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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,248 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,729 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Trump has told them get the job done in Gaza, get it “over with” quickly. Trump also just said Israel should be bombing Iran’s nuclear facilities and that the U.S. should be blowing Iranian cities to “smithereens.”

    If anyone thinks that her opponent will somehow make things better I am confused how you got that conclusion.

    It is still a critical issue in states like Michigan, see Michael Moore for example blasting Harris for shifting her platform to the center:

    https://www.mediaite.com/politics/michael-moore-warns-kamala-harris-move-to-the-center-could-cost-her-election-dont-shun-progressive-base/

    on one hand correct how left wing progressives may sit out the election on the other a highlight of the predicament the two party system has the situation in: if Harris doesn’t win, you can bet Gaza will be wiped off the map, but people for whom Gaza is their top issue still won’t vote for Harris either from the sense that, she won’t do enough to stop Israel, or that it’s already too late. Damned if they do damned if they don’t. It doesn’t help that Netanyahu doesn’t want a ceasefire at all and may actively include getting Trump elected in his political calculus, in addition to keeping himself out of jail. Expect Netanyahu to be far more brazen this month. 1 year anniversary of the current escalation is in 2 days and if only for that reason, will dominate the news cycle next week, but hold onto your butts.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 41,440 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 41,440 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Somehow, I think they had no objection to Trump's attempts to get Israel to ramp up the genocide.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,189 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    Can't remember who said it, but I saw a tweet saying that if "they" could really control the weather, it'd be raining directly over MTG's head 24/7



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,729 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    I wouldn’t even trust the NC polls right now with what’s happened with Helene, not for anything to do with the nature of the pollsters themselves.

    Not up for swing but I did learn last night a South Carolina judge has extended the registration period to October 14th because of the hurricane.

    Some of the bluest areas of western North Carolina were devastated by Helene. People have evacuated out to other states etc. it’s very possible that NC is just handed to Trump now by nature of it being impossible to get voting back up for those areas in time and for voters to participate. Also part of the reason why the right wing is working overdrive to push anti-FEMA hoaxes etc. to push victims of the disaster squarely out of contention.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,379 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    She is a Neocon warmonger who was on the wrong side of a power struggle in the Republican party.

    It just shows how desperate the Democrats are now that they are wheeling her out on the campaign as some sort of friend of Democrats, or a friend of fairness and decency in American politics. You cant make this stuff up.

    The enemy of my enemy is my friend.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,729 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Speaking of warmongers how does it sit with you that Trump has called for Iran’s nuclear sites to be targeted and for entire cities to be blown to smithereens?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,951 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    And your choice of politician is the guy who said Russia can invade NATO countries if he doesn't think they're paying enough. He literally cites how individuals like Orban love him. Also there's ongoing suspicions that Netanyahu is delaying a ceasefire cause he wants a Trump presidency... Putin, Netanyahu, Orban etc don't want a Trump presidency because of his supposed peacemaking credentials.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,194 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Gas. There's a reason Republicans are coming out against Trump. It's because he's a shyster cult leader who aggressively took over the Republican party and betrayed most of what the Repulican party has stood for.



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  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It doesn't sit with him at all. The whole thing about Trump being anti war is nonsense his supporter think can score points with.

    it doesn't matter if Trump is anti war. It doesn't matter if he contradicts himself. His supporters are fine with that stuff. But for some reason they think the tactic of ignoring points and inconsistencies somehow trick people into believing they are right.

    I'd love to know what the thought process here is.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 41,440 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    They know that they're not going to convince anyone with an intellectual argument so they settle for guerrilla-style posts instead to try and convince lurkers and anyone who hasn't seen through the Trump act by now.

    Facts don't really matter. If they are favourable, they use them. If not, facts are fake news or deep state or who knows.

    It's the fervour one would expect from a cult which is why we see them trying over and over again to pretend that Trump didn't tell people to drink bleach, lie thousands of times while in office or whatever.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    But I don't know how they can think that.

    Anyone who is undecided by now can't possibly see those tactics and believe that they are convincing.

