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Israel are going to start WWIII

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,001 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Today's problems stem directly from the Versailles Treaty and the resultant rise of Nazi Germany. I don't think it's fair to proscribe blame to the Middle East. The region was the main recipient of the bad consequences of the end of WW2 which was a result of mistaken decisions made decades earlier to punish Germany harshly after WW1.

    The aftermath regarding those Jews that survived in Europe was that, to our detriment as we know now, they were given a blank cheque to establish a "homeland".

    If the Allies had known then about all the trouble and violence and upheaval in the region that the establishment of the state of Israel would lead to it would never have happened.

    We are are were we are. God fearing fanatics on all sides fighting each other in a never ending war.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,635 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    So to be clear, are you saying that Israel has no right to exist where it is?

    And if not there, then where?

    Reem Alsalem UNSR Violence Against Women and Girls: "Very concerned about statements by the IOC at Paris2024 (M)ultiple international treaties and national constitutions specifically refer to women & their fundamental rights, so the world (understands) what women -and men- are. (H)ow can one assess fairness and justice if we do not know who we are being fair and just to?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,304 ✭✭✭Shoog


    No Isreal has no right to exist in the Levant. If you disagree then where did that right come from ?

    I amended my last post to reflect the reality of where they could exist in peace . More Jews live in America than live in Israel.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,344 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    If not in the Middle East, then Europe or in the USA

    Do you think Palestine has the right to exist? Do you think Lebanon has the right to exist?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,304 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Do Spartans have the right to exist ?

    How about Phoenicians ?

    What about those Visigoths ?

    The redicuousess of the claims to ethnic rights of Jews to exist in the Levant are directly comparable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,994 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    I think it's more that they are leading the herd - from behind.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,236 ✭✭✭✭Ash.J.Williams


    If the allies knew the trouble the Jews would cause?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,657 ✭✭✭yagan


    Plus why should people in Palestine and Lebanon suffer for what happened Jews in Europe?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,994 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    Do the people running Israel for the last 26 years claim to be Jews?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,671 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Russia has an autonomous region, the Jewish Autonomous Oblast which pretty much is what it says on the label.

    Either way, its not the job of the Palestinians to solve the problems of israel.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,635 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    IMO the right is the same as that of the Turks to have Turkey, or Algerians to have Algeria: there was no such country as Turkey, or indeed Lebanon or Syria or any of the others - they all came about after the collapse of the Ottoman Empire.

    Multiple attacks on various minorities led to displacements of populations, and the "solution" found was to create a bunch of new countries, the vast majority of them being either explicitly Islamic or at least with a hefty Muslim majority, with forced displacement of minorities to achieve that if need be: hence the Greek minority in Turkey and the Turkish minority in Greece basically swapped over. Like Hindus and Muslims at the partition of India.

    Now. Within that massive Muslim majority spread around the middle east, it was decided to have one Christian-majority country, Lebanon. Christians expelled or otherwise forced to flee from the other states could go there. And - a bit later on - one Jewish one also.

    Jews from other Ottoman provinces like Yemen and most of North Africa were probably not numerous enough to have been able to set up a stable state of their own (although they are about 50% of the Jewish population of Israel, so not negligible), but the second world war and the pogroms that followed, when Jewish refugees tried to return to eastern Europe, meant that Israel did finally have a population big enough to be viable, despite the best efforts of the new Arab states around it to eliminate it right from the start.

    It's true that without that immigration from Europe and Russia, Israel would likely have been as unstable as Lebanon with its troublesome Shi'a and other Muslim minorities regularly trying wield power, or would even have been overrun years ago, but history is what it is.

    Anything factually wrong in that?

    And just as I wouldn't say that you, being of Planter origin, have no right to live in Ireland, despite the fact that your ancestors no doubt displaced mine forcibly. But I'm not even going to demand reparations. 😉

    Reem Alsalem UNSR Violence Against Women and Girls: "Very concerned about statements by the IOC at Paris2024 (M)ultiple international treaties and national constitutions specifically refer to women & their fundamental rights, so the world (understands) what women -and men- are. (H)ow can one assess fairness and justice if we do not know who we are being fair and just to?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,001 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    That's you saying that. I didn't say that. I mean trouble generally.

