Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi all! We have been experiencing an issue on site where threads have been missing the latest postings. The platform host Vanilla are working on this issue. A workaround that has been used by some is to navigate back from 1 to 10+ pages to re-sync the thread and this will then show the latest posts. Thanks, Mike.
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

1303133353675

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,343 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But academic studies disagree with you. Nothing about "universally working".

    You claimed that they did agree with you. This wasn't true.

    The fact you believe that NLP is legit and aren't aware of all of the evidence against it also makes me doubt that you are accurate with your claims about "psychology".

    Neuro Lingustic Programming is nonsense. It's psuedoscience. It's marketing buzz words sold in scammy books to people who think it can work. And it's used by magicians to make mentalism tricks sound more modern.

    It doesn't work at all. And it doesn't work in the way you are ascribing it, where politicians tell racist lies to mind control people into voting for them.

    Nor have you made a very convincing argument that this is what Trump was doing rather than just telling a racist lie cause he was ranting and can't filter what he rants.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    …….rather than just telling a racist lie cause he was ranting and can't filter what he rants.”

    Interesting theory.
    Except Trump has been around corporate world all his life- he’s well used and practiced in the techniques of manipulation -they’re used daily across the world



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,343 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Lol just ignoring all of your falsehoods about NLP then? I will infer that you can't address these points.

    And not sure why him "being in the corporate world" precludes him from ranting, being a racist or having no filter.

    Especially when he's not a very good business man.

    I don't believe that he was actually using a super secret corporate mind control technique (that does not actually work). You've not put forward a very good reason to believe this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    More fear- doesn’t have to be true to be believed as the poster above with all those statistics has clearly shown

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13850661/melania-trump-video-promotes-new-book-warning.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,343 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Yea, people aren't arguing that people can't believe things that aren't true.

    People are disagreeing with your claims that Trump and co are using fake mind control magic as part of a clever strategy when they claimed foreign people are eating pets. People are disagreeing with your claims that these racist lies are going to be very effective in convincing undecided voters. People are pointing out that the majority of undecided people are actually just put off by such obvious racism and lies.

    And that these unhinged claims are just going to result in more issues for Trump. It's given Dems plenty of fodder and with all of these bomb threats resulting from his racist lies, it's not a great look for him.

    So if Trump actually did this cause of a strategy based on bullshit marketing nonsense that he doesn't realise doesn't work and has shot himself in the foot with it. Then good.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    I mentioned NLP once in my earlier posts in conjunction with psychology and you’re going on about it ever since. Sorry I’m not engaging you’re just badgering now. Between the links and my explanations I’ve been very clear. We’re done.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    It appears Trumps method of influence is rubbing off on the opposition now:-Tim Waltz getting a hard time for his very minor indiscretions and embellishments - something most politicians do daily - would probably have been better had he made these outrageous lies - they’d probably have been more “effectively persuasive”-now voters are thinking can I trust this person? Bizzare yes.

    “Many political psychologists and scientists quickly added that Walz’s mistruths pale compared to those told by former President Trump, who they argue has set the latest blueprint for competing in national politics.

    Dr Jon Krosnick, a psychologist who studies political behavior at Stanford University, told DailyMail.com that Trump’s tendency to spout mistruths has transformed how politicians communicate and try to woo voters. 

    It signals to other politicians that stretching the truth is a viable way of currying favor with voters and, ultimately, winning the post as the most powerful person in the world.

    He said: ‘His perspective is, as long as I say stuff that convinces people to continue to support me, that might move some undecided people in the direction of supporting me. It doesn't matter whether it's true or not, just if it's effectively persuasive.”



    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-13822279/psychologist-explain-tim-walz-lies-kamala-harris-vice-president.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,343 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    And then you claimed that studies showed NLP was effective. Then when I showed that wasn't the case, you tried walking it back, then reversed again claiming that it does work, just not universally.

    Yes, I'm going on about it because if a part of your position is based on an obviously psuedoscientific concept that doesn't actually work, that's a large issue with your position.

