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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭whatever.


    Yes society at large does not want to embrace this question

    There are too many black and brown people in the world, this is where the population growth is coming from and the single most damaging aspect for the planet

    Post edited by whatever. on


  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭whatever.


    You can't replace nitrogen with 'other' fertiliser. Nitrogen is non replaceable only an alternative source is possible



  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭whatever.


    No but our production decreased

    You're categorically incorrect dismissing nitrogen thus



  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭whatever.


    The goverment makes the law they can tell employers what to do any time they want



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,772 ✭✭✭ginger22


    The reality is humanity as we know it cannot survive on this planet without hydrocarbons, The food we eat, the clothes on our backs, everything we use on a daily basis is dependent on "carbon" mined or pumped from under ground. Ironically even the "glue" those nutters used to stick them selves to the tarmac in Frankfurt airport was probably manufactured from hydro carbons. Green policies are only tinkering around the edges and don't make any meaningfull reduction.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 471 ✭✭thatsdaft


    IMHO it’s much worse than that, the likes of Stop Oil, bizzare obsession with taxes on everything, the crusade against tech that help reduce CO2 like nuclear and datacenters, and the constant quasi religious apocalyptic end of days nonsense that gets trotted out with increasing frequency

    All of this ads up to turn people away from the issues and get pissed off altogether

    I am still scratching my head as to how these brains think agriculture can survive without nitrogen



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    It’s not me you have to convince. It’s the International Atomic Energy Agency’s guidance. Not mine.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I have already shown you that when over 20% of demand tripped out here the grid didn`t fry, as has @machiavellianme when 25% tripped out, so to use your own term, your 10% guidance on nuclear is an irrelevance. A useful little bit of information for you though is that the International Energy Agency projections are that unless nuclear generation doubles globally net zero emissions by 2050 is not possible.

    Where did you pull this €20 Bn. figure for 1.4 GW of nuclear from. Another case of those who back this offshore/hydrogen 2050, that will not even provide our projected needs, not being able to put a single figure to what they favour while pulling figures for nuclear out of thin air ?

    Our projected grid by 2050 is not going to be "tiny". It will be ~14 GW, and where did you get the idea from that wind farms would be "small units impact on the grid"? The plan is for 37 GW offshore wind plus the already close to 5 GW onshore impacting the grid.

    The only people believing that "things that don`t work elsewhere will work here in Ireland because we are special" are those backing this all eggs in the one basket nonsense on wind. I neither love or hate wind or nuclear, but I can do the maths on an energy source that is intermittent and unreliable, that has a 42% capacity factor which would require further massive capital costs ~20 years compared to one that will generate at a capacity of 94%+ no matter the weather and for capital cost has a life span of 60 years.

    Neither is it the case that wind will provide us with cheaper electricity than nuclear. Our own recent ORESS strike price for offshore, when you consider that it is for 50% consumption of generation and 50% hydrogen production, plus all the add-on costs there will be from hydrogen, even without the guarantee that we will pay them for whatever they generate even if we neither need or use it, will leave us with a higher strike price than those backing this plans of their nuclear bogey man Hinkley C. As do the recent renegotiated offshore fixed turnine strike prices for Equinor and Orsted in the U.S. of $205 per Kw/hr.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    it’s not my guidance. It’s the IAEA’s. It’s not irrelevant, you just don’t agree with it.

    No regulator is going to approve and no bank is going to finance a nuclear plant that is not designed in accordance with IAEA advice. The manufacturer won’t even try to sell you one. It simply isn’t a runner.

    Up to €11 billion per gigawatt is where Europe is at for costs, in today’s money, in countries with suitable sites and grids, and decades of nuclear experience. There are so many additional difficulties with our tiny grid that the price will be higher than that. (https://www.euractiv.com/section/energy-environment/news/nucleaire-comment-definir-le-cout-des-futurs-reacteurs-en-europe/)

    It’s just a fantasy with today’s technology. Ranting and raving about how bad you think wind is won’t change this fact.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Do you understand the difference between regulations and guidance ?

    Following the IAEA regulation on building a nuclear plant has nothing to do with guidance as to how you operate it. In real world terms you have been shown examples where here that 10% guidance went as high as 25% and the lights stayed on.

    So now the price for nuclear has dropped from your €20 Bn. to €11 Bn.!! But I suspect I know where you got both figures from. The €20 Bn. figure you got from Poland before realising that it was actually $20 Bn for a plant housing 3 APR1000 nuclear reactors which leaves the price per GW at €6 billion not €20 Bn. You then jumped to the latest nuclear reactor in Europe to go on line, Finlands Olikiluoto 3, for your €11Bn, but OLK 3 is a 1.6 GW reactor which even after delays and budget overruns still cost €6.87 Bn per GW, So not only are both your figures incorrect you have still not provided a single figure for this 37 GW plan you favour.

