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Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion Autumn/ Winter 2024

  • 06-09-2024 7:56pm
    #1
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,174 Mod ✭✭✭✭


    Later in the night into the early morning heavy convective rain set to track South of Ireland and may produce thunderstorms, will see if we get any reports of seeing lightning off the S coasts, very hard to know if any come close to the shores, chance is fairly low I would think.

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Comments

  • #2
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,174 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Staying well south. Will it edge a bit towards the Cork coast ?

    image.png

    anim_ir (3).gif



  • #3
    InAtFullBack
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 651 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    Plenty of lightning moving west from Pembrokeshire at the moment, Wexford coast should be seeing a bit of a show out to sea.



  • #4
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,174 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    The track of the thunderstorms stayed well South of Ireland overnight.

    Getting it fairly rough over in parts of southern UK yesterday and forecast again for today and tomorrow from that slow moving circulation of LP containing fronts and troughs with added heat and tons of moisture.

    archive_0_image (1).png

    FSXX00T_24 (2).gif

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    https://twitter.com/i/status/1832152531671126444

    https://twitter.com/i/status/1832357501167399197
    https://twitter.com/NickJF75/status/1832343491520635186/photo/1



  • #5
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,228 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Just looking at that Meteorite58, lively enough for parts of England tonight. Juicy TAF for Heathrow . Chance of Heavy Thunderstorms and Heavy Rain overnight

    PROB40 TEMPO 0720/0809 3000 +TSRA +RA BKN004PROB30 TEMPO 0809/0812 3000 +TSRA +RA



  • #6
    InAtFullBack
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 651 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    Lively across southern England and heading west over the border into Wales. Wonder will these make it across the Irish Sea later this evening and tonight?

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  • #7
    glightning
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 630 ✭✭✭glightning


    Tornado in Aldershot, England today :-

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy89x9v0n7eo



  • #8
    Dazler97
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,714 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122637959#Comment_122637959

    Won't let me view the link, I'll go on twitter



  • #9
    highdef
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,345 ✭✭✭highdef


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122638638#Comment_122638638

    I copied the URL and it worked fine.



  • #10
    Dazler97
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,714 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122638677#Comment_122638677

    Ye I did earlier it worked 💪, mad to see for once the south of England is to get more rain than us



  • #11
    Kutebride
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,221 ✭✭✭Kutebride


    You'd miss the blue sky tonic..

    Dark and calm Meath

    14⁰ Meath



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  • #12
    cml387
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,528 ✭✭✭cml387


    We are promised thunder down here this afternoon in the south east. Anyone got any further info?



  • #13
    pureza
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,973 ✭✭✭pureza


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122639163#Comment_122639163

    Iberian low pumping out a fair amount of rain

    Because of its origin's,it may have some embedded storms or import them in the showers ahead of it's arrival

    It's an import job ie in laymans tongue,moving into a less favourable athmosphere,so might be rain only



  • #14
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,174 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Most of the energy over the UK today and drifting on to the Celtic sea, Georges channel and Irish sea later and as pureza said best chance of a few imports crossing the water near our coasts later tonight and into the early hours, chance of moving onto land fairly low but a bit of a chance I would think perhaps in coastal areas but isolated in nature. Some heavy convective type showers maybe in coastal areas in the E, SE and S later.

    Some uncertainty in those troughs will see if much develops.

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    FSXX00T_24 (3).gif

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  • #15
    pureza
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,973 ✭✭✭pureza


    The rather unreliable at times and frequently changing met Éireann app has thunderstorms in Arklow at 9pm this evening,I somehow doubt it 😂



  • #16
    pureza
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,973 ✭✭✭pureza


    Some very active storms NW of Birmingham atm and breaking out in central wales,these are our imports this evening ? But it's a long shot if the sferics will survive the Irish sea.



  • #17
    pureza
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,973 ✭✭✭pureza


    A closer look at the direction of those,they are moving NW,destination eventually East Ulster,unless more break out in South wales/SW England which seems to be happening,that would put the SE and rest of the East in play,certainly worth some radar watching?

    Thus far,travelling into the sea is weakening these a lot but bigger beasts will be around this evening,lets see?



  • #18
    pureza
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,973 ✭✭✭pureza


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122640070#Comment_122640070

    30 mins later,app has changed again,lightning symbol gone,what use is that app as a forecast tool seriously ?



  • #19
    glightning
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 630 ✭✭✭glightning


    Plenty of lightning in West Midlands (England)

    IMG_2290.png



  • #20
    InAtFullBack
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 651 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    Heavy shower coming in over Wexford - will it spark?



  • #21
    pureza
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,973 ✭✭✭pureza


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122640823#Comment_122640823

    Had some rain from that here but just spits,was black to the south before it got dark



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  • #22
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,249 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Very heavy rain shower now in Greystones.



  • #23
    The Macho Man
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 165 ✭✭The Macho Man


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122640175#Comment_122640175

    I'm a regular golfer and cyclist so always watching the weather. The only time I trust the app is tracking the rainfall radar which is very very handy. Otherwise I'll use YR for forecasting. Met Eireann have an awful track record.



  • #24
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,174 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    A lot more rain than expected here in Tralee this morning, heavy convective type rain , very dark morning. Small chance we could get a couple of isolated thunderstorms near the SW, S coasts today.



  • #25
    Dazler97
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,714 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Any chance the thundery showers from Wales will come up east coast ,I'd love to see some flashes



  • #26
    pureza
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,973 ✭✭✭pureza


    Its forecast for Wales and the SW of England but I dont see anything in that blob of rain on any lightning maps so far

    The rain blob is just reaching us in Arklow now and is very heavy here,hitting 64mm/hr in one 5 min heavier burst

    North of 10mm/hr currently



  • #27
    highdef
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,345 ✭✭✭highdef


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122695174#Comment_122695174

    I've not seen any lightning strikes in the Irish sea so far this evening but there are certainly some areas of very heavy rain not far out to sea so we'll find out in the coming hours if any of those areas turn thundery.



  • #28
    PukkaStukka
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,188 ✭✭✭PukkaStukka


    Was heading on the M50 towards Dublin airport at 20:40 and saw a bright flash of lightning off the coast. Nothing reported on any of the sferic detection sites though



  • #29
    Dazler97
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,714 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122695610#Comment_122695610

    Thank you 😊 yes I'm also keeping an eye out as well , tha is guys



  • #30
    JCX BXC
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,262 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    Few sparks near Killarney from a heavy shower.



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  • #31
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,249 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    And, strikes showing up just off the south (Cork) coast.



  • #32
    sunbabe08
    Registered Users Posts: 6,328 ✭✭✭sunbabe08


    and the moment it drifts over land it stops Sigh



  • #33
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,228 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Recent strike north of Mitchelstown



  • #34
    The Macho Man
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 165 ✭✭The Macho Man


    image.png

    Few sparks but yeh unfortunately out at sea



  • #35
    The Macho Man
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 165 ✭✭The Macho Man


    Blitzortung

    image.png



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