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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,785 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    All name calling and no facts or substance as usual



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,477 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Apparently Trumplodyte Kari Lake still hasn't admitted she lost the gubernatorial race in 2022, nor did she in a debate yesterday. Only face to face debate for the Senate race in AZ. Gallego owned her

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4925770-arizona-senate-debate-gallego-lake/

    Oh, and of course this being an election involving Convicted Felon Trump, the GQP gotta get shooty (no one hurt fortunately)

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4929899-arizona-democrats-office-closed-after-shooting/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,898 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Trump has a literal criminal record, last time around he promised a new innovative replacement for Obamacare. That never happened. He is responsible for ruining abortion rights but that's hugely unpopular with plenty of the public. His promise of ending the war in Ukraine seems to be based on a pretty questionable relationship with Putin that will lead to genocide. Then there's project 2025 which he is frightened of associating himself with. You mentioned jobs earlier but he intends to give Elon Musk a cabinet role, both him and Musk despise unions. That's gonna be great for blue collar workers.

    So even if we got a very similar government to Biden's that's a hell of a lot better than the Trump fever dream that you seem to look forward to. Harris isn't gonna try to encourage greater discrimination, she's not gonna encourage hate speech or recite stories about the locals eating dogs. She's shown herself to be perfectly capable of dealing with Trump which by default means that she's far more capable of handling individuals like Putin than he is. Plus she's not the preferred leader for the likes of Putin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,485 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Ditto on Para 2. The numbers still willing to swallow his every word as gospel is unsettling. I like the bit of hope showing in combat14's post where it mentions Trump as nearly neck and neck with Harris in the polls. It's rare to have a Trump-fan admit that Trump is behind Harris in the polls as most of his admirers here have him way ahead of her in the polls they are quoting and displaying.

    Deriding Trump is easy. Pointing out his failings is different. I'm like Thomas, I'll want to stick my fingers in the wound before I believe he's done. IMO, the only thing Trump should have to do with the presidential election is the single vote guaranteed him in the constitution.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,485 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    The unfortunate thing is that people in the US with votes do give a **** on what skin colour their future president has and Trump is riding on the hope it's his skin colour they like and not Harris's.

    It ain't all emotion reactions about whom is voted in, it's about having a reactionary one in office instead of one who takes time to think can influence their future.

    Not just you, but the rest of the world, even Putin, also have an interest in who's elected president.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,682 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    He is going full Trump for the run in…. I wonder will he finally drop the N-Bomb ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭I.R.Y.E.D


    Ah if you have something in common with someone you tend to defend them, either that or you might be to stupid to recognise that they are a complete ****



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,387 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,903 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Full on Fascist for the next 24 days.

    I think it is safe to say he has abandoned his campaign team for the loons and Nazis.

    Complete U-Turn in 2016 where he completely toned down the racism and lunacy for the final few weeks.

    All good for Harris.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    I have been banging the drum of Pennsylvania being the key to the election - good poll for Harris today who is +3 with the NYT/Siena polling.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    It would be a fun exercise to count the amount of posts in this thread that are about Trump vs Harris. I would guess 85% to 15%.

    If that's the way the coverage goes in the US, I think that's good news for Harris as Trump has so, so, so many negatives.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,682 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    He certainly doesn't have the sophisticated charm of psychopath anyway…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,745 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I think anyone who's been following this election knows that Pennsylvania is pretty critical. I mean, it's possible to win without it, but it's a much narrower pathway.

    While it's nice to see that the NYT poll has Harris up, it's more than a bit concerning that the polling averages show a small trend towards Trump.

    https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

    Harris was leading in the polling averages in at least four states last month, and now she's down to just one with Wisconsin. Michigan was looking safe at one stage, but Trump now nearly has a one point lead according to the polling average. However, it's important to note that this is all well within the margin of error and it's really a dead heat.

    It's just that the polling trends would appear to indicate that the Harris campaign has not been able to generate the necessary momentum to get some real daylight between herself and Trump.

