Russia-Ukraine War

Russians acknowledging loosing more ground

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Russia's war on Ukraine. 07.09.24
Operational situation
CDS
SEP 7

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In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) "Kharkiv" on the Kharkiv direction, the aggressor attempted to storm Ukrainian positions 4 times in the areas of Lyptsi and Vovchansk.

In the "Khortytsia" Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, the enemy launched 24 attacks near Synkivka, Hlushkivka, Andriivka, Berestove, and Stelmakhivka. On the Lyman direction, Russian forces stormed Ukrainian defenders’ positions 17 times in the areas of Novoyehorivka, Druzhelyubivka, Cherneshchyna, Terny, Torske, Dibrova, and Makiivka. On the Siversk direction, 5 enemy attempts to improve tactical positions near Verkhnyokamianske and Spirne were repelled, with the occupiers suffering losses. On the Kramatorsk direction, 3 failed attempts were made by the invaders to advance near Hryhorivka, Chasiv Yar, and Andriivka. On the Toretsk direction, the occupiers launched 9 assaults in the areas of Toretsk and Nelipivka, with enemy assault and bomber aviation actively engaged. The enemy is pressing hard, attempting to advance near Sukha Balka.

In the "Tavriya" OSG operational zone, on the Pokrovsk direction, the enemy is intensively attacking Ukrainian Defense Forces carrying out 45 assaults. The greatest activity of Russian occupiers remains in the areas of Novohrodivka, Hrodivka, and Mykhailivka. The situation on the Kurakhove direction is difficult, with 41 combat clashes occurring. The enemy attempted to advance in the areas of Krasnohorivka, Kostyantynivka, and Heorhiivka. On the Vremivka direction, the aggressor launched 8 assaults on the frontline of Ukrainian Defense Forces in the direction of Vodyane and Staromayorske.

In the operational zone of "Odesa" OSG on the Prydniprovskiy direction, 9 enemy attacks were repelled, resulting in the adversary’s failure.

General conclusion:

"Siversk" OTG controls 1,153 km² of territory in Kursk Oblast and 49 towns and villages (around 100 in total including small villages).

Russian forces have increased their activity on the Kharkiv direction and are preparing for an escalation of combat operations: the 11th Tank Regiment of the 18th Motorized Rifle Division of the 11th Army Corps is near Hlyboke, and the 7th Separate Motorized Rifle Regiment of the same corps is near Lukyantsi.

On the Kupyansk direction, enemy infantry units are forced to move long distances on foot, sometimes up to 10 km, as their combat vehicles can't advance due to the Ukrainian Defense Forces' control of the air with strike UAVs. There's no evacuation of wounded personnel, and frontline troops are only receiving small arms and ammo resupply.

A decree of the Russian president tasked the operational headquarters in Simferopol with leading the counter-terrorist operation in the Sea of Azov.

Russian forces have increased the transfer of fuel from Rostov Oblast to Crimea to 160 rail cars per day via Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts, along the Avilo-Uspenka–Amvrosiivka–Volnovakha–Tokmak–Melitopol–Dzhankoi railway. Russian forces are accelerating the construction of new railway branches: Taganrog–Ilovaisk and Mariupol–Volnovakha.

Change in the line of contact (LoC):

There were 165 combat engagements on various fronts.

On the Kursk Direction: Russian forces regained positions northeast of Zhuravli.

"Siversk" OTG launched attacks near Komarovka, Korenevo, Matveeva, Olgovka, Malaya Loknya, Pogrebki, Russkoe Porechie, Martynovka, Cherkasskaya Konopelka, and Borki, destroying a pontoon crossing in the Glushkovo district. Ukrainian reconnaissance and sabotage groups operate along the 38K-017 (Kursk-Rylsk) highway prompting the enemy to set up checkpoints.

On the Kharkiv direction, Russian troops continued attacks in the areas of Hlyboke, Vovchansk, Starytsya, and Hatyshche, while repelling counterattacks by "Kharkiv" OTG in Vovchansk, Hlyboke, near Lyptsi, and toward Starytsya.

On the Kupyansk direction, Russian forces advanced south of Pishchane, north and east of Stelmakhivka, northwest of Synkivka, and continued offensives near Hlushkivka, toward Lozova and near Andriivka.