    You keep harping on about our "tiny" grid while ignoring that the plan you are backing is for a projected demand of ~ 14 GW by 2050. Is that because Finland with the same population as Ireland has a current demand of ~14 GW where 42% is being supplied by nuclear, where not only are they self sufficient since OLK 3 came on line, their domestic electricity charges are less than half those of Ireland ?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    what difference is there between regulations and guidelines in this context? No one cares. No one is going to merchandise, permit or fund a plant contrary to IAEA’s recommendations in whether form.

    I have no idea what your second paragraph is about. A 1.4 GW nuclear adventure in ireland is going to cost 20 billion by the time interest, overruns, new ancillary infrastructure, and an appropriate new regulatory system are in place. Interest alone on 11 billion euros of construction at 4 percent over a 20 years construction phase is €4.4 billion.

    Finland is part of a massive Scandinavian synchronous grid. Finland’s grid is not at all comparable to Ireland’s.

    Your idea for a nuclear power station in 2032 is a fantasy from top to bottom, a dream.

    Post edited by antoinolachtnai on


  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭whatever.


    Ironically

    Up to €11 billion per gigawatt is where Europe is at for costs, in today’s money

    Your figure is correct but it's for wind. Seagreen just commissioned at a cost of €3.6 Billion for 1GW with a life of 25 years at 50% capacity factor

    €7.2 Billion for 100% capacity

    €10.8 Billion for equivalent life to nuclear

    The median (50% above and 50% below) age of a nuclear plant is 37 years, expected life is 50 years so I'm being overly generous to wind, correctly

    €14.4 Billion would be the actual wind figure

    The Finnish plant only cost €7 Billion per GW and will have a 60 year life, even Hinkley will only cost €10 Billion per GW and will have a 60 year life too

    The correct thing for us to do would be to go joint venture with EDF on a second plant at Hinkley and put in additional inter connectors, we would get

    1. Zero Carbon Energy
    2. Long term low cost power
    3. Benefit from 1st project experience
    4. Lower 2nd project cost
    5. Ability to export wind production
    6. Irish solution to an Irish problem

    Seagreen's costs

    https://www.sserenewables.com/offshore-wind/operational-wind-farms/seagreen/



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,596 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    But it's not merely as simple as doubling 50% capacity factor to get 100% when it comes to renewables. You could install 10 times the current level of wind and still have weeks (not just hours or days) where the entire fleet of turbines are stationary. With wind and/or solar, you can never reach 100% without other technologies. So no, €7.2 billion won't give you 100% capacity factor. In fact it probably won't even get you 80%.

    That's not necessarily the same case when it comes to oil, gas, coal, nuclear, peat etc as you can carry sufficient fuel stocks.



  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭whatever.




  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Now you are just rambling and ranting

    Nuclear plants are built and funded in compliance with IEA regulations. IAEA guidance is just advice on how you operate the plant when completed. It has nothing to do with IEA construction regulations or funding. The 10% guidance as we know from experience here is irrelevant as we have had trip outs of 20 -25% of demand without the grid frying. Even moreso in that OLK 3 is providing 14% of Finand`s demand. 40% higher than that IAEA guidance.

    The rest of your post is made up nonesense. You pluck a figure of €11Bn out of the air for a 1.4 GW plant, then magic that up to €20 Bn using nothing but supposition of it taking 20 years to build while you cannot provide a single figure on your own preference.

    The cost of offshore wind has increased by up to 80% in the last year and all of that offshore 37 GW plan is indexed linked for operational costs and maintenance, plus the guarantee that we will pay for whatever they generate even if we neither need of use it. Northland have just agreed a 1 GW deal with Taiwan for a fixed turbine wind farm that will deliver 420 MW for €6 Bn. That would leave just the 37 GW offshore section alone costing €222 Bn without the hydrogen costs and would supply just 7.7 GW of the projected 14 GW of domestic demand and still have us using fossil fuels to provide 4GW, same as we are now, and still having the most expensive electricity in Europe. Equinor and Orsted have re-negotiated contracts for fixed turbine farms in the U.S. 80% higher than originally agreed that now have a strike price of $205 per MW/hr.

    Nuclear is a once off capital cost for a 60 year lifespan that will deliver 94%+ of nameplate capacity. Fixed offshore would require 3 capital investments within that time and have a capacity factor of 42%. This 37 GW plan would leave the country bankrupt and we would still have the same emissions we have now in 2050. More even as it would require the burning of hydrogen resulting in emissions of nitrogen dioxide

    Other than plucking figures out of the air and supposition you have not produced anything to show where it make any kind of sense financially or reaching carbon zero by 2050.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    Again, it isn’t that the IAEA guidance is irrelevant. It’s just that you don’t agree with it, and nobody cares about your opinion. They are the global authority on atomic energy. You are not. If you want to do something productive you can try to convince them to change the guidance. (Though they won’t because there is a gaping technical problem in your argument).

