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Aer Lingus Fleet/ Routes Discussion Pt 2 (ALL possible routes included)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,150 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Making an effort to meet customers' needs? Nah.

    © 1982 Sinclair Research Ltd



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,241 ✭✭✭kevinandrew


    Would Ryanair even be interested anymore? I always believed one of the major factors in the original take over attempts was O’Leary’s personal motives in eradicating Ryanair’s biggest symbolic rival. He’d have seen it as a personal victory.

    Since 2006, Aer Lingus has done little outside some transatlantic growth while Ryanair has become a behemoth of European aviation, O’Leary himself says Aer Lingus is essentially meaningless to Ryanair now.

    The only advantage to taking over Aer Lingus now would again be the eradication of an historically symbolic rival and the transatlantic network, the latter of which Ryanair no longer appears interested in doing. Would it be worth the hassle, the cost, inheriting a heavily unionised workforce, the higher cost base and a relatively small and awkward Airbus fleet?



  • Registered Users Posts: 114 ✭✭flyer_query


    Kevin I think you need to cool the jets. You are having a full blown conversation with yourself about Aer Lingus being sold / closed down / selling planes. IAG are making plenty of money of aer Lingus and will continue to do so once things settle down, IAG are in expansion mode not contraction and don’t need the money from selling.



  • Registered Users Posts: 335 ✭✭dublin12367


    Were posters/ anybody really expecting Aer Lingus to come out with some big profits for Q2 and announce everything was rosey in the garden after the events over the last couple of months?

    They spent the best part of the Spring/ Summer refusing to budge in the pilot dispute and now have other unions eyeing up scope for further pay talks as a result of the pilot deal.

    I don’t doubt that some routes aren’t preforming to their full potential, however some of the talk from Aerlingus in the last day or so, in my opinion was to justify their actions regarding the pilots pay dispute and perhaps warn the other unions there’s not an everlasting money pit to be handing out further pay increases or if they have to, routes will definitely be cut. They also emphasised that the higher deal the pilots got was down to a change in the work practices, (something the pilots deny) which should null and void any of the clauses in the other pay deals to reopen talks.

    With the cap in Dublin, there’s going to be absolutely no further growth or new routes in the short term, unless a current route gets scrapped and replaced by a new one. Aerlingus also did not receive its full slot requests for winter so with all of the above it is only natural the routes are reviewed with weaker ones cut and replaced by stronger yielding ones.

    While I categorically reject the idea of the airport having a cap and think it is a failure of the daa, the government and ABP for it even existing in the first place, and still existing when pax numbers were ~33m mark in 2019, the cap can work to Aerlingus’ advantage with its current routes in the short term. While they won’t be able to grow and add, competitor airlines also won’t be able to up capacity either or announce new routes which will lead to the current services only getting stronger as demand grows but supply remains static.

    With the current slots it’s not a given JetBlue will be allowed back in next year if there’s a seat capacity for summer 2025 similar to winter 2024.


    I’m sure many will disagree with points raised above but just my own €0.02



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,241 ✭✭✭kevinandrew


    I was responding to post #6781 by Van.Bosch;

    'I think Ryanair could buy it if it was ever for sale!! Third times a charm!'

    Admittedly I should have quoted it for clarity for those not following closely but if you look back to the previous page there was a very active discussion about the current state of Aer Lingus, it's position within IAG and it's future. I hope my post looks a little less out of place given the wider context.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭Shamrockj


    The doom and gloom comments from the CEO are just strategy, the old “we have no money, covid, “ blah blah is wheeled out every so often to suit the narrative being pushed by management.


    She basically played Russian roulette with the pilots and lost big time. Said they couldn’t pay for the pay increase but now will have to pay for the increase and the costs of the cancelations.


    I wouldn’t except any company to turn a profit during industrial action. Ei habit is to limp from crisis to crisis and slash and burn.
    I’m sure the profits will return as always and the old we have no money will be brought back for the next crisis.


    any talks of ei being sold off our wound down are utter nonsense. IAG is absolutely not going to sell any assets



  • Registered Users Posts: 216 ✭✭sandbelter


    I think we need some facts in this conversation.

