Russia-Ukraine War (Threadbanned in op)

Just came across this commentary on Russian logistics, and how the Kursk incursion could have (intended?) consequences for the more active frontline areas:

https://twitter.com/Schizointel/status/1823737718582526037

It's a long thread, but here's the meat of it (slightly paraphrased to make it more readable!) :

another issue that Russia is going to face logistically in organizing a counter-offensive in Kursk currently [is that] Russian supply lines through the [Motorised Transport, as opposed to rail] Brigade will be stretched in order to supply the Russian FLOT. […]

Russian forces currently engaged against the ukrainians will not have the most efficient and adequate supplies in timely manner which will likely result in more land being captured by the ukrainians which they can't afford […]

if Ukraine gets too close to any of the areas that I highlighted such as Rylsk, Lgov, Chermoshnoi, Selikhovy Dvory, Oboyan, and Rakitnoe then logistically speaking, their lines to Belgorod and Kursk will be even further degraded and then it will become a siege and it will be a matter of time before Ukraine captures two major Russian population centers.

[…] they cannot afford to allow Ukraine to advance further and must Marshal necessary forces to counter-attack. The problem with that though is to rally the forces needed. They will need to strip the logistical resources from the front lines in Ukraine which will make those areas vulnerable to Ukrainian counter-attack

This all sounds plausible, and the recent feck-ups - stationary columns being easy pickings for the Ukrainians, and Russian Air Force bombing their own supply trucks - are reminiscent of how they lost Kyiv due to their own 40-mile traffic jam.

Incidentally, today's "Reporting from Ukraine" YT channel talks about how the Ukranians spread "get out now" information to the Kursk public, causing them to clog up the main routes into Kursk and bogging-down the Russian troops. I haven't heard any other accounts of this, but it sounds like something the Ukranians might do!

In any case, I can see a scenario developing where Ukraine gradually eliminate viable supply routes for the Russian forces still in Urkanian territory. Blowing up the Kerch bridge would then create an almightly bottleneck on the few remaining corridors and be a prime target for missile and drone attacks.

The exception being the storm shadow missiles. Which is a shortcoming of sorts.

Deafening silence from the "I just want this to end" crowd. Haven't come across any of them calling for Russia to give up it's land in exchange for peace. Odd that.

Also waiting for people like Wagenknecht in Germany, Wallace at home, useful idiots like Roger Waters to come out with statements like "Russia should simply withdraw from Kursk, fighting will only prolong the suffering of Russians and serve the interests of warmongers".

Yet Wagenknecht for one has the absolute nerve to call the invasion a "dangerous escalation", no longer even pretending not to be pro Russian

Yes, wouldn't go near the place for as long as these maniacs are in charge, any foreigner is potential pawn in a future prisoner swap game

As well as being completely repugnant .

I hope no one will defend what was suggested and it would be nice if the poster of that trash was to have a complete change of heart and request that their post be deleted .

Edit I hadn't seen that the mods have deleted that post now....

I should clarify my original post that parts of Kursk Oblast have little strategic value. Kursk city would have considerable strategic value, but I can't see the Ukrainian offensive going that far. It would be very exposed on both flanks, their supply chains would be vulnerable and the manpower required to surround and capture a city of half a million would be well beyond UAF capabilities at the moment.

If Ukraine can keep a sizeable amount of Russian territory (and threaten a repeat elsewhere) I wonder how this will affect Donny VS 's plan to stop the war in 24 hours if he gets in?

Should he be asked by one of his suck it in "interviewers" if his plan for Ukraine is still viable ?