    It's the most intractable conflict in the world that has impacted the whole world since it began and I don't see that ever changing really.

    It seems hopeless.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,003 ✭✭✭ShagNastii


    There most certainly are heavy whiffs of racism in much of the debate around Isreal.

    I think presently it is less an "anti-jew" sentiment but more so people are looking what's happening and it's an anti-warmonging perpetrators of genocide thing.

    People are calling Bibi Netanyahu a scumbag. It has nothing to do with his ethnicity or nationality. It has to do with how he and his country are going about "defending their country"

    Any CV that has "thousands of kids apologetically killed" isn't getting an interview from me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,304 ✭✭✭Shoog


    If your going to base your logic on expanding a Jewish minority of less than 5% to 50%, your whole argument is based on very shaky foundations and can be dismissed as the propeganda it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,117 ✭✭✭eggy81


    ..



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,635 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    According to a survey conducted in 2005, 61% of Jewish Israelis identified as either Mizrahi or Sephardic.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mizrahi_Jews_in_Israel#Population_in_Israel

    Of the estimated 1.5 million Sephardic Jews worldwide in the early 21st century (far fewer than the Ashkenazim), the largest number were residing in the state of Israel. The chief rabbinate of Israel has both a Sephardic and an Ashkenazi chief rabbi.

    https://www.britannica.com/topic/Sephardi

    Reem Alsalem UNSR Violence Against Women and Girls: "Very concerned about statements by the IOC at Paris2024 (M)ultiple international treaties and national constitutions specifically refer to women & their fundamental rights, so the world (understands) what women -and men- are. (H)ow can one assess fairness and justice if we do not know who we are being fair and just to?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 460 ✭✭thereiver


    Israel is in control of a right wing coalition at the moment they will be voted out of office and at some point Israel will have to try and negotiate a peace process with Hamas or Hezbollah

    As the days past and more causalitys mount up it will be harder to negotiate a peace process

    Even Israel can exist in a state of endless war for years

    They depend on support from the American government



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,304 ✭✭✭Shoog


    I have said this before, I do not see a soluton to the problem of Palestine. It will continue as a slow burn genocide until isreal achieves it's objective of a greater Israel. If Iran achieves nuclear weapons then I see a different outcome since they at some point it will inevitably use them. At this point the Isrealis will invoke the sampson option and that will represent the end of Europe and America. It won't happen quickly, but I do predict that in the next few decades Isreal will be the death of us all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,635 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Why on earth would North African Jews go to Russia?

    And nobody has asked the Palestinians to "solve" the problems, any more than anyone asked Hindus to solve the problems of Muslims by setting up Pakistan. It's about how to solve a problem of two groups who each want their own state. 2% of the former Ottoman Empire has been given to Jews - that doesn't seem excessive to me.

    Reem Alsalem UNSR Violence Against Women and Girls: "Very concerned about statements by the IOC at Paris2024 (M)ultiple international treaties and national constitutions specifically refer to women & their fundamental rights, so the world (understands) what women -and men- are. (H)ow can one assess fairness and justice if we do not know who we are being fair and just to?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,245 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Irish people were never going to rally behind a country like Israel en masse. It has too much of a 'colonial oppressor' thing going on. Also, clearly a very right wing state and population ; another turn off for Irish people.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,344 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    Anyone can identify as anything they feel like. I wonder if the senior politicians and military in Israel will do DNA tests to trace their ancestry?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,304 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Population censuses of the Levant from before the Zionist colonization show the Jewish population to be around 5% of the total population. 5% doesn't get to claim ownership rights.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,300 ✭✭✭combat14


    not the job of israel to solve Palestinian problems either by that rationale



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,671 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Why would they go to the middle east, invade the Palestinian people and build a state over the graves of the Palestinian people?

