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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,666 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    There is a moral question revolving around whether or not saying 'the economy relies on migrants being exploited for cheap agriculture and so we shouldn't rock the immigration boat' is a good thing. The reality is a lot of the 'cheapness' is because a number of folks are being paid under the table, maybe in conditions most Americans wouldn't tolerate, and likely without a number of protections. Shades of the 1850s.

    Even if you made all the illegals legal with a stroke of a pen (good luck getting that passed), costs would likely still go up due to their new-found powers and protections meaning they cannot be taken advantage of as they are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,877 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Prices are not going to rise. Not in the short term anyway.

    Tariffs will effectively kill off foreign competition. There will be massive loop holes and exemptions such that only end consumer products, or full products for business, will be included.

    Such that business won't be effected too much. But, any potential price increases will be offset, not fully but idealogy, through corporation tax cuts.

    Consumers will end up paying the same but the companies get back massive market share.

    The longer term is that innovation will be stifled, lack of consumer choice and prices will rise as companies realise there is reduced competition.

    Overall this isn't some consumer or domestic job lead plan. This is about protecting and increasing the profits of US companies within their own market.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,991 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    You make a great point, there's a large amount of artificiality built into costs in the market I think. Not just with regards workers in the US, but factoring cheap overseas labour. The whole system is designed on exploitation



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,996 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    Jack Smith has filed a motion to dismiss ALL charges against President Trump.

    Justice has been done.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,095 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/21/business/trump-tariffs-washing-machines.html

    The new tariffs ended a yearslong decline in the price of washers in the United States, which rose about $86 per unit because of the tariffs last year, the authors calculate. But tariffs also raised prices for dryers, largely because manufacturers of laundry equipment used the tariffs as an opportunity to raise prices on things that were not, in fact, affected by the tariffs.

    Consumers, Mr. Tintelnot noted in an interview, often shop for a new washer and dryer at the same time. Their costs are similar. Rather than raise prices by 20 percent on washers and throwing off that balance — no one likes an unbalanced washing machine — companies instead raised both washer and dryer prices, by 11.5 percent each.

    You're very naive to think prices won't increase. There's also the fact that countries will retaliate with their own tariffs on US goods. Having a trade war when you have a trade deficit can be pretty tricky as you're starting from a weak point.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,877 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Quite obviously it hasn't. Justice must be seen to be done, and the charges are only dropped because Trump is now above the law.

    Trump has singlehandedly managed to corrupt the entire judicial basis of the US.

    The road map is clear. If you are rich and facing any potential charges, run for office to a) delay all cases and b) win election and get all charges dropped.

    It won't be long until this precedent is filtered down to every single type of office.

    'I'm running for town mayor, you can't charge me with speeding as it's clearly political'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 72 ✭✭King Power Fox


    If the President committed murder would he be above the law? As a matter of interest is there any other countries where the heads of state are immune from prosecution? If Trump survives the next 4 years can old prosecutions be resurrected. Knowing his character and past I'm sure there will be a few more felonies that will crop up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,521 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I think any moral question is secondary to the reality of the situation. It says a lot about the state of American politics that Trump is allowed to get away with a sweeping pronouncement about deporting illegals without some very basic questions being asked about the consequences of that, such as the economic impact.

    Yes, it's very likely that citizens wouldn't tolerate or couldn't tolerate being paid the kind of wages that illegals are willing to work for, by and large. The knock on effects of that would be prices being raised throughout those sectors. Not something the customers are going to enjoy.

    Then again, it's not as if reactionary movements aren't perfectly willing to cut off their nose to spite their own face and Trump's voters, especially, will be happy to endure a significant amount of economic pain if they can feel like demographic change has been halted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,991 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    Trump declared an intention to immediately remove approximately 15,000 trans personnel from the military. Besides it being outright illegal, it would create massive issues with the loss of trained service members at time of historical challenges in recruiting for the military. I can also imagine if they are successful with this, they would go on to pursue LGBT service members and ultimately women too .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,521 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I don't think going after the other two groups would make much sense even from a Trumpist perspective. In a time when the US military is struggling for new recruits, trying to remove LGBT people and especially women wouldn't make much sense - it'd be a serious own goal. Trump is not a details man, by any means. He and his base would be more than satisfied with the culture war victory of removing trans people and maybe any outspoken LGBT people in the ranks of the military, but the rest wouldn't be touched.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,991 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    I don't think Trump will care much either way, he'll just let whatever ghouls are in charge do whatever they want



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 194 ✭✭scuba8


    This is one of the reasons why the cost of general foodstuffs is rising. Price gouging seems to be a way forward for big corporations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 61,272 ✭✭✭✭Agent Coulson


    Yeah swamp will get even more swamper now instead of getting drained.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 363 ✭✭Dr Robert


    People fell for false promises, same as the last time.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,666 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    We had no issues with kicking out over 8,000 personnel for refusing to take the COVID vaccine at a time the military was not making its recruiting goals, while it is making them this year. If the military decides to boot folks out, they can get booted out, nothing illegal about it, and they're demonstrably willing to lose personnel if they feel it's in the overall interest.

