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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Summer2024 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

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Comments

  • #152
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,149 ✭✭✭pauldry


    We will see. I still think it will be misty n windy out West like today with low rain low cloud and an annoying wind and very muggy. Does the sun exist anymore?



  • #153
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,171 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    finally throwing in the towel for this summer, the pattern continues into August and St Swithin as always calls it correctly..

    AB4FD1E9-43B8-45AC-BFC8-5CF67175D71D.gif

    a decent Sept if that’s any consolation



  • #154
    ascophyllum
    Registered Users Posts: 263 ✭✭ascophyllum


    After a few nice days the coming weekend looks pretty awful for the western half of the country and the GFS is non stop low pressure out to the 12th August...I don't think there have been 2 hot days together in the West since May sometime 😀



  • #155
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,149 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Rain finally cleared around 9pm and clear night followed so 11c now. Another single figure Summer night likely.

    August looks like a rainfest for West but no exceptional totals just rain every day and about 25 to 30mm for BH weekend.



  • #156
    Dazler97
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Are models still looking awful 😖? I've said it before and I'll say it again we've been stuck in this low pressure pattern since end of May, surely some stage in this month we will get even a few days of warmth like today



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  • #157
    adocholiday
    Registered Users Posts: 1,920 ✭✭✭adocholiday


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122453531#Comment_122453531

    ECM and GFS looking to bring high pressure our way at +210 hours (10th of August) but we're kind of stuck in the battleground between them in places which can bring wet weather. GFS still rolling out and ECM not due for a while so would need to check again later this evening for the full 12z picture. This has been the story of the summer though, beyond a few days there's always high pressure on the models but it never seems to actually happen.

    xx_model-en-328-0_modez_2024080100_222_1642_149.png
    xx_model-en-328-0_modusa_2024080112_210_1642_149.png



  • #158
    Dazler97
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122453674#Comment_122453674

    Yes exactly it's horrible this summer but fingers crossed 🤞 even a few days are nice at some stage this month that's all I'm asking for lol



  • #159
    SnowyMuckish
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 870 ✭✭✭SnowyMuckish


    Any more signs of a change in the weather on the horizon?



  • #160
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,948 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122460574#Comment_122460574

    None. A continuation of the westerly/north-westerly pattern that we've been in all summer looks like it will probably dominate August. Western areas could be in for a fairly wet couple of weeks to come with southern and eastern areas perhaps a little dryer and slightly milder. There is very little scope for excitement in the model watching at the moment.



  • #161
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,149 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Ya as I said about a month ago ya could easily predict most days will be unsettled with rain showers and wind and just the odd dry day even odder in the West. However August will probably have higher rainfall than May June and July due to deepening lows and more active jet. In the West and North it will feel like Autumn most days but in the East and South it will still feel Summery some of the time.



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  • #162
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,200 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122461050#Comment_122461050

    Jeez your good lol



  • #163
    Dazler97
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122461050#Comment_122461050

    I hope your wrong , I'm sick of the rain in the northwest, the east by far gets so much better weather than us in the northwest, I miss Dublin as for that's one of my reasons



  • #164
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,976 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    This morning's charts should come with a health warning!! After two dreadful Summer months it looks like August is going into full Autumn mode with wind and rain all on the menu!! As I and others mentioned several weeks don't rely on a decent August, it seems to be a Summer month confined to history for the last 2 decades



  • #165
    adocholiday
    Registered Users Posts: 1,920 ✭✭✭adocholiday


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122465487#Comment_122465487

    Grim reading indeed, the GFS has low pressure after low pressure right out to the end of its run. Some of them look like they'd bring some strong winds our way depending on the track. ECM not quite as bad but still a very poor outlook. Any attempt of high pressure coming this way just gets beaten back by lows coming in on the jet, which has just been on steroids this entire summer.



  • #166
    Billcarson
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,577 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    gfs_world-wt_sstanom_d1 (8).png

    I think as long as that large very warm sst anomaly in the Atlantic persists our general Weather pattern we have been having will not change.



  • #167
    Niall145
    Registered Users Posts: 154 ✭✭Niall145


    Of course not; autumn started on the 1st of June.