    If I was a person like that, I'd be offended that Trump supporters were assuming that I would be convinced by their tactics.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,729 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    'flood the zone with sh*t' tactics,

    as for what people are hoping to get from a Trump presidency your guess is as good as mine, but I imagine with the lack of stating what those interests really are it can't be all that noble.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 529 ✭✭✭Dingaan


    Exactly! The Democrats are so desperate they’ll wheel out Cheney like she’s their new moral compass, as if this is going to move the dial. It’s ridiculous!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,729 ✭✭✭✭Overheal




  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    A racist, anti-democratic presidency that erodes the rights of women and non-white, non straight folks.

    warned and 1 day forum ban applied

    Post edited by Beasty on


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,787 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I thought Harris's position on the Israel-Palestine conflict was to get a ceasefire as quickly as possible and then, ultimately, a two-state solution. This is about as progressive as you're going to get in the USA and still expect to have a chance in a Presidential election.

    There may be a vast progressive base in the USA, but as we saw with Bernie v. Hillary, they just don't get off their arses enough to actually go vote, seeing as Hillary would have won even without needing the superdelegates.

    This is an example of where Trump has more agility on the issue. There are just more people in the US who aren't that gone on the old A-rabs when it comes down to it, and will be more amenable to his message of 'kill them all, if necessary', whereas Harris has a more tenuous position of compromise.



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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,248 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    A lot of “progressives” in the US are gathered in the states on the coasts. They can’t really affect the election. Their states are guaranteed wins for Harris.

    Some don’t bother voting, you’re right about that, but it wouldn’t make a difference if they did for the most part.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 41,440 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Well, Trump is clearly not terribly intelligent (edited) and there are hordes of disaffected and uneducated white men in the US so there's a ready cohort there. I think that you've inadvertently downplayed the number of people who are happy to vote for someone on the basis that they'll torment people they dislike, in this case educated liberals. It fits because it crosses nicely the wealth boundary between Trump and his main voting demographic. There are plenty of people who just vote Republican routinely as well along with those who vote for tax cuts. Two party systems breed strange bedfellows.

    Post edited by ancapailldorcha on

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    But I just don't get how someone could be genuinely undecided.

    And I don't get how a Trump supporter could think: "I know what will convince people, I'll tell a lie on an Irish discussion board, the ignore how that lie is instantly debunked and avoid every single question about the lie and how it contradicts the previous thing I claimed, then I'll it again a few days later."

    I really wish at least one of them was honest and direct enough to actually address this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    Harris has a small lead in PA. Trump the same in NC.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,248 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,237 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Personally think its dire that Harris is so proud of the Cheney endorsements. Harris the other day thanking Liz for the service of her father was a genuine low point of the campaign, what service should we thank Dick Cheney for?

    Their isn't any indication that even politically it will matter much anyway, Dick left office with an approval ratings of 11% while what has Liz achieved in politics? It seems similar to GOP wishcasting that Tulsi and RFK endorsing Trump is a needle mover, just naivety and people who don't know where the other side are in 2024.

    And yes I am aware that Trump is a warmonger and if wins will staff his cabinet with war mongers like he did in 2016 and do war monger things.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,562 ✭✭✭valoren


    Cheney is more optics than desperation. It ought to serve as a proverbial slap in the face for any actual Republican that Liz Cheney is voting for the democrat nominee. For the Democrats it is embraced to highlight how toxic MAGA is that a hard line Republican is not voting "Republican" and that move serves to highlight that the only way for the GOP to rid itself of the MAGA cult and salvage itself is to not vote for those who subscribe to the cult or for the leader of that cult. Maybe, just maybe, the optics might sway those seeing the Cheney/Democrat link up as bizarro world stuff brought on by a bizarre and weird Trump e.g. to flip it by analogy then it would be akin to Chuck Schumer (or any known Democrat) actively endorsing a Republican candidate and then a sane person would be expected to think "Gee, the Democrat nominee must be awful for that to happen. Maybe I won't vote Democrat.…just because I always do".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    We should probably try not to worry about things that are outside of our direct control.

    Harris has a slightly better path to victory than Trump. It's a far cry from two months ago don't forget...



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,801 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    There is something of a caveat on the federal law trumping state and that's the matter of enforcement, which is normally done by the state. We already have instances where federal laws are not particularly enforced by local agencies in cases such as marijuana or immigration or the Defense of Marriage Act back when that was a thing. With state constitutional protections in place, state and local law enforcement would likely be prohibited from enforcing the federal law.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,753 ✭✭✭weisses


    Imagine Having a party so retarded even Liz Cheney is distancing herself from.. 🤣

    warned and 1 day forum ban applied

    Post edited by Beasty on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,729 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    That still doesn't mean it's not an issue for Vermonters, many of whom will have friends and family across the US, who won't be okay with voting someone in who will federally ban it and is too much of a coward to admit that electorally.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,787 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I don't really see what Liz Cheney stumping for Harris actually achieves. In MAGA heads, it just further embeds the idea of Trump v 'The Uniparty' and makes him ever more the dissident and disruptor who the establishment fears so much. What does it do for the undecideds who are left? Do they even know or care who Cheney is?

