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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,627 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    Link: https://www.iea.org/topics/critical-minerals

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,628 ✭✭✭ps200306


    C - The 'Chinese' angle on this discussion is something I have no interest in being dragged in to. In an ideal world something like the Paris accord and the likes of the UN would bring countries together for the greater good, we're along way from that (and not just because of the Chinese) but it is more of a political discussion than a Green policies one so I'm not going there on this thread.

    That's a bizarre cop out, especially since your very next post was to accuse others of having their heads in the sand. How can you discuss solutions to global warming without discussing global politics? And how can you discuss Green policies without reference to their implications for the global political order.

    China has a stranglehold on global supply chains for both refined energy minerals and finished products connected to the so-called energy transition. The largest battery manufacturer in Europe has 6,000 employees. The largest in China (and the world) has 18,000 employees … in its R&D department. China is streets ahead on batteries, EVs, solar panels. But not in a good way. Price reductions on all those things are the result of gluts in a market that has been over-stimulated by Chinese government largesse. Now the EU and US are concerned about the contagion spreading to their own manufacturing base.

    The Volkswagen news is seismic. So is the Trump campaign promise of tariffs on Chinese imports. Greens were quick to leap on the folly of fossil fuel dependence on Russia, but silent on renewables dependence on the equally despotic CCP regime. If we are to have an energy transition it can only be within the constraints of what is technically, economically and politically achievable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,881 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Look at the thread title. Green Policies, this country.

    There's absolutely cause for concern about Global practices with respect to the climate, this isn't the thread for it.

    And why is it the tone I see in this thread every time I drop in is 'here's why we should stick with fossil fuels' rather than here's how we improve things.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,432 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/sep/04/europe-farming-lobbies-recognise-need-eat-less-meat-report

    thought this was some kind of wind up when i saw the headline but no, farming lobbies recognise the fact that we may need to eat less meat for the good of the planet



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 924 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Who is “we”?

    Does this include people outside of Ireland

    Have you given up on meat?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,696 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    Did they?

    Copa and Cogeca, the biggest farming lobby in Brussels, appeared to question the findings around meat after publication of the report. It called for “swift and coherent actions” but asked for “vigilance” on the place of livestock farming.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,432 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    All the farmers. I don't eat red meat no, fish and sometimes cheese as a treat. Haven't touched swine in years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,432 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    They sure did. Your carnivorous days are over amigo.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,207 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Not so much a wind up, more a case of a E.U.round table discussions in a bubble ignoring the realities.

    The OECD-FAO Agticultural Outlook 2024 - 2033 is predicting the world demand for Beef in that period to increase by 10%, Sheepmeat by 15%, Pigmeat by 11% and Poultry by 15%. That demand is not going to fall away just because the E.U. or green wish it too.

    As we have seen with greens here and culling cattle, others will just step in to fill the void. Many of them, South American in particular, doing so a lot less enviromentally friendly or with anything like the quality standards of E.U. produce.

    Cutting cattle number in the E.U. is not going to do one iota in regards of climate change.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 924 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    I am still trying to wrap my head around the logic of green policies in Ireland to solve “global” climate change should not be examined or discussed in context of what other countries on the same globe we all share are doing (or not)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,794 ✭✭✭creedp




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,628 ✭✭✭ps200306


    Look at the thread title. Green Policies, this country.

    There's absolutely cause for concern about Global practices with respect to the climate, this isn't the thread for it.

    And why is it the tone I see in this thread every time I drop in is 'here's why we should stick with fossil fuels' rather than here's how we improve things.

    This attitude is baffling to me. To be sure, there are "green issues" other than climate change, but that's the one primarily discussed on this on this thread. The related policies are those concerned with electric power generation, industrial and residential energy use, transport, agriculture and land use.

    Country-specific policy is local, climate change as an issue is global. It is an absolute certifiable fact that Ireland — with it's 0.1% of global emissions — can do nothing on policy that will make one whit of difference to global climate change. The green counterarguments are generally that "we have to start somewhere, if everybody took that attitude nothing would get done, Ireland can be a world leader in showing the way to net zero". The last of those points is pure vainglory: every country says the same thing. The other two points would be fine if all other things were equal. And by that I mean if the energy transition was a slam dunk, with a demonstrable path to net zero and no negative consequences for the economy. Neither of those things is true. Therefore it is perfectly possible to agree that there is an issue to address, while vehemently disagreeing with Green policies which will both fail to fix anything and will send the economy to hell in a handbasket.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,881 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    It's a cop out for too many to want to focus on China so as to absolve themselves of any action. Or to consider having to change the lifestyle which they think they are entitled to.