    If you have such an incorrect opinion about NLP, it's not very likely that your conclusions about "psychology" aren't going to be very sound either.

    The fact you ignore and dodge when this is called out and then decree that you aren't going to engage because someone points this out too much indicates your position wasn't the most honest in the first place. Hence when your arguments aren't convincing.

    Maybe if you're trying to make a point about this, don't include psuedo scientific ideas that you don't believe in to support your idea.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,174 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    The only people fearful right now are the people being targeted by bomb threats and the like in Ohio, by Trump's cowards phoning such things in.

    For virtually everyone else, the last thing they're afraid of is migrants eating pets. It's a big joke that underscores how far Trump's mind has gone: "The people on television say my dog was taken and used for food!" Okay grandpa, time for bed.

    Anyway here's my favorite of the viral remixes of his senior moment:



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,187 ✭✭✭Shoog


    This whole clever psychological trick idea hasn't panned out well then.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,568 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Sorry man, can't control what people infer from what I actually write.

    I don't know, isn't that essentially the point being argued? Some bizarre form of mind control?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,161 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Oh I don't know man.

    You seemed to be pretty sure this lady's book would sway moderate voters...

    And I don't believe that either....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    Mind control?
    Sorry now - I’ve never said mind control



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,094 ✭✭✭Rawr


    But Everlast! This is her echoing Trump with her uncanny «softer» style! They’ll love her “softer” style!!

    But seriously, dear god, so this is the blockheaded marketing approach for the book? Make it indistinguishable from a politcal campaign advert? Now, I know the book itself is little more than a campaign object, but I thought they’d at least try to pretend thar it was an honest memoir-type thing.
    Damned thing barely has a cover design either…this is extremely low effort.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,187 ✭✭✭Shoog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    ”moderate voters” is your term not mine- I’ve never claimed that



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭hometruths


    This looks like its part of an interesting poll, could you share the link to the whole thing? thanks

    EDIT - don't worry, found it on google



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,745 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    Remember, apart from Jan 6th, trump's words have inspired no violence whatsoever according to our resident centerist



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    What did you expect just over one month out from the election? It was clearly sign posted that this would be the MO.

    If you wish to mock me to other posters go ahead, but it just shows to me a lack of any understanding around the science and tactics of influence and persuasion - these videos are not designed to influence you- they’re designed for the very few swing voters that are expected to disproportionately influence the outcome of this election.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Harris was the better “speaker” - but it was Trump that landed the most memorable lines- doesn’t matter if it was about eating cats- that’s what the audience remembers - 

    I'm not with you on the idea that people are seeing cat eaters every time they walk past immigrants, but I definitely agree with you that there is deliberate method in Trump's madness that people are underestimating.

    It's not only what the audience remembers, it's also everybody is talking about.

    As long as they're talking about cats, even if they're mocking it in disbelief, they're talking about immigration as an issue in the campaign.

    And as longs as they're talking about immigration, an issue that helps Trump, they're not talking about Project 25, an issue that hurts Trump.

    Project 25 is Trump's kryptonite, the debate was the perfect opportunity to put it in front of a larger audience and keep it at top of news agenda.

    I've heard very little chat about it post debate because everybody is talking about immigrants eating cats.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    THANK YOU. At last someone gets it.

    I posted similar yesterday evening - Trump has done well in polls concerning security- much better than Biden (when the polls were done) - stoking up fear on the border makes security a higher agenda item - which favours Trump.

    As for “seeing” cat eaters - no. It’s simply a device to associate something negative with the concept of immigrants - it’s difficult to stop thoughts coming into your mind - if you associate something extreme and grotesque with something else, say immigrants in this instance -in some people it can generate negative feelings towards that something that else - that’s all it is- and it works on many people . It’s how fraudsters extract millions from people every year - getting them to do something through manipulation of a situation and suggestion - it’s not rocket science and nor is it voodoo -


    And the other thing they’re not talking about because they’re talking about cat eaters- is what points Harris made.

    Anyone actually remember now what key election points Harris made? 🤪



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,213 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    The point being made, that you aren't getting, is that the people that might believe what Trump is saying are already Trump voters.