    Here is the last five years statutory profits for Aer Lingus. You can access the original information from IAG's website here under operating companies .

    https://www.iairgroup.com/investors-and-shareholders/financial-reporting/annual-reports/

    In layman's language this what figures point to:

    1. The damage was not done by either management or the unions, but the over the top Covid lock down responses These figures show why there were rumours of insolvency back in 2022. You can follow the precovid results above from 2019 to 2023 to see the full impact.
    2. Aer Lingus currently negative equity of EUR280.2mln. (Liabilities of EUR2,372.5 a mln exceed assets of EUR2,092.4 mln), this is a classic symptom of financial distress. That's not scaremongering...it's a fact.
    3. The growth of liabilities by EUR540mln from 2019 to 2023 pretty much matches in the increase in accumulated losses of EUR618.2 and points to the losses being debt funded.
    4. My understanding of accounting standards is Aer Lingus can't pay a dividend to IAG whilst accumulated losses are negative. That optimistically not going to be before 2030 based on 2023 results. This points to Aer Lingus being effectively a dead weight to IAG in the interim.
    5. If you can't pay a dividend, you don't get capital expenditure….it's not a threat…it just states only a fool would invest if they knew they wouldn't get a return on their investment. This why the A321xlr maybe further way than we can imagine, a A330ceo replacement order is unlikely before 2030.
    6. Whilst the cap remains in place it can't grow it way out of these accumulated losses, now the only strategy open to Aer Lingus is the "slash and burn" management have raised where they have to "shrink there way to profit" … so don't be surprised if cuts at ORK and SNN are more extensive than mooted….it will also be a warning shot to the politicians to take the Dublin cap seriously.

    The biggest thing that is going for Aer Lingus at the moment is Ryanair is currently sitting back passively.

    I'm not raising this so to argue that people shouldn't be paid what they are worth, I don't know what staff are entitled to be paid and what is a fair wage which why I have stayed out of IR and pay discussions.

    But it is disingenuous to brush away management's warnings about the situation Aer Lingus is in. People are too lost in the details and are missing the bigger picture here.



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 9,891 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger


    I agree that the recent IR issues aren't the main cause of the poor financial results.

    But the lackluster post-covid recovery can be laid at the door of EI Mgmt. Ryanair bounced back in summer 2022, Aer Lingus were still using Covid as an excuse in late 2023.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,501 ✭✭✭Jack1985


    Sorry the commentary about cuts at ORK/SNN are non-sense, EI as of last week were advising current Dublin crew of transfer opportunities to Cork base from next April.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,729 ✭✭✭✭Jamie2k9


    Athens x2 weekly, Alicante x3 weekly, Dubrovnik x2 weekly, Faro x4 weekly, Izmir x2 weekly, Nice x4 weekly, Palma x3 weekly added for winter. Many show full season apart from early Jan-end Feb.

    Prehaps some slot sitting at play. Palma, Athens or Dubrovnik have never operated outside summer season. The others have at various times in the past.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭Shamrockj


    that is a very significant increase, I haven’t seen them operate those flights in the winter season before.


    I think the slots are based on summer and winter both are different so I don’t think it is slot sitting but could be wrong.

    Surprised considering the passenger cap.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,729 ✭✭✭✭Jamie2k9


    Winter 24 slots awarded will be those awarded in winter 23. That includes x28 or possibly x32 weekly slots (counting once) they held for LGW.

    The issue with the cap is if you reject the slots now you will not be awarded extra slots again for a future season. The airline who takes them this season (winter) will get them next season (winter) if they want them. Demand is to high currently.

    The extra flights are around 20 weekly plus other extra capacity on routes such as ACE all add up.

    Great if these routes are profitable but most will lose them a small fortune.



  • Administrators Posts: 53,904 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    On the subject of their catering, do they not have a way to chill drinks on board?