    People talk as if there was no other choice - there was a choice, and even today the choice remains. The reality is, israel is doomed. It's prestige and diplomatic credibility is collapsed. It is a crippling weight attached to the necks of the USA, which is itself in clear decline and where more and more people are questioning why the US is so deferential to it. The north of israel is a warzone, from which settlers have fled. In the south Gaza is an open wound which israel cannot close. All its efforts in Gaza and Lebanon and the West Bank are showing israel cannot kill its way out of the problem.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,635 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Do you understand what I said about movements of population? Do you get exercised about the rights of Hindus to reclaim their homes in what is now Pakistan and vice versa? Or about Armenians getting back their homes and their gold which they often buried in the panic to flee their homes in Turkey? Or is this only a problem when it's Jews?

    Reem Alsalem UNSR Violence Against Women and Girls: "Very concerned about statements by the IOC at Paris2024 (M)ultiple international treaties and national constitutions specifically refer to women & their fundamental rights, so the world (understands) what women -and men- are. (H)ow can one assess fairness and justice if we do not know who we are being fair and just to?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,304 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Your point has zero merit.

    There was an active Zionist campaign of migration and ethnic cleansing of Palestine. It doesn't make it legitimate that they flooded and bombed their way to demographic superiority in the region. it's a **** horror story of religiously motivated violence.

    Your argument is pure facts on the ground that I simply ain't buying.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,342 ✭✭✭Ardent


    Looks like it's the turn of the Houthis to get a taste of their own medicine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,300 ✭✭✭combat14


    looks like an israeli response (coordinated with US) to repeated missile attacks on israel



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,635 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    The United States, Canada, Australia, Argentina, Brazil etc etc: all purely "facts on the ground" - are you not buying those either?

    Reem Alsalem UNSR Violence Against Women and Girls: "Very concerned about statements by the IOC at Paris2024 (M)ultiple international treaties and national constitutions specifically refer to women & their fundamental rights, so the world (understands) what women -and men- are. (H)ow can one assess fairness and justice if we do not know who we are being fair and just to?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,939 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    You would think the Iranian pawns would learn. Iran supplies them with rockets, which they fire at Israel then sit back and watch them get pummeled by Israel.



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  • Moderators, Arts Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 10,780 Mod ✭✭✭✭Hellrazer


    Iran are being very quiet - genuine question - what would things look like if Iran took the gloves off so to speak and attacked Israel directly?

    Would Iran have the army to go up against Israel?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,383 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    That's a bit revisionist. The British were making promises to give the area of Palestine to Jewish people long before the Treaty of Versailles…………They were promising it even before it became their colony even.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,383 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    Fun fact. Palestine was not the only area considered by the British to gift to Jewish people. If I recall correctly, there was a serious suggestion of giving them land in Uganda at one point.

    Let's just be glad they didn't offer Ireland to them………those of us remaining alive would be calling for the return of the halcyon days of Cromwell



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,635 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    I think the question the Iranian leadership are asking themselves is not so much about their professional army, but more whether Iran's young people, who are already deeply disenchanted with the regime, would be prepared to continue being conscripted into an army where they were mere cannon fodder against Israel.

    They have about 190,000 professionals according to Wikipedia plus around 350,000 reservists for a total of 700,000 soldiers. The reservists are older: they might come back in? But protests/refusals to serve would likely further destabilize the regime.

    Reem Alsalem UNSR Violence Against Women and Girls: "Very concerned about statements by the IOC at Paris2024 (M)ultiple international treaties and national constitutions specifically refer to women & their fundamental rights, so the world (understands) what women -and men- are. (H)ow can one assess fairness and justice if we do not know who we are being fair and just to?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,676 ✭✭✭thecretinhop


    I think Iran is hesitant to have a full war as they are trying to really get onto bricks there economy no good etc. The israelies are baiting them to get thrm to try and overreact then get USA involved.

    If Russia and China then side with Iran good luck we are all fkd



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,671 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    It wouldn't be army to army. Iran would likely bombard israel with drones and missiles, either through proxies or directly. If recent events has shown anything, its that the US doesn't produce enough air defence systems or air defence missiles so israel might be able to shoot down the first couple of waves, but eventually they would have to pick and choose what hits to take, and after that they would just have to take the hits.

    Now, while that is going on, israel - and maybe the US - would be trying to carry out drone, missile and airstrikes on Iran. Apparently Iran is preparing for this by bringing in air defence systems and missiles from Russia. Russia could also supply anti-shipping missiles which would allow Iran to threaten US carrier groups.

