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FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Summer2024 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,547 ✭✭✭squonk


    Well living 3 miles from the west coast I’m banking on drizzle anyway. It’s been very difficult to ready shift that pattern all summer here. Even relatively settled periods had drizzle setting in over the afternoon at times. I’m kind of done with this now. I’d take the setup we’ve had all summer if it lasted into January & Feb. It’d mean some decent crusty mornings. Those have gotten fairly rare in these parts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,912 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Dare to dream.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 157 ✭✭joinme


    Ireland really got screwed in the weather stakes (depending on your climate preferences)



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,614 ✭✭✭Dazler97




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,572 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    Hmmmmmmm 🤔



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  • Registered Users Posts: 387 ✭✭Robwindstorm


    The charts are a disaster for over a year now in particular. Both GFS and ECMWF completely different. Let's see which will be right if any



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,533 ✭✭✭typhoony


    Not sure where all the negative comments are coming from, the settled weather hasn't even started and people are calling it a 2 to 3 day event. The charts thankfully are mire optimistic. If we get clear skies then we could get some cooler nights but daytime temperatures look well above normall



  • Registered Users Posts: 78 ✭✭Thunder87


    High pressure with a westerly flow (which is what's currently forecast) often leads to low cloud, drizzle and sea mist in the north west unfortunately



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,547 ✭✭✭squonk


    Agreed. Looking at yr though it’s showing an easterly component to the winds Sat/Sun which is good however it all backs off southerly/westerly after that. A month ago, first week of the Olympics in fact, a decent spell was promised but all we got here in the west was some dry mornings duty intermittent drizzle in the afternoon/evening for the most part. I certainly wouldn’t have described it as fine and settled. Hence who I’m not expecting much this time either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,137 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Settled weather doesn't exist in the West anymore. June 2023 was the last one.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,614 ✭✭✭✭fits


    was just thinking here that this is first summer in a while in our house that we didn’t need to take the fans out for a spell of hot nights.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,098 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    GFS12Z is warm humid and later thundery, if only such a set up could have happened 4 to 8 weeks ago,



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,039 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECM 12Z showing HP building but has already pushed it out a number of days. Fairly settled looking model run with calm weather and no great rainfall, getting less as HP builds on the chart below. Temps only around what we got today it would seem.

    GFS a bit warmer getting into the low 20's and similarly less rainfall then of late showing up on the rainfall prediction charts.

    If this holds up it looks good for the harvest.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,973 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    It wouldn't take much of a tweak to provide a very decent week though! Temps would surely respond to mid 20s in any sunshine. Gfs obviously best but ecm not half bad!



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,388 ✭✭✭esposito


    12Z ECM looks really good towards the end of the run. As JS said above mid 20s very achievable if prolonged sunshine and sea breeze shouldn’t be as impactful as it would in June/ July with warmer seas now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,137 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Ya this year so far

    May the warmest

    June the coldest

    July a bit warmer

    August a bit warmer again

    If some of the forecasts beyond 120 verify September could be warmest of all. However also prone to cool nights so may nor happen.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,533 ✭✭✭typhoony


    Settled weather for an extended period, tentative signs of energy from the south not from the west in around 10 days time, most likely of a connective nature. Actually wasn't it around the same time last year we had a thundery breakdown



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,614 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Yes the 1st 10 days of September was our summer and we got a thundery breakdown



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,106 ✭✭✭compsys


    Christ. What an awful run from the ECM.

    A dartboard low plunges over the country on Sunday and then meanders overs us for the rest of the run as it gets stuck between two areas of high pressure.

    It's actually so bad it's almost funny.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,039 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Yeah poor set of charts, LP becoming dominant, average or a bit higher than average temperatures in general with a few lower than average, cooling off at the end of the run, even seeing low single digits at night but too far away to know for sure and rainfall totals up from the ECM, GFS not showing as much rainfall ( but a lot off the coast ) but has lowered the temperatures to the high teens or around 20C on the warmer days . Those meandering LP systems are a devil to forecast and would expect changeable and frustrating charts over the coming days. Depending on the position of the cut off LP could indeed see thunderstorm type weather coming up on bands from the S or SE but a long way off. Bit of a tussle now between LP and HP.

    A whole different set of charts now.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,973 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    WTF what happened the charts tonight!!



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,193 ✭✭✭Kutebride


    Do you mean Gerry's charts? :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,528 ✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    June 2023 was a very nice summer month to be fair. Broke records.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,533 ✭✭✭typhoony


    Charts are all over the place, ECM has had a major wobble as far as showing a settled period of weather, the GFS has been a bit more assured



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,547 ✭✭✭squonk


    well going by YR for my location it’s showing fine tomorrow and Saturday with Norman service resuming by Sunday. ME are saying the face as of last night. I so much want to be wrong but I don’t e see a classic settled sunny September over the next while.

    We also remember the good parts. Back in 2002 I think it was I was in Donegal for a friends wedding. I remember gorgeous sunny weather but was revived listen that the days leading up were cool and showery, the wedding day itself was full but at least dry and the following few days were lovely. It’s the longest days that stuck in my head.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,614 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Yes may into June and 1st half of September was nice but was a wash out mid June onwards till September 😀



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,528 ✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Not quite mid June.

    19 stations had their highest mean minimum for June on record. Athenry, Co Galway and Shannon Airport, Co Clare experienced 27 consecutive days with maximum air temperatures > 20.0 °C, ending on Saturday 24 June.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,614 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Yes my bad was about 3 days earlier for here in carrick but my god we had about 14 thunderstorm days last summer 7 of which was back to back I couldn't believe it



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,039 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Mod Note: Really need to stay on topic or the thread gets derailed, all interesting posts but better in the other threads.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,614 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    What's the latest charts like ??



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