    Two things will be needed, here. One, for all those angry young women to show up and affirm this notion that the US is really a pro-choice country. Two, they'll need to prevent any jiggery-pokery planned by the Trump team to put their thumb on the scale in the swing states. I could post the following a thousand times, and it still wouldn't be enough to underline the seriousness: -

    (Michael Whatley, co-chair of the RNC)

    Whatley, who embraced the former president's baseless claims of widespread voter fraud, said that the RNC "will be focused like a laser on getting out the vote and protecting the ballot," saying that they "hired election integrity directors in battleground states." Those individuals, he said, are "already recruiting and training tens of thousands of volunteers to serve as poll judges workers and observers who will act as real-time monitors whenever votes are being cast and counted."

    https://ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/news/2024/03/08/rnc-election-lara-trump-michael-whatley-republicans



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    RCP has a, ahem, distinctive take on polling aggregation.

    Have a look at both 538 and the NYT and you will feel happier.

    538 has her up in MI, PA, WI and NV. The NYT has the exact same.

    But every race is tight.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,898 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    That early voting is looking very positive for her tbh. Republicans seem to be struggling to engage with Trump, meanwhile turnout levels for Harris are seeming high.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,561 ✭✭✭Cody montana


    I’m still worried trump will win.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,106 ✭✭✭Christy42


    I would be less confident. A lot of people are voting for him because of those reasons not in spite of them. It is just awkward to say out loud. I guess the end effect will be to get more of both bases out to vote.

    Though I am sure people will complain when he gets no votes in Detroit after insulting them to their faces, maybe if he goes to enough cities and insults them MAGA might think twice.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,819 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Like Hillary and her basket of deplorables eh? Worked out well for her campaign too



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,767 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Cringe moments? You are desperately trying to make something out of nothing.

    Utterly unconvincing.

    Meanwhile in the real world:

    Trump so utterly embarrassed himself at the National Association of Black Journalists he fled the scene - as foreshadow of his current running away from debates, interviews, town halls etc.
    Weird you missed that "cringe moment", you seem concerned about them.
    Meanwhile Kamala Harris is on 60 minutes, she has CNN Town Hall lined up.

    Trump then went on to another "cringe moment" where he was caught out in the national debate peddling race baiting lies about immigrants eating pets.

    https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-interview-black-journalists-ends-abruptly-1932829

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,819 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Dems are so desperate this is what they resorting to-they know the sand is shifting from under them rapidly. I guess that’s what happens the fake and invented “joy” once people reflect on how empty their bank accounts have become after the past 4 years of Harris being in office. That didn’t work so wheel out the threats and guilt trips



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,898 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Given the various known crimes of Donald Trump, his racist dog whistles and misogyny. I'd tend to question the moral values of anyone who is a fan of him and would happily vote for him. They're concerned about criminals if they're not American but will happily elect the orange criminal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,785 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    "the past 4 years of Harris being in office. "

    I thought Biden was and *is* the president?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,336 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    In fairness to Hillary she only used the phrase to describe "half" of Trump supporters, not all.😁



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,819 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    that’s true in fairness to Hilary she wasn’t anything like as hysterical as democrats are now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,819 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    never said she was president- she was and is in office. And now she’s going to solve all the problems she helped create- they really must think voters are total idiots alright



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 529 ✭✭✭Dingaan


    Any reason why the 2020 recall vote in this poll is Biden +8?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,336 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    Obama tries to portray himself as a man of the people.

    With his 8m 8,200-square-foot home in Washington and his 15m gated mansion in Marthas Vineyard.

    Or his wife charging almost a thousand dollars to listen to her waffle about her book.

    Yes he has alot in common with the brothas.

    I dont think the public are going to fall for the same "yes we can" nonsense now, Obama has to be one of the biggest spoofers in my lifetime.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,767 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    She was in office - as the VP. You do understand that is a limited role?

    You don't really understand the US political system do you?

    Meanwhile you give a free pass to people in office such as House Republicans, who nixed the border bill on Trump's orders and won't come back from holidays to boost FEMA funding to deal with the recent emergencies such as hurricanes.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,499 ✭✭✭Rawr


    So the Dems are hysterical?

    This comes from the same people shunning Pasteurization of milk because the “Jewish Space Lazers” lady is peddling this idea. The same people who flurt with the idea of hurricanes being artificially created as an election stunt. The same people who time and again can’t grasp that 2020 was not won by the guy who proceeded to repeat lies about pets being eaten because he couldn’t handle a jab about crowd sizes.