On the Lyman direction, Russian forces attacked near Novoyehorivka, Druzhelyubivka, Cherneshchyna, Terny, Torske, and Dibrova.

On the Siversk Direction, Russian forces continued attacks near Verkhnyokamianske, Spirne, and Vyimka.

On the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces advanced in the western part of Kalynivka, northeast and west of the village, continued their offensive near Chasiv Yar, Hryhorivka, Ivanivske, Bila Hora, and toward Predtechyne and Ivanopillya, as well as near Klishchiivka and Andriivka.

On the Toretsk direction, combat engagements persisted in the northern and eastern parts of New York, north of New York, and in the eastern part of Nelipivka. Russian forces captured Pivnichne and advanced in the southern part of Toretsk, near Druzhba.

Ukrainian Defense Forces regained control of parts of New York and counterattacked near Toretsk and New York.

Fighting continued near Toretsk, Nelipivka, Oleksandropil, Panteleimonivka, and Leonidivka.

On the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces reclaimed lost positions in southwestern Halytsynivka and western Mykhailivka.

Russian forces captured most of Lisivka and are approaching the southern outskirts of Ukrainsk. The enemy controls Ptyche, Skuchne, Karlivka, Zavitne, and Zhuravka. A Russian reconnaissance and sabotage group reached the outskirts of Hirnyk.

Fighting continued in the areas of Vozdvyzhenka, Zelene Pole, Sukha Balka, Myrolyubivka, Hrodivka, Novotoretske, Novohrodivka, Selydove, Mykhailivka, Zhelanne Pershe, and Ukrainsk.

On the Kurakhove direction, the 110th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade (51st Army) advanced in northern Krasnohorivka. The enemy attacked near Krasnohorivka and Heorhiivka.

Ukrainian Defense Forces counterattacked near Maksymilianivka.

On the Vremivka direction, Russian forces continued their offensive near Kostyantynivka, Staromayorske, Vuhledar, and Vodyane.

In the Black Sea-Azov naval operational area, the enemy naval group on combat duty consists of:

Black Sea: 1 ship, including 1 cruise missile carrier; the total salvo is 4 cruise missiles.

The sinking of the "Conro Trader" railway ferry has reduced the capacity of the Kerch Strait supply line by threefold, and the enemy lacks available rail ferries to immediately restore its throughput.

Changes in the enemy disposition:

The 51st Airborne Regiment of the 106th Airborne Division redeployed from the Siversk direction is operating on the Kursk direction.

Assault units of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Army are engaged in combat on the Svatove-Kreminna line, while "Storm-V" assault units manned by former prisoners are involved on the Kupyansk direction.

The "Black Knives Division" unit is operating in Zavitne (likely a volunteer unit formed in the Urals, alluding to the 1st Volunteer Tank Corps from World War II).

The 37th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 36th Army and the 40th Separate Marines Brigade of the Pacific Fleet are active In Prechystivka.

Escalation indicators:

The transfer of a batch of tactical missiles from Iran to Russia with a range of up to 120 km.

Possible operation situation developments:

The enemy's command on the theater of operations must conduct strategic regrouping between operational zones and reinforce the "Tsentr (Center)"Operational Grouping on the Toretsk direction with at least a corps. For this purpose, the 3rd Army Corps may be redeployed to this direction from the Kramatorsk direction, or the main forces of the 51st Army may be concentrated.

Without the involvement of additional forces and resources, the enemy's 41st Army Command will soon have to either concentrate on narrower directions and sectors or abandon simultaneous offensive actions across the entire operational zone and focus on high-cost battles in Toretsk itself or conclude combat operations in the area of New York and Nelipivka.

The enemy’s shift of their main offensive focus to the southern sector of the "Tsentr (Center)" Operational Grouping’s operational zone on the Pokrovsk direction will soon intensify combat operations around Selidove, Ukrainsk, Halytsynivka, Kurakhivka, and Hirnyk. Without securing the Selidove area, the enemy cannot sustain their offensive towards Pokrovsk, but they will continue attacking in an attempt to breach the defensive line along the Zhuravka and Kazennyi Torets rivers.

The enemy's "Tsentr (Center)" Operational Grouping may attempt to advance through "Tavriya" OSG positions along the Novohrodivka-Hrodivka line, despite higher levels of casualties, in order to maintain the speed of their advance and try to capture Myrnohrad more quickly.

