Russia-Ukraine War (Threadbanned in op)

From your link

"My worry is that in the longer term, Ukraine, which is facing dangerous shortfalls in manpower and equipment, will deplete elite units that would have been needed elsewhere. In a war of attrition, manpower and equipment are essential. 

But in material terms, not much can be expected in terms of lasting impact. Ukraine will be forced to retreat from Russia, and its surviving troops and equipment will be redistributed, after rest and refit, to other critical areas of Ukraine’s front with Russia."

Let's look at this in simple terms: you say that the cost of Ukraine's operation in Kursk is probably high. I say that the price of Ukraine driving at Russian lines in the east would almost certainly be far higher.

I'm no Sun Tzu, but even I know that armies should seek to strike the enemy where they are weak, not where they are strong.

OK, if the land Ukraine is occupying is really just inconsequential, then I'm sure it won't particularly bother Putin to let them have it.

One of the results of Putin closing off Russia to become North Korea II has been the desertion of trained flight crew and pilots from it's national airline Aeroflot to other countries and airlines abroad.

He was never the sharpest tool in the box but somehow the public cowed under his thugs to now see Russia fall apart and become a sister of North Korea.

Words from Кара-Мурза.

Earlier, Kara-Murza expressed the opinion that after the fall of the Putin regime, the Russian people will have a lot of work to do to correct their mistakes, and the most important task will be healing and education regarding the events that took place, as well as accepting public responsibility for what happened.

Not to mention the biggest thing. Which is as most people suspected: That the Russian red lines are simply fashioned from whole cloth. We literally have Marders and Bradleys rolling around capturing internationally recognized Russian territory and Putin hasn't even declared war yet!

No nukes, not even a threat of mobilization. The drip drip escalation management strategy is now completely redundant.

Still it's incredibly frustrating to see Bidens administration still not allowing ATACMs and even the Brits not allowing Storm Shadow on Russian territory. Just imagine the great things Ukraine could be doing if they were actually let off the leash.

Zero chance of Russia accepting any responsibility. I can't think of many countries apart from Germany post WWII that accepted responsibility for what happened. And that only happened after much of their country was destroyed and under the complete control of the victors who were able to get the guilt trip going.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_collective_guilt

Even if this ends well for Ukraine, there's no chance of Russia paying reparations and I hope the sanctions remain in place until at some point in the future it fractures into its constituent republics, only capable of acting the bollix with each other and let the rest of us get on with our lives without their interference.

I have my doubts it crashed like this due to a fault. Personally I think the Ukrainians managed to take it out but Russia will never admit that unless it's absolutely obvious and even then sometimes they'd deny it.

In other news I see a HIMARS system was taken out by an iskander missile. It's incredible that in 2 and a half years of this war only 2/3 of them have been taken out. At that rate they're easily replaced and I believe one of the others taken out was sent away for repairs so not fully destroyed.

we’ve gone from 1000 troops that Russians boasted to have stopped 8 days ago

To 10-12000

according to the guy who repeatedly lied to Irish population on our media

3 years into a 3 day war they stop an 8 day invasion on the 1st day 🤣

That works both ways tho

We’ve seen both missiles and drones traverse NATO on way to Ukraine, and just yesterday chemical attack on couple NATO bases water supplies

And an interesting point was made on Ukraine the Latest podcast, while Ukrainian hands are tied when it comes to long range weapons the Russians are daily lobbing missiles full of western microchips

whatever way you try to frame it this Kursk thing will Peter out and its probably damaged Ukraine's chances to hold on to all their lines, I dont see the Russians being in a hurry to negotiate