    All this other stuff is waffle and a lot of it is misinformed.

    Nuclear may well be great but it isn’t going to get built in ireland because the technology just isn’t suitable. You keep wanting to talk about wind farms for some reason. But we aren’t talking about wind farms. We’re talking about nuclear.

    Nobody is going to merchandise, design, permit, finance or build a plant contrary to IAEA guidance. It’s a pipe dream.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,790 ✭✭✭✭Burkie1203


    SO a 40 euro levy on energy bills. Another tax.

    Greens are destroying themselves. ESB made 900m profit last year so surely that can be used to pay for greener energy

    They are spending a fortune on wind and solar farms. Missed a trick here. Every school should have solar panels and a proper energy storage system. They are closed more then they are open and schools would be able to save a fortune on energy bills and maybe even make a profit by selling back to the grid. Instead we are being taxed to build wind turbines.

    Once this is in, it will be like the USC, it won't be removed even after the greens have been wiped out.



  • Registered Users Posts: 623 ✭✭✭poppers


    You cant blame this one on the Greens, its a return oc the PSO levy thats been on every bill since 2001. It waz reduced to €0 fof last few yrs as part of the cost of living support measures



  • Registered Users Posts: 471 ✭✭thatsdaft




  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    It`s nothing to do with me agreeing with it or not. It`s a guideance on operating a nuclear plant. It has nothing to do with financing or constructing a nuclear plant. We know from past trip outs here that a trip out of 25% of generation demand does not fry the grid and we know that Finland is generating day in a day out 14% of its generation demand from their OLK 3 nuclear plant for the past year. Four times great than that guideance, and their grid hasn`t fried either and I haven`t heard anything about the the IAEA threatening to do anything about it.

    But for the fun of it I`ll play along with your latest effort at dodging.

    Lets say that we rule out nuclear. What is your solution to us reaching net zero generation emissions by 2050 and how much will it cost to finance ?

    You have been quoting figures on nuclear that you have been plucking out of thin air while calling me misinformed when I have been providing you with verifiable figures, so you must have a figure for an alternative source of generation that will provide us with 14 GWs by 2050 that will be net carbon zero. Or is it the case that you do not give a fiddlers about emissions ?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭whatever.


    The 10% is for one unit, this is why a facility has multiple units.

    The guidance is not nuclear specific but generation related, so there is no reason why we couldn't have a plant with 3 x 500Mw units using a Candu 6 built and operated by the Canadians

    They have a strong safety and regulatory record. They also are very pension fund orientated and would equally be strongly interested from this aspect.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,790 ✭✭✭✭Burkie1203




  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    Technically it’s possible. But there hasn’t been a 500MW CANDU unit built in a long time. The design was revised to increase the unit size but they still didn’t build any.

    The basic underlying reason is because big nuclear reactors are economic whilst small nuclear reactors are not.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    That makes sense and explains why countries like Finland, France, Sweden …etc are not having the IAEA rolling up and knocking down their nuclear plants.

    APR1000 reactors, (or even larger), which the Poles have done a deal on for €6 Bn, would also work.



  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭whatever.


    India are building a fleet of CANDU reactors of just this size currently, I even think the second one was commissioned and is now operational with full grid integration

    Reactor size has increases has been possible as power demand has increased, this is common to all plant.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    These aren’t CANDU reactors. The design is derived. They have nothing to do with Canada.

    Reactor size has increased by and large because big reactors are economic and small ones aren’t. Everyone would prefer to build more, smaller reactors for project and risk management reasons, but it has never to date made economic sense.

    Post edited by antoinolachtnai on


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Nuclear also has the advantage that it can be ramped up or down by 0.5%/minute according to demand, so reactor size would not be that big a consideration. Especially with demand predicted to rise.

    With wind or solar you cannot ramp it up so your only options are to massively overbuild to the level of their lowest capacity factor.



  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭whatever.


    Please re-read your own statement

    "These aren’t CANDU reactors. The design is derived. They have nothing to do with Canada."

    Until you understand how you have contradicted yourself.

    Reactor size has increased because power demand and also engineering ability and capacity has increased this goes for all generating plant.

    Everyone would prefer to build more, smaller reactors . . .

    No they wouldn't, you build the appropriate size in the appropriate location. If you want to negate risks you go joint venture



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭antoinolachtnai


    I have? Which Canadian companies are involved in building these plants?

    No one builds small reactors anymore. Can you give me a list of 5 sub 500MW plants that commenced construction in the last 5 years?

    Surprising you’d want anything to do with these plants.



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