    The devil is going to be in the details and I'll be astonished if anything much over a few hundred personnel will be affected. Being a transgender in the US military today isn't as easy as just saying "I'm now a (blank, use these pronouns)". You are whatever your official records say you are. If your records say you're a guy, then you wear short hair, use the men's room and so on until your transition is complete, then once all the paperwork is complete and certified by various doctors, only then is the record (technically the DEERS marker) changed and you're subject to the female rules. If you are not actively transitioning, then there's no reason for anything to be in the records at all. Even if you are actively transitioning, if you're doing it outside of the Army's medical system, there are going to be likely no records.

    Whether it's still a good idea or not is an entirely different kettle of fish, but I submit they can do it, and if they do, I suspect the numbers involved are currently overinflated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,991 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    There's a pretty big difference in kicking people out who are refusing a lawful order and kicking them out for a fundamental aspect of their character. It's not against policy to be trans, or LGBT anymore, as well as being a gross violation of federal law. From a purely political point of view, it's a stupid thing to burn capital in hugely acrimonious legal fight.

    Post edited by AbusesToilets on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,436 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,436 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    So tariffs for Mexico and Canada now. He somehow thinks these will stop the flow of…checks notes…illegal drugs?

    Canada could just slap a few tariffs on petroleum products, Trump would turn a different tone of orange very quickly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,698 ✭✭✭political analyst


    Trump spokesman Tim Murtaugh (1 minute and 52 seconds into the video in this post) told Robert Moore that Trump might 'turn the tables' on the lawyers who prosecuted Trump.

    Is Biden going to consider issuing pre-emptive pardons to those prosecutors and any other former or serving federal government personnel who Trump might be harbouring grudges before 20 January 2025?



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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,666 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    True on the first part, it was more a statement that the numbers involved aren't going to be a deterrent.

    It is not currently against policy, you are correct. The issue is that a policy can be changed rather simply. It's changed quickly after the last two changes of Presidency. As for it being a violation of federal law, that hasn't as yet been determined. It is certainly legal precedent that military personnel cannot rely on their Constitutional rights to the same extent as their civilian compatriots. We do have different standards for men and female in the military, and there's a reason why the Supreme Court exempted the military academies in their ruling on equal rights by race in Fair Admissions vs Harvard, in addition to all the other limitations on Constitutional protections, such as the First and Fourth amendments, which have been upheld by the courts. As the famous line goes, "We're here to preserve democracy, not practice it."

    I agree with your last line. Though that doesn't mean that the people soon-to-be-in-charge need see things the same way.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,582 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    To give you an insight to the mentality of some trump supporters, consider this

    1. Trump says repeatedly that he will put tariffs on imported goods
    2. Exporters point out that will result in an increase in prices
    3. People vote for Trump because products are expensive now, even though voting for trump will cause more products to be more expensive

    Genius .

    Wait until he deports illegals and forces prices up that way too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 986 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    It's bizarre that people focus so much on Trump's tariffs when Biden increased the tariffs he inherited from Trump.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,877 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    You forgot that Trump supporters hate big government and want the government to stay out of their lives.

    But want the government to get directly involved in the market, create protectionist tariff regime and thus debunking the ideal of capitalism.

    So that is the legal system, democracy, freedom and capitalism they have a problem with.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,095 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    There's a difference increasing tariffs on specific items (EV's, batteries, solar cells) as an anti dumping policy vs blanket tariffs on everything being imported in order to.... Checks notes... Pay for child care.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,877 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    It's bizarre that people think that putting tariffs on imports will decrease the costs of eggs.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,396 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    That isn't strictly true.

    Biden replaced blanket tariffs with quota's and suspended and eliminated other Trump tariffs, specifically the blanket ones on the EU.

    He is aggressively going after green tech to stimulate home growth in this sector, this in itself will not come without risk, as the costs will have to somewhat offset with grants to the consumer, etc.

    Biden is using a sniper rifle, Trump will use a shotgun. But again it's the GOP who are supposed to be the Free Marketeers.

    Tariffs will hurt the domestic end user, if housing was an election campaign issue, than slapping massive taxes on construction materials, fuel and construction equipment is hardly going to make housing cheaper.

