Russia-Ukraine War

With a promise from Uncle Vlad ……

Hazard a guess

( I'd give him max 36 hours )

This is what I think of everytime I hear that Belarus is concentrating troops on their border with Ukraine.

Bizarre. Ukraine has ALWAYS been looking for long range capability. 🤦‍♂️

Ukraine invading Russia and looking for long range weapons has no causal relationship.

I would agree, that WWII receding from memory could be a reason. But one big reason is countries not having a free press. This gives their government carte blanche to do whatever atrocities that they want without their citizens having to know about it. When there is no shock or outrage from the people against the atrocity, the status quo is kept in leadership.

Depressing and bizarre. I don't think it's terror myself that's holding them back. Putin has been shown up to be a bully whose threats are almost meaningless at this stage. He'll do what he wants regardless of red lines. There was no line crossed for him to start his damn invasion. I think oil hit a decent price at the time, which is just as likely the trigger.

While its easy to slam the US, Europe has been holding back too much too and using similar reasoning that might as well amount to appeasement. "We'll help them fight you back but not enough that you'll actually lose". It still hasn't dawned on most populations that this is a European war. It hits home for me regularly in conversations among my own social circle. Those seeds of mass confusion and disarray are the result of a very long game that dictatorships like Putin and the CCP have played out via massive disinformation campaigns and every population has its fair share of edgelords, contrarians, peaceniks (call them what you will) to cause a quite viscous inertia against making, what history will hopefully show, the correct decisions today.

We in Europe have been sheltered from war for too long that we think it will never come to our doorsteps.

Putin was right, the West has gone soft.

All war is brutal and full of awful things, it is however only western or heavily western influenced states that take any heed of such things or have populations that care for such things or would view them as wrong.

I didn't mean the longstanding terror of Putin or Russia and "escalations", or Russian state collapsing into chaos if it loses the war etc. (and probably "terror" is too strong!).

I think there may be an additional fear (or a different fear if other one is waning with time?) in Biden admin. now (just a few months away from the election) that they change things up (e.g. further relaxation of restrictions on weapons use) the impact at home could be unpredictible, so steady as she goes. I think that's a mistake as war is unpredictible anyway.

I don't mean to blame the US, but they are the ones with the most weapons that can help Ukraine, they lead NATO and have a big effect on the policy of the other NATO countries in Europe more affected by the war.

Bar extreme circumstances, the others cannot or will not make big decisions themselves without the US leading or at least encouraging them.

Yes, I totally agree with you about how disengaged from it people in this country (Ireland) seem to be anyway. If following international news and events, they seem more worried and absorbed by the ME and Israel/Palestine etc., which is a bit mad on the face of it.

Sorry but I took you to mean that war crimes are something creeping back in.

You’re more transparent than you think. Your narrative is false. I already allowed you the last word, after repeatedly correcting you, because you have nothing else to do. But, here we are again. Either you or your fellow traveller seem to want to initiate nonsense. Try to grow up and stop derailing the thread. It’s like as if you don’t want this thread topic to be discussed. 👀

Actually, I’m done with this, spew your BS all you like.

He was born in Pretoria and grew up in South Africa. He has Canadian citizenship through his Canadian mother which he got when he was a teenager moving there and later also got American citizenship.

How naive do you have to be to think Russia signing up to anything means they will adhere to it? Ask the Ukrainians how much Russia's signature to any agreement is worth

236 different types of missiles and drones fired in Ukraine!

Give the Ukrainians what they need,and let them hit whatever they want inside russisa.

Get this damn "Special Military Operation" finished once and for all!!

So Putin launched whatever missiles he has because Telegram is going to be gone through with a fine toothcomb.

Putin is worried his secret account will be found out. ..

It'd be normal Putin behaviour. The weirdo.

I think it was also a crucial run of combined arms manoeuvers that the west needed to see.

Zenelsky needs to use every weapon to its best capability, not beg to use them.

Putin and his leadership grew up, educated in, started in the Soviet Socialist system.

Zelensky wasn't , we weren't. The Soviet Socialist lesson would be to let Kursk burn, let everyone in it die but focus on taking Pokrovsk. That's a win and people are only people.

More how they can still produce this kit after two years of sanctions and having a smaller economy than Italy.

I don’t think the West will ever understand Russia.

For years they have spewed out propaganda and misinformation that now America is more divided than ever, job done there thanks to Trump.

They think differently after years and years of Authoritarianism and dictatorship. The Russian people are a lost cause.

The only thing they might take notice of is a defeat on the battlefield.

It’s an emerging democracy versus a bully Authoritarian, there should be only one winner for the sake of humanity.

Two days after I'd mentioned the potential loss in Pokrovsk, Forbes put out this - I suppose the usual suspects will just accuse him of being "Pro-Russian" for having the temerity to write the article…..

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/08/25/ignoring-the-ukrainian-invasion-of-kursk-russian-regiments-keep-their-eyes-on-a-major-ukrainian-prize-pokrovsk/

But it's, *fortunately, not a done deal just yet.

('Fortunately' meaning a good thing for Ukraine for those who make assumptions)

If there’s a glimmer of hope for the beleaguered defenders of Pokrovsk, it’s that Russian losses in the sector have been “heavy,” according to the pro-Ukraine Conflict Intelligence Team.

And there are signs the losses are weighing on the Russian advance. “On the Pokrovsk direction, the enemy is beginning to experience resource shortages,” the Ukrainian Center for Defense Strategies noted. “The number of advance directions has decreased from seven to three in the space of two weeks.”

Numerous articles explain how they are largely able to get around the sanctions by dealing with other countries with no morals only strategic interests, so they still have way more resources than the Ukrainians despite endless claims they'll run out of everything soon. Of course their economy is suffering in other areas but these repeated claims that they face imminent economic collapse are the usual wishful thinking, unfortunately

It's hardly his fault, if uses them without permission he may not get more.

The Storm Shadow he wants to use is manufactured or supplied by 4 different countries at least, he would need permission from all 4.

It's an absolute travesty he has to beg in public at all.

This war is 2 boxers, one with a 80 inch reach and other with 40 inch reach, the lad with the 40 inch reach is roaring at his corner for help and is largely being ignored and has been since the start.

It's very hard to compete in anything let alone a war when the rules only apply to one side.

It makes what Ukraine have achieved even more remarkable.

They would have to spend resources defending the place. It wouldn't last a week on its own.

Also it wouldn't work. Luka doesn't need a false flag to do what Putin said so you are relying on his military and people falling for it which they probably won't.