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Share Picks 2024

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,958 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Anyone buying Ryanair at €13.55? I sold all mine last Dec at €18.55. Looks like value again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,227 ✭✭✭littlevillage


    Yep, bought some. They are down from a recent high of €21.50 in the Springtime. Soo even if they only go back to where they were a couple of weeks ago (€18.50) it'll be a nice profit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,985 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    The near 40% dump in Dexcom this morning has piqued my interest. I've bought into a small position there. I had previously had exposure via the eToro diabetes smart fund but I pulled out of that a couple of years ago.

    My new Dexcom position is a long term hold.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,958 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Jeez, 3M up 20% today on back of good earnings. The best single day gain ever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 917 ✭✭✭homewardbound11


    o

    on top of there already generous dividends .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,677 ✭✭✭marathonic


    I quite like BASF at current levels. I'm currently short some cash-secured put options expiring on August 23rd at a €41 strike.

    I also think the luxury brands, like Burberry, Kering and LVMH, are worth keeping an eye on. They've had a hell of a tough year and I've not jumped in just yet - but I'm watching closely.

    I do hold a position in Rémy Cointreau on which I'm currently down about 10%, lessened via intake of some options premium along the way. Thankfully, I've not held too long as they're down over 50% over the past 12 months.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,958 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    I see that Buffett is selling off Bank Of America (BAC)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,677 ✭✭✭marathonic


    Fingers crossed for those of you holding INTC - hitting 52-week lows in todays market bloodbath but earnings after the bell in an hour.

    ASML is my play in the semiconductor sector, though I may take a smaller position in one of the fabicators.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,414 ✭✭✭JVince


    Bad results from Intel. Stock below $26.

    My position closed out at just under $31 and I nearly went back in, but didn't . Market is looking like it is entering some turbulence.

    Ouch - gone under $24. A 10 year low.

    Going to be difficult to recover confidence from here.

    Post edited by JVince on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,677 ✭✭✭marathonic


    Yeah, AMZN are struggling after hours too, down 5% at present. Apple is the other big one with earnings after the bell and they just turned red in after-hours trading - just by about 0.25%.

    I see NVDA in after-hours trading is trading up over 1% so, hopefully, that's a sign that the dire earnings may not spill over to the rest of the market tomorrow as it's struggled enough today.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭crushproof


    Yikes what a day, crushed by Intel here. Thought I was smart getting in a few weeks, what an astounding collapse today.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4 Bocadilloo


    Been dipping in and out of intel the last few weeks taking minute profits. What a kick in the teeth with those results. I'm sure these are worrying times for those in Leixlip, especially after the sale to private equity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,414 ✭✭✭JVince


    I think the private equity is a good thing for Leixlip as Intel will not renege on any deal with a major private equity partner.

    Its the jobs in admin, chip design & marketing that will be most affected as Intel move towards their foundry model.

    Anyone in manufacturing should feel safe enough, but if your job is office based, you may get the opportunity of a real good redundancy package to help the pain of seeing share options become near worthless



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,677 ✭✭✭marathonic


    Another tough day ahead it seems. Was odd to have ASML halted in trading for close to a quarter hour at the start of trading today.

    Europe is struggling and US futures are well down, even after yesterday's big sell off.

    I'm already in ASML but could end up taking a position in NVDA soon too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,958 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Intel (INTC) is also my worst performing stock. I was waiting for it to drop below $25 to buy more. Crystal ball time ???

    I see it has a market cap now of $130.86B compared to NVIDIA of $2878.5B. How did it fall so far behind?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,677 ✭✭✭marathonic


    Those market cap differences will shift dramatically in NVDA's favour at todays open…. and, to think, it wasn't that long ago where some INTC investors were calling for Intel to buy up the, much smaller, NVDA.



  • Registered Users Posts: 173 ✭✭bish76


    Is INTC a buy at this price or it would fall further before recovering ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,677 ✭✭✭marathonic


    That's a difficult question to answer. In pre-market, it's currently trading at $22.75.

    If you're to believe the analysts, this is what I see since the release of results yesterday:

    Jeffries cuts price target from $34 to $28
    Deutsche Bank cuts price target from $38 to $27
    Bernstein cuts price target from $35 to $25
    TD Cowan cuts price target from $35 to $25
    Morgan Stanley cuts price target from $36 to $25
    HSBC downgrades to reduce and cuts price target price target from $35 to $19.80

    So all analysts except for HSBC believe there is upside potential from the current pre-market price. However, it doesn't seem a screaming buy. I'd probably wait to see how things shake out next week - though that may mean missing a potential bottom.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,170 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    The foundry business is still bleeding money. Their internal customer (i.e. intel chip design) is their main source of revenue.

    Intel processor division is still profitable, I can't imagine they'd cut much of that. It's things like mobileeye (being spun out), IoT/wearables (think that's been mostly if not totally gutted by now), networking and edge computing (non-server AI accelerators).

    Despite the hammering big tech has been taking over the last month, demand for chips still seems high and reports of glut post COVID in supply is going away and companies are starting to order new inventories, which is good long term and potentially good for Intel foundry. The big risk for them is that TSMC scales up enough to absorb all the extra demand and intel gets little of it.

