Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

Finally a new unborked thread

"Three Day War - Day 943"

Twitter not loading but seen this on telegram.

GUR units inside the aggregrate plant in Vovchansk and have apparently cleared it. This was the most strategic position Russia held. Excellent news now let's hope they can push the bastards out.

In less positive news Vuhledar is being hit like never before. The Russians must feel now is the time.

https://t.me/noel_reports/17978

here was me thinking the thread will be all fine, its new and then post 8.

clearly a cunning DDOS attack on this thread :D

BBC Ukrainecast podcast to their credit do this still “Day XYZ of this war” at start of every episode

Anyways I’m dreading the day when I wake up and find out on the news that half of europe if irradiated after Putin created a Chernobyl or worse type situation

A lot of countries and their politicians and populations in Europe sadly might find out that radiation knows no “red lines”

Putin Is Doing Something Almost Nobody Is Noticing

In November 2022 my editors asked me to be careful about what I ate and stop ordering takeout. Initially, I didn’t think much of it. But I soon realized the importance of their advice when, just one month later, my colleague Elena Kostyuchenko discovered she had been poisoned in Germany, in a probable assassination attempt by the Russian state.

Such stories have become routine. Last year an investigative journalist, Alesya Marokhovskaya, was harassed in the Czech Republic; in February the bullet-riddled body of a Russian defector, Maxim Kuzminov, was found in Spain. In both cases, the Kremlin was assumed to be involved. Russian opposition figures know well that even in exile they remain targets of Russia’s intelligence services.

But it’s not just them who are in danger. There are also the hundreds of thousands of Russians who left home because they did not want to have anything to do with Vladimir Putin’s war or were forced out, accused of not embracing it enough. These low-profile dissenters are subjected to surveillance and kidnappings, too. Yet their repression happens in silence, away from the spotlight and often with the tacit consent or inadequate prevention of the countries to which they have fled.

…

Opinion | Putin Is Hunting Down Ordinary People All Over the World - The New York Times (nytimes.com)

sorry about my mess up last night, if some one can explain to me how to copy and paste from the new hotmail app i would appreciate it, will now try again to post what i tried to post last night, i will attempt to post it in more than one part, unfortunatly it means bad news for ukraine

https://substack.com/redirect/8eb1db78-326f-49e9-98a2-8f2b89d8b6a1?j=eyJ1IjoiMTJzNXJrIn0.XMuxXGLIpAZR6hBysKxtUXocT1Mnx_GIssPFbfMj7c0

part three

Joe Biden seems to be doing this now in his handling of Russia. Though people often think he was in lock-step with someone like Senator McCain during the Cold War—Biden was actually on the softer side when it came to the USSR. He was a strong advocate of arms control and a skeptic when it came to US weapons development, etc. In other words, he believed in trying to contain escalation.

He has always treated Russia since the full-scale invasion (and arguably from 2014 onwards) in the same vein. It helps explain his great reluctance to provide Ukraine with major weapons systems from before Feb 24, 2022, and why the US lags behind many/most European states to this day. Biden has a mind-set where aiding Ukraine in certain ways will antagonize Putin too much, and seems dead-set against it.

Sidebar: Biden is also seemingly aging even faster than expected. I don’t know if you say the video of him speaking to the press on the White House lawn a few days ago. It was frankly terrifying how stiff and slow he has become. Its probably also the case that his thinking has become more rigid—and certainly when asked about long range weapons for Ukraine he sounded more irritated than anything else. All I can say is thank god he has withdrawn from the race—or my guess is that we would be definitely facing a President Trump in Jan 2025.

And he seems to be clinging on to this til the end when it comes to long-range fire. If he does, he is basically rejecting the Ukrainian victory strategy and saying to Ukraine you must fight the war the way I want you to—which is disastrous. Its a defensive—battlefield minded war, which means Ukraine will be bombarded mercilessly by Russian at range this winter, and Ukraine will have to fight the Russians at the front primarily, and not try to weaken the Russians from the rear.

The other frightening thing is that Biden seems very much to be losing interest overall in aiding Ukraine. For the last year he has actually significantly underspent the available aid he could give to Ukraine. In early 2024, when Congress cut off aid, he still had access to over $1billion in aid he could have given Ukraine—but chose not to.

Now we are in a more ludicrous situation. Though Ukraine needs as much aid as possible—partly to still offset the losses from early 2024, the US has chosen not to deliver $6billion worth of aid that it was supposed to give by the end of September. There are plans to try and extend the time limit for this aid—but the fact remains that the administration has access to much more aid for Ukraine and it is deciding not to send it.

Tbh, I think the Biden administration seems more interested in forcing Ukraine to give up large pieces of its territory for a deal with Putin. Something along the second scenario that I discussed here.

Always with the escalation. Who escalated what? Ship of fools.

On the one hand the escalation stuff is annoying on the other hand just maybe Western leaders know things that boards posters don't and have a reason for caution?

That's the better explanation than the alternative which several people have also floated: that they prefer a long war than a true Ukrainian victory.

It's comforting to think so and I would like it to be the case. It's all speculation either way. They know something that justifies caution or they don't. Or they're just not taking it as serious as maybe they should. I'm more on Europe's case than the US in this regard though.

The boldest agitators towards Russia are right on their doorstep including two countries joining NATO and we've yet to see additional aggression towards them from Russia. What's the big risk? Increase cyber attacks? More waves of migrants? Putin's cross face? I just don't think they're dumb enough to go for Da Bomb. So unfortunately we're stuck speculating why the brakes are still firmly on.

Why are thousands of young, able bodied men from Ukraine walking the streets of our country and across western Europe while young Irish men are travelling to their country to help in the war effort against Russia with many returning in body bags.?????

You can take the orc out of russia……🙄

Ukraine would have reserved the use also if they didn’t sign a deal with Russia to give theirs up for guarantees of peace.

They won’t make that mistake again. Russia are pathological liars.

I guess we'll see if Western red lines are more dangerous than Russian red lines.

If by "Western" you mean German, you'll find they're non-existent.

If by "Western" you mean Baltic, you'll find that it's only a matter of time until we're getting reports of suicide runs on Russian NPPs…

German-supplied Ukrainian Skynex air defence system destroying a Russian drone with a stream of 35mm shells.

Depends if those Russians are of the educated kind or the raping and murdering criminal kind

Since Hungary is deliberately dropping Schengen visa checks it’s going to endup the later

Only higher up page we have an articles from New York Times about Russians carrying out sabotage and assassinations all across Europe with multiple examples given

IMHO there shouldn’t be a single Russian permitted into the “west” while they on a daily basis threaten us with direct and indirect nuclear Armageddon (also on this page)

Let them stew in their gulag and turn their attentions to the old man at the top, instead of offering Putin a route for his criminal kgb networks to infect Europe and a relief valve for those who might rise up against him

That’s what I wrote about before, the nuclear rattling by Putin is just that

The Ukrainians have shown to have enough homegrown capabilities that they could irradiate any large population center within 2000km with isotopes and dirty bombs where the panic alone would collapse those cities without the explosive power of a nuke

And that’s before we get to what Europeans and hell probably China too would do if we wake up one morning to find our Putin either used a nuke on a town or his attacks caused a larger Chernobyl

Nice nice, that be all of it before the expiration date

https://thehill.com/newsletters/defense-national-security/4899941-us-set-to-announce-nearly-6b-in-ukraine-aid/

Forbes says 8 not 6 billion

I just wish they would send all their Bradley vehicles to Ukraine that are sitting there waiting to be decommissioned. Just if any country has stuff lying around, just fix it and send it to Ukraine to use.