Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

In the event of united Ireland could DUP attract a significant vote in the Republic / 26 Counties ?

15678911»

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,569 ✭✭✭pureza


    Aye but a UI would be new and completely different disposition than heretofore



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,120 ✭✭✭Bobson Dugnutt


    what a silly thread. Imagine wasting time on it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,422 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The southern parties have realistically failed in any attempts to enter politics in NI

    Sinn Fein seem to have done well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,822 ✭✭✭donegal_man


    "…Borg the SDLP.." LOL

    If (when) there is a UI then the DUP will probably have faded into the background of NI politics.

    As I've said before without the Union they'll be left with just their opposition to the dreaded "Godless socialism" rampant in Ireland. And I can then see them and whatever version of Renua is around forming some sort of soi disant "Christian Coalition".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,249 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    I'm not sure anyone considers them a southern party



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,422 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    They are and always have been an all Ireland party. Their origins are the clue.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,252 ✭✭✭mattser


    Just the usual crew with plenty of time to waste. Posting the same repetitive bs across similar threads.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,422 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Poster with no opinion themselves arrives to throw stones at thread.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,249 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    So not a southern party trying to break in to NI then. Thanks for making my point for me, I guess.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,422 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    HQ in Dublin and had to cope with partition like everyone else. They didn't abandon those in the north as FF and FG did.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,249 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    And again.

    Are you agreeing with me, or completely failing to comprehend something basic?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,422 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Correcting you. At partition 'southern' parties made decisions. Some of them chose not to be all Ireland parties.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,249 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    No, not comprehending me.

    There's nothing to correct. I won't continue this pointless back and forth.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,422 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    This needs the addition of the word in bold…

    The Some southern parties have realistically failed in any attempts to enter politics in NI,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,539 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    FF and FG were both founded, in the South, after partition. In that sense, they are indeed southern parties. The suggestion that they "abandoned" NI might imply that they operated there at one time but withdrew. This is not really the case; FG never operated there, and FF only ever did so to a limited extent*.

    In both cases this was because they were reluctant to split the nationalist vote by drawing votes from the Nationalist party. This wasn't an issue for SF because they didn't contest elections to the Stormont parliament.

    SF aside, the only significant political party to have been founded before partition is the Labour Party, founded in 1912. But the Belfast Labour Party had been operating in and around Belfast since the 1890s and, not wishing to split the labour vote, even before partition the Labour Party left the field clear for them. In 1924 the Belfast Labour Party reconstituted itself as the Nothern Ireland Labour Party.

    *[Eamon de Valera did fight the 1933 election for Fianna Fail in South Down, but I think only after it had been established that the Nationalist party wasn't going to run there. He won the election but didn't take his seat, and didn't contest the following election in 1938. Neither did the Nationalists; as a result the seat was taken by an independent Unionist who later joined the UUP. The Nationalists recovered the seat in 1945 and held it until the abolition of Stormont.]



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,422 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    It's one of those 'what if's'.

    What if FF and FG had organised on an all Ireland basis?

    They chose not to and eventually those they left behind came banging on the gates. It was always going to happen IMO and it seems, it's much to the chagrin of the 2 'southern' parties.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,539 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    It's not completely a what-if since, as noted, FF did enter into NI politics in the sense of having Dev contest South Down but not take his seat. They gave it up because, I think, they concluded that they weren't acheiving anything.

    If FG had entered NI politics, presumably they would have done so on the basis of taking their seats — if they, too, had pursued abstentionism, what would they have been bringing to the table? But if they did, then they would have been competing head-to-head with the Nationalists and this would have made no sense — of all the southern parties, they were the ones closeset, historically and ideologically, to the Nationalists; what would they offer that the Nationalists didn't?

    And it's probably worth pointing out that SF was also largely inactive in NI politics in the Stormont period — they didn't participate in Stormont elections at all, or in Westminster elections except briefly in the 1950s. The truth is that SF had never been strong in NI — in the 1918 election they won only 7% of the vote in the six counties that were to become NI, and only 3 out of 30 seats — and for most of the Stormont period the party was moribund in the Republic and almost non-existent in NI. The voice of nationalists in NI was, well, the Nationalists, until they were eclipsed by the SDLP in the early 1970s.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,628 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    that rational makes Northern Ireland and the IFA the all Ireland team and association. I always knew it!



