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Global warming

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,523 ✭✭✭paddyisreal




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,309 ✭✭✭Mr. teddywinkles


    Scilly had a record of 48.9 degree's c.

    Id say if ya walked out in that yad catch fire.

    Think its all over exaggerated horseshit.

    Next will be the atmosphere will catch fire and we'll all burn to death.



  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The records only go back 100 years and are constantly labled as unverfied form back then. I mean ffs someone claimed the temp at Death Valley went to 90 degrees C in the 70's.

    With less than 50 years of reliable data, we cant say for certain that temps were not like this 1000 years ago. Yes there are estimations and ways they measure such as Ice cores, Tree rings, Corals etc. But many of these can suffer from confirmation bias.

    I am not an expert. But I also refuse to be told "trust us bro".

    Does climate change exist? Yes

    If we all stop using fossil fuels and eliminate our carbon footprint, will climate stop changing? No



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,752 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    Once you have "data collection" and models one isnt discussing science anymore but human bias and error. One thing you can always bet against is a model 100 years out, you can take that to the goddamn bank as they say

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    I suggest you step out in that for a few hours and report back - if you can.

    These are sufficiently exceptional events happening in very densely populated areas that the chance of not having records of similar in the past are frankly zero. We have had thermometers for a few hundred years at this stage.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,811 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    How many days did it hit 45C In Croatia in a row?
    You do know 45C is not 50C?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    ...approaching 50c.

    It takes one day at approaching 50c to kill you.

    There were recently two reports of British tourists going out in those conditions and dying. Both simply keeled over under the stress.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,811 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    That’s not what the poster was talking about whatsoever.
    We all know 50C is bad for humans- however you said parts of Europe were getting 50C and that there would be a significant increase in deaths this month.


    Where in Europe has consistently hit 50C?

    Croatia has hit 45C for one day which is 5C cooler than 50C- did anyone die in Croatia directly from the heat on that day?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Heat stroke deaths are rarely recorded as such unless the patient is taken into hospital. Most wil manifest as some other unrelated organ failure. The level of fatalities is only revealed when temps are compared to excess deaths - many months later.

    The two British deaths I mentioned are unlikely to be recorded as heatstroke deaths even though heat is the main factor in both.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,752 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    comparing like for like will not be possible in many places. I saw a viral clip of a dude pushing ice blocks into a pool in Doha. Going back a 100 years Doha probably didnt exist (guessing ,maybe it did) but the point is it would have cooled down more a night time so it would have heated up from a lower point and if temp was measured at all there would be all kinds of issues with consistancy and measuring techniques.

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,811 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    But you said 50C.
    You never said anything about approaching 50C.
    I believe that’s called moving the goalposts.
    45C is 5C off 50C just so you know.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,811 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Yes but maybe you could answer the question I asked?

    Where in Europe has consistently hit 50C?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Read back, approaching 50c.

    I then pointed out that all the effects manifest in the zone between 40-50c, the temps been sustained in southern Europe in the latest heatwave.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,811 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    If your post says that it’s because you edited it after.

    Has anywhere in Europe hit 50C this year yet?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,625 ✭✭✭yagan


    The way the Green hystericals go on about high temps you'd think that heat was never a contributing factor in deaths before recorded temperatures.

    Maybe because we have new generations who grew up in very engineered environments that they simply view the natural world with fear.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 606 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    That 48.8°C record raises questions about the quality of the station and the siting of it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Not really. There has been extensive work trying to discredit the weather station network - and it resulted in those attempting it having to acknowledge that the data was correct and even biased low.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,918 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    We're almost there! Just in the last couple of days, just need someone to blame the sun..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 606 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    It's not 40°C across much of Spain. There's a handful of stations in the interior south and east reporting 40+°C which quite frankly is a regular feature of the Spanish summer there.

    No need for sensationalising.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 606 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    Yes really, there's no need for 'extensive work trying to discredit the weather station network' as a fair proportion of the stations do that all by themselves. Rubbish quality digital sensors in rubbish quality sites will result in rubbish data.

    Perhaps some folk need to take a closer look at the state of the equipment and the sites used to collect weather data before jumping up and down in hysterics. Behind every single 'last month was the hottest ever' headline is a glorified computer plotting a model of what it thinks was the temperature in a given area.