    That's before you even consider retaliatory tariffs. Or what slapping a 25% tax on medicines and medical equipment from Mexico will do to health care costs and outcomes.

    At the end of the day though, the world economy is like water, it will eventually find it's level.

    New deals will be done with the EU, China, India, etc. America will be further isolated and will have less influence and at some stage in the future will have to re-negotiate with a weaker hand.

    Politically though if the likes of the EU and UK plump up their trade with the likes of China, they will be less vocal calling out any human rights abuses or aggression.

    We just saw the EU tolerate Putin and his murderous ways for 2 decades until they couldn't anymore.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 837 ✭✭✭j62


    The GOP and republicans died a long time ago when it got consumed from the inside by the MAGA cult

    They don’t stand for anything beside enriching the Trump crime family and keeping them out of prison



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,293 ✭✭✭Rawr


    I think we encountered something similar from some Brexiteers regarding the pains that Brexit would bring the UK. Essentially being willing to torpedo the entire economy for the sake of some cack-headed interpretation of "Sovereignty".

    Ideallogically it might seem national-romantic or heroic to endure such hardships for the Fatherland. But unlike fighting off enemies from your borders or otherwise grafting to build a nation….these particual hardships are little more than dimwitted economic kicks in the nation's head, usually designed to benefit the already wealthy and often geared to hurt those poor folk who likely voted for it in the first place.

    The MAGA crowd might love the sectarian ramblings of kicking out migrants who "Took der jerbs!!", but they were jobs that they themselves didn't even want to do, or at pay rates that they would never accept. Perhaps some people in America should look at that before getting pissy at the people who travel to the US to get exploited like that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,251 ✭✭✭Guffy


    They could always just move the work to Mexico 🤔



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,464 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Companies will pass on the tariffs to consumers. This is a tax on every single US citizen. I'm not sure MAGA has figured that part out yet.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,582 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Trump went on stage and was told, in front of the cameras, he was talking utter nonsense.

    As indicative of multiple issues relevant to the election, the information was there for people to make an informed decision, and a portion failed spectacularly to either seek it out or apply logic as a result.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,227 ✭✭✭Stallingrad


    I think that everyone is just being played again and again with this guy.

    The ludicrous appointees, tariffs, deporatations, banning trans from the military, the endless noise and confusion. Time and time again it's an attempt to obfuscate, grab headlines and create daily talking points that distract from what he has really up to. For years the media and public has been falling for it, it's infuriating. It's what we don't see behind the deranged soundbites and proclamations that we should be worried about. Good journalism is asleep at the wheel while the late night chatshow hosts smugly laugh and guffaw at whatever the story of the day is.

    As much as I despise the guy, he is a master manipulator and is playing everyone like a fiddle yet again. He should've been down and out at the end of the first presidency, and look at him now, a cast iron lock on the Presidency with almost unchecked power, surrounded by grovelling sycophants and 'yes' men. He won't make the mistakes he made the first time. Things are going to get a lot worse before they get better.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,396 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    he is a master manipulator

    No he isn't. The bad news for America is you don't have to be to sway a large portion of the electorate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,068 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    he is a master manipulator

    The people behind him are the masters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 535 ✭✭✭Stanley 1


    The pity is Jack got started too late, Trump could have already served a year in some State Penitentary, the New York Burglar, in cold chains he is bound………….



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,351 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    The ceasefire deal between Israel and the Hizballah Militia in Lebanon seems to involve France and the US supplying people to the monitoring group supervising the deal. I'm relying on RTE's report on the deal mentioning them as providing said supervisors.

    One of President-elect Trump's team has claimed that they were involved in the work leading to the deal. The issue of the US being one of the two nations providing supervisors would seem to run contrary to Trump's position of opposing the US being involved in foreign field military operations so there might be more comments yet from his team to confirm that he approves the first comment from his team.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,249 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    It could have something to do with what was reported while ago that enlisting was easiest way not to pay for transitioning and subsequent costs of surgeries and all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,991 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    I think it has to do with MAGA being a bunch of hateful bigots and wanting to target minority groups they don't like. Period.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,249 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    It is your opinion and that is fine. On the other hand saving 120k-140k per person for 15k people may be strong incentive too. Nearly 2B.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,991 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    In the realm of wanting to save money from the Pentagon's budget, that's not even a rounding error. Not to mention, any purported savings will be lost in the lawsuits that follow.

