Russia-Ukraine War (Threadbanned in op)

the amount of km2 is meaningless, whether its 1,000 or 10,000. What's important is the bloody nose that Russia has received, the knock to morale, the dilemma of redeploying troops, the psychological impact of being invaded, and the populace seeing their military as powerless to stop it.

It's one thing to have a war in a foreign country, another to have it in your own back yard.

It wasn't heavily militarized, that is exactly why Ukraine attacked it.

Whether it is 800 sq km or 1200 sq km isn't all that important.

Some of the the important questions are:

What is the quality of those positions? Can they be defended?

How many personal will Russia have to redeploy from the front to retake it? How many will they redeploy to defend other parts of the front that aren't well defended.

Will the redeployment of troops create opportunities in other parts of the front?

Will Russia deploy the same tactics in Russia as they do in Ukraine?

At the very least Russia will have to use a large amounts ammunitions/mines on Russian soil rather than Ukraine.

I recon plan is that they don’t want to be bogged down in trench warfare which favours Russian meat grinder tactics

• Trench warfare they have to have a K:D ratio of 3:1 so not to run out of men
• With “raid” rapid movement and “trap” warfare they can probably kill and capture much more Russians for smaller number of men whom I suspect rather do this than rot in trenches

Russian system is not able to think fast and adapt due to its self imposed political constraints, neither can they have another mobilisation without causing more issues for Putin, we’ve already seen both army and FSB gain and lose Putin’s confidence in containing this in last week

I suspect the second shoe is yet to drop, we don’t know how many operatives and what equipment Budanov used to hide in the panic and outflow of civilians, I would not be surprised if there is an uptick in strange sabotage operations in surround oblasts, which will put further manpower demands on Russians as their country is simply too big to defend everywhere, especially against opponents who speak same language and look same and know the culture

I would imagine they'll smash and grab until there's a sizeable force coming their way, then mine the area and retreat back to Ukrainian borders.

Hopefully rinse and repeat somewhere else until Rus has to pull frontline troops back to defend the home country.

This is what it looks like to me…. get in somewhere relatively easily, cause a bit of havoc & force Russia to react in the only way they can (losing lots of men & equipment), then when it looks like Russia can finally brute force the region back under control (losing even more men/equipment, as well as pounding the sh1t out of the area with artillery), then the very mobile AFU units simply pull out, leaving some nice surprises behind.. Then just go again somewhere else, and wait for the inevitable meat waves to come at them, get some nice target practice and pull out….. The more they kill in Russia the less they'll have to kill in Ukraine…

And as someone above mentioned, it would be very motivating for any AFU soldiers getting picked to go over the border…

Maybe Ukraine want to try force Putin into a general mobilisation.. as once the middle class kids of Moscow & St. Petersburg start dying in fields of nothingness, hopefully Swan Lake might quickly follow…

Is that not a war crime?

Yes, Iran is about the only state who may have a chance of escaping the clutches of Radical Fundamentalist Islam, and that's because they remember a pre-Islamic revolution Iran and would dearly love it back. If they succeed, (and I hope they will) that will be the last time Religion of any shape size or description will be allowed anywhere the Iranian Ballot boxes. It will become the most secular country in the world, with Constitutional changes that completely rule out any kind of religious participation. If or more likely when that happens, I could see massive retaliation against individual Mullahs and their Mosques.

Yes, it is a war crime. Not that the Geneva Conventions ever caused any loss of sleep for Putin or his regime.

Russia not only withdrew in 2001

But regularly use chemical weapons in Ukraine (and Syria)

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geneva_Protocol

Are you speculating that Trump and Putin would do a "deal" and announce "peace" without the involvement or consent of Ukrainians? Shows what a dangerous sh*t Trump is (never mind Putin, who we know about already).

Iran was a democratic state in 1953 but MI6 and the CIA organised a coup because they didn't like policies of the newly elected leader, I believe the root cause of the disagreement was the usual oil based one. The Shah was installed as the puppet leader and was ousted when Iran went to pot again in 1979. There's a long history of the West feckin up that neck of the woods. Iran would probably still be a democratic state if the British and American hadn't interfered all those decades ago.