    With that attitude, Ireland never has to do anything and with the same mindset individuals could argue there's no need to pay tax while corporations are avoiding paying billions. The pewnise of the Paris accords were that each country would make a commitment and strive to achieve it, because that is what is necessary. Our societies have evolved with this general approach.

    And talk of sending the economy to help in a handbasket is being dramatic for effect. Society and the economy is going to be impacted by severe climate events, talking about the cure being worse than the cause is just scaremongering. S



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,807 ✭✭✭ginger22


    One would wonder at the logic of the green vegan types who think that eating vegetables that have been sprayed several times with herbicides and pesticides is healthier than eating dairy and beef that has been produced on naturally grown grass.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,557 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    FYI most of the grass is sprayed with herbicides and pesticides as well

    Plus you should have a look into what dairy and beef are fed these days

    Saying one type of food eaten by vegan is worse than another type of food shows a lack of knowledge on modern farming

    Plus most meats are now pumped with perservatives, like fruits to keep them "fresh"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,432 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    the stuff that pigs and chickens and cows eat that's imported from brazil and beyond is also sprayed with all sorts though



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,696 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    How much of the grass is sprayed, and what is it sprayed with. Ya can't go saying "most" without having some idea of how much surely. Then when is it sprayed with this and why?

    What are dairy and beef fed these days?

    Vegan food is fine. Ultraprocessed food is shite. Most things offered as vegan is ultraprocessed.

    Where are you buying meats that are pumped with preservatives? Strongly suggest to move to a different shop



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,627 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    Society and the economy is going to be impacted by severe climate events

    This is incorrect and you have no evidence to support that claim.

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,207 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The premise of the Paris Agreement may have been that each country would make a committment and strive to achieve it, but that has nothing to do with how the E.U. approach has evolved now has it ?

    The Paris Agreement was not legally binding, but that all changed in the E.U. with the 2021 Climate Law which made the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by 55% compared to the national level of 1990, and net zero emissions by 2050 compulsory, and punishable by fines paid to those E.U. countries that achieve those targets. For us from 2030 on around €5 Billion. Meanwhile at the COP beanfests we are being encouraged to fund countries outside the E.U who are not going to make their targets ….. but the farce doesn`t end there. 60% of the E.U. so called renewable energy comes from burning biomass, primarily wood, a dirtier source than even coal.

    Our projected needs by 2050 are 14 GW. That will require at least 10GW of new net zero generation by then. This offshore plan, even if it was financially viable, is going to be 4 GW short. But no need to panic, just follow the E.U. and greens on wood burning. Based on the Killala wood burning plant and the capacity factor of wood, we could generate those 10GW`s according to the E.U.and greens with net zero emissions by burning 160 Million tons of wood annually. You would have no problem with that ?

    It never ceases to amaze me how greens waffle about the economy when they cannot put a single to what their ideology favours and spend their time and efforts running away from verifiable figures that show where their offshore plan would bury our economy. But perhaps that is not the case with you, and you can provide figures to back up your assertions. ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,628 ✭✭✭ps200306


    It's a cop out for too many to want to focus on China so as to absolve themselves of any action. Or to consider having to change the lifestyle which they think they are entitled to.

    Firstly, I didn't say anything about China's emissions. I mentioned its precarious political situation. China is a leading supplier of crucial energy minerals as well as solar panels, wind turbines and EVs. China is needed for other countries to decarbonise. However, it stands accused of market manipulation and dumping. Coupled with tensions over Taiwan and the South China Sea, China could (and probably should) become a political outcast. This has implications for global emissions.

    But since you bring it up, yes, there is no point in discussing emissions without noting that China has to be a major player in its own right. There's nothing controversial about saying this. The IMF says that binding agreements between G20 countries would be required (Black, de Mooij, Gaspar, Parry, and Zhunussova: "Fiscal Implications of Global Decarbonization", IMF, March 2024). The Paris "agreement" is not binding.

    The pewnise (sic, premise?) of the Paris accords were that each country would make a commitment and strive to achieve it, because that is what is necessary. Our societies have evolved with this general approach.