    "Independent" does not mean "undecided".

    The 24% of Independents that think his racist horseshit could be true are already voting for him.

    There are no true undecided voters that are going to have their minds changed by this Tripe.

    You are really overthinking this stuff.

    We've had pages and pages of you trying to talk everyone into the idea that Melanias "memoir" was going to be some kind of electoral game changer for Trump as well

    Neither of these things are going to have a material positve impact on the Election for Trump.

    They just aren't.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,187 ✭✭✭Shoog


    This is all a dog whistle exercise in how to attack Harris in a racist way without actually been racist about Harris. It has a target demographic who are already Trump voters - it's not going to win the election as they are already locked in. It's a campaign strategy to remind voters that Harris is black without explicitly stating it.

    Watch as the needle sticks firmly below the ceiling of 46% as testament to this inescapable fact.

    The purpose of all this is to highlight how racist Trump is, but it's a losing strategy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    I haven’t “over thought” anything - it’s other posters that are leaping in with the terms “mind control” and “voodoo”

    If you’re classed as an “Independent” voter which those people were, whom professed that they believed there was at least an element of truth in what Trump said, then no, they’re not classed as a Trump voter. It’s clearly called out in that statistical breakdown.
    If you can’t accept that certain people are open to suggestion , especially when that suggestion is not true, then sorry we’ll beg to differ- but they don’t have to be “Trump voters” - their profile tends to be poorly educated and low incomes - which the statistics bear out.



  • Registered Users Posts: 713 ✭✭✭manniot2


    Anyone on here trying to make a case for Donald Trump is wasting their time. Everyone in Ireland thinks the same - whatever they hear on RTE



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,187 ✭✭✭Shoog


    No, people have looked at the character of the man and found it wanting. He's an extreme wannabe dictator who has indulged in various forms of criminality throughout his long life. Nothing to defend really.

    If the Republicans had have put up a decent human being we might be able to discuss the merits of their campaign.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,295 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    They are wasting their time because you can't make make a good case for him.
    He is a racist, a rapist, a felon. He tried to subvert the result of the last last election.
    On national US TV, he comes out with racist madeup drivel about immigrants eating pets.
    40 out of 44 members of his previous administration refuse to endorse him.

    If you go back through the citations and linked articles on this thread, very few are from RTE.
    In most instances they are US content, the Guardian also.
    So the claim it is only "whatever they hear on RTE" doesn't stand up to any kind of scrutiny.

    If the vast majority of people looking at a situation assess it one way, people with access to information from home and abroad, maybe you should consider the possibility they making the right call on the available evidence.
    Like the juries in Trump's trials when presented with the evidence.

    You want to try to explain how Trumps economic plan inc tariffs will be good for Ireland? Global trade? The US economy?

    Post edited by odyssey06 on

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 505 ✭✭✭md23040


    Trump continually purposely deflects away from his policy on healthcare or economy, with his nonsense drill baby drill and import tariffs filling the government coffers to surplus.

    He instead throws pet eating claims out there as a distraction that feeds into his racist, anti immigration fear mongering rhetoric. And he’s going to keep doing this, hoping his frenzied media remarks gets him traction and public takes the bait, whilst importantly the American public don’t look under the hood on what he will actually do to make their life’s better.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,156 ✭✭✭✭pjohnson


    i've not seen any link between cat eating and immigrants to help Trump. I've only seen the cat comments mocked non-stop and people saying Trump needs the Old Yeller treatment as the Big Macs have finally suffocated his last few brain cells.

    The old all publicity is good publicity trope is generally nonsense.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,213 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Independent in the US just means that they have not officially registered as a member of the Democratic or GOP parties.

    99.9% of voters in Ireland are "Independent" voters under the US definition as almost none of us are registered with any of the parties.

    It does not mean they are centrists or undecided at all.

    In fact the overwhelming majority of "Independents" never change their voting preferences and are as solidly Dem or Rep as any others, they've just not bothered ticking that single box in the form.