By the end of this year, the enemy will not only fail to occupy Donetsk Oblast within its administrative borders but also will be unable to seize the "fortress belt" of Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka-Kramatorsk-Slovyansk. The upcoming battle for Pokrovsk will be the climax of the enemy's offensive operation in the Southwestern Theater of Operations in 2024.

Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 06.09.24  

Personnel - almost 623,990 (+1270); 

Tanks 8,632 (+1);

Armored combat vehicles – 16,878 (0); 

Artillery systems – 17,774 (+29);

Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,178 (0);

Anti-aircraft warfare systems - 942 (0);

Vehicles and fuel tanks – 24,171 (+55);

Aircraft - 368 (0);

Helicopters – 328 (0);

UAV operational and tactical level – 14,784 (+52);

Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,588 (+1);

Boats/ships – 29 (0).

Humanitarian+general:

During the night of September 7, the Air Force's radar units detected and tracked 67 Shahed drones. Ukrainian air defense forces successfully shot down 58 of these strike UAVs, while six exited Ukrainian airspace, flying towards Russia, Belarus, and temporarily occupied Luhansk.

As a result of the attack, debris from the Russian drones fell in the Pechersk and Dnipro districts of Kyiv. In the Pechersk district, debris landed in the courtyard of a residential building, while in the Dnipro district, it fell on the grounds of a kindergarten. Fortunately, no injuries were reported.

In Kyiv Oblast, debris from downed drones damaged three private homes in one of the districts.

On the night and morning of Saturday, September 7, Russian forces shelled border areas and settlements in Sumy Oblast 15 times.

From 09:15 to 10:00 on September 7, 2024, Russian artillery struck the city of Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast, killing three men aged between 24 and 69. Three others were injured. The attack damaged an apartment building, an administrative building, a shop, a pharmacy, six cars, and three power lines.

Later that day, the occupiers dropped explosives from a UAV on a resident of Odradokamianka, Kherson Oblast. A 69-year-old woman was injured in the attack and was taken to the hospital with blast injuries, as well as wounds to her legs and abdomen.

In Kharkiv Oblast, nine people, including two children, were injured due to Russian shelling over the past day. A logistics facility, private homes, and vehicles were also damaged in the attack.

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Pledge your support

I hate constantly reading headlines in the media like "Zelenski under pressure to end the war as it enters it's third year".

Yeah because Zelenski chose to start it. It's insulting reading about western leaders putting pressure on him when not providing the weapons to do so.

Not just the West.

Ukraine warned Iran that their would be a price to pay if the ballistic missiles it sells Russia kill civilians.

While it is not immediately obvious how Ukraine could make Iran pay. It could end up helping it's ally in the region fight Russian allied Iranian proxies like Hamas and Hezbollah, same as Israeli military hardware and expertise helps them at home.

A bad day for Hamas, Hezbollah or Iran is a bad day for Russia and vice versa.

I thought sales of Russian anti bourgeois vodka were banned in Ireland

Bourgeois MSM?

Romania

Another drone crashed in Latvia today, nowhere near Ukraine with Belarus between them

Same Belarus who has been shooting down Russian drones, while NATO countries go “this is fine” when not offering armed escort

I can see there is an old quote I wrote about Russia, but I must confess the rest of the post is difficult to comprehend.

They weren't addressing the mere posters on the site but the powers that be .(either that or it is some movie set they have in the pipeline)

Nothing to see.Move along.

UK should be helping Ukraine more than anyone else, if Boris was in power, he'd be doing more thats for sure.

I know it's only one factory but the entire shell production of the western world is not enough to meet Ukrainian needs. Nevermind build up or replace reserves.

That's a deep wrong.

Russia is slowly picking up steam in terms of gains, production and experience. Even the Russian army eventually learns.

Russia can afford to lose men and it has often thrown convicts or some dopes from a far off region to grind down positions and that has cleared out a lot if the Ukrainian best men. Desertion, disobedience etc are becoming serious problems.

As things stand now the results have been better every month for Russia since Feb. They certainly make it difficult for themselves but things are greatly improving.

In terms of population density what is ahead of the red army is a vast empty plain compared to the high density of eastern Donbass. No doubt they will make that a difficult ask for themselves.