    Have you checked how the Paris signatories have been doing? It's not pretty. No country comes close to the 8%+ required annual decarbonisation rate. In fact, the decarbonisation rate is essentially unchanged when comparing the eight years pre-Paris to the eight years post-Paris. There doesn't seem to be a lot of striving going on.

    And talk of sending the economy to help in a handbasket is being dramatic for effect. Society and the economy is going to be impacted by severe climate events, talking about the cure being worse than the cause is just scaremongering.

    I believe a very strong case can be made for Ireland's economy going to hell in a handbasket if we try to implement the proposed energy transition to 100% renewables backed by green hydrogen. Fortunately, sanity is likely to prevail before we commit total hara-kiri, as you can only hide the true cost from the public for so long. Unfortunately we'll probably suffer in the interim regardless, as we fail to build and maintain sufficient thermal generation — we can't even get emergency generation going at present.

    Another IMF paper from a few years back (sorry, don't have the reference to hand) says that climate change impact will be a tiny fraction of the increase in global GDP by 2100. We'll be slightly less fantastically better off than we would be without climate change. So who's doing the scaremongering?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,628 ✭✭✭ps200306


    If this year is a measure of climate models, they have a long way to go. Michael Mann is one of the most renowned climate scientists and activists (his Wikipedia page mentions he "serves on the advisory board of The Climate Mobilization, an American grassroots advocacy group calling for a national economic mobilization against climate change on the scale of the home front during World War II, with the goal of 100% clean energy and net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2025").

    The Mann Research Group at the University of Pennsylvania makes annual Atlantic hurricane season predictions "which now incorporate more advanced statistical models that have been refined to include a broader array of climate predictors and adjustments for historically undercounted storms."

    This year they were predicting up to 39 named tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic with a middle estimate of 31:

    The process and product

    Christiansen explains that the forecast integrates several key climatic variables. “It takes into account the current Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs), which significantly influence hurricane development by providing the necessary heat and energy,” she says. “We also factor in the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions, as shifts between El Niño and La Niña can dramatically alter atmospheric patterns that either enhance or suppress hurricane activity.”

    Additionally, the researchers consider the mean conditions for the North Atlantic Oscillation, which affects weather patterns in the Atlantic. These climate predictors are gathered and put into the statistical model, enabling the researchers to produce a detailed range and best estimate of the named storms anticipated for the season.

    This year’s predictions are influenced by particularly high sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic Main Development Region (MDR), which, as of this month, are recorded at more than 1.9°C above average according to NOAA’s Coral Reef Watch. In addition, the forecast incorporates the anticipated development of moderate La Niña conditions, marked by a Niño 3.4 region anomaly of -0.5°C, and assumes average conditions for the North Atlantic Oscillation during the coming fall and winter. The Niño 3.4 region is a specific area in the central Pacific Ocean used to monitor and measure sea surface temperature anomalies as part of the ENSO diagnostic strategy.

    Should ENSO conditions neutralize later in the year, the team predicts a slightly reduced activity of 30.5 +/- 5.5 storms, ranging from 25 to 36 storms, with the estimated 31 named storms as the most likely outcome. An alternative model, accounting for MDR sea surface temperature relative to the tropical average and incorporating the impact of negative ENSO conditions, suggests a lower activity with 19.9 +/- 4.5 named storms.

    Mann himself weighs in on the quality and importance of the models:

    Mann cites three main reasons for why these results are of particular interest, saying, “first, from a preparation standpoint, these provide a lot of useful information as to whether those in areas impacted by Atlantic hurricanes should prepare for an especially active season.

    “Second, these results underscore the seasonal relationship between climate and tropical cyclones, which helps to provide context for understanding how climate change is impacting hurricanes,” Mann says. “Since it’s the same basic relationships that are in play on seasonal and longer timescales, for instance, the warmth of the tropical Atlantic.”

    Finally, it is an important demonstration of the strength of climate science models, Mann says. Scientists can make successful seasonal predictions based on the climate information they have, providing grounds for trust in longer-term climate predictions, particularly human-caused warming and its impacts.

    You can read the whole thing here:

    So Mann himself says that trust in climate models and their longer term predictions can be based on this annual modelling. How's he doing then, just five months later as we hit the traditional peak of hurricane season?

    Well, there were some major storms by August:

    and then …

    The peak of the season is typically around September 10th. Labor Day weekend just passed has seen an Atlantic storm form every year since 1997 … until this year. The total number of named storms so far this season is only equal to the number of major hurricanes in many of the predictions. Accuweather has downgraded its forecast to just half of what the Mann group predicted.