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,628 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    if my memory serves me correctly SF had near zero support until the IRA masterstroke of arranging for 10 prisoners to starve themselves to death. It was cruel and ruthless, but transformed the nationalist voting patterns.
    they have since had the luxury of no accountability. Opposition in the south and De Honte in the north.
    the bubble will burst when they can be seen for what they are



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,539 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    I think your memory betrays you. In the first place, the "masterstroke" you describe could not have happened without the enthusiastic co-operation of Margaret Thatcher, and I think we would struggle to explain why Margaret Thatcher would participate in a conspiracy to transform nationalist voting patterns.

    But, more fundamentally, before this period SF did not participate in elections, so we have no "before" and "after" to measure the effect of the hunger strikes on their support. In the long run, the more significant event that happened at this time was SF's decision to start participating in electoral politics; that only happened after the hunger strikes. SF did not participate in the 1981 local government elections; they did participate in the 1982 Assembly elections, and they got 10.1% of the vote, coming well behind the SDLP (18.8%).

    That pattern persisted for some time. In the 1985 Euro elections SF got 13.3% (SDLP 22.1%). The 1985 local elections — SF 11.8%; SDLP 17.8%. 1989 local elections — SF 11.2%; SDLP 21.0%. 1989 Euro elections ñ SF 9.1%; SDLP 25.5%.

    The real growth in support happened in the 1990s, more than 10 years after the hunger strikes, and it was a response to much more positive events - the ceasefire, the decommissioning, the Good Friday Agreement.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,422 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Well I suppose I should have said 'stayed' involved in all Ireland politics which SF seem to have managed without taking their seats in WM. I take your point about them not always being the most popular party with the electorate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,422 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The IFA(clue is in the name) is a football association in Ireland but doesn't have an all Ireland dimension.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,539 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Well, their political engagement in NI, while abstaining from Westminster, is greatly facilitated by the existence of the Assembly and the NI government. If government structures were still as they were in, say, 1980, then Westminster elections would be pretty much the only show in town, and if SF sought to participate in those elections but abstain from Westminster I think they would struggle to attract much support. Voting SF in those circumstances would seem like a fairly nihilistic stance.

    It's not a coincidence that SF's electoral rise comes in tandem with the ceasefires and with the devolution provided for in the GFA. If either of those elements had been missing, SF would not have the electoral position in NI politics that it has today.

    It did originally, and for a long time.

    It was founded in 1880 as the governing body for the sport throughout Ireland, though in fact at the time there was little soccer played outside the north, except by Dublin University and by teams associated with British army garrisons in the rest of the country. But over time that changed - the Leinster Football Association was founded in 1982, and it and its clubs joined the IFA. The IFA was the national body for soccer until 1921, when the Irish Cup final (between Shelbourne and Glentoran) was a draw, and had to be replayed. The final had been played in Belfast and, under the rules of the competition, the replay should have been in Dublin, but the Association organised it in Belfast. Shelbourne refused to play in Belfast and the Association then announced that they had forfeited the game and awarded the cup to Glentoran. This was a big deal because Shelbourne was a significant team in the IFA; they had won the Irish Cup four time and, at the time of the dispute, were in fact the current holders. The Leinster Football Association withdrew from the IFA and founded the rival FAI (initially called the FAIFS) and the League of Ireland.

    From that point on the IFA included only teams based in NI but still considered itself the peak body for the whole country and its repfesentative team competed internationally as "Ireland" and included players from both parts of Ireland. The FAI team also competed internatinally as "Ireland" from 1936, and included players from both parts of Ireland. This state of affairs continued until the 1950s when FIFA intervened and brokered a compromise under which (among other things) the IFA accepted the reality that its remit extended only to Northern Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,422 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The point was: They never lost their all Ireland dimension, I accept they were not always electorally successful or interested.

    And I was referencing the modern/current status of the IFA.



Advertisement