2024 General Election Dublin West

I'd agree that Chambers, McGuiness & Currie are safe bets. I suspect Ruth Coppinger will get the 4th seat as well. RTE analysis had the 5th seat between Ellen Troy (Aontu), John Walsh (Lab) and Roderic O'Gorman (Green). Aontu in the locals had a high vote was their rationale. I think it'll be between Walsh and O'Gorman.

https://www.rte.ie/radio/radio1/clips/22446314/

Delaney has had two posters up on the Snugborough road since the local elections. Totally illegal and Fingal did nothing about them! We have Aontú plus three far right independents running, they can all FRO

Forde. The guy with the no more immigrants posters

Did you report the two posters to Fingal Litter Wardens? They tend to be very good.

Oh wow, yeah. I've seen or heard nothing else from him, so googled him and he looks absolutely nothing like I expected him to;

John Forde · GE2024 · TheJournal.ie

After that, I can find precisely zero information on him.

I saw a video on X yesterday where she has been contacted/fined by FCC about them.

My tuppence

I'd reckon that Chambers, McGuiness & Currie are all in fairly early. I suspect John Walsh will get the 4th seat. 5th seat between Ellen Troy and Roderic O'Gorman. I think she will take the seat. People are in the Anti Green phase at the moment. I don't blame them.

I think this is spot on if indeed you meant Donnelly not McGuinness.

There's six odds-on candidates for five seats. There are a few candidates that I would never vote for and all but one are not odds-on.

Can't disagree enough with this. Roderic has been a public representative for Castleknock and then Dublin West for a long time. He's done a lot more for the area than Leo or Chambers for starters.

To be fair the poster didn't actually mention what policies of the Green Party they disliked, that doesnt automatically equate to not knowing which policies the GP pushed through in the last term of the government. Maybe they dislike the Deposit Return Scheme.

The green party although a minority party in the government have pushed policies that FF and FG don't like, for example the anti pollution taxes on cars and heavy goods vehicles.

There would be no point in voting for a minority party in government if they didnt have their own policies that would be different to FF/FG. The Green party have been taking responsibility for green initiatives such as the Deposit Scheme so if voters are unhappy with how these schemes are run, they are going to be punished. Roderic may be good for Dublin West but if a voter is against their anti pollution taxes I wouldnt mock them for deciding not to vote Green Party.

No, I'm not that 'type'. I would hold Helen McEntee equally responsible but she isn't in my constituency so I can't vote against her, hence my vote will be a strategic vote against O'Gorman. That's democracy.

Your Russian Bot impression needs a bit of work.

I went with the 2 shinners. Has sworn id never vote for them about 12 months ago but I can't stand the thought of Harris and his smug face anymore. Let mlmd have a go and see what happens. Hopefully they dont wreck the place

Sure isn't Jack Chambers next in line to succeed Martin as leader of FF once he retires and runs off to claim his teacher's pension.

I'd much prefer a mild-mannered politician who focuses on local issues like Donnelly than RO'G who led the unnecessary and unsuccessful referendums this year that cost 20 million to run. In addition, he invited half the world over to treasure island via twitter, a policy, which will cost us billions to manage, and there is absolutely no accountability shown on the part of the Government, or the Green party, in particular.

I didn't realise that RO'G had so many twitter followers. And those followers had no other access to the internet. Maybe Putin is a follower and decided to start a war based on secret messages embedded in the tweets.

All politics is local as they say, just because you think something is unnecessary doesn't mean it's of importance to others.

Many politicians come around lobbying on topics I've no interest in or about things that have no affect on me.

But the great thing about our system is that I understand it's of importance to others and we should accept that. Do I feel the need to go "punish" those politicians for doing stuff that doesn't affect me, no, because I'm an adult I just don't vote for them like I previously never would have anyway.

Chambers, Donnelly, Currie assured.

I reckon Roderic will ultimately make it, but probably be a solo flyer on the backbenches. Coppinger likely back from the political wilderness too, delivering plenty of misery before Christmas.

So huge surprises in the end. Donnelly didn't get enough votes to help Hanaphy (SF #2), and almost no-one voted for Lorna Nolan (FF #2) despite a big poster campaign.

Shame Roddy got the seat but he'll be a lonely boy in the dail now

Lol, the madness of some people.

You'd have to worry about an upcoming FF/FG coalition if they can be ridden over by a very small minority of a party.

Unless of course the obvious being they also broadly agreed with the green mandate at the time? FG were hardly the ones to introduce the carbon tax were they before the greens even became members of government, say it ain't so.

Well I'm thrilled that Roderic got reelected. We nearly ended up with an Aontú TD. Pretty sure she hoovered up some of Jack Chambers' former anti abortion votes. It's the only explanation for her performance.

Surely you could say the same about any of the independent TDs, or the two Aontú TDs?

The Government will need votes and Roderic is in as good a position as any of them to make hay.

I’m glad for Roderic because so much of the hatred of him was based on bizarre internet conspiracy theories and naked homophobia.

And if the alternative is Aontu and their catholic dogma, count me doubly delighted.