    Let's see where we are come November, but many experts are now saying we're unlikely to see anything like the pre-season forecasts. ("The 2024 hurricane season is just about a lock for a bust of historic proportions"; "This is by far one of the most spectacular model forecasting busts ever for tropical cyclone genesis east of the Lesser Antilles" ; "One of the biggest seasonal forecasting busts in history").



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,807 ✭✭✭ginger22


    Well again you see that when it comes to "green" logic doesen't come into it. It is all emotional stuff. Facts don't matter.

    They just spew out the usual nonesense like "grass is sprayed several times with chemicals", without checking the facts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 924 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    I am starting to suspect that some who pose under the green banner are actually against solving climate change by deliberately talking up policies like banning meat which make people turn away from subject



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,557 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Sprayed with weed killer

    Fertiliser is put onto it, all types of other products as well to make the grass grow faster and stronger. Why you think no weeds exist on those lovely grass fields?

    In terms of what dairy and beef are fed, look into how ad cow disease was started.

    All shops sell meat with preservatives. So which shop do you use which doesn't have them? (see link)

    https://www.fsai.ie/business-advice/running-a-food-business/butchers/additives-butchers

    https://www.cafre.ac.uk/2020/05/11/grassland-weed-control-on-dairy-farms/

    Saying one food is better than another is just blinkered

    Also wait till you see what happens to meat not sourced in Ireland, the meat most people will pick up and not bother paying for the quality Irish meat



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 924 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    ”Saying one food is better than another is just blinkered”

    Ain’t that exactly what someone done higher up by saying everyone should go vegan or something?

    To turn around and use this line on people who replied to that daftness is highly ironic



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,696 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    How much is sprayed with weed killer? The main grass weeds are docks and usually 2 applications will solve that for a few years. Spraying grassland takes it out of production for a while and also stunts growth. Not good for a country depnding on growing grass. Tillage is by far and away the biggest user of *icides in Ireland agriculture (note too that councils and the public account for more *icide use than agriculture, plus agriculture use is highly regulated as part of various schemes and inspections, whereas you or I could walk into Woodies and buy glyphosphate based chemicals and pour them down the drain outside without as much as a boo by autorities)

    Fertiliser, namely N, is used to encourage growth. N fertiliser is what sustains food production worldwide and without it, well, lots of hungry people. Other fertiliser (P&K) are for soil health to promote crop growth and reduce N. Organic manures help here but ironically, reducing limits on organic fertiliser leads to more chemical fertiliser.

    How much of the products leading to the mad cow outbreak are still permitted and in use? You're talking about historically stuff there when asked what are they being fed now.

    Many shops and butchers don't use additives. Just read the labels, or get a fresh cut in the butchers.

    Why are you sending links about weed control and additives? One is an explanation of additives, the other is something tat can be done to control weeds. Neither show anything related to what was asked only that it happens but we know that.

    Some foods are better than others. For example, a roast is better than say a ready meal.

    The last point I agree with, but mainly on stuff sourced outside the EU. People are stupid when it comes to food



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,482 ✭✭✭yagan


    A lot of spammer seem to love applying US sources as arguments against Irish agri.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,807 ✭✭✭ginger22


    https://m.independent.ie/business/technology/the-utility-regulator-is-now-deciding-on-irelands-economic-future-but-its-not-their-job-to-do-that/a945678395.html?fbclid=IwY2xjawFHvJxleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHe7E_A8OkgXncINB5QSzIVegPwbyDW0rQirLyZI-3xQJJK950gxAoU7lXg_aem_-17PEJDM6zY5Ek3Cgkbghw



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 924 ✭✭✭thatsdaft


    Yet another example of why talk of solving global climate change in isolation in Ireland while ignoring that we share the planet with 8.2 billion people in 190+ countries is daft

    These datacenters and jobs and taxes if not build here will endup elsewhere instead quite likely burning fossil fuels

    instead of us attracting them in with cheap and green and most importantly reliable nuclear power and reaping the benefits of high tech industries

    I guess the resident vegans will also give up their internet connected computers and phones? Sure those don’t grow on trees naturally anywhere



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  • Registered Users Posts: 15,207 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    So what are you advocating, that we all give up eating meat and eat only a plant based diet that is grown without using fertilisers, herbicides or pesticides ?



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