    But no…it’s the Dems who are hysterical



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,477 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    I think the thread shows who is hysterical; the GQP spamming their useful idiots with copypasta they can use to troll.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,823 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Absolutely.

    That is the reality, he is very close to managing it. At least that's what it looks like at this point but there's so many factors that play in to that. And even if he does win, it could be because of apathy and not voting on the Dem side more than it being Trump being genuinely popular.

    He hasn't won the popular vote in either election he ran in and in real terms, he got 46.8% of the vote in 2020 versus Biden's 51.3% which is a hammering in a 2 horse race but because of the electoral college less than100K votes in the other direction across key states, and he'd have been returned.

    Some days, part of me thinks he's going to get annihilated in real terms, like 45% to 55% or something but other days I think, he might actually do this, ala 2016. I've gone hoarse from saying how I can't understand how he is in the race, but here we are. In real terms, I wouldn't trust him to run a 50K project or manage a team of more than 2 people but millions want to see him as President.

    We'll never know for exactly how the country feels about him on the 5th of November because of the impact turn out will have on the result.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,823 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Who do you think is the bigger spoofer Obama, or Trump?

    You've laid out the case for Obama, I'll do Trump.

    He has a gold plated toilet and claims to be the man of the people. He has Chinese sourced bibles that he is flogging to his base while he tells them he will bring back American jobs. He claims to support the working man but is against Unions and overtime. He thinks applying tarriffs on Chinese goods will help deal with inflation. His wife wanted CNN to pay 250K to interview her about her book. He told people in 2016 he'd have a healthcare plan ready to go on day 1, 8 yrs later, he says he has the concept of a healthcare plan. He claims to know more about nuclear, wind and solar energy than anyone else but thought he could disrupt a hurricane with a nuclear bomb. He said Covid would fade away to nothing and that he deserved an A+ for how he handled it as several hundred thousand Americans died from it. He paid to rig electronic votes in order to try win an online competition for businessman of the year but he says he demands election integrity. He claims to have won many Golf competitions and hit holes in one at his golf courses while appearing to be a below average golfer, at best.

    So, spoofer of the year, in your opinion, Obama, or Trump?

    P.S. He lied 30K times while in office according to the WP, that's probably relevant when talking about spoofers, wouldn't you think?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,637 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    Yeah there’s been an element of not just plateau but small dip for Harris over the last 2 weeks- I’m encouraged by Trumps extremist rambles now coz that means he’s worried but still, there could well be a glass ceiling here yet - first ever woman president and ethnic to boot -it was never going to be an easy race -and whist economy getting better it could have been a bit better a bit earlier.

    She hasn’t done much wrong but there’s bound to be a small percentage of people who just won’t vote for her either based on her gender or her ethnicity - I think that MAY explain why she’s not further ahead of Trump - hate to say it but if male and white I think she’d likely have all but won at this point - her presidency rests with ethnic minorities and women in my view- if they would just start to become a bit more passionate of just what she is on the cusp of achieving, it would get her over the line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,785 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Tl:Dr Black man can't be successful. They should know their place, eh?

    BTW - How much did Melania ask CNN for to interview her?

    $250,000.

    Why haven't you mentioned this?

    We all know.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,250 ✭✭✭rolling boh


    Seems people think Trump is a bit better for the economy if that's true it's a big issue to have in his favour.It really is too close to call and it looks like it will stay that way .I am a bit disappointed that KH hasn't being able to put some daylight between herself and Trump which I thought might happen even if she isn't that good a candidate. It still is quite astonishing to me that so many people still support Trump with all the evidence that he is totally unsuitable for the role out there for all to see .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,637 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    hmmmmm….its an interesting take on things. I don’t think Obama will influence the swing voters in the swing states that’s for sure - they’re predominantly white , not particularly well educated snd low income - on that element, I think you’re right - he’s not going to turn these voters as a group.