Outside of the shortage of offensive weapons and experienced and motivated fighters. Ukraine is also faced with a crisis of air defence, months of Iranian drones..

Their power grid and industry is really suffering now and it is entire plants being destroyed now, not sub stations.

Momentum is strongly with Russia now. How far will that get them, who knows but everything building so far suggests that Increasing. They are taking towns of 15k now and sometimes hardly a shot fired. After Pokrovsk there isn't a whole lot left to take in southern Donetsk.

The west playing it late and cagey has allowed this to develop.

Unless a serious effort is made now that will not change.

Is their will in the west to change that, no. Not even close, and we will be living with the fallout of that for a long time to come.

I want them to change but the west isn't serious about Ukraine getting a result or stopping Russian and it's other allies across the world.

You are right the buggers do move a fair pace.(better protected as well than some of the Russian gear)

Many of us have said it from early on: the West gives Ukraine enough not to lose, but not enough to win. Keeping Russia bogged down is arguably better for the West's longer term political interests than total Russian defeat and potential anarchy in the country.

Just compare Western support and rules for the murderous government of Israel and the ethical and righteous government of Ukraine to see the difference between full support and partial support

The fear should be what happens if Ukrainians lose

I think that there is probably a fear in the US intelligence/analysis community about what happens if Russia is defeated in Ukraine. Could Putin hold on to power post a Russian defeat? Or would power fracture and we end up with a bunch of squabbling states, some of which have nuclear weapons? That, to me, seems the most likely reason for the reticence in giving Ukraine the full go ahead.

The US and UK have been putting pressure on EU

The ball and the blame is very much in EU court

FT had a an article titled “The clash over whether to commandeer Russia’s frozen assets” from 3rd of May, can’t post link to unpaywalled version but here are snippets from very long article

ECB and key EU states holding it back

That’s a fairly sick claim, if Europe has more skin in the game perhaps Europe should do more about this war eh?

The result is a fudge to use interest on these assets but even here Hungary holding up things

They worried more about their own assets in Russia which have already been confiscated and sold for most part

Why the hell would Russians trade Donbass etc for 300bn when they spent 600,000 lives and there’s trillions in resources there

You are mixing up Oligarchic assets and Russian State assets

Literally oranges vs watermelons

And yes not only US have been transferring these they even passed the laws needed to for this, something not even started in EU

Look I am extremely supportive of EU as an institution but we have to admit they have seriously dropped the ball here

EU has the funds to end this war, funds that doesn’t require spending a cent of European taxpayers money

Which would also send every shithole regime a strong message of what we stand for

Instead EU are praying each time there’s a missile barrage that a nuclear plant is not hit and half of Europe is not rendered uninhabitable for next few thousand years

The key question to ask is why those assets where in Europe in first place

I am sure Putin knew we’ll months in advance he was going to start the war but he still gambled that EU is too weak and greedy to do anything about these assets

And he has proven to be right

Likes of Saudi etc invest in western economies precisely because there is literally nowhere else for them to stash their loot, everywhere else is either corrupt as hell and assets would disappear or don’t have a fraction of the liquidity of markets and laws to protect assets

They can’t keep the wealth at home as how would they keep it there? There’s no amount for example of gold on this planet to store let’s say Saudi oil earnings in

and that’s before we get to all these places not even wanting to keep their own kids and wives in their own country

What the EU and ECB are doing is what we seen go on and on for years during the Euro crisis when Germany was all high and mighty lecturing (including this country) and sneering at everyone for not being as smart about economics as them , in what turned down to be a sham economy powered by Russian gas, selling out tools and tech to China and protected by US military

Until it got to a point when ECB done exactly what was thought as “unthinkable” and everyone just shrugged and moved on and euro was saved and interest rates for likes of Irish debt fell

This “crisis” of not resolved could lead to terrible consequences for Europe, like I said earlier, we should all fear what will happen if Ukraine falls or worse one of Putin’s missiles hits wrong thing

I wouldnt call Germany a sham economy but they do have issues that will drag it down , they have a stupid energy policy (shunning nuclear), and they manage to have a foreign policy that alienates itsself from major markets, not sure how they turn it around but insert cold sniffle analogy for Europe

That'd make a good satirical drawing.