    Of course some people are open to suggestion, but all those that are open to this kind of suggestion are already in the bag for Trump, that's the point.

    There aren't any meaningful numbers of people not yet planning to vote for him that are going to be swayed by this messaging.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,745 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    It just takes up the oxegen so they don't have to talk about the non-existent policies



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    He will certainly keep doing it.Clinton won the popular vote in 2016 and lost the election, albeit mainly due to the investigation on her emails announcement - but Trump had sown seeds of doubt for months with the well known chant of “lock her up” - it was a foregone conclusion certain people would then have reservations about Hilary - Trump is hoping that something similar will happen this time - what? Who knows. But he’s obviously banking on the topic of immigration to get him those badly needed swing votes from voters who last time likely were persuaded that Clinton was a crook



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,187 ✭✭✭Shoog


    I had reservations about Clinton, which was a common enough sentiment among left leaning people. She forced herself in the nomination and it was widely talked about by liberals that it was a bad idea. She never engendered enthusiasm outside of the core Democrat base.

    She was seen as a war monger and it was widely believed that if she was in power there would be a conflict in the Ukraine which she would initiate ( maybe she was right all along).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    “There aren't any meaningful numbers of people not yet planning to vote for him that are going to be swayed by this messaging.”


    Fear is an incredible weapon in elections- people want to move away from it as quickly as possible. Point being, if he creates fear in certain people open to such suggestion, he’s bagged those votes- aren’t the uncertain swing states where everyone is focusing their attention? It doesn’t matter if people think Trumps methods are “barmy” - they only have to work for these relatively few people.

    Let’s move from Trump for a second- what does Harris have to do to convince these sub set of voters? And how exactly will they “hear” what she’s saying? Because right now, Trump has all the media focus- that’s not good obviously- but it’s bloody clever in my view - it makes it much harder for Harris to get her voice heard



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,515 ✭✭✭valoren


    Self-righteous mental gymnastics to avoid the optics of being wrong. He made a statement, got corrected on it and is now doubling down to avoid admitting he is wrong.

    It is like the Four Seasons fiasco after the election. A press conference was announced to be held at a Four Seasons hotel. The hotel told them to get lost and so, instead of simply sending out a correction/new venue amenable to them and showing they were wrong in that announcement, they went and had the presser in front of the "Four Seasons", a landscaping outlet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,745 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,808 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Harris probably needs to use local media in the swing states, which I think she's doing. We may not see that message over here. She needs a more comprehensive economic policy to make the, cost of living, more affordable and articulate that message better. Above all, she has to electrify the Dems foot soldiers, to get out the vote. If Dems vote in large numbers, she wins.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,213 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    She needs to get on TV daily talking about the economy.

    Gas prices are dropping fast, Inflation is coming down rapidly, Employment is going well, Wages are outpacing Inflation.

    She and Walz need to be on TV giving short snappy interviews every single day.

    A few big sit-downs as well, but quick 5/10 minuters every single day hammering home the messaging that they inherited a turd from Trump, have fixed it and that the upward journey will continue.

    They also need to drive the message that Trumps tariffs will kill them and the economy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    I don’t believe he ever believed the statement in the first instance - it was in the same camp of that well worn phrase you often see posted here in jest when highlighting paranoia “they’re stealing our wimmins”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    I totally agree- every single day. Short succinct and memorable messages.

    I suggested a few days ago what I think is a very radical idea - choosing an area in a swing state where her number crunchers have identified as a key voting area that needs to be turned blue- and simply arrive, and start knocking on doors unannounced and talk to the voters- I think the positive publicity generated would be massive . I don’t know do ordinary congressmen and women do door to door canvassing - but I can’t think of a president that has done such a mad thing- it will show she’s not afraid to be with the people where they live- not just at rallies in meaningless stadiums



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 405 ✭✭Dingaan


    Like she's capable of articulating any of these points. She's a train wreck in front of a camera.