    It's a laughable idea, when the Pentagon has failed another audit, and has Trillions of dollars unaccounted for



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,608 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    As much as I despise the guy, he is a master manipulator and is playing everyone like a fiddle yet again

    Don't see this, at all. He is a bully who has found himself in the right place at the right time where more people are feeling the pinch of rampant capitalism than are not, where social media has matured enough to be a malleable force in a way it hasn't quite been before now and where the narrative of there being a need for anti-wokeness has grown to its zenith. And where the worlds richest man with more active intent in manipulating the outcome of the election than anyone who has held that position before threw his weight fully behind Trump.

    Trump is anything but a master manipulator. If he was, people he would have come in close contact with him would continue to be advocates of his. But more often than not, this is not the case. Look at all those from his former administration who don't have a good thing to say about him. Look at how his inner circle is made up of mostly new people this time round with a few outliers like Stephen Miller still hanging around.

    Trump won, his place in history is secure, I hate that, I can't change that. But that doesn't change the reality of who he is.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,666 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    A billion here, a billion there, soon you're talking some real money. It's an argument which is separate from the lost dollars. That they were 'lost' doesn't mean they weren't spent on something useful.

    But, again, I don't think the 15,000 figure applies here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,227 ✭✭✭Stallingrad


    We can agree to disagree. The fact that he has consolidated such power within the Republican party despite the chorus of disapproval, not only from his many opponents, media, and critics, but as you say from his previous administration. He knows to throw enough red meat to his base which makes the Maga movement the force it is, intimidating and bullying opponents and critics into submission. I don't think he is a master strategist by any stretch, but he knows how to manipulate the kind of people he needs to get what he wants. Why are rednecks in trailer parks donating money to his campaign? It takes real skill to get people to do something with us so at odds with their best interests.

    People continue to underestimate what he is capable of.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,396 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Trump ringing world leaders and then tweeting out his daft interruption of the conversations.

    I thought it was 1 president at a time?

    Biden should test the SC ruling and have him arrested for treason.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,293 ✭✭✭Rawr


    I feel that you are still giving him far too much credit.

    Donnie fails upward, but he is still failing while doing it. Some of this failing up is down to his shameless ability to self-promote, but an awful lot of it is down to his absolute lack of a moral compass.

    He can get MAGA rednecks to empty their wallets to him because he knows that many of them lack the education to spot a con, and he hasn't the moral character to stop himself from doing it time and again. This doesn't require a lot of intelligence, merely the willingness to screw people over totally for your own selfish ends. This is Donnie in a nutshell. A heartless blockhead who loves to hear his own name spoken and was given a leg up by an actually sucessful parent.

    As for the GOP, Donnie turned up at just the right time and I suspect this wasn't by his own design. Far-right conservatism had a branding problem that wasn't winning them votes, and then all of a sudden a larger than life Reality-TV Clown burst into their group and gave them a new idenity to bandy around. It was popular enough to get them votes, but it also encouraged Trump copy-cats who now realised that they could say things unfiltered and gets votes this way. So we get the Margoires, and the Boberts and the Gaetz's of the world. The GOP was already becoming rudderless, but Donnie essentially became the rudder and left the GOP in a worse state.

    They used to have an agenda. It was a typically bad agenda for everyone, but an agenda none-the-less. Now they are reduced to doing whatever keeps Donnie happy, or whatever some goul has sweet-talked Donnie into liking. Donnie is no strategist, he's mearly a large kid on a high-chair screaming his head off for praise and treats. He has no "agenda", he has no "policies" and he has no "political ideoligy" beyond taking care of one thing; Donald The F##khead Trump. His "power" is that the party he's excreated himself upon have long since lost their marbles as well as their spines.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,859 ✭✭✭Real Donald Trump


    Judging from that video released by Kamala's team yesterday, America really did make the right decision, glad common sense prevailed in the end.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,041 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    That was a horrible way to finish off Harris as a voice in the Democrats, no doubt she was a very poor candidate, really shocking but her own party to put up a video like that it was an unnecessary humiliation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,859 ✭✭✭Real Donald Trump


    Doubt they care at this stage , her internal team knew she was trailing big time during the campaign, they themselves were shocked at the media's polling. Amazing the truth came to light when the fight was over. Dem's would have stood a better chance if they held a primary. Biden should have dropped out a year ago. Not Kamalas fault tbf she was up against all odds, which is a great song btw, I'm quoting phil collins now, showing my age 😅



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,996 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    It highlights again how duplicitious and deceitful the media really are.

    The media induced high of August was nothing but fiction.

    Propaganda that Goebbels himself would be proud of.

    Common sense did prevail in the end as you say, enough people stuck to their beliefs and didnt flinch or waver in the face of a torrent of propaganda and lies from the Democrats.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,041 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    There was also likely a motive of payback, lot of reports about how horrible she was to staff.

    Phil Collins had some good ones, must look that up.



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