Russia-Ukraine War (Threadbanned in op)

I was in Berlin in February last year and I seem to recall a destroyed T90 tank placed in front of the russian embassy, which is walking distance from the Reichstag. So Medvedev isn't far off; just not in the way he intended.

Big list

Summary-

Russia had 29 pieces of artillery damaged or destroyed. 1 Grad and 2 2S3 were destroyed. The 2S3 were probably old, but are newly documented. 22 guns had their barrels destroyed or breach damaged. The breach damage may destroy the gun, you'd need follow up footage to understand how much damage the gun suffered, though.

3 tanks were abandoned and 1 damaged.

8 IFVs were destroyed, and 1 damaged

Russia had 14 trucks destroyed and 16 more damaged. They also lost 8 more transport vehicles.

Russia had 116 assets damaged, abandoned, or destroyed

Ukraine had 27 assets damaged, abandoned, or destroyed

1 boat sunk

1 tank destroyed and 1 more damaged

1 ifv damaged

1 apc abandoned, 1 destroyed, 1 damaged

1 mrap destroyed

and they lost 6 transport vehicles.

The excursions into Russia are both bad and good for Ukraine. On one hand it's a massive distraction for Russia and will mean they will have to reinforce the border once more. However, it also shows that Ukraine needs a distraction to try and stop the slow and attrional loss of land on the front.

It will be more interesting to see if Ukraine decides to make any tangible changes at the front because, at the moment, I can only see one side being able to sustain this in the long term and this looks like they will be qt it for quite some time yet.

I'd agree with the good and bad for Ukraine. Whilst the Ukrainian invasion was a great morale booster from their point of view, it heaps pressure on Russia/Putin to respond in a way that will (a) reclaim the lost area and then some, and (b) give Russia a similar morale/propaganda boost. This is worrying as Putin would have to do something overly drastic to ensure the win and ensure that it has the necessary panache to dissuade future Ukrainian invasion and quell any potential concern for his leadership. Chemical weapons & leaning more on Lukashenko to get Belarus directly involved are potentially on the table. Best course of action in my (completely militarily unqualified) view would be to mine the pockets they invade and pull back to their borders creating buffer zones - Only one side could sustain the invasion(s) long term.

NATO missed this memo...

It's a distraction as it has yet to be seen whether or not Ukraine will be able to sustain any territory in Russia. If they can then it could be a game changer. The difference in a tangible move and a distraction will ultimately depend on the outcome. Right now, I would suspect this is short term. Ukraine won't be able to supply troops if they try and cut deeper into Russia. In my opinion it's not sustainable other than creating a distraction and moving men and weapons away from the front on both sides.

Even if it is short term, should Ukraine use this as a means to push Russia back at the front then it would obviously be a massive success but I suspect we would need to see more territory along the border taken for Russia to have to massively recalibrate in a way that gives Ukraine the initiative at the front.

As for the war of attrition, when I say one side can win, that is Russia as they have more weapons and more men.

A distraction would have been Ukraine going there and being pushed back within few hours. I mean, we are talking about a country that claimed to have a strong and unlimited soldiers.

How come after 4 days, Ukraine is still going?

"

As for the war of attrition, when I say one side can win, that is Russia as they have more weapons and more men.

"

Spoken like a true putin fanboy. You have taken note that the invasion of Ukraine by putin's terrorists has not been going very well for them and they have lost huge quantities of their trained military forces and equipment?

Well it's a great distraction isn't it?

Yesterday's equipment losses -

Then there's also the abandoned Russian equipment from fleeing forces that Ukraine have managed to get. I've not seen as much detail in terms of munitions acquired but stuff like this

Ukrainian Forces Capture Valuable Russian T-72B3 Tanks (msn.com)

One particularly notable find is an abandoned T-72B3 tank near the town of Sudzha. This model, equipped with advanced thermal imaging cameras, represents a significant loss for the Russian military.