    The bunker strategy might be her best bet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    BBC news channel -“Path to the Presidency” commentary on how the candidates are doing as well as criticism - while they’re complimentary on Harris, there is a clear issue here around to what degree Harris has got key messages out there - I don’t believe she has and a “good performance” at the debate which I think is universally accepted is just not good enough.

    She’s said she has a housing policy- but hasn’t stated what it is. She did promise to support small businesses - but I’d agree that point is long lost and forgotten and essentially erased by Trumps extreme performance in people’s memories now.

    3 separate groups of people according to David Pluff- Obamas campaign and a Harris adviser

    1. There are a lot of voters who want to learn more about Harris - 4-8% of voters - these would be reassured by the debate
    2. Group 2- people thinking of not voting at all - these people will have seen a high energy performance by Harris
    3. People leaning towards Trump but don’t like his character - he felt some of those people would feel demoralised by Trumps performance

    But Harris camp officials still believe this election will be won on the margins - 5000 here, 3000 voters there -clearly Trump is also targeting people on the margins - and right now, it’s Trump they’re listening to- Harris needs desperately to get her voice heard to these people.- the panel discussing this morning are all in agreement on that

    Also - postal votes going out in Alabama and other states in the coming days- you can’t influence these people in a month from now - it’s now or never


    Finally - many of these voters are focused on the process of good in supermarkets - that’s a massive hill to climb for someone like Harris who isn’t exactly known as an economist or specialist in the markets and what to do to improve them - she got criticised for trying to reduce price gouging by her own party because interfering with free markets is frowned upon in America and could lead to bigger prices rises or reduced competition

    A thought provoking and honest assessment have to say -



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,085 ✭✭✭trashcan


    Oh, I’m not saying they weren’t memorable lines. For sure they will be the main take aways from the debate. If that was the sole object of the exercise, then fine. But what makes you think that this will sway crucial voters in swing States ? My point is, this is appealing to his committed fan base only. He ain’t convincing anyone else.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,556 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    What debate were you watching this week? There was only one train wreck. Similarly her interviews to date have not been train wrecks. Are you in another dimension or something?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    “My point is, this is appealing to his committed fan base only. He ain’t convincing anyone else.”


    See my post above that I’ve just posted on the BBC News programme - there were 3 commentators on that show and none of them said that the undecided are “Trump voters” - not one person.
    What they did say though, having travelled those states and interviewed those voters is that two things are on their minds - the price of goods (ergo the economy) and immigration - but particularly the price of goods.

    I’ve seen “Trump is only preaching to the converted now” statement many times on this thread - I’m sorry I don’t agree. And Harris can’t afford to take that advice either - she has to at least being seeing to try - otherwise post election if Trump wins, the key criticism will be “she didn’t get her message out there clearly” - I remember her comments from the debate on supporting small businesses - one of the few policy related comments that would impact positively on the economy-,but the voters complaining about supermarket prices aren’t small business owners looking for grants - two totally different audiences in general - she said nothing that would appease this audience and she need to



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 405 ✭✭Dingaan


    You have a very low bar for Presidential candidates if you think her performances have been good. Could you provide an example of her answering a question by articulating her point of view with facts and precise details?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,187 ✭✭✭Shoog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,927 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    It’s not that her performances and specifically her performance at the debate was bad- it wasn’t.

    But she had many bases to hit on that 90 minutes - convince the people she was a worthy presidential candidate - pass. Deal with and stand up to Trump- pass. Influence people who don’t know her that shes a credible person - pass. Detail all of her key policies that will influence voters to vote for her and provide a clear and tangible reassurance that both immigration and the economy are in or will be in good hands- no I don’t believe she achieved that for at least some voters- she’s more work to do on those areas.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,187 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Gaining in Iowa, massive jump from Bidens last polling and more enthusiasm among Democrats than republicans. Could very easily go Blue.

    https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/09/15/iowa-poll-donald-trump-iowa-lead-shrinks-as-kamala-harris-replaces-joe-biden/75180245007/



  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    They democrats winning Iowa is extremely unlikely.

    Best priced 12/1 for anyone that thinks otherwise.



Advertisement