  • #168
    InAtFullBack
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 601 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122466062#Comment_122466062

    Considering the set up of the jet stream and how it would normally have dealt us a very wet and cool summer, this summer (so far) has been very good when you compare it to all the summers of 2007-2012 which had a very similar pattern.

    Even this weekend's impactful weather has only yielded 2.7mm in this part of the country. It has been dry and cool up to mid-July and rather humid and dry since. More sunshine would be most welcome, but I'd take this over anything those awful 2007-2012 summers have dealt us.



  • #169
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,948 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    While this has been a poor summer it's not in the same league as last summer which was a trainwreck or summer 2020 which was also a carcrash. Summers 2007-2012 were awful too. Having said that I think August will be the poorest month of this summer as it is likely to be considerably wetter than the June or July just past. While I've given up on this summer, I just hope next summer isn't bad summer #3 in a row. I feel we are generally due a half decent summer once every 3 years.



  • #170
    Neddyusa
    Registered Users Posts: 1,051 ✭✭✭Neddyusa


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122466581#Comment_122466581

    I think you must be forgetting about June 2023? An excellent summer month! Weeks of warm sunshine at a time.

    At least we had that last year. Nothing more than a pet day or two between the drizzle this year.

    Ironically (or maybe wishfully) I'm taking heart from FI charts showing nothing but LPs. Since June they've been regularly showing HP building 10 days out, that vanish as they get closer. Maybe the opposite will happen in August...



  • #171
    pauldry
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,149 ✭✭✭pauldry


    In Sligo its been a very chilly Summer. Up there with 2011 and 2015 but not incredibly wet. Actually drier than normal believe it or not!



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  • #172
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,948 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122466678#Comment_122466678

    First half of June was good last year. Final 10 days on June and all of July and August were a washout last summer and for me that made it overall worse than this summer because I spent most of last summer stuck inside looking out at the rain. I've certainly been outdoors alot more this summer compared to last summer until this weekend which has been a bit of a washout.



  • #173
    Robwindstorm
    Registered Users Posts: 405 ✭✭Robwindstorm


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122466692#Comment_122466692

    At least you won't have to change your name to 'paulwet'. 🤭 sorry couldn't resist !



  • #174
    joinme
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 160 ✭✭joinme


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122466678#Comment_122466678

    June '23 really was a highlight of last summer and was the best bit of summer weather in recent memory. This summer has had really nothing for sun lovers, mostly overcast blandness .... depressing



  • #175
    50HX
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,986 ✭✭✭50HX


    Can we keep to FI discussion as per mod note please

    There Is an awful lot of chatter in this thread



  • #176
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,171 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122465487#Comment_122465487

    Two good Augusts this century, ‘03 and ‘22 but remember the records show that there wasn’t a good August between 1959 and 1975 which brings us to this ‘European monsoon’ that Sryan wrote about in detail last week.
    How I would love to experience an August like 1955 which by all accounts was extra special!

    edit: agree with above post and admit going off topic but are there ANY charts worth posting at the moment?

    Post edited by Elmer Blooker on


  • #177
    WolfeEire
    Registered Users Posts: 929 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (410ft asl)


    Christ, this is depressing 😣

    graphe_ens3ywz4.php.gif

    www.x.com/wolfeeire



  • #178
    Storm 10
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,965 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122470568#Comment_122470568

    Can you elaborate please I am not able to read charts wish I could



  • #179
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,948 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122471188#Comment_122471188

    the GFS ensembles showing big support for the relatively cool pattern to continue for the rest of August with temperatures near average or slightly below and dartboard lows aimed at Ireland in a never ending green blob of slime. Anything warm or settled remains to our east and south.



  • #180
    Storm 10
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,965 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122471222#Comment_122471222

    Thanks Gonzo appreciate that but it is very bad weather for us never ending



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  • #181
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,171 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    +168, we’d all love the UKMO to happen but realistically the GFS will most likely get it right continuing the pattern of the summer so far.

    AC660610-9FF3-4A72-8DC2-8B3AE09CAF36.png
    7D4704EC-3D64-4F9B-B769-8F4C97E93573.png

    Is that deep low the remnants of Debby? I don’t know but if it is we may just get the pattern change that we are longing for?



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