rarely about policy either. Its won on force of personality or charisma.. Obama, Clinton, Reagan etc . whatever Trump done he caught lightening in a bottle. The dems are devoid of personality and charisma right now.

    I fear its a no hoper situation at this stage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,489 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    There is a saying that I often hear which is that Trump is the symptom, not the disease. The ground was laid long before he came on the scene:

    • A 2 party system that naturally amplifies partisan differences
    • 40+ years of widening inequalities since Reagan's "trickle down economics" tax cuts, attack on unions and privitisations
    • An underlying current of fear that permeates the country - driven by 24 hour TV news and made all the more dangerous by many people's fetishization of guns
    • Unresolved racial tensions that appear to be endemic for generations
    • The fact that not a single executive in the financial industry was prosecuted for the actions that led to the 2008 Crash but that millions of working class people paid with their jobs, businesses and houses as a result
    • And then to turbo charge it all the mass adoption of social media with its ability to transmit disinformation all over and whip up anger and fury

    That's fertile ground for a charismatic populist to peddle a bunch of easy answers blaming others for all of the above.

    The really baffling thing is that when Trump was actually in office he did nothing but exacerbate those issues but it doesn't seem to have mattered. He's their guy. That's their identity now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,986 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    I'd say Biden and his team did the maths and projected that what they may lose in young voters through Gaza in particular, they may gain in Conservatives who are on the edge of MAGA land because they are see Trump for what he is but are also long term Pro-Israel supporters.

    And you're right there's very little to generate optimism for younger people. Biden did do some in terms of Debt relief but housing, general prosperity, concern as to the climate issue etc are all significant weights that young people have to carry more and more these days, and he did not do enough there.

    The fact that Trump will likely make things worse rather than better with respect to these things isn't really a strong enough motivator to come out and vote. I'm expecting a significant drop in turn out this time versus 2020.

    The abortion thing may motivate women but a lot of them may feel they already gave Biden a chance in that respect and look at what happened.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 92,624 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Biden has tested positive for COVID.

    It's a long way to November.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,165 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Schiff coming out was a big story IMO. Schiff isn't a Dem heavyweight, but zero chance he did that without the permission of Pelosi. It was similar to last week with Clooney who is besties with Obama.

    A lot of powerful people in the party want him gone and are moving against him.

    Next few people who will call for him to drop out will have to be a bigger name than Schiff which makes it all the more interesting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,216 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Forget policy, the overriding issue for voters, miles above anything else, is his age. It dominates and overshadows everything. It's lights out stuff.

    Imagine if e.g. Trump suddenly developed a stutter. The entire world would be focused on nothing but that stutter. His political career would die overnight.

    Biden's aides did well to keep it under wrap, limiting his time in front of the camera, all that, but now the cat is fully out of the box - and it's a killer. And sadly it's only going to get worse.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 83,576 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    M


    If you were go write a soap opera about the US election, you couldn't make it more off the wall than it is in reality 😁



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,586 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    Schumer, Jefferies, Pelosi, Schiff et al, all calling for him to step aside. This is untenable and his obstinacy in the face of reality is getting more and more outrageous.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,250 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I always have to wonder - these politicians like Nikki Haley who Trump belittled and personally insulted during the primary season - does it eat at them that they must then go the RNC and pledge fealty to that same man with a whole hearted endorsement? Not only that, but because the base is so in thrall to Trump, she must know that she can never be more than an underling and sycophant.

    Ted Cruz may grow a beard, but when he looks in the bathroom mirror, does he see a man? I cannot imagine he does.

    And the system is perfectly self sustaining. Because all these acolytes must take abuse from Trump as and when they challenge his position, and they take it, they lose respect, which cements their places in the hierarchy of the party as nothing more than balls for Trump to bounce.

    "Sad".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,216 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    He's a juggernaut they can't touch nor challenge, they either kiss the ring or they are out of the game. They don't give one toss about the insults or anything, they are all just jostling for position. Haley was gambling on the faint hope he'd go to prison, since that seems an impossibility now, she's playing the game.



  • Registered Users Posts: 198 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    So two thirds of democrats polled say Biden should step step aside. Schumer Pelosi and Jeffreys arguably the three most powerful people in the party have told Biden directly he has to step aside too. If he doesn't him and his team really are selfish and are making a major historical error. I can probably forgive Biden more since he's possibly being encouraged by his team and only shown certain polls not the reality on the ground.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,973 ✭✭✭✭PopePalpatine


    All in all, he's their "imperfect vessel". Their backers get massive tax cuts, clampdowns on unions and the rollback of abortion access, immigrant and LGBT rights - who cares about such "trifling" things like Ukraine or American democracy?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,216 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Not to mention that a presidential candidate stepping aside at this point is exactly the kind of seismic event that will create it's own drama and newscycles, stealing attention from Trump (which is what he thrives on) and providing extraordinary energy for the Dems to ride on

    It's a no-brainer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,165 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Didn't Ardern take over 6 weeks before the NZ election ? They got a fresh face who didn't really change policy much and got a big poll bump and won.