    Here's the health warning given on the website that produces 'estimates'. Funny how the clearly stated disclaimer gets omitted from virtually every news article gleaned from such data:



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Sorry but a lad on the internet bitching about something he really has no knowledge of isn't going to discredit the weather station network. I watched over 10 years semi-experts fail to achieve that and end up looking like idiots.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 606 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    Really? Thats the level of rebuke?

    Here's the thing, grounded people who don't get swept up in a fanatical frenzy haven't been making doomsday prediction after doomsday prediction which have failed and failed time again to materialise to the point the self-contradict and make no apology for doing so.

    Everywhere is warming faster than everywhere else. C'mon man.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    That is the level that your comments warranted - when you have something more than I don't believe it then the rebuke might improve.

    Europe has warmed by around 3 degrees above the preindustrial levels and is commonly experiencing heatwaves 10degress above normal.

    Britain experienced 40c for the first time ever recorded last year.

    There is complacency no hysteria. The records are clear that Europe is experience more exceptional weather conditions since records began including sever life threatening heatwaves.

    Deaths from heat have increased by 17 in 100,000 over the last decade, and as I said before this has only just started.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,625 ✭✭✭yagan


    Was heat always recorded as a mortality factor in previous centuries?

    For instance it's only in recent decades that we're getting accurate figures on suicide because previously religious taboo drove the narrative, so is heat being cited now as a primary cause now because of the environmental narrative.

    Plus we're now in a rapidly aging Europe where deaths will outnumber births, so more deaths of the inform could be a factor in compounding the doomster agenda.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    This represents the deaths which are easily identifiable as directly heat related - such as heat stroke. The data for heat strokes will go back at least 50 years so this is where the trend is been generated from.

    Frankly I find it incredible that anyone would argue that heatwaves haven't significantly increased across Europe over the last few decades.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,625 ✭✭✭yagan


    I'm getting more into the numbers as they're used. Societies in the med have had siestas long before the doomster agenda.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,625 ✭✭✭yagan


    But they came into existence because of heat.

    That's the point. Long before the environmental doomsters took the podium societies had structured daily routines to counter heatstroke.

    Plus thanks to modern medicine we are living longer and there's increasingly more of us heading towards vulnerable dotage.

    I'm not not arguing that there isn't climate change, but I'm challenging any doomster assertions that mortality trends are being driven by climate change.

    I guess some need to feel they're doing something, but you could light a penny candle too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Again, I am just repeating the evidence as outlined by scientists. There is nothing doomster about that.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,625 ✭✭✭yagan


    Death by heat happened before the doomsters arrived, science can verify that too.

    See my previous post about how in the 1980s acid rain suddenly disappeared as a doomster narrative. That eras doomsters took scientific observations as justification for their narrative. I can see a similar thing happening now where scientific data sets are chosen to support a belief.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    The rate of heat related deaths in Europe have increased along with the increase in heatwaves. So your point is not a refutation of that evidence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,451 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    People are living longer these days. More easy pickings for a bitta heat.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,625 ✭✭✭yagan


    At the same time as many European nations are seeing increased deaths as boomer bounce reaches their most vulnerable phase.

    You're conflating a baked in demographic trend with a belief.



  • Registered Users Posts: 394 ✭✭bluedex


    I was in Valencia for a break last summer. While I was there I read a climate change doom piece that Valencia was 45 degrees the day before and people couldn't cope, the place was shutting down. I was there the day before too, and it was a lovely low 30s degrees and the place was carrying on perfectly normally. When I posted that piece of information on here, I had Green Zealots losing their sh*t completely calling me every version of liar they could think of, even though I was actually THERE.

    They had taken a ground reading from the airport and used it in the article.

    Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,918 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Here's a paper from 2023 that talks about tracking deaths due to heat in Europe: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-023-02419-z

    The deaths aren't being mis-attributed. Sure there are more old people, but the deaths due to heat are correctly flagged.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,625 ✭✭✭yagan


    And before these studies did not hear related fatalities occur?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,149 ✭✭✭thatsdaft




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,918 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Of course. But, there's way more people on the planet, which is why global warming is such a menace.



