Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

Trump is leading in all betting markets. He is leading in Pennsylvania. Harris is goosed and support is declining by the Day for her. The honeymoon is over.

The bets can be influenced by big money bets from abroad, they have become disconnected from the voting.

538 have Harris ahead in Pennsylvania but the gaps are margin of error territory.

Harris is picking up more undecided voters in the last week than Trump, as cited above on thread, at a rate of nearly 2:1.

Trump is cancelling events and trying to rally empty venues when he does appear. He looks goosed physically thats for sure. I would put more weight in empty rallies than betting markets myself.

My instinct is that Harris is the one out there trying to win over new voters, the surge in voter registrations, huge early voting numbers ... that should favour Democrats and see Harris over the line.

But its all to play for.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/

Cuban's a wealthy tech startup investor who famously sold Broadcast.com to Yahoo back in the crazy days of acquisitions for huge money, and has lived off it since. He is a public figure in that he's a minority owner of a US NBA basketball team the Dallas Mavericks. He loathes Convicted Felon Trump, used to sit courtside at basketball games wearing a "Cuban 46" jersey, a not-so-subtle needling of Trump's ambition to be reelected.

Trump showing incredible stamina unfortunately doesn't look to be letting up.

Fox & Friends at 8am
Doing the @dbongino’s show, flying to Michigan, meetings with multiple local groups, visiting Trump Force 47 HQ, holding a full rally in Detroit, flying back to New York.

All of this after a very late night following his speech at the Al Smith dinner.

I would have thought that goosing the polls by flooding the polling with dubious polls would end up been counterproductive.

With the way speeches and appearances have been edited or cropped to fit the media shows time slots and the way video excerpts have been spliced together to suit appearances, it's hard to know what is true and what is false now when you look at the TV screen. There was a short clip about Trump on RTE radio earlier where the claim was made, allegedly by him, that he had been awake for the past forty eight [48] days. 48 hours I could see and understand but 48 days….. That being said, as it was just those words, I may have mistaken DAY for HOURS.

OK, apart from 2016, tell me when trump, as leader of the Republican party, has won an election. There's been quite a few since then

Trumps endorsement is a kiss of death to a candidate.

How do you account for Trump regularly sh*tting himself on the campaign trail. Just normal for an old guy ?

Indeed, Biden isn't running for office. So when you say Biden wasn't fit for office, do you turn that same critique to Trump, or are you being a hypocrite?

All trump seems to have to go on and has been babbling it on for years is "Make America Great Again"

He doesn't even know what that means.

Remember Comical Ali.

I thought of him as I read your post.

Any idea why?

People have been downplaying Bidens ability for literal years now.

But here's the thing, there hasn't been a single incident in Bidens term where his ability has been seriously questioned.

In terms of his role, there's always going to be vacuous comments saying 'he should do this', 'he should do that' etc, but there has been no story, not one, where the likes of Fox have been able to even hint at a story of 'this happened because he failed to act because of his inability'

And he's had Covid recovery, inflation, Ukraine, Gaza and climate events during his term where he needed to be on his game in the direction he gave. I will forever denounce him for his role in the butchering of Gazans but that's an issue I have with his policy, not his ability. His opponents say he should support Israel more so they can't say how he has acted has been a failure of his ability.

Compare that with Trump during his term. The inability to have a stable administration, the inability to have collaborative relationships with staunch allies of the US, the inflaming of tensions regarding BLM, the abysmal handling of Covid. All failures because of his ability, not inspite of them. Not to mention failure to build a Mexico funded wall or deliver an alternative to Obamacare.

Biden today has more ability than Trump had on his best day. And those best days, are lonnggg in the past.

I'm not sure if Trump is a racist in the commonly-understood sense of the word. Donald Trump would hate poor black people, certainly, but more 'cause they're poor, and therefore losers in his eyes, rather than because they're black. He would hate the poor ones of every other ethnicity, also. However, if they are black and have a considerable amount of fame/money as well as complimentary things to say about the former president, Trump will take most kindly to them.

I can imagine Trump looking at the idea of a white v black season of The Apprentice and just being so mesmerised by the potential ratings that the insensitivity of it was essentially an afterthought in his mind.

didn’t he fall asleep yesterday mid event ? And was rambling about Weinstein getting “schlonged“….. I wouldn’t call that stamina… maybe deterioration ?

Intelligent folk probably understand that's it a reflection of the dumbness of the Trump supporters rather than being Harris fault.

I can fully believe that Trump himself would defend someone like Harvey Weinstein, although the fact that he's doing it as Republican presidential nominee is emblematic of what a f-d up place American politics is in right now.

Not to forget that Trump, as sitting president, extended his well wishes to Ghislaine Maxwell - the then-charged, now-convicted ex-wife of notorious paedophile Jeffrey Epstein.

Of all the people to defend or speak warmly of, these two are outrageously suspect.

The polls and betting markets look very suspicious. There are so many pointers that suggest that the numbers are scewed.

All elections, including 2016, suggest that dems are more popular with voters.

Harris is massively out performing Trump in terms of donations

Her rallies are bigger and Trumps are noticeable smaller than 2016.

Harris got 7.1m audience for her recent Fox Interview. Trump got 3m.

Abortion is consistently a big factor for voters yet apparently it will have no impact on voting. This is proved by the fact Trump has stopped talking constantly about Roe v Wade and has pivoted to IVF.

Everything points against Trump yet the polls suggest that none of the above has had any impact.

This is something that can only be truly assessed after the election because it's only then will we know if the polls were genuinely indicative of the state of the race.

A combination of the reality series The Apprentice and four decades of Vince McMahon’s WWE groomed half of America to fall in love with Donald Trump. It appears that he can do and say anything and his base with stick with him .

Biden's biggest slip up was the debate and at that point, pretty much everyone flipped on him including on here. I don't think any of his slip ups are on the scale of Trump in the last week or so. If Biden spent 40 minutes swaying on stage at a town hall, posters such as yourself would be calling for his impeachment.

Could not continue, or could not win? Cos the motivation behind both is vastly different