    Now a lot of people will just assume that israel/US will just crush Iran in 24-72 hours like it was 1990 all over again. But the same people believed the US navy would crush the Houthis last year, and yet the Houthis are still imposing a naval blockade on the Red Sea and even carrying out missile strikes on israel itself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,344 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    Iran v Israel alone - yes

    Iran v Israel with US, UK, France & Germany - no



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,304 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Isreal showed itself incapable of winning against Hezbella 7 years ago. They will open this front and it will fester away for at least a year.

    What Isreal finds intolerable is the loss of its own cirizens and army, hence it's 100:1 doctorine, this will quickly exhaust it's domestic resources and if Harris pushes for a cease fire you can bet the momentum will grind to a halt fairly quickly.

    As Russia has found out, brute force has it's limits and Isreal will quickly hit them hard.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,480 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    How would they get there? I don’t see the Iraqis letting the Iranian Army through. Turkey letting them through also seems unlikely. The Iranian Air Force runs antiques, so that is out also.

    To answer the OP, the only nation which can really start WW3 right now is China. If they stay quiet, most anything else, be it Europe or MidEast will remain regional.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,304 ✭✭✭Shoog


    If Iran achieve nuclear weapons then you are going to have to rewrite that assessment.

    Understand that the Sampson option means that if anyone threatens the existential existence of Israel they will nuke all range accessible capitols regardless of allegiances. They really are that clinical and it is the reason that everyone who understands this is so deferential.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,480 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    You really think Iran will try to nuke what most believe to be a nuclear power, especially over Hesbullah? Israel don’t like Iran, but they have never been anything close to an existential threat to Iran.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,671 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Nah, Israel and Iran don't have a land border so its not going to be army vs army regardless of Iran having nukes or not. It will be drone/missile strikes vs air defences.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,304 ✭✭✭Shoog


    These are fanatical people on both sides. Anyone who could concieve of the Sampson option cannot be trusted to behave rationally, and Iran is repleat with millennial fanatics.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 460 ✭✭thereiver


    I don't think iran wants to go war with Israel as it will also be at war with America and face multiple sanctions on its economy it does not want to risk end up like gaza with most of it's buildings. reduced to rubble

    It prefers to send weapons to houthi or Hezbollah eg attack by proxy

    Iran has not reached the point of actually producing nuclear missiles



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,304 ✭✭✭Shoog


    The technology to produce nuclear weapons is relatively easy for any reasonable sized economy. It's a matter of time.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,671 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    Iran doesnt want to go to war with israel, but at some point it has to act to deter the multiple israeli attacks on Iran. Its likely best to deter israel by arming proxies, but israel is clearly pushing for a direct war now because they hope to get USA to fight Iran for them.

    The question is if young people in the US who are already deeply disenchanted with the regime, would be prepared to continue being conscripted into an army where they were mere cannon fodder for israel. The US is increasingly unable to find volunteers for its armed forces as it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,635 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    LOL goalpost moving again. Did the 95% you claim were NOT Jewish prove this by DNA testing or is that different?

    Reem Alsalem UNSR Violence Against Women and Girls: "Very concerned about statements by the IOC at Paris2024 (M)ultiple international treaties and national constitutions specifically refer to women & their fundamental rights, so the world (understands) what women -and men- are. (H)ow can one assess fairness and justice if we do not know who we are being fair and just to?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,236 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    How can you have a war with a country that you are not geographically joined to?All israels wars have been with enjoining countries. They can't do what they are doing to Gaza and Lebanon. Sure they can bomb but without boots on the ground it's hard to see anything more than a ceasefire being agreed. There is no way that the US would put boots on the ground in Iran either given their experiences in Iraq and Afghanistan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,635 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    The US doesn't have conscription - what are you on about??

    Reem Alsalem UNSR Violence Against Women and Girls: "Very concerned about statements by the IOC at Paris2024 (M)ultiple international treaties and national constitutions specifically refer to women & their fundamental rights, so the world (understands) what women -and men- are. (H)ow can one assess fairness and justice if we do not know who we are being fair and just to?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,671 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    A war with Iran would require it. No way anyone volunteers for it. They're even daydreaming about a draft in peacetime to try keep numbers up.



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