    TSMCs backlog is Intel's business essentially. Getting first time customers to use Intel Foundry is the difficult part if they can get bookings at TSMC instead



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,958 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Impossible to predict. Hard to predict long-term too. If intel was selling directly to the consumer, you might have a better feel for things.

    It's price today could head below Book value. Crazy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,677 ✭✭✭marathonic


    US payroll report didn't help on what was already going to be a real bad day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,958 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    INTC down 28% so far.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭antimatterx


    Buying some Amazon



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭antimatterx


    I can see the yanks cutting interest rates and printing money again soon



  • Registered Users Posts: 173 ✭✭bish76


    Added some Intel. I think it's over correction.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Had a bad feeling about whole AI thing last week and sold all my Intel and TSMC (nice gain on this one)

    Tho it seems completely unrelated stocks also mostly down today



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,985 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    I rolled into a small Intel position this morning. I am also in the over correction camp. Their manufacturing capacity and disbursement of $8.5billion in CHIPS along with the opportunity to use write downs and NOLs as tax offsets, leaves me thinking that a good medium term price recovery is likely.

    My current "mess around" holdings are Dexcom in at $63.5, CHWY at $25.80 and Intel at $21.14.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,227 ✭✭✭littlevillage


    Same here, taking a nibble. Hoping for a turnaround in 6 months time frame



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,041 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    Serious rumblings of ARM and Softbank in Japan being in dire straits. Looks like they were the main instigators of the AI bubble and looks like you got out just at the right time. You are one of the lucky ones



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    So my biggest losses over 5% each today are GE, JPM, AMZN and RCL

    Pissed off about AMZN as put a big chunk in start of this week tho my average still up 100%, RCL was my best performer before today at +200%



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,677 ✭✭✭marathonic


    Didn't think Chewy was on a lot of people's radars. I sold some cash secured puts on them during the past 12 months but was never assigned and they've since spiked in price.

    I'm down heaviest on ASML this week but that's not the position I'm most surprised at.

    I'm most surprised at Aptiv that, having spiked over 10% yesterday after reporting earnings that beat estimates by about 15% and announcing a major buyback, are now right back to where they started.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,972 ✭✭✭✭Thargor


    Ugh got completely hosed in my Vaneck semiconductor etf, and my lithium shares, bad year but not selling, it will all turn around eventually.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,227 ✭✭✭littlevillage


    Yeah, when an ETF loses over 5% in value in one day, imagine the kind of outflow of cash that would translate to.

    Lithium has been a dog for some time now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,972 ✭✭✭✭Thargor


    More like 8% in a day on top of a couple of weeks of losses before that, total disaster, a year of gains gone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,170 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Election years are always volatile for markets - I wouldn't be in any rush to cash out until all is said and done.

    Certain class of investors have gotten too used to the relative low volatility of late and now they've been spooked and the end is nigh, here comes the big one etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Gonna be one of those days 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,414 ✭✭✭JVince


    whilst I'm out of the market on a personal level, my pension (and millions of other pension holders) is taking a hammering. Thankfully another 8 years before I start drawing down.

    But if the drop continues, expect knock-on softness in the Dublin and commuter housing market as many purchases have been part-funded by cashing in share options especially in the €1m+ bracket



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭antimatterx


    8 years it could easily be double what it is rn.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 508 ✭✭✭gossamerfabric


    The canny guys are buying in to toilet paper manufacturer stocks now.



  • Registered Users Posts: 133 ✭✭dickface


    Vix still rising, nearly 54 now.
    Insanely high.

    Nasdaq down 5% pre-market.
    SP500 still richly valued using PE/PS/PB ratios.
    Spicy times.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 331 ✭✭peterofthebr


    a small smell of blood on the streets. Some bargains out there by tomorrow possibly rio, bats,..



  • Registered Users Posts: 133 ✭✭dickface


    Vix now near 57 after another 10 minutes.
    Only 2008/2009 and 2020 did it spike higher.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,958 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Serious crash in Stock prices expected today. I see most well down in the after hours trading. Next 10 mins will tell a lot.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,958 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    NVIDIA down 10% atm. Apple down 7%. Big drop all round.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 942 ✭✭✭mun1


    good time to dive into tech ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,031 ✭✭✭antimatterx


    Good prices. I've no idea if they will go lower, buy I'm buying something here. Amazon and Microsoft



  • Registered Users Posts: 133 ✭✭dickface


    Financial meltdown called off.

    Buy the dip still works 😸



  • Registered Users Posts: 331 ✭✭peterofthebr


    A few trading platform went offline, that's one way to stop selling 🤔



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,489 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Account down 10% in the last week, fun times. PSH (Pershing) was a right kick in the nads, that came out of nowhere (to me). Could be worse as I had some funds to buy a dip, have some left in case this goes further, which it might well do. Learned from the COVID dip not to panic, it will recover.

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,489 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Three day rule, today is a day to watch and not panic sell or fomo buy

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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