    If Harris doesn't have enough of a vital message to bring to the American people - something to rally voters - then her campaign cannot rely on endorsements to paper over the cracks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,237 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Its not desperation at all agreed as they are slightly favored atm , but without sounding patronizing the above is the same type of wishcasting of Republicans who think Tulsi/RFK matter with Dem voters.

    We have never seen any proof that Liz is popular with Republicans outside what Dem type media tells us and her dreadful father left office with a 11% approval ratings.

    Trump is vile, but that shouldn't mean you celebrate one of the most vile war criminals of the century.

    https://x.com/ZombiePanther2/status/1842001823055434061



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,237 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Agreed, Trump likes to pretend he is a dove (lol) and his people can now hurl "warmonger" insults at Harris and that matters as the Iraq war was hugely unpopular with the American public and yeah Dick Cheney had a lot to do with that.

    Harris has got a lot right since her late introduction to this race and while I don't think it will cost her much I am hugely skeptical it's a net benefit to her.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,194 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Cheney is coming out because there's a lot of Republicans that don't like Trump, but haven't been pushed far enough to vote blue.

    Like it or not, she was a "senior" member of the Republican party, and would still have Republicans that listen to her.

    Cheney giving Harris the thumbs up and saying that she herself will vote for Harris, is giving permission to other Republicans that may have been on the fence about voting for a democrat.

    At this stage, every vote counts, and if Harris gains a few hundred, even a few thousand votes, it could change the race in some states.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,787 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Even if some Republicans still listen to Cheney, it's a easy ad for the Trump campaign to make that The Uniparty is running scared and they're now trotting out RINOs to advocate for Harris, so there's still a risk that a Cheney endorsement just galvanises the Trump base.

    All these Republicans who don't like Trump - where were they during the Republican primary?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The Trump base is rock solid - this will have zero impact on their turnout.

    Moderate Republicans and hugh turnout are the only thing that matters in this election. Cheney's indorsement can only be a positive for Harris.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,829 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    In the Republican primaries there were 20-30% of votes going to candidates other than Trump.

    If Harris can grab a chunk of those votes esp in swing states it could be crucial.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,784 ✭✭✭political analyst


    Surely, Biden would help Harris's chances of victory if he got US forces involved alongside the Israeli air force in an attack on the Iranian nuclear programme because it would draw away many of the voters who are still inclined to vote for Trump, i.e. to 'out-Trump' Trump - a bit like Austrian chancellor Dollfuss trying to 'out-Hitler' the Nazis.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Very few Americans want to be dragged into another disastrous war.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,784 ✭✭✭political analyst


    So they'd be OK with Iran having nuclear weapons?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,729 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    It's possibly a bit of that, or all of that, which is all definitely and consequently because of this:

    Alito, possibly Roberts, and most definitely Thomas are likely to retire under a 2nd Trump administration and senate. This would give the SCOTUS a Trump supermajority for the next 30 or more years. This is why Trump doesn't lose his base, this is why he won in 2016, this is why traditional Republicans shielded him from impeachment (even for flagrant criminal acts, and violent coup attempts) and why the current majority on the Supreme Court has tried so diligently to immunize him from prosecutions. It's why the base ignores his laundry list of character flaws, criminal convictions, findings of civil liabilities, and why it is often said, he could murder someone in broad daylight and they'd still find some delusional means by which to explain away their support for him.

    The Federalist Society, Heritage Foundation and other elements of the right wing that have been engineering a complete usurpation of the US government for decades now, and had Hillary won in 2016, it would have been the first time since the FDR era that Republicans did not have a majority on the Supreme Court. Now, if Trump gets in again, he would hand them a SCOTUS supermajority, for the next 30+ years.

    If Harris wins, it may be the last time there is a shot at rebalancing the court to be bipartisan - ever. Were that not to happen, Republicans will spend the next several decades eroding civil liberties and consumer protections in the name of amassing wealth and power for themselves, and engineering the conditions by which they can never lose control of the United States again to notions like a democratic majority of the people.