    To win, Harris needs a strong ethnic vote and also a strong female vote, and in terms of the female vote, she needs to impress both democrats, and young female republicans-

    I’m not sure anyone other than Harris can influence these voters at this point - whilst Obama would have been criticised had he not come out and supported Harris and did his “bit”, I don’t think we’ll see any significant rise in polls. Maybe if he just sticks to the message “get out and vote” it will help, but his “speeches” are just too high brow for the swing voters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,637 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    Yeah, security and economy, Trump has led on these two aspects from early on in this battle - whilst I think the gap has closed ( just haven’t seen latest stats) I don’t think the overall position has changed- Harris would have benefited from a “much improved” economy had it occurred 6 months ago as issues such as supermarket prices and lower interest rates etc would have meant a good lead in period of more money in peoples pockets giving a better overall feeling - and “feelings” mean a hell of a lot in presidential elections.
    As for Trump and his support, well I think only historians will be able to explain that in years to come but good luck to them if even they can 🤪



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,823 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    And it's criminal that this is the case. Trump bankrupted several businesses (including a casino) and yet I've seen so many people suggest that because he was a business man, he'd handle that better. The tariff conversations further underline how wrong a view this is.

    The fact that people objectively think he would be better for the economy is just a sign of where the US is at in terms of real world knowledge and awareness of the facts around the people and practices and their effects in government. Political messaging and communication is so short term with respect to messaging and attention. It would like asking a teacher to teach their class by walking up and down the corridor and shouting at their students who are sitting in the room as the teacher walks past the door.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,411 ✭✭✭sonofenoch


    “When we think about what’s at stake in this election – well it’s packed with some stuff! Some fundamental stuff! *cackles* I say rather articulately.”

    Kamala the oracle orator speaks



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,411 ✭✭✭sonofenoch


    In what way can't you sleep at night worried? are you in the US? how badly did his previous tenure affect you …if not in the US the same question applies ….what exactly has you so worried about Trump winning



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,785 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    "Kamala the oracle orator speaks"

    "They're eating the dogs"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,363 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    He claims to know more about nuclear, wind and solar energy than anyone else but thought he could disrupt a hurricane with a nuclear bomb.

    He claims to know more about absolutely anything than anyone else. Except Project 2025, and anyone who claims he sexually assaulted them.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,211 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    just ignore RCP. They simply average all the polls without applying any intelligence to them. So the poor quality polls get thrown in and destroy the average.

    they/them/theirs


    And so on, and so on …. - Slavoj Žižek




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,823 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    In 2016, when Trump won, I told a friend I was worried because I said he would lower the tone of what was expected from one of the worlds leaders.

    And he did that, and then some.

    And I lived in the US for a number of years during and After his Presidency and I saw the impact of this shift in tone. And we saw it massively influence UK politics indirectly in recent years in the manner of how the implementation of Brexit was carried out with a similar 'feelings over facts' approach to policy, and that has had serious impacts. Not to mention the impact that he had on the role of experts in handling a Pandemic, an impact in shifting mindsets that has been felt worldwide, including Ireland. Also, in Ireland, Peter Casey would never have been part of the conversation but for Trump, and he added nothing of value to the conversations he was involved in.

    And during his term he actively pushed back any steps (few as they were) towards tackling the influencing factors on Climate change and it could well take a generation to make up the lost ground in this respect.

    I don't know how anyone could have objectively looked at his term and come to the conclusion that more of that wouldn't be an issue.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 529 ✭✭✭Dingaan


    Exactly! I want Trump to win, but if he comes up short, I’ll still sleep like a log. If he looks like winning early in the night, I’ll most likely crack open a bottle of Taittinger.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,561 ✭✭✭Cody montana


    Easy answer.


    His attack on the environment.
    His attacks on renewable energy.

    His attacks on climate science.

    The USA should be leading, not rolling back environmental protections.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,823 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    This just tells us how poorly informed you are on the topic.

    People went to bed the night of the election with him in the lead but as postal counts came in over night (as normal) he lost that lead (as expected).



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,211 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    what a weird reaction. Why waste champagne on that gimp?

    they/them/theirs


    And so on, and so on …. - Slavoj Žižek




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,336 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    Both of them are narcisstic spoofers, neither is a man of the people.

    Both showmen, both full of hot air, albeit Barack is far more refined and polished.

    I wouldnt trust either of them as far as I'd throw them.

    They arent that different.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,637 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison


    and also….theyre in an incredible position to lead the world in renewable energy - it’s one way to defeat China and other massively polluting countries - build it yourself at “home” in an eco way instead of dumping your pollution on another country - feeding China economically is the worst thing the western world can do right now



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