    Pelosi and others are clearly not just looking at the presidential election, but also how Biden is hindering other dems on the ballot when it comes to congress and the senate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,216 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Yeah there's a "fresh" factor to it which could really play well.

    I'm not remotely knowledgeable as yourself on US politics, but it's the same common denominator, a campaign needs energy



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,149 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Is there anyone who democrats could wheel out let’s say in next month who

    • is young (says 30s to 50s)
    • Is recognisable by average American (business or entertainment figure?)
    • Can troll Trump and have him melt down
    • reply to Trump nonsense with “ok boomer”
    • Point out that Trump is ancient and low energy and keeps falling asleep
    • is from a key rustbelt state
    • Had experience as governor or similar

    Politically the absolutely worst nightmare case for trump campaign is Biden not running against him



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Would the simplest solution I wonder, be to simply swap roles in the White House? Harris stepped forward as the replacement candidate while Biden remained on as VP for the sake of continuity of governance? Then at least it's not a total shock to the system for the Democrats while still being able to say to the undecideds (if they still exist) and independent voters, look you're still voting for the "Biden" administration if you liked it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,593 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    "You want a president that needs their hands held?!" Would be the republican rallying call



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Doesn't matter who they pick, the MAGA-GOP is gonna attack, attack, attack with no depth too low; so do't think that should figure in anything.



  • Registered Users Posts: 198 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    100%. It would most likely be Kamala. I think she's a poor candidate and wouldn't be that confident about her winning but like you said i think the sheer drama of a replacement, a new candidate, a new energy alone will bring a big boost. Hopefully it would be enough.

    What I do know though is this panic and uncertainty can't continue and I think Biden has to go purely for that reason. If you're sticking with Biden then stop the leaks from the party and unrest, hunker down and back the candidate like Republicans do with Trump. Or get rid of him and get someone in. Because this whole unrest and keeping Biden in is the worst of both worlds and just portrays weakness and uncertainty to voters



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,504 ✭✭✭The Davestator


    Perhaps the Covid story is the start of the end. Get Covid, get some complications that mean he has to reluctantly drop out of the race. Saves face a little and is a cleaner process than a full attempted ousting



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,149 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Someone mentioned that Republicans would attack regardless

    But that’s why the candidate needs to be someone who can absolutely reduce these attacks and expose these clowns for what they are, hell is there any comedians who are quick witted who can run?

    Like I said, someone who can stand there and laugh at Trump and say “ok boomer” or “I see you fallen asleep again”

    Trumps biggest weakness is his age, Americans it seems have no issues with him being a liar, a rapist and a criminal

    But age is an issue for both candidates



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,586 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    Reports that Biden could be gone by the weekend, certainly how so. Just waiting to see how the Democrats can mess things up next.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    I said it. But therein lies the question: who could run that wouldnt attract GOP attacks? Answer, nobody so why worry? They're gonna attack regardless and really the question is who's the best fit to seduce the undecided and independent voters? Cos that's the main focus in this hypothetical, not how MAGA will treat them (based on previous, disgracefully in all likelihood)



  • Registered Users Posts: 198 ✭✭Derkaiser93


    Yeah was just gonna say CNN saying Bidens asked his advisors if Kamala can win..and Axios saying top Democrats expecting he will step aside in the coming days. Seems like he's toast. Gonna be hard for them to win it but they've a chance..with Biden I think they've no chance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,149 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    it’s not about attracting attacks, those will come regardless of who is running

    It’s about being able to ruthlessly and quickly and in quick witted manner swat these attacks especially in debates, something that Biden couldn’t do as he was too busy rambling away on unrelated tangents and mangling his numbers which made him look terrible

    Comedians might be good at that as they regularly deal with hecklers

    We live in a tick tock age where it no longer matters (fml what have things come to) if the candidate is a rapist criminal who lies, what matters is their age and on how many phones the video of the put down of opponents appear on

    Democrats badly need someone who car ran physically and verbally laps around Trump and trigger him to implode on stage, as when Trump loses what little control is when his ugly little Nazi white supremacist comes out



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,642 ✭✭✭spacecoyote


    Could Mayor Pete come back in?

    Seems pretty sharp in terms of anything you see of him in footage online and deals with rep attacks well.

    Young, former armed services. Being gay may be something that works against him with rust belt voters though?



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