    I always notice they serve everything warm.



  • Registered Users Posts: 134 ✭✭Qaanaaq


    There are less slots available in W24 than W23 . It's on the acl website.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,783 ✭✭✭Captain_Crash


    No, they come in a cart from Dnata as is and EI aircraft don’t have fridges (with the exception of the ex QR birds, but they’re not used)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,708 ✭✭✭Trampas


    They usually give you ice



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 50 ✭✭coupons1987


    How do they keep the ice cream cold if there’s no fridge ?



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 4,178 Mod ✭✭✭✭Locker10a


    slabs of dry ice .
    They tend to freeze the drinks if you leave them on the drinks carts.
    Sometimes crew leave a slab of dry ice on the cans of beer/wine but I’ve seen people had them back claiming the contents had frozen in the can as a result so you can’t win



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,783 ✭✭✭Captain_Crash


    Yes, dry ice is too cold and will just freeze everything. They also have cooling fans in the galley on some 330’s and the neos, but the meal carts are loaded in them to keep the contents fresh. I also think the carts used for that are specialised anyway so won’t work for drinks carts.



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 9,891 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger


    MSN 11348 is currently doing flight testing, and as of 2 days ago wasn't painted yet:

    https://x.com/Tobias_Gudat/status/1820025871127687615?t=cv0P028MWiWcATLn4EOldQ&s=19

    Meanwhile, Iberia have fully painted the 2nd XLR (EC-OIL, MSN 11504) 2 weeks ago:

    https://x.com/Iberia/status/1813893814072885373?t=zKuEEwRca2CutOvHkER5VA&s=19



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13 LimaBravoTango


    I still believe that MSN 11348 will find its way to EI as IB receive additional frames. There’s no way that IB will be satisfied with two business class configurations on a relatively small fleet of XLRs.



  • Registered Users Posts: 730 ✭✭✭Tarabuses




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,783 ✭✭✭Captain_Crash


    All depends really, like Tenger said some crew will throw in a pack of dry ice for a little while (loaded on west coast + ORD only)… or sometimes the cabin isn’t too warm and they don’t heat too much. I’ve even seen wine be handed back for being too warm and the next person take it and say it’s cold enough! People are people lol.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,370 ✭✭✭✭Marcusm


    it’s always the way; the red is cold and the white is ambient temperature.



  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭Shamrockj


    Malta, Seville and Marrakesh announced for the winter.
    Malta X3 a week

    Marrakesh X3 a week

    Seville X3 a week



  • Registered Users Posts: 79 ✭✭Paul2019


    I don't know where the dividing line between warm and hot is but they served me a glass of bubbly that might as well have been briefly microwaved (SFO-DUB). I know it was a warm day but it's a dreadfully half-arsed first impression not helped by no amenity kits or printed menus. Haven't used them since for long haul. No plans to either.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,241 ✭✭✭kevinandrew


    Marrakesh and Malta are interesting choices and good to see Seville back. Also a return to Morocco after previously serving Agadir for quite a few years.



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 9,891 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger


    When was this?

    Because they introduced a new menu maybe 2-2.5 years ago. With new style card card menus and (then) new amenity kits.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,241 ✭✭✭kevinandrew


    They actually make a bit of effort with the menu presentation these days. Here’s a short video here from a LinkedIn post about them.

    https://www.linkedin.com/posts/marievahey_inflightmenu-businessclassexperience-aerlingus-activity-7158827513010376704-I8Hc

    It’s very typical of Aer Lingus to do one thing incredibly well, then on the exact same product be so lacklustre, like the woeful amenity kit.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 114 ✭✭flyer_query


    Amenity kits in general are meh, purely just for show and add very little to the flight or your life (a tooth brush is a tooth brush, who needs a comb / eye mask / socks etc, I dont want hand / skin products). If you fly regular enough they either get dumped or thrown in a corner.

    One plus for Aer Lingus is that their amenity kit makes a decent pencil case, perfect size.



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