  • Registered Users Posts: 394 ✭✭bluedex


    "Frankfurt airport open again after climate activists block runway and glue themselves to tarmac"

    What a bunch of morons

    Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,593 ✭✭✭cfuserkildare


    Why are previous official weather records now being ignored?

    Reliance on the Copernicus info only dates back to late 1940's, whereas the hottest year on record previously was I think 1873!.

    But since that doesn't fit in with current campaigning it is brushed under the carpet.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 394 ✭✭bluedex


    Never argue with an idiot. They will only bring you down to their level and beat you with experience.



  • Registered Users Posts: 55 ✭✭SonicSuper


    A narrative is being set, there is no time for facts.

    I almost feel sorry for the likes of George Lee tbh. He would have had his doomster charts and best panicky voice ready for the first couple of hot days this summer telling us the end is nigh unless we all pay more taxes and here we are with an absolutely crap summer spoiling his moment of glory. Bless em..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,149 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Yeh my spuds not doing great, where is that damned global warming



  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Back in the 90's we were told in school all about the hole in the Ozon Layer. If we didnt stop using aerosols then the hole would get bigger and we would all burn to death. They told us that it will never get better but if we stop NOW, then hopefully it wont get worse. People predicted that it would be totally eradicated by the year 2000.

    The hole in the ozon layer is currently repairing itself. It is predicted to be back to 1980's level within the next couple of decades.

    People use more aerosols now than they did in the 90's. We are told there is far more air pollution also.

    If you light a coal fire, it will have no effect on global warming.

    If a cow farts, it will not cause global warming.

    If you drive your car you will not destroy the planet.


    Car congestion and air pollution do however effect peoples health. It can affect peoples lungs. It is in all of our interests to reduce pollution. But trying to tax it away only makes certain people richer.

    And for the love of god will people stop saying "this never happened in all of time" when we only have 100 years of records.

    We have 0.0000022% of data relating to climate on this planet. Everything else is guess work. It is better than guess work to be fair but it suffers from confirmation bias.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,599 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Eh, you've fundamentally misunderstood what led to the Ozone layer repairing itself. CFC gases were responsible for the damage and they're effectively outlawed for most use cases since the 80s so no, our usage of such gases have not increased.

    https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/ozone-depleting-substance-consumption

    https://www.verificat.cat/en/the-hole-in-the-ozone-layer-was-not-an-exaggeration-the-problem-was-solved-by-banning-the-gases-that-caused-it-2/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,695 ✭✭✭✭osarusan




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,453 ✭✭✭Hoop66


    The hole in the ozon layer is currently repairing itself. It is predicted to be back to 1980's level within the next couple of decades.

    People use more aerosols now than they did in the 90's. We are told there is far more air pollution also.

    It is widely-known that CFC (Chlorofluorocarbons) were discovered to be responsible, and they were removed from aerosols and packaging. Which allowed the ozone damage to recover.

    Now, if someone is going to wade into a debate about climate change and not know that, I think their contributions can safely be ignored.


    There is the other possibility, of course: that someone is merely repeating climate change denial propaganda from another source without considering what it says.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,918 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    "There is the other possibility, of course: that someone is merely repeating climate change denial propaganda from another source without considering what it says."

    Unfortunately the Bingo card I found didn't include CFC's. Pity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,267 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Records are not been ignored, they are in the trended data. It clearly shows overall that more heatwaves are occuring and the average global temp has increased by 1.5C since industrialization.

    No one is ignoring anything apart from yourself.



  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    CFC's were replaced by Hydrofluorocarbons and Hydrochlorofluorocarbons. Both were said to be "not as bad for the Ozone" but it was pointed out that they werent perfect. Again, we use more aerosols now than back in the 90's. Look at brands and types. There are wider selections and the demand has increased.

    So while it is said that they are "safer" we use more.

    It is like saying that you wont drink a Vodka and coke but instead you will have 10 low alcohol beers. The volume of each is less but the overall is not.

    Also a side note: When someone claims that someone shouldnt be listened to, it means that they are the ones we should ignore. When you want to stop a conversation it is the opposite of science. The scientific community once believed the atom was the smallest particle. Science is only what the majority of political scientists at any one time, believe. For instance science one used leaches to cure people of cancer. They used CBT!! Science should ALWAYS be questioned.



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