    Worth noting 4 of the current justices helped Bush steal the 2000 election: Thomas was on the supreme court and helped it decide to stop the recount that would have shown Gore won the vote in Florida, and Roberts, Kavanaugh and Barret helped prepare the Bush campaign's arguments for the Supreme court. Bush rewarded Roberts and Kavanaugh with federal benches. The fact, John Oliver points out, that conservative judges in lower courts were rarin' to go with decisions to publish citing the end of the Chevron Doctrine, on the very same day SCOTUS announced the demise of the doctrine, tells me there is coordination and collusion going on. If they will collude about that they will collude about overturning an election.

    Just like 2016, this seems to be getting left with limited attention the closer we get to the election, but it far and away is the top issue of our time, not Iran, not Ukraine, Gaza, and not the price of eggs or housing or student loans.

    The saving grace in all of this is that they've already tipped their hand and shown they are willing and prepared to rip up the norms of the law by ignoring stare decisis etc. to shortcut to the outcomes they want like the end of Roe, and people are at least activated about that.

    It is very rich to hear MAGA talking about "the Deep State" - the reason they cannot explain it to us is it's not an accusation, it's a confession.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    i am not ok with Israel having nuclear weapons. I think they are a far greater threat to my safety.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,237 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Doubt the swing state Muslim voters in Michigan/Georgia and younger Dems would be keen tbf.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,002 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Iran do not have nuclear weapons.

    If there is an all out attack on them, that would most certainly change.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,008 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,002 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Bibi and Trump in tandum.

    Can you imagine what fun they will get up if Trump is back in White House.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,507 ✭✭✭Rawr


    The duplicity and lack of scruples from the MAGA side would ensure that regardless of what the Biden Administration did with Iran, they would be wrong. If Biden supported an Israeli attack on Iran, he’d be labelled a “warmonger” by MAGA. If he didn’t support an Israeli attack he would then be condemned for not doing so by the very same people.

    There is no principled position, merely a issue to use against the Dems..that is all. Similarly, it is very rich to hear MAGA faithful becoming so very concerned about Gaza when they damned well themselves that they couldn’t give the smallest amount of a damn for the plight of the Palestinian people. Again…no principle…only a clumsy bludgeon to wield, since their own “politics” is so indefensible.

    I might also be worth mentioning that Donnie was no Dove by design. He failed to engage in an actual war because he lacked the bottle and follow-through needed to do it. It required effort, which we all know Donnie simply doesn’t have. There was a real sense of danger during his years that he would actually try to kick off a shooting war with Iran. You even had that goul Bolton in his cabinet trying to make it happen. Donnie would have loved the hero-worship he could imagine as a War President and would have done it in a heartbeat…if it weren’t for all of the extra work needed to make that happen. Much like his (thankfully) less-than half-arsed attempt to overthrow American democracy, he hadn’t the follow-through to make that war happen…no doubt to Bolton’s unending frustration. A rare example of Donnie’s fecklessness being useful to the world.

    No, instead he went and moved the US Embassy in Isreal to Jerusalem…pissing off practically everyone and doing no favours at all to the cause of world peace.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,071 ✭✭✭amandstu


    The nuclear non proliferation "consensus " seems to be a thing of the past.

    Ideally there should have been international pressure from all the nuclear and non-nuclear powers to prevent NK from gaining nuclear capability.

    This did not happen and it seems to me that we may just have to live with dictatorships collecting these weapons like toys.

    It seems that Israel does not have the capabilty to do more than set back Iran's program by more than a year or so.

    I suppose Trump would do it as he is egging on Israel to do it(and they could do it likely with their bunker busters)

    Should it be done? Would it be wise to attempt?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,002 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    It seems that Israel does not have the capabilty to do more than set back Iran's program by more than a year or so.

    Israel don't have the hardware to reach that far down.

    It's debatable whether the Americans do.

    But even if they stalled any programs, unless they actively invade and occupy Iran or nuke it - neither will happen. They will just build their next enrichment facilities further down and actively produce an Arsenal at some stage.

    The reality is the slaughter needs to end and diplomacy needs to break out.

    Again a stark reminder of what is at stake in November.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,071 ✭✭✭amandstu


    An ideal (imo) outcome would be where an unrepresentative regime like Iran (a dictatorship) is felled from within.

    I feel that is bound to happen eventually but I don't know how long it will take.



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